Group E Playoff Chances 2022 50/50

												100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	Avg.	Change	RPI

Spain	4		1	-	1	-	0	7	63.5	%	-9.3	52	11	36		1.8	-0.09	3	Spain
Costa Rica	3		1	-	0	-	1	-6	53.1		+4.9	14	39	13	34	2.7	+0.13	11	Costa Rica

Japan	3		1	-	0	-	1	0	44.1		-0.3	34	10	50	6	2.3	-0.08	24	Japan
Germany	1		0	-	1	-	1	-1	39.3		+4.7		39	0	60	3.2	+0.05	18	Germany

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/20
Spain 7 Costa Rica 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spain	+25.6		+0.7
Costa Rica	-25.1		-0.6
Japan	-0.2
Germany	-0.3

Germany 1 Japan 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spain	-0.3
Costa Rica	-0.2
Japan	+25.6		+0.7
Germany	-25.1		-0.6

Week of 11/27
Japan 0 Costa Rica 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spain	-0.8
Costa Rica	+24.4		+0.6
Japan	-28.3		-0.6
Germany	+4.8		+0.0

Spain 1 Germany 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spain	+4.0		+0.1
Costa Rica	+0.8
Japan	+1.0		+0.1
Germany	-5.8		-0.2

Costa Rica vs GermanyIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spain	60.274.461.2		2.01.71.8
Costa Rica	In65.4Out		1.62.33.8
Japan	39.860.240.0		2.42.02.4
Germany	OutOut98.8		4.04.02.0

Japan vs SpainHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spain	8.2InIn		2.91.41.0
Costa Rica	52.939.760.2		2.72.62.6
Japan	In21.1Out		1.22.83.2
Germany	38.9*39.239.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.