Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 2-3 (ot), playoff odds down 4.8 to 28.8%

3 points 1 2-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)	-0.8		-0.0		-0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)	-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina	+0.1-0.6-0.4*-0.2-0.4+0.2

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

86	-107						In		Yes		100														456	*
85		39	9		-	4	In		98.5	%	99	1													68	*
84		38	9		-	5	In		95.0		98	1	1												161	*
83		37	9		-	6	In		93.5		97	3													294	*
82		37	10		-	5	In		92.7		97	2	0	0											504	*
81		37	11		-	4	In		86.8		94	5	2												888	*
80		36	11		-	5	In		82.3		92	6	2												1,558	*
79		35	11		-	6	In		74.7		88	9	3												2,525	*
78		35	12		-	5	In		64.0		82	13	5	0											3,966	*
77		34	12		-	6	In		53.8		76	16	8	0											6,185	*
76		34	13		-	5	In		39.1		66	21	12	0											9,444	*
75		33	13		-	6	100.0	%	26.7		56	26	17	1	0		0								14,095	*
74		33	14		-	5	In		15.6		44	31	24	1	0										20,199	*
73		32	14		-	6	100.0		8.0		32	34	31	3	0		0								28,687	*
72		32	15		-	5	100.0		3.3		21	34	39	6	0		0								39,468	*
71		31	15		-	6	100.0		1.1		12	30	46	11	1		0								52,779	*
70		31	16		-	5	99.9		0.2		6	25	50	18	2	0	0	0							69,130	*
69		30	16		-	6	99.8		0.0		2	17	49	27	4	0	0	0							88,021	*
68		30	17		-	5	99.4		0.0		1	10	43	37	9	0	1	0	0						109,984	*
67		29	17		-	6	98.3		No		0	5	32	44	16	1	2	0							133,386	*
66		29	18		-	5	95.0		No		0	2	20	45	26	2	5	0	0						158,884	*
65		28	18		-	6	88.0		No		0	0	10	38	33	6	11	1	0						184,275	*
64		28	19		-	5	75.2		No			0	4	26	33	12	21	3	0	0					209,368	*
63		27	19		-	6	57.5		No			0	1	14	24	18	32	9	1	0	0				233,349	*
62		27	20		-	5	37.9		No			0	0	6	13	19	37	21	4	0	0				253,954	*
61		26	20		-	6	21.0		No				0	2	5	14	32	32	12	2	0	0	0		269,042	*
60		26	21		-	5	9.9		No				0	1	1	8	21	36	24	8	1	0	0		280,288	*
59		25	21		-	6	3.9		No				0	0	0	4	10	30	33	18	5	0	0		284,260	*
58		25	22		-	5	1.3		No				0	0	0	1	4	19	34	28	12	2	0		283,037	*
57		24	22		-	6	0.4		No				0	0	0	0	1	9	26	35	22	6	1		276,106	*
56		24	23		-	5	0.1		No				0	0		0	0	4	16	33	32	13	2		262,530	*
55		23	23		-	6	0.1		No					0		0	0	1	8	26	37	22	5		244,992	*
54		23	24		-	5	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	4	17	37	32	10		222,789	*
53		22	24		-	6	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	1	10	31	40	17		197,874	*
52		22	25		-	5	0.0		No							0		0	1	5	24	44	26		172,591	*
51		21	25		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	3	17	43	37		147,243	*
50		21	26		-	5	Out		No									0	0	1	11	40	48		122,773	*
49		20	26		-	6	Out		No										0	0	7	34	59		100,418	*
48		20	27		-	5	Out		No										0	0	4	28	68		80,179	*
47		19	27		-	6	Out		No										0	0	2	22	76		62,373	*
46		19	28		-	5	Out		No											0	1	17	82		47,856	*
45		18	28		-	6	Out		No											0	0	12	87		35,647	*
44		18	29		-	5	Out		No											0	0	8	91		25,938	*
43		17	29		-	6	Out		No												0	6	94		18,448	*
42		17	30		-	5	Out		No												0	4	96		12,821	*
41		16	30		-	6	Out		No												0	2	98		8,991	*
40		16	31		-	5	Out		No												0	2	98		5,853	*
39		15	31		-	6	Out		No												0	1	99		3,840	*
38		15	32		-	5	Out		No													1	99		2,392	*
37		14	32		-	6	Out		No													0	100		1,479	*
36		14	33		-	5	Out		No													0	100		848	*
3	-35						Out		No														100		1,510	*

Total:							28.8	%	0.5	%	1	2	6	8	7	4	9	9	9	10	11	11	11		4,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Montreal	Calgary	Tampa Bay	Toronto	Florida	Carolina	Winnipeg	Nashville	Ottawa	Dallas	Detroit	Vancouver	Edmonton	Chicago

107		52	0		-	0	3.4	%	1		16	1	15	19	1	16	1	15	11	1	1	4
91		44	8		-	0	No							50		50
90		40	5		-	7	No														Yes
89		42	8		-	2	No		33				67
88		41	8		-	3	11.1		22				11	22	11	11		11				11
87		40	8		-	4	No			19	6		6	25	6	25		6		6
86		40	9		-	3	4.8		5	7	7	7	7	10	5	7		2	17	19		7
85		39	9		-	4	5.9		6	7	9	10	7	7	15	7	3	12	6	3	6	1
84		38	9		-	5	3.7		7	6	9	7	9	9	7	10	9	7	9	6	6
83		37	9		-	6	4.8		7	5	8	6	6	9	9	10	9	6	8	10	5	2
82		37	10		-	5	4.6		8	5	7	9	7	7	7	8	8	9	7	8	7	3
81		37	11		-	4	3.2		7	7	9	7	7	8	9	6	9	7	7	8	7	3
80		36	11		-	5	3.8		6	7	7	8	8	8	7	8	9	7	6	7	6	3
79		35	11		-	6	3.3		7	6	8	8	8	8	9	8	8	8	6	7	6	3
78		35	12		-	5	3.6		6	6	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	7	7	7	6	3
77		34	12		-	6	3.8		7	6	8	7	8	8	9	9	9	7	7	6	6	2
76		34	13		-	5	4.2		6	6	9	7	9	9	8	9	8	8	7	5	5	2
75		33	13		-	6	3.8		6	6	10	6	10	10	7	10	7	9	7	5	5	3
74		33	14		-	5	3.6		5	5	11	6	11	11	6	11	6	9	8	4	4	2
73		32	14		-	6	3.5		4	4	13	5	12	13	5	12	5	10	8	3	3	2
72		32	15		-	5	3.5		3	3	15	4	14	14	4	13	4	11	8	2	3	3
71		31	15		-	6	3.4		3	3	16	3	15	15	3	14	3	12	9	2	2	3
70		31	16		-	5	3.3		2	2	17	2	16	16	2	15	2	12	9	1	1	3
69		30	16		-	6	3.2		2	1	18	2	17	16	1	15	1	13	9	1	1	3
68		30	17		-	5	3.1		2	2	18	2	17	16	1	15	1	13	9	1	0	3
67		29	17		-	6	2.9		2	2	18	2	17	16	1	15	1	12	9	0	0	3
		28	16		-	8	3.0		3	3	18	2	16	15	2	14	1	12	9	0	0	3
66		29	18		-	5	2.7		3	3	17	2	15	15	2	14	1	12	8	1	1	2
		28	17		-	7	2.5		4	3	16	3	15	14	2	13	2	11	8	1	1	2
		30	19		-	3	2.8		3	3	16	3	15	14	2	13	2	11	8	1	1	2
65		28	18		-	6	2.6		4	4	15	3	14	13	3	12	2	10	7	1	1	2
		27	17		-	8	2.4		5	5	13	4	13	12	3	11	2	9	6	1	1	2
64		28	19		-	5	2.2		5	5	12	4	11	11	3	10	2	8	5	1	1	2
		27	18		-	7	2.0		5	5	11	4	10	10	3	9	2	7	5	1	1	2
		29	20		-	3	2.1		5	5	12	4	10	10	3	9	2	7	5	1	1	1
63		27	19		-	6	1.7		5	5	10	4	8	8	3	7	2	5	3	1	1	1
		26	18		-	8	1.5		5	4	8	3	7	6	2	5	2	4	3	1	0	1
62		27	20		-	5	1.1		4	3	6	2	5	5	2	4	1	3	2	0	0	0
61		26	20		-	6	0.6		2	2	4	1	3	3	1	2	1	2	1	0	0	0
60		26	21		-	5	0.3		1	1	2	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
59		25	21		-	6	0.1		0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		25	22		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		25	23		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		24	23		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0			0
55		24	24		-	4	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
54		23	24		-	5	0.0				0		0	0		0		0	0
53		23	25		-	4	No				0		0	0		0		0	0			0
52		22	25		-	5	No				0			0		0		0	0
51		22	26		-	4	No						0			0
3	-50						No

Total:							0.9	%	1.5	1.4	4.7	1.1	4.3	4.1	0.9	3.7	0.7	3.0	2.1	0.3	0.3	0.6

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)	+0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)	+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

Wednesday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

86	-107						100
85		39	9		-	4	99		1
84		38	9		-	5	95	3	1		1
83		37	9		-	6	94	3	3
82		37	10		-	5	93	5	2		0				0
81		37	11		-	4	87	7	5		2
80		36	11		-	5	82	10	6		2	0
79		35	11		-	6	75	13	9	0	3		0
78		35	12		-	5	64	18	13	0	5	0			0
77		34	12		-	6	54	22	16	0	8	0	0		0
76		34	13		-	5	39	27	20	1	12	0	0		0
75		33	13		-	6	27	29	24	2	16	1	0		1				0				0
74		33	14		-	5	16	28	26	5	21	2	1		1				0
73		32	14		-	6	8	24	25	9	24	5	2	0	3	0	0		0				0
72		32	15		-	5	3	18	21	12	25	9	5	0	6	0	0		0				0
71		31	15		-	6	1	11	15	15	22	15	9	1	10	0	0		1	0			0
70		31	16		-	5	0	6	8	16	15	19	14	2	15	2	1	0	2	0	0		0	0
69		30	16		-	6	0	2	4	14	7	20	17	5	20	5	2	0	4	0	0		0	0
68		30	17		-	5	0	1	1	9	3	15	15	10	20	11	5	0	8	0	0		1	0	0
67		29	17		-	6		0	0	5	1	8	9	14	14	18	10	1	14	2	1	0	2	0	0
66		29	18		-	5		0	0	2	0	3	4	13	7	20	13	5	19	7	2	0	5	0	0
65		28	18		-	6		0	0	0	0	1	1	8	2	15	11	10	18	15	5	0	10	2	0	0
64		28	19		-	5				0		0	0	4	0	7	6	13	11	22	10	2	17	6	1	0	0	0
63		27	19		-	6				0		0	0	1	0	2	2	10	4	21	11	7	20	15	6	1	0	0	0
62		27	20		-	5				0		0	0	0		0	0	5	1	12	7	12	14	22	16	8	2	1	0	0	0
61		26	20		-	6								0		0	0	2	0	5	3	12	6	17	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
60		26	21		-	5								0		0	0	1	0	1	1	7	1	7	16	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
59		25	21		-	6								0		0		0		0	0	3	0	2	6	14	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
58		25	22		-	5								0				0		0	0	1	0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
57		24	22		-	6								0				0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
56		24	23		-	5								0				0			0	0		0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	2	0	0
55		23	23		-	6												0				0				0	0	1	2	7	16	24	24	17	7	2	0
54		23	24		-	5												0				0				0	0	0	1	2	8	17	25	25	16	6	1
53		22	24		-	6												0				0					0	0	0	1	3	9	19	28	25	13	3
52		22	25		-	5																0						0	0	0	1	4	12	24	31	22	7
51		21	25		-	6																0							0	0	0	1	6	17	31	32	14
50		21	26		-	5																								0	0	0	2	10	26	38	23
49		20	26		-	6																								0	0	0	1	5	19	40	35
48		20	27		-	5																									0	0	0	2	13	38	47
47		19	27		-	6																										0	0	1	8	33	59
46		19	28		-	5																										0	0	0	4	27	69
45		18	28		-	6																											0	0	2	20	77
44		18	29		-	5																												0	1	15	84
43		17	29		-	6																												0	0	11	89
42		17	30		-	5																													0	7	92
41		16	30		-	6																													0	4	96
40		16	31		-	5																													0	3	97
39		15	31		-	6																													0	2	98
38		15	32		-	5																														1	99
37		14	32		-	6																														1	99
36		14	33		-	5																														1	99
35		13	33		-	6																														0	100
34		13	34		-	5																														0	100
3	-33																																				100

Total:							1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	3	2	2	3	4	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	7