SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

Mexico Playoff Chances 2022 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.8 to 39.1%

1 points 0-1-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Argentina 2 Mexico 0	-28.7		-0.8
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0	-3.1		-0.1
Mexico 0 Poland 0	-0.9		-0.0
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2	-0.3

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico	OutOut+59.2		-0.8-0.8+1.2
Poland vs Argentina	+0.7-2.3+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

4		1	-	0	-	0	98.2	%		98	2		1,082,654
1	-2						Out					100	1,640,850	*

Total:							39.1	%		39	1	60	2,723,504

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20	100.0*	Lottery seed
Argentina 2 Mexico 0	+6.1
Mexico 0 Poland 0	+0.6
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0	+0.2
Morocco 0 Croatia 0	-0.1
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2	+0.1
Denmark 0 Tunisia 0	-0.1
Wales 0 Iran 2	+0.0

Week of 11/27	100.0*	Lottery seed
Japan 0 Costa Rica 1	+0.2
Portugal 2 Uruguay 0	-0.1
Belgium 0 Morocco 2	+0.1
Netherlands 11 Qatar 29	+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico	+7.0+5.0-9.5
Wales vs England	+0.3+0.1-0.3
Cameroon vs Brazil	+0.2+0.1-0.3
Tunisia vs France	+0.2+0.1-0.3
South Korea vs Portugal	+0.2+0.1-0.3
Canada vs Morocco	+0.0+0.2-0.2
Ghana vs Uruguay	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Serbia vs Switzerland	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Australia vs Denmark	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Costa Rica vs Germany	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Poland vs Argentina	-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

4		1	-	0	-	0									1	7	18	29	29	14	0		0	1	0	0	0	0
2		0	-	1	-	0																						0	1	5	13	23	26	20	10	3	0
1		0	-	0	-	1																						0	0	0	2	5	11	19	26	25	12

Total:															0	3	7	12	11	5	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	10	12	12	11	5