Buxton Title Chances 2014-2015

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Grantham Town vs Buxton	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Buxton vs Stamford	+1.4-0.5-1.3		+2.3-0.8-2.1		-4.1+0.9+4.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1
Team W vs Marine			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trafford vs Grantham Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Matlock Town vs Team S			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team X vs Team Q			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team R vs Witton Albion			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team V vs Team W			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stamford vs Matlock Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Marine vs Barwell			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Trafford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team T vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Team Q vs Team T			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Team X			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Buxton finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

Promoted

Relegated

Count

104

-138

Yes

100

171,105

103

100.0

100

7,062

102

99.9

100

11,426

101

99.9

100.0

100

18,119

100

99.9

100

28,344

99.9

100

44,075

99.8

99.9

100

67,441

99.7

99.8

100

100,430

99.6

99.7

100

149,633

99.5

99.6

219,527

99.2

99.4

317,388

98.8

99.1

453,064

98.3

98.7

636,972

97.5

98.1

886,959

96.4

97.3

1,217,155

94.8

96.1

1,650,387

92.7

94.5

2,211,326

89.9

92.4

2,920,952

86.2

89.7

3,818,073

81.5

86.1

4,930,397

75.7

81.7

6,284,002

68.5

76.4

7,915,650

60.3

70.2

9,857,236

51.0

63.3

12,119,679

41.2

55.9

14,731,977

31.4

48.5

17,686,167

22.2

41.6

20,993,326

14.4

35.6

24,630,090

8.3

30.8

28,565,284

4.2

26.9

32,730,015

1.8

23.5

37,076,083

0.6

19.8

41,496,194

0.2

15.2

45,915,449

0.0

10.0

50,217,549

0.0

5.3

54,285,551

0.0

2.1

57,984,622

0.0

0.6

61,262,534

0.1

63,916,806

0.0

65,930,283

0.0

67,218,123

0.0

67,732,370

0.0

67,445,448

0.0

66,356,972

0.0

64,506,613

0.3

61,962,534

1.7

58,819,237

6.3

55,151,527

16.3

51,089,956

32.3

46,742,427

51.3

42,253,049

69.1

37,699,612

82.7

33,235,304

91.4

28,925,578

96.2

24,851,630

98.5

21,082,378

99.4

17,643,071

99.8

14,587,744

99.9

11,890,963

100.0

9,558,152

100.0

7,581,675

100.0

5,930,824

100.0

4,571,964

Yes

3,482,746

Yes

2,604,382

Yes

1,923,948

Yes

1,397,886

Yes

1,001,039

Yes

706,385

Yes

491,374

Yes

334,514

100

Yes

225,398

100

Yes

148,592

100

Yes

95,982

100

Yes

61,386

100

Yes

38,157

100

Yes

23,343

100

Yes

14,023

100

Yes

8,248

100

Yes

4,834

-25

100

Yes

166,776

Total:

4.2

8.3

16.7

1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship