Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleChampionshipChance will finish season at seedLeague Two
11/22PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Bristol CityLPreston 0-13610-6-21432.0%-11.863.4%-8.432221611753211000000000000003.0-0.430.0%1.581Bristol City
SwindonWPeterborough 2-13510-5-31521.8+8.053.2+11.222201713975321100000000000003.6+0.930.0-0.02.582Swindon
Milton Keynes DWPort Vale 1-03039-3-31417.6+6.246.4+9.8181715131086432111000000000004.2+0.950.0-0.04.570RochdaleMilton Keynes Dons
PrestonWBristol City 1-03410-4-41115.5+7.144.7+13.1161716141186432111000000000004.2+1.290.0-0.03.564Preston
Notts CountyLYeovil 1-22918-5-484.3-4.321.9-10.047911121110976432211100000006.7-1.150.1+0.19.550Notts County
Sheff UtdTOldham 1-13019-3-543.5-0.719.5-1.536810111110986543211100000007.0-0.150.1+0.05.511Sheff Utd
RochdaleLDoncaster 1-32618-2-7112.3-2.915.6-8.524681011101087643321110000007.7-1.290.3+0.210.558at Milton Keynes DRochdale
OldhamTSheff Utd 1-1276-9-351.3-0.011.0+0.5134689101098765432211000008.7+0.180.5+0.16.522Oldham
PeterboroughLSwindon 1-2278-3-750.9-0.98.7-4.112357891099875443221100009.4-1.050.7+0.412.520Peterborough
Fleetwood TownLWalsall 0-1257-4-720.3-0.44.3-3.001234568899877654322110011.3-1.402.3+1.48.501Fleetwood Town
ChesterfieldWBarnsley 2-1246-6-600.2+0.12.9+1.200123456788887765433211012.3+1.133.6-1.77.480Chesterfield
BarnsleyLChesterfield 1-22216-4-7-10.1-0.12.3-1.000112345678888776543221013.0-0.955.3+2.414.472Barnsley
BradfordTGillingham 1-1236-5-7-10.1-0.01.7-0.400112345677888876654321013.6-0.586.6+2.113.471Bradford
Port ValeLMilton Keynes D 0-1226-4-8-20.0-0.01.2-0.600011234567788887765432114.4-1.029.2+3.915.464Port Vale
WalsallWFleetwood Town 1-0225-7-6-10.0+0.01.1+0.700011233456788888765432114.5+1.539.6-6.316.467Walsall
DoncasterWRochdale 3-12126-3-7-60.0+0.01.0+0.700011223456678888776542115.0+2.0112.1-10.711.426Doncaster
Leyton OrientWCrewe 4-1194-7-7-30.0+0.00.4+0.300000112334567788888764216.3+1.4918.6-10.117.456Leyton Orient
CoventryWColchester 1-0205-5-8-70.0+0.00.3+0.100000011233456788999986317.2+1.0324.7-8.219.425Coventry
Crawley TownTScunthorpe 2-2215-6-7-100.0-0.00.2-0.000000011123345678910101097417.8-0.5130.1+5.618.398Crawley Town
ColchesterLCoventry 0-1174-5-9-40.0-0.00.2-0.20000001112334567899101098417.9-1.5031.3+12.920.450Colchester
GillinghamTBradford 1-1184-6-8-70.00.1+0.0000000011122345678910111210618.7-0.2538.9+3.723.418Gillingham
ScunthorpeTCrawley Town 2-21614-4-9-110.00.1+0.0000000001112234567910121313919.5-0.2548.0+3.922.404Scunthorpe
YeovilWNotts County 2-1174-5-9-140.00.0+0.0000000000001112235681116222121.2+0.8070.1-9.821.356Yeovil
CreweLLeyton Orient 1-4154-3-11-220.00.0-0.000000000000000111234711214822.6-0.8087.7+10.224.321Crewe

Comments

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/11
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+5.6
+5.6
+0.4
Swindon-1.0
-0.4
Milton Keynes D-0.7
-0.3
Chesterfield-1.7
-3.5
+0.3
-0.6
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City-0.7
-0.7
Peterborough+2.3
+5.4
-0.3
+0.9
Crawley Town-0.5
+4.9
-0.8
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Barnsley+1.1
-3.8
+1.0
Bradford-1.0
-3.1
+0.6
-0.8
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Fleetwood Town-0.5
-2.1
+1.2
-0.8
Colchester+0.4
-6.1
+0.8
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Sheff Utd-0.3
-1.3
+0.5
-0.4
Leyton Orient*-0.1
Oldham 2 Walsall 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Oldham+0.4
+1.8
-1.8
+0.9
Walsall-0.6
+3.4
-0.7
Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Gillingham-0.7
+6.8
-1.1
Scunthorpe-9.4
+0.8
Crewe 2 Coventry 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Coventry-0.7
+4.5
-0.9
Crewe-4.2
+0.4
Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Port Vale-7.1
+0.7
Yeovil-0.2
+5.7
-0.7
Week of 10/18
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+6.9
+5.9
+0.4
Swindon-1.5
-0.8
Milton Keynes D-1.1
-0.7
Preston-0.9
-0.7
Peterborough-1.3
-0.8
Coventry-0.5
+4.9
-0.8
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City-3.7
-2.6
Swindon+0.6
+0.4
Milton Keynes D+0.5
+0.3
Preston+0.7
+0.4
Peterborough+0.9
+0.4
Bradford-0.3
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+1.6
+1.0
Swindon+0.4
+0.9
Milton Keynes D+0.3
+0.8
Preston+0.4
+0.9
Peterborough-3.5
-6.3
-0.6
Crewe-7.8
+0.6
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+1.0
+0.5
Swindon-3.2
-6.7
-0.8
Rochdale+0.9
+4.3
-0.8
+1.1
Gillingham 0 Preston 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City-1.2
-0.8
Swindon-0.3
-0.8
Preston+2.9
+5.8
+0.7
Peterborough-0.4
-0.9
Gillingham-0.2
+5.8
-0.7
Scunthorpe-0.6
Yeovil-0.7
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City-0.9
-0.6
Peterborough+2.7
+5.0
+0.6
Barnsley-0.2
-1.3
+1.6
-0.7
Preston 2 Port Vale 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City-0.6
-0.5
Preston+1.9
+4.1
-0.2
+0.6
Port Vale-0.3
+3.7
-0.6
Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City-0.7
-0.5
Milton Keynes D+1.8
+4.5
+0.6
Fleetwood Town-0.4
-2.1
+0.6
-0.6
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Notts County+1.7
+5.1
-0.2
+0.9
Barnsley-1.1
+2.8
-0.9
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+0.7
+0.4
Swindon-1.4
-2.0
-0.2
Milton Keynes D+0.2
Preston+0.2
Peterborough+0.2
+0.3
Yeovil+1.2
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Notts County+1.0
+3.0
-0.4
+0.6
Crawley Town-0.2
+3.9
-0.5
Scunthorpe-0.4
Yeovil-0.4
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+0.3
+0.2
Milton Keynes D-0.7
-1.2
Leyton Orient-0.3
+1.1
-0.3
Bradford 0 Sheff Utd 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Sheff Utd+0.7
+3.4
-1.9
+1.3
Bradford-0.6
-3.0
+1.6
-1.1
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Chesterfield-0.6
-2.5
+0.5
-0.7
Colchester+0.5
-4.7
+0.9
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Oldham-0.2
Chesterfield-0.5
-1.7
+0.2
-0.4
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Sheff Utd+0.6
+2.5
-0.5
+0.7
Port Vale-0.4
Walsall-0.5
Crawley Town-0.5
Scunthorpe-0.5
Yeovil+4.9
-0.5
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Rochdale-0.6
-1.9
+0.3
-0.5
Gillingham-0.6
Oldham 4 Coventry 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Oldham+0.4
+2.0
-0.9
+0.8
Coventry-0.2
+4.5
-0.6
Fleetwood Town 3 Doncaster 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Fleetwood Town+0.2
+1.5
-1.8
+0.8
Doncaster-0.7
+2.6
-0.7
Doncaster 0 Leyton Orient 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Doncaster-0.6
+5.3
-1.0
Leyton Orient+0.7
-5.7
+1.2
Walsall 0 Crewe 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Walsall-0.5
+7.8
-1.1
Crewe-7.4
+0.6
Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Colchester-0.2
+0.4
-0.2
Scunthorpe+2.3
-0.2
Crawley Town 1 Walsall 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Walsall-0.2
+6.4
-0.8
Crawley Town+0.2
-7.6
+0.9
Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Port Vale+2.9
-0.4
Scunthorpe-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.