SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

RYSA Title Chances

Plays at Prior Lake, average seed up 0.2 to 19

4 points 1-1-3

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/6	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
STMA 3 Blaine 1	*No
Three Rivers 0 Fusion A 6	*No		-0.1
North Metro 0 Woodbury 3			+0.7		+0.1
Gitchi Gummi 0 Blackhawks 2			-0.4		+0.1
Gitchi Gummi 0 North Oaks 4			-0.2		-0.1
Edina 9 Fusion B 0			-0.1
Keliix 1 Maplebrook 1			*+0.1		-0.0
North Oaks 0 MTA 5					+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Prior Lake vs RYSA			+4.2-1.1-5.2		-1.5-0.3+2.0
Fusion B vs CC United			+0.8+0.2-0.0		-0.1-0.0+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/13	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
RYSA vs Eclipse			-5.1-1.8+0.3		+3.0+0.8-0.2
Rev C Green vs Fusion B			+0.5-0.9-0.4
MU vs Three Rivers			+0.2-0.8-0.1		-0.0+0.1+0.0
Three Rivers vs Keliix			+0.7+0.2-0.2		+0.1+0.0-0.0
Woodbury vs Gitchi Gummi			-0.4-0.1+0.4		-0.1+0.0+0.1
MTA vs Gitchi Gummi			-0.0+0.2+0.8		+0.0-0.1-0.2
Eagan vs Shakopee			+0.3-0.3-0.2		+0.0+0.1-0.0
Shakopee vs Prior Lake			-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Prior Lake vs Rev B Black			+0.2+0.1*-0.0		-0.2-0.1+0.0
Eclipse vs Eagan					+0.0-0.0-0.2
Orono vs CC United					-0.3-0.1+0.0
Maplebrook vs STMA					-0.2-0.1+0.0
Rev A Black vs North Oaks					+0.0-0.1-0.2
Blackhawks vs North Metro					+0.1-0.0-0.1
Orono vs EPSC					-0.2+0.0+0.0
Fusion A vs Keliix					+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the RYSA finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		State		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	Relegated		Count

19		5	-	0	-	0	No		No								0	1	6	27	42	22	2	0																No		15,261
17		4	-	1	-	0	No		No									0	0	1	15	59	22	2	0	0														No		47,858
16		4	-	0	-	1	No		No											0	2	31	46	19	3	0	0													No		482,367
15		3	-	2	-	0	No		No												0	6	25	37	24	8	0													No		28,846
14		3	-	1	-	1	No		No												0	1	12	33	37	15	2	0												No		469,232
13		3	-	0	-	2	No		No													0	2	10	29	37	19	3	0	0										No		1,732,984
		2	-	3	-	0	No		No													0	2	12	30	36	17	3	0											No		7,020
12		2	-	2	-	1	No		No														0	1	8	30	39	18	4	0	0	0								No		155,406
11		2	-	1	-	2	No		No														0	0	1	11	32	35	17	4	0	0								No		1,078,733
		1	-	4	-	0	No		No															0	1	12	37	33	14	2										No		753
10		2	-	0	-	3	No		No															0	0	1	8	25	36	23	6	0	0	0						No		2,406,202
		1	-	3	-	1	No		No																0	2	12	31	35	17	3	0	0							No		21,377
9		1	-	2	-	2	No		No																	0	1	5	18	34	30	11	1	0	0					No		215,052
		0	-	5	-	0	No		No																			16	32	37	16									No		19
8		1	-	1	-	3	No		No																		0	0	2	11	33	35	16	3	0	0				0.0	%	931,434
		0	-	4	-	1	No		No																			1	6	22	37	26	8	1						No		1,137
7		1	-	0	-	4	No		No																				0	1	9	29	37	19	4	0	0	0		0.4		1,475,781
		0	-	3	-	2	No		No																				0	2	17	32	31	14	3	0	0			0.2		13,896
6		0	-	2	-	3	No		No																					0	0	3	17	35	30	12	2	0	0	14.8		88,424
5		0	-	1	-	4	No		No																								1	8	26	38	23	4	0	65.3		272,483
4		0	-	0	-	5	No		No																									0	7	31	42	18	2	92.6		334,339

Total:							No		No								0	0	0	0	0	2	3	4	7	9	10	11	11	8	7	8	7	4	2	2	2	1	0	5.2	%	9,778,604

Points

Chance Will Win Championship