How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Argentina 2 Mexico 0 +26.5
+0.7
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2 -25.1
-0.6
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 -2.7
Mexico 0 Poland 0 +1.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Poland vs ArgentinaOut-21.0In
-0.9-0.5+1.1
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico-4.8+15.7-3.3
-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Argentina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
61-0-0In82181,082,730
40-1-023.6%2476558,203
30-0-1Out82181,082,571
Total:44.6%32124872,723,504
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Argentina 2 Mexico 0 -6.4
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2 +5.4
Mexico 0 Poland 0 -0.2
Netherlands 1 Ecuador 1 +0.1
France 2 Denmark 1 -0.1
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 -0.1
Wales 0 Iran 2 +0.0
Tunisia 0 Australia 1 +0.0
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Cameroon 3 Serbia 3 -0.2
Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 +0.1
Spain 1 Germany 1 -0.1
Croatia 4 Canada 1 +0.1
Brazil 1 Switzerland 0 -0.0
South Korea 2 Ghana 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Poland vs Argentina+8.1+1.8-9.0
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico+0.6-1.2-0.0
Canada vs Morocco+0.1-0.2-0.0
Ghana vs Uruguay+0.0-0.2+0.1
Australia vs Denmark-0.0-0.2+0.1
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.1-0.2-0.0
Cameroon vs Brazil+0.2-0.1-0.1
South Korea vs Portugal+0.1-0.1-0.1
Wales vs England+0.1-0.2+0.0
Tunisia vs France+0.1-0.1-0.1
Costa Rica vs Germany-0.0-0.1+0.1
Japan vs Spain+0.1-0.1-0.0
Ecuador vs Senegal+0.0-0.1+0.0
Croatia vs Belgium-0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
61-0-0027162321112773100
40-1-000151070263315300
30-0-10161319211812631000
Total:013698413311210574358875210000