Matlock Town Title Chances 2014-2015

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Stamford vs Matlock Town	-1.2-0.4+1.6		-1.9-0.6+2.5		+3.6+0.5-4.4		-1.0-0.2+1.2
Matlock Town vs Team S	+1.4-0.5-1.3		+2.3-0.8-2.1		-4.1+0.9+4.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team W vs Marine			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team T vs Curzon Ashton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team R vs Witton Albion			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team V vs Team W			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team X vs Team Q			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Marine vs Barwell			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Buxton vs Stamford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trafford vs Grantham Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Trafford			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Team X			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team Q vs Team T			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Ilkeston			-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Matlock Town finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

wins title

Promoted

Relegated

Count

107

-138

Yes

100

162,897

106

99.9

100

1,494

105

Yes

100

2,489

104

100.0

100

4,259

103

99.9

100.0

100

7,027

102

99.9

100

11,308

101

100.0

100

18,084

100

99.9

100

28,698

99.9

100

43,757

99.9

100

67,241

99.8

100

101,658

99.6

99.7

100

149,004

99.5

99.6

219,698

99.2

99.4

316,379

98.8

99.1

452,289

98.3

98.7

638,346

97.5

98.1

888,165

96.4

97.3

1,216,709

94.8

96.1

1,650,773

92.7

94.5

2,209,296

89.9

92.4

2,923,876

86.2

89.7

3,819,003

81.5

86.1

4,926,938

75.6

81.7

6,287,689

68.5

76.4

7,924,416

60.2

70.2

9,853,601

51.0

63.3

12,124,084

41.2

55.9

14,731,222

31.4

48.5

17,694,259

22.2

41.6

20,994,232

14.4

35.6

24,625,628

8.3

30.8

28,565,159

4.2

26.9

32,730,657

1.8

23.5

37,066,950

0.6

19.8

41,499,538

0.2

15.2

45,915,675

0.0

10.0

50,215,100

0.0

5.3

54,285,069

0.0

2.1

57,987,943

0.0

0.6

61,254,263

0.1

63,917,559

0.0

65,924,131

0.0

67,225,964

0.0

67,716,499

0.0

67,428,424

0.0

66,358,556

0.0

64,516,575

0.3

61,967,784

1.7

58,812,795

6.3

55,161,177

16.4

51,094,225

32.3

46,742,287

51.3

42,242,987

69.1

37,713,250

82.7

33,238,130

91.4

28,934,067

96.2

24,850,807

98.5

21,067,829

99.4

17,645,740

99.8

14,582,376

99.9

11,894,391

100.0

9,555,699

100.0

7,580,031

100.0

5,934,198

100.0

4,572,683

100.0

3,477,508

Yes

2,607,470

Yes

1,923,667

Yes

1,400,638

Yes

1,002,187

Yes

707,690

Yes

489,801

Yes

335,136

100

Yes

225,702

100

Yes

148,418

100

Yes

96,338

100

Yes

60,711

100

Yes

38,395

100

Yes

23,476

100

Yes

14,264

100

Yes

8,377

100

Yes

4,791

100

Yes

2,758

100

Yes

1,558

-23

100

Yes

162,574

Total:

4.2

8.3

16.7

1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship