Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234567891011121314151617Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
CincinnatiWToronto II 4-366120-6-331In10001.01.711FC Cincinnati
Orange CountyWFresno 1-05717-6-726In+0.0432920710001.9+0.435.607Orange County SC
Salt Lake II54117-3-916100.0%28272715310002.4-0.177.595Real Monarchs SLC
Phoenix54116-6-725100.025312513410002.4-0.168.595Phoenix Rising FC
Pittsburgh50213-11-419100.0+0.0038322451000003.04.572Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
Louisville48213-9-619100.0363225510000003.1+0.013.552Louisville City FC
Charleston48212-12-411100.0-0.0253234720000003.32.552Charleston Battery
Sacramento49214-7-7799.7-0.0410193619841004.0-0.216.562Sacramento Republic FC
Portland IIWLas Vegas 2-15116-3-111199.5+3.402720362010415.1+0.6119.551Portland Timbers 2
Indy45112-9-8692.61383325158521006.0+0.019.508Indy Eleven
Reno45212-9-7891.2-0.401272024211690006.4-0.1713.522Reno 1868 FC
Nashville39310-9-8781.2-0.1027242215118532006.7-0.0110.477Tampa BayNashville SC
Swope Park4613-7-10-577.3-0.90002718242722007.3-0.1214.503Swope Park Rangers FC
St Louis4612-10-8575.1-1.20001617232824107.5-0.1212.503Saint Louis FC
Bethlehem4212-6-121068.5+0.200111172118151052007.7+0.0111.465Bethlehem Steel FC
San Antonio43112-7-10-356.9-0.8000141218234120007.9-0.0715.488San Antonio FC
Ottawa4112-5-13-749.7+0.300041016181916104108.518.456Ottawa Fury FC
New York II41110-11-8842.1-0.30015913151616149308.9-0.0321.469New York Red Bulls II
North CarolinaWPenn 1-038210-8-10636.6+18.600147111415171511509.2+1.2516.453North Carolina FC
PennLNorth Carolina 0-13529-8-11-115.2-18.5000125711152022170010.6-1.1522.424Penn FC
Charlotte3529-8-11-127.8-0.100001246101623351011.4-0.0420.424Charlotte Independence
Tampa Bay3429-7-1206.4-0.10000123591627352011.6-0.0317.414at NashvilleTampa Bay Rowdies
OKC3811-5-14-30.3-0.000002562811300010.6+0.1626.427OKC Energy FC
Col Springs3510-5-15-10.00001727302061011.7+0.1727.399Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
FresnoLOrange County 0-1358-11-1150.0-0.10001931261761011.6-0.4023.399Fresno FC
Atlanta II2335-8-14-270.000000028215014.124.316Atlanta United 2
Los Angeles II339-6-15-70.00051123362050012.7+0.1625.380LA Galaxy II
Las VegasLPortland II 1-22727-6-15-210.0-0.0000126215315114.7-0.3529.345Las Vegas Lights FC
RGV2915-14-10-6Out01381742245013.9+0.1828.353Rio Grande Valley FC
Richmond2216-4-19-39Out0001584114.930.285Richmond Kickers
Seattle II2226-4-18-27Out0001414592216.0+0.0531.295Seattle Sounders FC 2
Toronto IILCincinnati 3-41323-4-21-29Out019916.032.206Toronto FC II
Tulsa1923-10-15-32Out00002207716.7+0.0133.266Tulsa Roughnecks FC

Team names for MLS affiliates were changed due to a site problem that doesn't allow teams in different leagues/same sport to have the same short name.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/15
Swope Park 3 St Louis 4
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sacramento-0.2
Portland II-1.6
Reno-5.0
Swope Park-14.0
-0.9
St Louis+26.0
+0.8
San Antonio-5.0
Penn 0 North Carolina 1
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem+0.1
Ottawa+0.2
New York II+0.1
North Carolina+17.0
+1.2
Penn-17.4
-1.1
Richmond 0 Ottawa 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indy-1.2
Nashville-1.9
Bethlehem-4.0
Ottawa+16.2
+0.8
New York II-3.0
North Carolina-1.8
Penn-2.6
Charlotte-1.1
Tampa Bay-0.5
Tulsa 2 San Antonio 1
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portland II+1.2
Reno+2.8
+0.2
Swope Park+1.6
St Louis+6.6
San Antonio-12.6
-0.7
OKC+0.2
Reno 1 Los Angeles II 0
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portland II-0.3
Reno+7.7
+0.5
Swope Park-1.1
St Louis-4.2
San Antonio-1.8
Los Angeles II-0.3
Las Vegas 1 Portland II 2
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portland II+3.3
+0.6
Reno-0.2
Swope Park-0.8
St Louis-1.1
San Antonio-1.1
Las Vegas-0.3
Tampa Bay 1 Atlanta II 0
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indy-0.2
Nashville-0.3
Bethlehem-0.5
Ottawa-0.3
New York II-0.3
North Carolina-0.2
Penn-0.3
Tampa Bay+2.2
+0.4
Atlanta II-0.1
Fresno 0 Orange County 1
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange CountyIn
+0.4
Fresno-0.4
Col Springs 1 RGV 1
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Col Springs-0.2
RGVOut
-0.0
Seattle II 0 Phoenix 1
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phoenix+0.4
Seattle II-0.2
Pittsburgh 2 Louisville 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh-0.1
Louisville+0.1
Swope Park vs San AntonioIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swope Park93.872.951.4
6.77.78.2
San Antonio40.259.784.8
8.47.97.0
Nashville vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville90.876.366.2
6.07.17.7
Tampa Bay2.44.816.1
12.011.710.6
Penn vs LouisvilleHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Penn27.711.16.6
9.710.911.3
Charleston vs CharlotteHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charlotte4.06.918.7
11.811.510.5
Tulsa vs SacramentoHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sacramento99.199.6100.0
4.74.43.6
Orange County vs Salt Lake IIHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orange County1.52.12.6
Salt Lake II100.0InIn
2.92.31.7
Week of 9/21
St Louis vs San AntonioIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St Louis92.970.846.6
6.87.88.3
San Antonio39.959.785.4
8.47.97.0
Toronto II vs OttawaHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem73.371.764.7
7.57.67.8
Ottawa26.337.166.3
9.69.07.8
New York II46.644.339.1
8.88.99.1
North Carolina41.038.833.6
9.19.29.4
Louisville vs OttawaHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem70.769.062.6
7.67.67.9
Ottawa38.250.076.6
9.08.57.3
New York II44.441.837.0
8.99.09.1
North Carolina38.736.431.8
9.29.29.4
Bethlehem vs Toronto IIHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem79.652.141.5
7.28.48.9
Ottawa46.854.355.6
8.68.38.3
New York II40.045.147.5
9.08.88.7
North Carolina34.739.441.5
9.39.19.0
Charlotte vs New York IIHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem70.269.765.0
7.67.67.8
Ottawa51.850.945.7
8.48.48.6
New York II27.439.864.6
9.79.07.8
Charlotte14.14.21.7
10.811.812.1
Charleston vs North CarolinaHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem70.468.563.8
7.67.77.8
Ottawa51.949.644.5
8.48.58.7
New York II44.042.237.5
8.98.99.1
North Carolina26.736.460.6
9.89.28.0
Atlanta II vs North CarolinaHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bethlehem71.569.865.1
7.57.67.8
Ottawa53.151.146.0
8.48.48.6
New York II45.243.538.8
8.88.99.1
North Carolina21.029.753.8
10.19.68.3
Atlanta II0.0OutOut
14.014.114.2
Tulsa vs Swope ParkHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swope Park61.071.188.7
8.07.76.9
St Louis81.177.670.8
7.37.47.6
San Antonio64.459.351.9
7.77.88.0
Penn vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Penn31.913.88.5
9.510.711.1
Atlanta II vs NashvilleHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville69.978.191.5
7.57.05.9
Atlanta II0.0OutOut
14.014.114.2
Penn vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh100.0100.0In
3.33.12.7
Penn28.211.46.8
9.710.911.3
Nashville vs CharlestonHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nashville91.978.770.6
5.86.97.4
Indy vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indy98.690.081.4
5.46.36.9
Tampa Bay2.75.016.3
12.011.610.6
Reno vs Las VegasHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reno96.386.980.1
6.06.87.2
San Antonio54.958.661.5
8.07.87.7
Los Angeles IIOut*Out0.0
12.712.712.8
Reno vs RGVHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reno96.487.080.3
5.96.87.2
San Antonio54.958.661.4
8.07.87.7
Los Angeles IIOut*Out0.0
12.612.712.9
RGV14.213.913.2
Pittsburgh vs IndyHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indy88.893.899.2
6.46.05.1
Tampa Bay vs RichmondHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay9.72.81.5
11.212.012.3
Fresno vs Portland IIHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portland II98.799.7100.0
5.75.34.6
Fresno0.0OutOut
11.111.712.1
OKC vs SacramentoHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sacramento99.399.7100.0
4.54.23.5
Col Springs vs PhoenixHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phoenix100.0100.0In
3.02.62.0
Col Springs0.00.0Out
11.111.812.1
Los Angeles II vs Salt Lake IIHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Salt Lake II100.0InIn
2.92.62.0
Los Angeles II0.0*OutOut
12.012.813.1
RGV vs Seattle IIHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RGV13.514.114.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Rob Hoffmann for adding this league.