Curzon Ashton Title Chances 2014-2015

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Team T vs Curzon Ashton	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stamford vs Matlock Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team W vs Marine			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Trafford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Buxton vs Stamford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Matlock Town vs Team S			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team V vs Team W			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Marine vs Barwell			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team X vs Team Q			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trafford vs Grantham Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team R vs Witton Albion			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Curzon Ashton vs Team X	+1.4-0.5-1.3		+2.3-0.8-2.1		-4.1+0.9+4.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Team T			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Curzon Ashton finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

Promoted

Relegated

Count

114

-138

Yes

100

160,944

113

96.3

106

-112

Yes

100

3,444

105

100.0

100

2,494

104

Yes

100

4,246

103

99.9

100

6,922

102

99.9

100.0

100

11,268

101

99.9

100

18,292

100

99.9

100

28,607

99.9

100

43,766

99.9

100

66,675

99.8

100

100,317

99.7

99.8

100

149,067

99.5

99.6

100

219,827

99.2

99.4

316,912

98.8

99.1

453,546

98.3

98.7

636,652

97.5

98.1

887,515

96.4

97.3

1,215,449

94.8

96.1

1,651,216

92.8

94.6

2,210,769

89.9

92.4

2,922,776

86.2

89.6

3,819,159

81.4

86.1

4,930,208

75.6

81.7

6,290,327

68.5

76.4

7,918,873

60.3

70.2

9,849,825

51.0

63.2

12,116,983

41.2

55.9

14,730,881

31.4

48.5

17,689,102

22.2

41.6

20,997,084

14.4

35.6

24,629,667

8.3

30.8

28,555,592

4.2

26.9

32,721,247

1.8

23.5

37,070,904

0.6

19.8

41,494,424

0.2

15.2

45,912,079

0.0

10.0

50,226,338

0.0

5.3

54,292,875

0.0

2.1

58,004,797

0.0

0.6

61,245,297

0.0

0.1

63,921,278

0.0

65,933,937

0.0

67,221,472

0.0

67,730,046

0.0

67,433,754

0.0

66,350,261

0.0

64,507,030

0.3

61,966,233

1.7

58,806,308

6.3

55,161,106

16.4

51,086,993

32.3

46,747,913

51.3

42,250,902

69.1

37,703,212

82.7

33,233,552

91.4

28,934,755

96.2

24,856,987

98.5

21,080,425

99.4

17,647,806

99.8

14,575,175

99.9

11,883,865

100.0

9,557,655

100.0

7,585,199

100.0

5,933,535

100.0

4,576,298

100.0

3,480,526

Yes

2,605,667

Yes

1,923,643

Yes

1,400,304

Yes

1,001,691

Yes

707,531

Yes

491,022

Yes

334,991

100

Yes

224,438

100

Yes

148,566

100

Yes

96,496

100

Yes

61,365

100

Yes

38,299

100

Yes

23,494

100

Yes

14,142

100

Yes

8,572

100

Yes

4,848

100

Yes

2,691

-24

100

Yes

164,120

Total:

4.2

8.3

16.7

1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship