Team W Title Chances 2014-2015

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Team V vs Team W	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Team W vs Marine	+1.4-0.5-1.3		+2.3-0.8-2.1		-4.1+0.9+4.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1
Team Q vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stamford vs Matlock Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Matlock Town vs Team S			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team X vs Team Q			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team T vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Trafford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Buxton vs Stamford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team R vs Witton Albion			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trafford vs Grantham Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Marine vs Barwell			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Team S vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Team T			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Team X			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Team W finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

Promoted

Relegated

Count

108

-138

Yes

100

162,102

107

99.9

100

885

106

99.9

100

1,511

105

Yes

100

2,593

104

100.0

100

4,300

103

99.9

100.0

100

7,054

102

100.0

100

11,551

101

99.9

100

18,249

100

99.9

100

28,493

99.9

100

43,987

99.8

99.9

100

67,103

99.7

99.8

100

101,057

99.7

100

149,531

99.4

99.6

218,742

99.2

99.4

317,561

98.8

99.1

452,453

98.3

98.7

638,577

97.5

98.1

887,604

96.4

97.3

1,216,372

94.8

96.1

1,652,365

92.7

94.6

2,210,193

89.9

92.4

2,924,121

86.2

89.7

3,820,259

81.5

86.1

4,925,802

75.6

81.7

6,280,893

68.5

76.4

7,917,313

60.2

70.2

9,853,296

51.0

63.3

12,117,306

41.2

55.9

14,731,652

31.4

48.5

17,693,700

22.2

41.6

21,003,392

14.4

35.6

24,638,302

8.3

30.8

28,553,137

4.2

26.9

32,736,112

1.8

23.5

37,067,001

0.6

19.8

41,498,709

0.2

15.2

45,905,776

0.0

10.0

50,214,499

0.0

5.3

54,285,292

0.0

2.1

57,974,673

0.0

0.6

61,247,805

0.0

0.1

63,936,156

0.0

65,928,041

0.0

67,218,388

0.0

67,725,075

0.0

67,433,813

0.0

66,345,715

0.0

64,500,374

0.3

61,969,343

1.7

58,814,192

6.3

55,143,927

16.3

51,084,443

32.3

46,758,684

51.3

42,267,931

69.1

37,708,604

82.7

33,224,607

91.4

28,933,540

96.2

24,862,798

98.5

21,084,136

99.4

17,652,116

99.8

14,586,123

99.9

11,890,150

100.0

9,554,728

100.0

7,581,222

100.0

5,931,450

100.0

4,573,420

100.0

3,481,362

Yes

2,607,656

Yes

1,921,846

Yes

1,398,965

Yes

1,002,821

Yes

708,278

Yes

491,117

Yes

334,810

100

Yes

224,891

100

Yes

148,651

100

Yes

95,989

100

Yes

61,571

100

Yes

38,383

100

Yes

23,713

100

Yes

14,189

100

Yes

8,313

100

Yes

4,802

-25

100

Yes

166,840

Total:

4.2

8.3

16.7

1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship