National Hockey League321 Playoff Chances 2011-2012

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

St. Louis	140	2	39	-	7	20		-	9	45	In			94	2		4	0	0										1.1	-0.04	4	.625	St. Louis Blues
Vancouver	131	2	32	-	13	21		-	9	42	In			2	98	0													2.0		5	.596	Vancouver Canucks
NY Rangers	136	2	35	-	12	21		-	7	38	In			48	0		44	8	0										2.6	+0.40	2	.594	New York Rangers
Pittsburgh	133	3	35	-	11	22		-	6	55	In			47	0		38	15	0										2.7	-0.56	1	.608	Pittsburgh Penguins
Detroit	130	2	35	-	10	25		-	5	45	In			3	0		63	28	6	0									4.3	+0.07	3	.591	Detroit Red Wings
Philadelphia	130	2	34	-	10	23		-	8	30	In			5	0		18	77	0	0									4.6	+0.16	6	.571	Philadelphia Flyers
Nashville	130	2	36	-	7	24		-	8	15	In		+0.0	1	0		29	55	15	0	0								4.8	+0.09	8	.537	Nashville Predators
Boston	122	3	33	-	10	28		-	3	59	100.0	%	+0.0	0	93	6			0	0	0	0							2.1	+0.06	9	.619	Boston Bruins
Chicago	125	2	33	-	9	25		-	8	15	100.0		+0.0	0	0		5	17	77	1	0	0	0						5.7	-0.11	10	.531	Chicago Blackhawks
New Jersey	117	2	27	-	15	27		-	6	9	99.6		-0.0				0	0	81	15	3	0	0	0					6.2	-0.07	7	.505	New Jersey Devils
Florida	116	3	30	-	6	24		-	14	-19	98.8		-0.1		6	84			1	4	4	1	0	0					3.4	-0.03	18	.464	Florida Panthers
Ottawa	114	1	28	-	10	28		-	10	7	89.4		+12.0		0	0		0	15	47	27	8	2	0	0	0			7.3	+0.41	17	.513	Ottawa Senators
Dallas	117	2	30	-	11	29		-	5	0	77.9		+17.2		0	33		0	0	25	20	14	7	1	0				6.4	+1.11	11	.493	Dallas Stars
Los Angeles	114	2	28	-	9	26		-	12	11	69.0		-9.8		0	25		0	0	23	21	16	11	3	0	0			7.0	-0.89	15	.531	Los Angeles Kings
Phoenix	115	1	28	-	9	26		-	13	2	67.3		+1.3		0	18		0	0	23	25	20	11	2	0	0			7.3	-0.06	13	.514	Phoenix Coyotes
Washington	110	2	28	-	9	30		-	8	-12	67.2		-3.9		0	10			2	23	33	22	10	1	0	0	0		7.7	-0.10	16	.477	Washington Capitals
San Jose	114	2	28	-	10	27		-	10	10	62.7		+5.2		0	24			0	19	20	22	12	3	0	0			7.2	+0.29	14	.517	San Jose Sharks
Buffalo	110	1	26	-	11	29		-	10	-12	30.8		+7.9		0	0			0	8	23	36	25	7	2	0	0		9.0	+0.43	19	.469	Buffalo Sabres
Calgary	112	1	29	-	5	27		-	15	-22	21.0		-12.8						0	8	12	22	38	16	4	0			9.5	-0.43	21	.462	Calgary Flames
Winnipeg	105	2	27	-	8	32		-	8	-16	13.3		-13.9			1			0	3	10	26	39	14	5	2	0	0	9.7	-0.51	20	.463	Winnipeg Jets
Colorado	110		24	-	16	31		-	6	-2	2.0		-1.0						0	0	2	6	18	63	12	0	0		10.8	-0.05	12	.479	Colorado Avalanche
Carolina	102	1	27	-	3	31		-	15	-26	0.6		-1.8			0			0	0	1	4	13	38	28	13	3	1	11.4	-0.28	28	.455	Carolina Hurricanes
Tampa Bay	98	3	23	-	11	33		-	7	-43	0.2		+0.0			0			0	0	0	1	4	12	24	38	16	5	12.6	+0.56	23	.408	Tampa Bay Lightning
Anaheim	103	2	28	-	4	32		-	11	-20	0.2		+0.0			0				0	0	1	3	12	78	5	1		11.9	+0.05	25	.460	Anaheim Ducks
Toronto	100	1	25	-	8	34		-	9	-22	0.1		-0.2							0	0	2	7	26	34	24	7	1	12.0	-0.01	22	.454	Toronto Maple Leafs
NY Islanders	92	3	21	-	9	33		-	11	-45	0.0		-0.0								0	0	0	1	3	10	31	55	14.4	-0.24	24	.391	New York Islanders
Minnesota	94	3	22	-	9	33		-	10	-45	Out		-0.0									0	0	0	3	57	40	0	13.4	-0.12	26	.389	Minnesota Wild
Edmonton	92	2	23	-	7	36		-	9	-20	Out													0	3	38	59	0	13.6	+0.09	27	.459	Edmonton Oilers
Montreal	93	1	22	-	7	34		-	13	-14	Out		-0.0									0	0	1	4	14	42	38	14.1	-0.22	29	.477	Montreal Canadiens
Columbus	73	3	18	-	6	43		-	7	-65	Out																0	100	15.0		30	.355	Columbus Blue Jackets

Saturday
Dallas 4 Calgary 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	+14.3		+0.7
Los Angeles	+0.2		-0.1
Phoenix	+0.4		-0.1
San Jose	-0.5
Calgary	-14.3		-0.5

Ottawa 8 Pittsburgh 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers			+0.3
Pittsburgh			-0.4
Florida	-0.3
Ottawa	+10.9		+0.4
Washington	-3.4		-0.1
Buffalo	-2.8
Winnipeg	-3.6
Carolina	-0.6

Los Angeles 2 Boston 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	+2.2		+0.2
Los Angeles	-9.4		-0.8
Phoenix	+2.1		+0.3
San Jose	+2.0		+0.2
Calgary	+2.5
Colorado	+0.5

Nashville 3 Winnipeg 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit			-0.1
Nashville			+0.2
Florida	+0.2
Ottawa	+3.1
Washington	+2.9		+0.1
Buffalo	+2.1		+0.1
Winnipeg	-8.9		-0.4
Carolina	+0.3

Buffalo 3 Minnesota 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Florida	-0.2
Ottawa	-2.4
Washington	-3.2
Buffalo	+7.9		+0.3
Winnipeg	-1.8		-0.1
Carolina	-0.3
Minnesota			-0.1
Edmonton			+0.1

San Jose 4 Phoenix 3 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville	*In
Dallas	-0.6
Los Angeles	*-0.3
Phoenix	-2.0		-0.2
San Jose	+3.1		+0.2
Calgary	*-0.3

Colorado 2 Vancouver 3 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ottawa	*-0.2
Dallas	*+0.1
Los Angeles	*+0.3
Phoenix	*+0.2
San Jose	*+0.4
Calgary	*+0.3
Colorado	-1.3		-0.1

Detroit 5 Carolina 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit			+0.1
Nashville			-0.1
Ottawa	+0.4
Washington	+0.3
Buffalo	+0.4
Winnipeg	+0.3
Carolina	-1.5		-0.3
Toronto			+0.1
Montreal	*Out

Toronto 3 NY Rangers 4 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers			+0.1
Pittsburgh			-0.0
Carolina			+0.0
Toronto	-0.2		-0.1

Tampa Bay 4 NY Islanders 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			+0.4
NY Islanders			-0.3

Philadelphia 4 Montreal 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+0.1
Tampa Bay			+0.1
NY Islanders			+0.1
Minnesota	*Out
Montreal			-0.2

Sunday
Phoenix vs St. LouisIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis			1.31.21.21.11.11.1
Detroit			4.34.34.34.34.34.4
Dallas	74.876.276.578.578.380.7		6.76.56.56.36.36.2
Los Angeles	65.267.267.069.769.972.2		7.27.17.16.96.96.8
Phoenix	82.474.574.465.065.054.4		6.47.07.07.57.58.0
San Jose	58.961.260.9*63.063.265.9		7.47.37.37.17.17.0
Calgary	17.319.119.321.621.524.2		9.69.69.69.59.59.4
Colorado	1.51.71.82.02.02.5

Washington vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Florida	98.698.898.899.098.999.2		3.63.43.43.33.33.2
Ottawa	88.289.289.190.390.591.6		7.47.37.37.37.37.2
Washington	76.669.068.960.060.150.9		7.37.77.78.08.08.4
Buffalo	25.830.030.234.934.739.3		9.19.19.19.09.08.9
Winnipeg	10.712.812.615.115.017.8		9.89.79.79.79.79.6
Minnesota			13.513.413.413.313.313.2
Edmonton			13.513.613.613.613.613.7

Florida vs NY IslandersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Florida	99.799.299.298.598.597.2		3.23.33.33.63.53.8
Washington	67.067.067.167.467.267.6		7.97.87.87.67.67.4
Buffalo	30.530.830.630.930.931.4
Tampa Bay			12.612.612.612.612.612.7
NY Islanders			14.614.414.414.214.214.0
Montreal			14.014.114.114.214.214.3

Pittsburgh vs New JerseyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers			2.92.72.72.52.52.2
Pittsburgh			2.42.72.73.03.03.2
Philadelphia			4.74.64.64.64.64.5
New Jersey	99.399.799.799.999.9100.0		6.36.26.26.26.26.1
Ottawa			7.37.3*7.37.47.47.4

Anaheim vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado			10.910.810.810.710.710.7
Anaheim	0.40.10.20.10.10.0		11.711.811.811.911.912.0

Chicago vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit			4.34.34.34.34.34.4
Nashville			5.14.94.94.74.74.6
Chicago			5.65.75.75.95.95.9

Columbus vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota			13.213.313.313.413.413.5
Edmonton			13.713.613.613.513.513.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

National Hockey League321 Playoff Chances 2011-2012

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