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Spain Playoff Chances 2022 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 9.3 to 63.5%
4 points 1-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 | +25.6 | +0.7 | ||
| Germany 1 Japan 2 | -0.3 | |||
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | +4.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | -0.8 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Japan vs Spain | -55.3InIn | -1.1+0.4+0.8 | ||
| Costa Rica vs Germany | -3.3+10.9-2.3 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Spain finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 1,082,869 | ||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 60 | 40 | 558,217 | |||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 8.2 | % | 8 | 92 | 1,082,418 | ||||
| Total: | 63.5 | % | 52 | 11 | 36 | 2,723,504 | ||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 | -5.8 | |
| Uruguay 0 South Korea 0 | -0.1 | |
| Mexico 0 Poland 0 | -0.1 | |
| Germany 1 Japan 2 | +0.1 | |
| France 2 Denmark 1 | +0.0 | |
| Switzerland 1 Cameroon 0 | +0.0 | |
| Qatar 1 Senegal 3 | +0.0 | |
| Portugal 3 Ghana 2 | +0.0 | |
| Brazil 2 Serbia 0 | +0.0 | |
| Tunisia 0 Australia 1 | -0.0 | |
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | -0.4 | |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | -0.3 | |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | -0.1 | |
| Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 | +0.1 | |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | +0.0 | |
| Brazil 1 Switzerland 0 | +0.0 | |
| South Korea 2 Ghana 3 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Japan vs Spain | +8.3-1.7-7.4 | |
| Costa Rica vs Germany | +0.6-0.8-0.2 | |
| South Korea vs Portugal | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| Tunisia vs France | +0.0-0.3+0.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| Canada vs Morocco | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |
| Ghana vs Uruguay | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Serbia vs Switzerland | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Wales vs England | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Australia vs Denmark | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Ecuador vs Senegal | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | 31 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
