Nantwich Town Title Chances 2014-2015

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town	+1.4-0.5-1.3		+2.3-0.8-2.1		-4.1+0.9+4.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1
Team Q vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team R vs Witton Albion			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stamford vs Matlock Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trafford vs Grantham Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Buxton vs Stamford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Marine vs Barwell			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team X vs Team Q			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team T vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Matlock Town vs Team S			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Trafford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team W vs Marine			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team V vs Team W			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Team S vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Team T			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Team X			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Nantwich Town finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

Promoted

Relegated

Count

106

-138

Yes

100

164,470

105

100.0

100

2,661

104

Yes

100

4,188

103

100.0

100

6,945

102

100.0

100

11,426

101

99.9

100.0

100

18,007

100

99.9

100

28,135

99.9

100

44,007

99.8

99.9

100

66,453

99.8

100

100,729

99.7

100

150,516

99.5

99.6

218,162

99.2

99.4

317,041

98.9

99.1

453,346

98.3

98.7

637,767

97.5

98.1

885,294

96.4

97.3

1,217,801

94.9

96.1

1,650,443

92.7

94.5

2,208,206

89.9

92.4

2,925,851

86.3

89.7

3,821,241

81.5

86.1

4,929,979

75.6

81.7

6,283,693

68.5

76.4

7,917,752

60.2

70.2

9,852,775

51.0

63.3

12,117,346

41.2

55.9

14,725,146

31.4

48.5

17,692,751

22.2

41.6

20,993,671

14.4

35.6

24,637,703

8.4

30.8

28,570,721

4.2

26.9

32,729,152

1.8

23.5

37,069,457

0.6

19.8

41,491,187

0.2

15.2

45,915,285

0.0

10.0

50,219,666

0.0

5.3

54,285,178

0.0

2.1

57,996,858

0.0

0.6

61,243,620

0.1

63,936,450

0.0

65,928,501

0.0

67,225,992

0.0

67,733,340

0.0

67,445,430

0.0

66,354,883

0.0

64,502,695

0.3

61,956,720

1.7

58,815,939

6.3

55,146,616

16.3

51,081,083

32.3

46,755,298

51.3

42,245,447

69.1

37,716,011

82.7

33,231,742

91.4

28,929,903

96.2

24,851,148

98.5

21,081,439

99.4

17,644,647

99.8

14,575,868

99.9

11,876,872

100.0

9,562,521

100.0

7,583,529

100.0

5,931,986

100.0

4,576,203

100.0

3,481,023

Yes

2,605,704

Yes

1,922,014

Yes

1,398,294

Yes

1,002,639

Yes

707,060

Yes

491,633

Yes

334,796

100

Yes

224,876

100

Yes

148,328

100

Yes

96,591

100

Yes

61,172

100

Yes

38,278

100

Yes

23,531

100

Yes

14,109

100

Yes

8,131

100

Yes

4,792

100

Yes

2,651

-24

100

Yes

163,982

Total:

4.2

8.3

16.7

1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship