Blue Square Bet Premier Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed																										Relegated
	3/2		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	Tuesday

Wrexham	T	Alfreton Town 1-1	65	2	18	-	11	-	5	30	32.6	%	-10.8	48.8	%	-8.4	33	25	18	13	8	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0											2.5	-0.37	No			1	.663	Ebbsfleet	Wrexham

Grimsby Town			61	4	17	-	10	-	5	29	28.1		-0.1	44.9		-0.2	28	23	19	15	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0								2.7	-0.12	No			2	.687		Grimsby Town
Kidderminster	W	Ebbsfleet 3-2	65	1	19	-	8	-	8	26	13.5		+2.9	33.3		+2.8	13	18	22	22	18	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0											3.3	+0.15	No			4	.661	at Gateshead	Kidderminster Harriers
Newport County	W	Hyde 1-0	62	4	19	-	5	-	8	20	15.3		+5.5	34.2		+5.5	15	18	20	20	18	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									3.4	+0.38	No			3	.585	at Hereford United	Newport County
Mansfield Town	W	AFC Telford 1-0	62	3	19	-	5	-	9	21	10.1		+2.9	29.1		+3.6	10	14	18	22	23	11	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									3.8	+0.28	No			5	.598	at Woking	Mansfield Town

Forest Green	T	Cambridge 0-0	57	1	16	-	9	-	10	18	0.3		-0.3	7.9		-2.7	0	1	3	8	18	44	15	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						5.9	-0.25	No			6	.605		Forest Green Rovers
Luton Town	W	Stockport 1-0	48	4	14	-	6	-	12	6	0.0		+0.0	0.8		+0.2	0	0	0	1	2	9	24	20	15	10	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.6	+0.94	0.0	%	-0.0	8	.524	at Nuneaton Town	Luton Town
Hereford United	T	Nuneaton Town 0-0	49	3	13	-	10	-	10	3	0.0		-0.0	0.5		-0.5	0	0	0	0	2	7	20	19	16	12	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.0	-0.32	0.0		-0.0	7	.508	Newport County	Hereford United
Macclesfield			48	3	13	-	9	-	11	0	0.0			0.2		-0.1	0	0	0	0	1	3	13	16	16	14	12	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.9	+0.03	0.0		-0.0	9	.491	Lincoln City	Macclesfield Town
Dartford	T	Southport 2-2	45	4	13	-	6	-	13	0	0.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	13	14	14	13	11	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	10.6	-0.01	0.1		-0.0	10	.491	Stockport	Dartford
Woking	T	Lincoln City 1-1	48	3	15	-	3	-	15	-7	0.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	10	12	13	13	12	10	8	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	11.2	-0.21	0.1		-0.0	12	.457	Mansfield Town	Woking
Braintree Town	W	Gateshead 2-1	44	4	13	-	5	-	14	-10	0.0			0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	9	11	12	13	12	10	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	12.2	+1.50	0.5		-1.8	11	.435		Braintree Town
Cambridge	T	Forest Green 0-0	46	1	12	-	10	-	13	0	0.0			0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	7	10	12	14	14	13	10	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	12.7	-0.01	0.4		-0.2	14	.492	at Southport	Cambridge United
Southport	T	Dartford 2-2	43	3	11	-	10	-	12	-4	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4	7	9	11	12	13	12	10	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	13.7	-0.15	1.5		-0.2	15	.472	Cambridge	Southport
Tamworth	L	Barrow 0-2	43	1	12	-	7	-	16	-6	No			0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	10	12	14	13	11	9	6	4	2	1	0	0	15.3	-0.97	3.7		+1.4	17	.455		Tamworth
Alfreton Town	T	Wrexham 1-1	41	1	10	-	11	-	14	-13	No			0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	10	12	13	13	11	8	6	4	2	1	0	16.1	+0.46	7.2		-2.6	13	.425	Barrow	Alfreton Town
Gateshead	L	Braintree Town 1-2	34	5	8	-	10	-	13	-5	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	12	11	10	9	7	5	4	1	17.2	-0.94	17.5		+5.7	16	.455	Kidderminster	Gateshead
Lincoln City	T	Woking 1-1	37	2	9	-	10	-	15	-10	No			0.0							0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	8	11	12	13	12	11	9	6	2	18.5	+0.17	27.6		-2.6	22	.439	at Macclesfield	Lincoln City
Stockport	L	Luton Town 0-1	38	2	10	-	8	-	16	-11	No			0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	10	12	13	13	12	10	6	2	18.7	-0.74	29.4		+8.1	23	.431	at Dartford	Stockport County
Hyde	L	Newport County 0-1	36	1	10	-	6	-	19	-11	No			No		-0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	9	11	13	14	13	12	9	4	19.4	-0.61	38.3		+8.0	18	.433		Hyde

Nuneaton Town	T	Hereford United 0-0	35	2	8	-	11	-	15	-16	No			No		-0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	8	11	13	15	16	15	8	20.3	+0.14	53.5		-2.8	19	.399	Luton Town	Nuneaton Town
Barrow	W	Tamworth 2-0	36	2	9	-	9	-	16	-27	No			0.0							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	10	13	15	18	17	8	20.6	+1.15	58.6		-18.9	21	.349	at Alfreton Town	Barrow
Ebbsfleet	L	Kidderminster 2-3	31	4	7	-	10	-	15	-20	No			0.0		-0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	7	10	13	16	21	18	21.2	-0.23	68.3		+3.2	20	.389	at Wrexham	Ebbsfleet United
AFC Telford	L	Mansfield Town 0-1	30		5	-	15	-	16	-13	No			No											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	11	21	56	23.1	-0.28	93.4		+2.6	24	.419		AFC Telford United

Week of 3/2
Wrexham 1 Alfreton Town 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Wrexham	-6.8		-5.2				-0.2
Grimsby Town	+3.2		+2.4
Kidderminster	+1.4		+1.0
Newport County	+1.3		+1.0
Mansfield Town	+0.8		+0.7
Alfreton Town					-1.4		+0.2

Hyde 0 Newport County 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Wrexham	-1.9		-1.5
Grimsby Town	-1.2		-1.0
Newport County	+4.3		+4.6				+0.4
Alfreton Town					-0.6
Lincoln City					-1.2
Stockport					-1.0
Hyde					+8.3		-0.7
Nuneaton Town					-1.5
Barrow					-1.1
Ebbsfleet					-1.2

Kidderminster 3 Ebbsfleet 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Wrexham	-1.2		-0.9
Grimsby Town	-0.9		-0.7
Kidderminster	+2.9		+3.0				+0.3
Alfreton Town					-0.4
Gateshead					-0.4
Lincoln City					-0.7
Stockport					-0.6
Hyde					-0.8
Nuneaton Town					-0.8
Barrow					-0.6
Ebbsfleet			No		+4.9		-0.3

Mansfield Town 1 AFC Telford 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Wrexham	-0.9		-0.7
Grimsby Town	-0.7		-0.6
Mansfield Town	+2.5		+3.2				+0.3
Forest Green			-0.6
Lincoln City					-0.5
Hyde					-0.5
Nuneaton Town					-0.5
AFC Telford					+3.2		-0.3

Cambridge 0 Forest Green 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mansfield Town			+0.3
Forest Green	-0.2		-1.1				-0.1
Cambridge							-0.1

Stockport 0 Luton Town 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Luton Town			+0.4				+0.8
Lincoln City					-1.2
Stockport			No		+8.2		-0.8
Hyde					-1.2
Nuneaton Town					-1.4
Barrow					-1.1
Ebbsfleet					-1.2

Hereford United 0 Nuneaton Town 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hereford United			-0.3				-0.3
Stockport					*+0.1
Nuneaton Town			*No		-0.1
Barrow					*+0.1

Southport 2 Dartford 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Dartford							-0.1
Southport	No						-0.3

Woking 1 Lincoln City 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Woking							-0.3
Lincoln City			No		+0.3		-0.1
Hyde					*-0.1

Gateshead 1 Braintree Town 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Braintree Town					-1.6		+1.2
Gateshead	*No				+6.3		-1.1

Barrow 2 Tamworth 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tamworth					+2.1		-1.0
Lincoln City					+1.4
Stockport					+1.3
Hyde					+1.4
Nuneaton Town					+1.4
Barrow					-11.4		+0.7
Ebbsfleet					+1.2

Wrexham vs EbbsfleetIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Wrexham	38.725.820.0		53.643.438.6				2.22.73.0
Grimsby Town	25.730.833.0		43.146.948.6				2.82.72.6
Ebbsfleet					73.166.451.9		21.621.120.2

Hereford United vs Newport CountyHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Newport County	9.813.222.2		28.932.540.5				3.83.52.9

Gateshead vs KidderminsterHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Kidderminster	7.210.318.7		27.530.738.1				3.83.53.0
Gateshead					9.217.122.5		16.117.317.9

Woking vs Mansfield TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mansfield Town	5.68.114.7		24.127.233.9				4.23.93.4
Woking	0.00.0No						10.211.211.8

Nuneaton Town vs Luton TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nuneaton Town					39.155.463.6		19.420.521.0

Macclesfield vs Lincoln CityHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Macclesfield			0.30.10.1				9.210.210.7
Lincoln City					35.127.515.3		19.218.617.4

Dartford vs StockportHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Dartford	0.00.0No						9.910.911.4
Stockport			No*No0.0		37.329.216.2		19.418.817.6

Southport vs CambridgeHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Cambridge					0.70.30.0		13.512.811.6
Southport					0.41.62.8		12.814.014.8

Alfreton Town vs BarrowHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Alfreton Town					3.08.213.9		15.316.517.2
Barrow					67.858.941.3		21.220.719.6

Week of 3/9
Grimsby Town vs KidderminsterIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Grimsby Town	37.624.316.4		52.641.935.3				2.32.83.3
Kidderminster	7.112.824.1		27.832.942.4				3.73.32.7

Mansfield Town vs Grimsby TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Grimsby Town	18.125.638.7		36.742.953.6				3.22.82.3
Mansfield Town	17.18.74.8		36.027.923.7				3.23.94.2

Dartford vs WrexhamHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Wrexham	22.328.441.7		40.645.656.0				2.92.62.1
Grimsby Town	32.129.824.6		47.946.142.2				2.62.72.8
Dartford	0.00.0No		0.30.10.1				9.610.611.1

Lincoln City vs WrexhamHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Wrexham	21.627.640.8		40.044.955.3				2.92.62.2
Grimsby Town	32.430.124.9		48.246.442.5				2.62.72.8
Lincoln City					14.926.834.4		17.418.519.1

Gateshead vs Newport CountyHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Newport County	9.412.821.5		28.632.039.9				3.83.53.0
Gateshead			0.00.0No		9.617.823.3		16.217.418.0

Ebbsfleet vs Newport CountyHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Newport County	9.012.420.8		28.231.639.3				3.83.53.0
Ebbsfleet					54.969.375.8		20.421.321.7

Mansfield Town vs StockportHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mansfield Town	13.47.35.0		32.726.223.2				3.54.04.3
Stockport			No*No0.0		35.627.715.2		19.218.717.5

Southport vs Forest GreenHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Forest Green	0.10.10.6		5.26.810.7				6.36.05.5
Southport					0.41.32.4		12.713.914.5

Forest Green vs BarrowHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Forest Green	0.50.10.0		9.76.14.6				5.66.26.4
Barrow					64.656.439.7		21.020.519.4

Luton Town vs Hereford UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Luton Town			1.20.50.3				8.08.89.4
Hereford United			0.20.41.0				9.69.08.2

Luton Town vs HydeHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hyde					46.337.923.4		20.019.418.3

Macclesfield vs WokingHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Macclesfield			0.30.10.1				9.210.110.8
Woking	No0.00.0						11.811.210.1

Dartford vs Braintree TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Dartford							9.810.911.5
Braintree Town	NoNo0.0				0.80.40.1		12.912.211.1

Cambridge vs WokingHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Woking	NoNo0.0						11.811.110.1
Cambridge					0.10.40.9		11.813.013.8

AFC Telford vs MacclesfieldHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Macclesfield			0.10.10.4				10.510.09.1
AFC Telford					88.695.097.0		22.723.223.4

Braintree Town vs Nuneaton TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Braintree Town	0.0NoNo				0.1*0.51.2		11.412.513.2
Nuneaton Town					62.654.238.0		20.920.419.3

Lincoln City vs SouthportHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Southport					2.61.30.3		14.513.812.7
Lincoln City					17.230.238.3		17.618.819.4

AFC Telford vs GatesheadHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gateshead					24.017.79.5		18.017.416.2
AFC Telford					88.895.397.4		22.723.223.4

Gateshead vs HydeHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gateshead					10.119.527.1		16.317.618.3
Hyde					48.338.422.9		20.119.518.3

Tamworth vs Alfreton TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tamworth			0.00.0No		1.24.17.1		14.415.616.4
Alfreton Town			No*No0.0		10.46.72.5		16.916.114.8

Barrow vs StockportHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Stockport			No*No0.0		42.330.816.2		19.718.917.7
Barrow					42.861.471.5		19.720.821.4

Alfreton Town vs EbbsfleetHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Alfreton Town					3.08.113.3		15.216.417.1
Ebbsfleet					76.369.354.3		21.821.320.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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