Witton Albion Title Chances 2014-2015

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Team R vs Witton Albion	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton	+1.4-0.5-1.3		+2.3-0.8-2.1		-4.1+0.9+4.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1
Marine vs Barwell			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stamford vs Matlock Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Matlock Town vs Team S			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trafford vs Grantham Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team T vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team X vs Team Q			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Buxton vs Stamford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team V vs Team W			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Trafford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team W vs Marine			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Team Q vs Team T			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Team X			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Witton Albion finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

Promoted

Relegated

Count

108

-138

Yes

100

162,023

107

99.9

100

922

105

-106

Yes

100

4,001

104

99.9

100

4,255

103

99.9

100

6,992

102

99.9

100

11,219

101

99.9

100

17,988

100

99.9

100

28,316

99.9

100

44,066

99.8

99.9

100

66,802

99.8

100

101,089

99.6

99.7

100

149,815

99.5

99.6

218,849

99.2

99.4

318,356

98.9

99.1

453,071

98.3

98.7

637,025

97.5

98.1

885,117

96.4

97.3

1,217,219

94.9

96.1

1,649,428

92.7

94.5

2,209,057

89.9

92.4

2,923,107

86.2

89.6

3,814,052

81.5

86.1

4,930,175

75.6

81.7

6,283,788

68.5

76.4

7,915,151

60.3

70.2

9,852,160

51.0

63.2

12,115,530

41.2

55.9

14,726,751

31.4

48.5

17,691,336

22.2

41.6

20,994,717

14.4

35.6

24,638,193

8.3

30.8

28,561,451

4.2

26.9

32,724,559

1.8

23.5

37,061,812

0.6

19.8

41,495,302

0.2

15.2

45,915,510

0.0

10.0

50,225,014

0.0

5.3

54,280,569

0.0

2.1

57,989,996

0.0

0.6

61,246,066

0.1

63,918,283

0.0

65,939,932

0.0

67,218,715

0.0

67,730,267

0.0

67,436,499

0.0

66,342,103

0.0

64,505,773

0.3

61,971,758

1.7

58,819,672

6.3

55,154,137

16.3

51,089,181

32.3

46,747,852

51.3

42,250,008

69.1

37,708,930

82.7

33,240,379

91.4

28,929,865

96.2

24,859,876

98.5

21,085,883

99.4

17,647,204

99.8

14,587,082

99.9

11,889,982

100.0

9,554,268

100.0

7,586,030

100.0

5,933,662

100.0

4,576,029

100.0

3,478,080

Yes

2,603,708

Yes

1,925,761

Yes

1,400,292

Yes

1,003,703

Yes

707,967

Yes

490,540

Yes

334,704

100

Yes

225,018

100

Yes

147,990

100

Yes

96,381

100

Yes

60,997

100

Yes

38,118

100

Yes

23,425

100

Yes

13,961

-27

100

Yes

17,061

100

Yes

828

-22

100

Yes

161,743

Total:

4.2

8.3

16.7

1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship