Trafford Title Chances 2014-2015

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Team S vs Trafford	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Trafford vs Grantham Town	+1.4-0.5-1.3		+2.3-0.8-2.1		-4.1+0.9+4.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team V vs Team W			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team R vs Witton Albion			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Buxton vs Stamford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team W vs Marine			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team T vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stamford vs Matlock Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Marine vs Barwell			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Matlock Town vs Team S			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team X vs Team Q			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Team X			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Team T			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Trafford finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

Promoted

Relegated

Count

109

-138

Yes

100

161,543

108

99.8

100

517

105

-107

Yes

100

4,948

104

99.9

100

4,281

103

99.9

100.0

100

7,003

102

99.9

100.0

100

11,428

101

99.9

100

18,148

100

99.9

100.0

100

28,321

99.9

100

43,775

99.8

99.9

100

67,394

99.8

100

100,919

99.7

100

149,611

99.5

99.6

219,676

99.2

99.4

317,740

98.8

99.1

452,792

98.3

98.7

637,878

97.5

98.1

888,751

96.4

97.3

1,216,642

94.8

96.1

1,649,326

92.7

94.5

2,209,240

89.9

92.4

2,920,157

86.2

89.7

3,817,534

81.5

86.1

4,926,157

75.6

81.7

6,287,435

68.5

76.4

7,912,271

60.2

70.2

9,850,630

51.0

63.3

12,116,918

41.2

55.9

14,728,568

31.4

48.5

17,688,271

22.2

41.6

20,998,989

14.4

35.6

24,635,263

8.3

30.8

28,559,746

4.2

26.9

32,728,682

1.8

23.5

37,071,101

0.6

19.8

41,482,863

0.2

15.2

45,913,919

0.0

10.0

50,205,982

0.0

5.3

54,284,235

0.0

2.1

58,009,881

0.0

0.6

61,247,743

0.1

63,926,236

0.0

65,941,271

0.0

67,217,144

0.0

67,724,889

0.0

67,446,299

0.0

66,342,035

0.0

64,497,814

0.3

61,961,650

1.7

58,825,628

6.3

55,164,278

16.4

51,082,091

32.3

46,748,339

51.3

42,246,599

69.1

37,721,403

82.7

33,245,152

91.4

28,927,032

96.2

24,851,753

98.5

21,083,223

99.4

17,650,453

99.8

14,578,912

99.9

11,885,964

100.0

9,557,000

100.0

7,583,774

100.0

5,930,901

100.0

4,578,321

100.0

3,476,973

100.0

2,605,735

Yes

1,923,807

Yes

1,400,582

Yes

1,003,824

Yes

706,241

Yes

491,132

Yes

334,731

100

Yes

225,295

100

Yes

148,568

100

Yes

96,187

100

Yes

61,202

100

Yes

38,562

100

Yes

23,555

100

Yes

14,033

100

Yes

8,252

100

Yes

4,758

100

Yes

2,638

100

Yes

1,441

-23

100

Yes

162,541

Total:

4.2

8.3

16.7

1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship