"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
STMA 3 Blaine 1 +0.1
+6.1
+0.4
Three Rivers 0 Fusion A 6 -0.0
-0.2
-0.0
Rev B Black 9 Eagan 0 -0.2
-0.0
North Oaks 0 MTA 5 -1.1
-0.1
SCV 0 Rev A Black 0 +0.9
Rev A Black 2 MTA 2 +0.5
+0.1
STMA 3 Three Rivers 0 +3.3
+0.2
Edina 9 Fusion B 0 -0.6
-0.0
Eagan 1 Lakeville 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Lakeville vs Rev B Black+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-1.1+0.4+0.4
Tonka vs Edina-0.8+1.8+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fusion B vs CC United+3.4+2.6-0.3
+0.2+0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Average seed
Prior Lake vs Rev B Black+0.3+0.1-0.0
+2.1+0.5-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.0
RYSA vs Eclipse+0.2+0.1-0.0
+8.0+4.7-0.7
+0.4+0.2-0.0
Eclipse vs Eagan-0.0+0.1+0.2
-0.6+4.9+8.2
-0.0+0.2+0.4
Fusion A vs Keliix-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.9+1.4
-0.1+0.3+0.4
MTA vs SCV-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.7+1.0-1.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
MTA vs Gitchi Gummi-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.9+3.3
-0.0+0.2+0.3
Maplebrook vs STMANoNo+0.0
-53.4-37.7+5.0
-2.7-1.7+0.2
CC United vs Tonka-0.6+3.9-0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.0
Rev A Black vs North Oaks-1.3+10.9+10.8
-0.0+0.3+0.3
Orono vs CC United+3.4+2.7-0.4
+0.2+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the STMA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
252-0-00.1%99.6%02153636110No5,162,106
231-1-0No37.70017304517No1,161,106
221-0-1No11.00011032381630No3,024,626
210-2-0No1.700216443081No62,715
200-1-1No0.100325422550No279,155
190-0-2No0.0003173935600No88,896
Total:0.1%60.5%0181920121615721000No9,778,604
Points
Chance Will Win Championship