"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Croatia Playoff Chances 2022 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 1.1 to 68.5%
4 points 1-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Morocco 0 Croatia 0 | -1.0 | -0.0 | ||
| Belgium 1 Canada 0 | -0.3 | |||
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | +32.1 | +0.8 | ||
| Belgium 0 Morocco 2 | -3.0 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Croatia vs Belgium | InIn-47.8 | +0.7+0.5-0.9 | ||
| Canada vs Morocco | +12.4-8.2-8.2 | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Croatia finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 81 | 19 | 1,083,402 | |||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 60 | 40 | 559,119 | |||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 20.8 | % | 21 | 79 | 1,080,983 | ||||
| Total: | 68.5 | % | 45 | 24 | 31 | 2,723,504 | ||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Morocco 0 Croatia 0 | +0.6 | |
| Belgium 1 Canada 0 | +0.1 | |
| Netherlands 1 Ecuador 1 | -0.1 | |
| Wales 0 Iran 2 | +0.0 | |
| Qatar 1 Senegal 3 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Croatia 4 Canada 1 | -7.1 | |
| Belgium 0 Morocco 2 | +0.2 | |
| Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 | -0.1 | |
| Japan 0 Costa Rica 1 | +0.1 | |
| Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 | +0.1 | |
| South Korea 2 Ghana 3 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Croatia vs Belgium | -6.6-2.0+7.7 | |
| Canada vs Morocco | -1.3-0.4+1.5 | |
| South Korea vs Portugal | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| Tunisia vs France | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Wales vs England | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Japan vs Spain | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Costa Rica vs Germany | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Australia vs Denmark | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Ghana vs Uruguay | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:45 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
