MYSA U13(04) Girls C1 Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														State			Chance will finish season at seed																															Relegated
	6/8		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	Monday

Rev B Black			21	1	7	-	0	-	0	54	45.3	%	-4.7	98.5	%	+0.1	45	24	13	7	7	3	1	0	0	0	0																			2.2	-0.17	No			6	.884	at Lakeville	Rev B Black
Fusion A			18	2	6	-	0	-	0	28	24.9		-2.7	97.8		+0.1	25	28	23	13	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0																2.7	-0.13	No			5	.863		Fusion A
MTA	T	Rev A Black 2-2	16	2	5	-	1	-	0	25	15.6		+1.1	96.7		+7.0	16	21	22	21	12	5	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0															3.3	+0.40	No			1	.863		MTA
Edina	W	Fusion B 9-0	15	3	5	-	0	-	0	27	11.5		+6.6	84.0		+16.6	11	14	17	18	15	9	5	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0														4.2	+1.24	No			2	.842	at Tonka	Edina
Eclipse			15	2	5	-	0	-	1	4	2.6		-0.2	85.0		+2.9	3	12	15	15	23	18	7	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0													4.7	+0.01	No			3	.842		Eclipse
STMA	W	Three Rivers 3-0	19		6	-	1	-	1	10	0.1		-0.0	60.5		+7.2	0	1	8	19	20	12	16	15	7	2	1	0	0	0																5.9	+0.35	No			9	.902		STMA

Rev A Black	T	MTA 2-2	14	1	4	-	2	-	1	18	No		-0.1	39.2		-19.2		0	0	1	9	30	32	17	8	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0												7.0	-1.03	No			4	.884		Rev A Black
CC United			10	3	3	-	1	-	1	7	0.0		+0.0	19.6		-6.6	0	0	2	5	5	7	13	18	16	16	13	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0								8.3	-0.36	No			10	.842		CC United
Tonka			14	1	4	-	2	-	1	19	No			14.1		-5.0		0	0	1	4	10	11	15	21	17	17	4	1	0	0	0	0	0												8.9	-0.31	No			8	.884	Edina	Tonka
SCV			10	2	3	-	1	-	2	9	No			3.3		-3.1			0	0	0	3	9	14	22	25	19	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0								9.5	-0.16	No			16	.862		SCV
Lakeville	W	Eagan 2-1	16		5	-	1	-	2	3	No			1.3		-0.0			0	0	0	1	5	10	16	28	31	7	1	0	0	0														9.9	+0.35	No			13	.741	Rev B Black	Lakeville
EPSC			7	2	2	-	1	-	3	1	No			0.0								0	0	0	2	6	10	41	16	10	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			12.7	-0.20	0.0	%		22	.634		EPSC
Blackhawks			13	1	4	-	1	-	2	-5	No			0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	18	29	17	17	10	3	0	0	0										13.7	+0.19	No			7	.119		Blackhawks
Keliix			9	1	2	-	3	-	2	-1	No			No										0	0	0	2	10	24	26	15	11	6	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0					14.3	+0.09	No		-0.0	17	.393		Keliix
Blaine			9	1	2	-	3	-	2	-3	No			No										0	0	0	1	4	11	15	14	16	15	9	5	4	3	1	0	0	0					16.0	+0.08	No		-0.0	19	.221		Blaine
North Oaks	W	Gitchi Gummi 4-0	7	2	2	-	1	-	3	-3	No			No									0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	13	13	13	14	13	7	4	5	3	1	0	0	0			17.4	+3.66	0.0		-11.8	20	.193		North Oaks
Maplebrook			7	2	1	-	4	-	1	-3	No			0.0								0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	14	11	11	15	14	8	5	5	3	1	0	0	0	0		17.5	-0.05	0.0		-0.0	26	.204		Maplebrook
Orono			8	3	2	-	2	-	1	-6	No			0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	8	17	19	12	10	13	8	2	0	0	0				18.4	+0.12	0.0			12	.144		Orono
RYSA		at Prior Lake	4	3	1	-	1	-	3	-20	No			No									0	0	0	0	0	2	3	4	7	9	10	11	11	8	7	8	7	4	2	2	2	1	0	19.0	+0.17	5.2		-0.6	15	.142		RYSA
North Metro	L	Woodbury 0-3	6	2	2	-	0	-	4	-8	No			No		-0.0								0	0	0	0	1	3	3	4	8	10	9	9	13	13	9	7	6	4	2	0	0	0	19.6	-2.51	1.9		+0.7	21	.124		North Metro
Shakopee			3	2	1	-	0	-	5	-13	No			No												0	0	0	1	2	3	7	8	7	8	11	11	9	8	8	6	4	4	2	0	20.7	+0.14	10.2		-1.0	11	.123		Shakopee
Woodbury	W	North Metro 3-0	6	1	2	-	0	-	5	-12	No			No													0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9	14	13	12	13	15	11	5	1	0	0	22.1	+2.36	6.2		-35.1	14	.104		Woodbury
Prior Lake		RYSA	3	3	1	-	0	-	4	-9	No			No										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	8	9	10	14	14	10	8	9	5	1	23.1	-0.04	22.8		-0.5	28	.142		Prior Lake
Eagan	L	Lakeville 1-2	3	1	1	-	0	-	6	-19	No			No															0	0	0	0	1	2	5	7	7	8	14	15	11	10	12	7	1	23.7	-0.61	29.6		+5.9	25	.104		Eagan
Gitchi Gummi	L	North Oaks 0-4	0	3	0	-	0	-	5	-24	No			No													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	5	9	10	7	6	9	17	14	13	25.1	-3.13	53.4		+33.0	27	.142		Gitchi Gummi

MU			2	1	0	-	2	-	5	-15	No			No															0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	6	6	6	10	16	16	11	14	10	25.2	+0.17	50.3		-2.4	23	.104		MU
Rev C Green			2	2	0	-	2	-	4	-13	No			No														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	9	16	18	13	18	17	26.3	+0.07	65.7		-0.3	24	.123		Rev C Green
Three Rivers	L	STMA 0-3	1	1	0	-	1	-	6	-16	No			No															0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	6	5	9	15	16	20	21	26.4	-0.31	72.0		+5.6	29	.104		Three Rivers
Fusion B	L	Edina 0-9	0	2	0	-	0	-	6	-35	No			No															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	7	11	16	19	37	27.3	-0.38	82.8		+6.4	18	.123		Fusion B

Week of 6/6
SCV 0 Rev A Black 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev A Black	-3.1		+0.4				+0.0
SCV	No		-11.7				-0.7

Rev B Black 9 Eagan 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	+2.7		+1.8				+0.2
Fusion A	-1.3
MTA	-0.5
Eagan					+1.1		-0.2

Three Rivers 0 Fusion A 6
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	-1.0
Fusion A	+2.5		+1.3				+0.2
MTA	-0.5
Eclipse	-0.5
RYSA			*No
Woodbury					-0.3
MU					-0.4
Rev C Green					-0.6
Three Rivers					+2.4		-0.2

North Oaks 0 MTA 5
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MTA	+2.3		+6.2				+0.4
STMA			-1.1
North Oaks			No		+0.8		-0.5

Rev A Black 2 MTA 2
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	-0.5
Fusion A	+1.2
MTA	-0.8		+5.8				+0.3
Edina			+2.0
Eclipse			+3.4				+0.2
STMA			+0.5
Rev A Black	No		-12.5				-0.9
CC United			+0.2
Tonka			+1.0

Edina 9 Fusion B 0
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Edina			+3.6				+0.2
STMA			-0.6
Rev A Black			-0.7
Tonka			-0.7
Keliix					*No
MU					-0.4
Fusion B					+2.5		-0.2

STMA 3 Blaine 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Eclipse			-0.9
STMA	+0.1		+6.1				+0.4
Rev A Black			-0.8
CC United			-0.8
Tonka			-0.9
Blaine			No				-0.3
RYSA			*No

STMA 3 Three Rivers 0
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Edina			-0.4
Eclipse			-0.5
STMA			+3.3				+0.2
Rev A Black			-0.7
CC United			-0.4
Tonka			-0.6
SCV			-0.2
MU					-0.3
Rev C Green					-0.5
Three Rivers					+1.8		-0.1

Eagan 1 Lakeville 2
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lakeville							+0.2
Eagan					+2.2		-0.3

Gitchi Gummi 0 Blackhawks 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks							+2.2
Gitchi Gummi			No		+12.0		-2.6

Keliix 1 Maplebrook 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Keliix			*No		*No		-0.9
Maplebrook			*No		-1.9		+0.5

North Metro 0 Woodbury 3
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
North Metro			No		+2.1		-2.0
Woodbury					-32.5		+2.2
MU					+6.1		-0.2
Rev C Green					+6.3		-0.2
Three Rivers					+4.3		-0.2

Gitchi Gummi 0 North Oaks 4
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
North Oaks					-11.7		+2.5
Gitchi Gummi					+17.9		-2.2

Lakeville vs Rev B BlackIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	13.529.861.4		95.298.8100.0				3.52.71.6
Fusion A	38.734.217.6						2.32.42.8
MTA	25.116.011.4						3.03.23.4
Edina	17.815.28.2						4.04.14.3
Lakeville			4.50.00.0				8.49.810.6

Tonka vs EdinaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	49.045.138.8						2.12.32.4
Fusion A	27.525.820.2						2.52.62.9
Edina	2.311.027.7		76.286.797.2				5.14.02.8
Tonka			23.90.40.1				8.09.710.1

Fusion B vs CC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CC United	NoNo0.0		2.97.321.2				10.39.68.1
MU					57.851.150.0		25.525.225.2
Fusion B					46.675.584.5		24.926.727.4

Prior Lake vs RYSAHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
RYSA					9.44.10.0		20.519.317.0
Prior Lake					2.933.546.0		21.523.925.0
MU					53.347.547.0		25.325.125.1
Rev C Green					69.062.662.0		26.426.226.2

Week of 6/13
Prior Lake vs Rev B BlackIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	9.521.648.3		83.088.499.8				4.33.42.1
Fusion A	41.137.723.4						2.22.32.7
MTA	25.619.015.1						2.93.13.3
Edina	18.616.810.8		84.884.384.0				3.94.04.3
Prior Lake					1.616.123.9		19.922.023.3

MTA vs SCVHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	38.052.753.1						2.42.12.0
Fusion A	21.228.729.0						2.92.52.4
MTA	30.10.90.1		99.897.692.5				2.23.84.4
SCV			0.00.08.2				10.59.88.2

Fusion A vs KeliixHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	43.950.555.3						2.32.22.0
Fusion A	28.311.92.7		99.492.286.7				2.43.44.7
MTA	14.719.421.9						3.33.22.8
Keliix							14.613.612.4

MTA vs Gitchi GummiHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev B Black	44.452.953.1						2.32.02.0
MTA	17.40.50.1		98.289.560.6				3.14.65.9
Rev A Black			38.642.851.6				7.06.96.6
SCV			3.04.013.2				9.59.59.2
Gitchi Gummi					54.945.917.4		25.324.422.2
MU					50.151.157.5		25.225.225.5
Rev C Green					65.466.773.4		26.326.326.6

RYSA vs EclipseHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Eclipse	0.00.12.9		37.350.589.8				7.26.34.5
STMA			68.565.259.8				5.55.75.9
Rev A Black			56.654.837.2				6.56.67.0
CC United			26.223.819.0				8.08.18.3
Tonka			19.819.213.4				8.78.78.9
RYSA					0.13.45.5		16.018.219.2

Eclipse vs EaganHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Eclipse	2.90.10.0		89.149.936.6				4.56.37.3
STMA			59.965.368.7				5.95.75.5
Rev A Black			37.555.056.7				7.06.66.5
CC United			19.123.826.3				8.38.18.0
Tonka			13.519.219.8				8.98.78.6
Eagan					30.822.02.7		23.922.820.6

Maplebrook vs STMAHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
STMA	NoNo0.1		7.022.865.5				8.67.65.7
Rev A Black			63.261.136.5				6.56.57.0
CC United			26.122.319.2				7.98.18.3
Tonka			21.420.713.3				8.58.68.9
Maplebrook					No0.00.0		14.816.817.7

CC United vs TonkaHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev A Black			37.345.439.9				7.06.87.0
CC United	0.0NoNo		40.115.02.9				6.78.69.6
Tonka			0.00.728.3				10.39.57.6

Orono vs CC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
CC United	NoNo0.0		2.97.221.3				10.39.68.1
Orono			0.2No0.0				15.317.718.6

Rev A Black vs North OaksHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
STMA			59.271.371.3				5.95.65.6
Rev A Black			43.71.40.3				6.88.59.1
CC United			18.727.227.4				8.38.07.9
North Oaks					0.00.0No		17.516.714.5

Orono vs EPSCHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
EPSC					0.0*NoNo		15.314.012.3
Orono			0.1No0.0				15.117.818.8

Blackhawks vs North MetroHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks			0.00.0No				12.514.015.0
North Metro					3.70.1No		21.219.617.6

Three Rivers vs KeliixHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Keliix							16.615.213.8
MU					55.651.849.1		25.325.225.2
Rev C Green					72.969.163.8		26.626.426.2
Three Rivers					38.966.579.4		24.026.326.9

Rev C Green vs Fusion BHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MU					52.443.849.0		25.225.025.2
Rev C Green					40.082.494.9		24.926.728.0
Three Rivers					75.166.369.2		26.426.226.4
Fusion B					97.789.762.5		28.427.725.8

MU vs Three RiversHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MU					24.159.082.0		23.625.627.1
Three Rivers					93.379.443.4		27.727.024.6

Eagan vs ShakopeeHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shakopee					19.6*10.20.3		22.520.918.8
Eagan					2.540.556.2		21.824.525.7
MU					54.046.547.2		25.325.025.1
Rev C Green					69.761.462.2		26.426.226.2

Woodbury vs Gitchi GummiHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Woodbury					No0.212.5		20.022.223.9
Gitchi Gummi					80.068.927.9		27.026.023.4
MU					45.747.154.8		25.125.025.3
Rev C Green					60.962.270.4		26.126.226.4
Three Rivers					68.770.675.1		26.326.426.5

Shakopee vs Prior LakeHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shakopee					0.611.020.4		19.020.922.6
Prior Lake					41.728.31.4		24.923.621.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MYSA U13(04) Girls C1 Title Chances

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