How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 -25.8
-0.7
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2 +25.7
+0.7
Mexico 0 Poland 0 +0.9
Argentina 2 Mexico 0 +0.8
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Saudi Arabia vs MexicoIn+21.1Out
+1.0+0.4-1.2
Poland vs Argentina+4.8-15.7+3.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Saudi Arabia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
61-0-0In39611,081,623
40-1-076.5%7723559,227
30-0-1Out18821,082,654
Total:55.4%154012322,723,504
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Poland 2 Saudi Arabia 0 +5.8
Argentina 1 Saudi Arabia 2 -5.8
Mexico 0 Poland 0 -0.2
Uruguay 0 South Korea 0 -0.1
Morocco 0 Croatia 0 -0.1
Argentina 2 Mexico 0 +0.0
Germany 1 Japan 2 +0.0
Qatar 1 Senegal 3 +0.0
France 2 Denmark 1 +0.0
Portugal 3 Ghana 2 +0.0
Spain 7 Costa Rica 0 +0.0
Switzerland 1 Cameroon 0 +0.0
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Cameroon 3 Serbia 3 -0.2
Spain 1 Germany 1 -0.1
Netherlands 11 Qatar 29 +0.1
Belgium 0 Morocco 2 +0.1
Croatia 4 Canada 1 +0.0
Portugal 2 Uruguay 0 -0.0
South Korea 2 Ghana 3 +0.0
Brazil 1 Switzerland 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico-7.7-0.9+8.2
Poland vs Argentina+0.4-0.2-0.2
Australia vs Denmark+0.0-0.2+0.1
Canada vs Morocco+0.1-0.2+0.0
Tunisia vs France+0.2-0.1-0.1
Cameroon vs Brazil+0.2-0.1-0.1
Costa Rica vs Germany+0.0-0.2+0.1
South Korea vs Portugal+0.2-0.1-0.1
Wales vs England+0.1-0.1-0.1
Serbia vs Switzerland+0.1-0.1-0.0
Ghana vs Uruguay-0.0-0.1+0.1
Ecuador vs Senegal-0.1+0.1+0.0
Japan vs Spain+0.1+0.0-0.1
Croatia vs Belgium-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
61-0-0013811105128229200
40-1-000525379497300
30-0-10027142021171152000
Total:0013442011942582122135887421000