Japan Playoff Chances 2022 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 44.1%
3 points 1-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Germany 1 Japan 2 | +25.6 | +0.7 | ||
| Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 | -0.2 | |||
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | -28.3 | -0.6 | ||
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | +1.0 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Japan vs Spain | In-23.0Out | +1.1-0.5-0.9 | ||
| Costa Rica vs Germany | -4.3+16.2-4.0 | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 85 | 15 | 1,082,418 | |||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 21.1 | % | 21 | 79 | 558,217 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 85 | 15 | 1,082,869 | |||||
| Total: | 44.1 | % | 34 | 10 | 50 | 6 | 2,723,504 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Germany 1 Japan 2 | -5.8 | |
| Uruguay 0 South Korea 0 | -0.1 | |
| Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 | +0.1 | |
| Denmark 0 Tunisia 0 | -0.1 | |
| France 2 Denmark 1 | +0.0 | |
| Qatar 1 Senegal 3 | +0.0 | |
| Portugal 3 Ghana 2 | +0.0 | |
| Brazil 2 Serbia 0 | +0.0 | |
| Switzerland 1 Cameroon 0 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | +5.6 | |
| Spain 1 Germany 1 | -0.4 | |
| Cameroon 3 Serbia 3 | -0.1 | |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | +0.1 | |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | +0.1 | |
| South Korea 2 Ghana 3 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Japan vs Spain | -9.1+2.1+8.1 | |
| Costa Rica vs Germany | +0.5-1.1+0.0 | |
| Canada vs Morocco | +0.1-0.2-0.0 | |
| Australia vs Denmark | -0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| Tunisia vs France | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | -0.0-0.2+0.1 | |
| South Korea vs Portugal | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Wales vs England | +0.1-0.2+0.0 | |
| Ghana vs Uruguay | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Serbia vs Switzerland | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Ecuador vs Senegal | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Croatia vs Belgium | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
