Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 46.8%
3 points   1 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Arizona-5.1-0.4-0.4+5.0+5.6+6.2
-0.3*-0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.6+0.6+0.8
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.2-0.5-0.4-0.7-0.5*+0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose*+0.1-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.2
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-109In99.6%100764*
86399-5In98.2991327*
853910-4In98.71000599*
843810-5In96.299101,033*
833811-4In93.898111,787*
823711-5In91.897213,048*
813712-4In86.695324,803*
803612-5In81.093527,223*
793512-6In73.09073010,943*
783513-5In63.484105016,080*
773413-6In50.977148023,091*
763414-5In38.4681913032,187*
753314-6In25.85823181043,807*
743315-5In15.04628251057,825*
733215-6100.0%7.834313230075,024*
723216-5100.02.922324060093,997*
713116-6100.00.913304710000117,467*
703117-5100.00.26245117100141,059*
693017-699.90.021850263000166,869*
683018-599.60.011144378000192,557*
672918-698.6No053444151100216,577*
662919-595.8No022146233400238,079*
652819-689.5No001140291010100257,289*
642820-577.3No04282619184000272,170*
632720-659.0No011516272612300279,585*
622721-538.7No006726272392000282,270*
612621-621.1No022171930218100278,128*
602622-59.7No010992530196100270,126*
592522-63.8No0004315292915400255,761*
582523-51.3No0001162031271120236,440*
572423-60.3No000021025332271213,880*
562424-50.1No000014153131153190,464*
552324-60.1No0000182336257165,305*
542325-50.0No00000314333513140,919*
532225-60.0No000018274223117,071*
522226-50.0No0000419433495,474*
512126-60.0No000212404675,869*
502127-5OutNo0017355858,940*
492027-6OutNo004286845,713*
482028-5OutNo002217633,759*
471928-6OutNo01168324,716*
461929-5OutNo0118817,947*
451829-6OutNo079312,435*
441830-5OutNo05958,503*
431730-6OutNo03975,651*
421731-5OutNo3973,728*
411631-6OutNo1992,366*
401632-5OutNo1991,509*
391532-6OutNo199918*
381533-5OutNo0100527*
371433-6OutNo100327*
361434-5OutNo0100210*
3-35OutNo100600*
Total:46.8%1.9%45121377777777664,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyMinnesotaNY IslandersSt. LouisNY RangersBostonAnaheimSan JosePittsburghBuffaloLos Angeles
109530-07.3%16191811131409
95456-2NoYes
93447-2NoYes
92415-7No20204020
91427-415.481581583188
90417-54.31794417444131344
89418-4No131622471342167247
88408-57.2187433136115389219
87409-49.31113224156102289357
86399-56.1128742841035812449
853910-45.8111333411585599248
843810-56.310115451141034910536
833811-46.9911445115105597447
823711-56.891055511595598547
813712-46.991155510595588547
803612-56.79105559595589447
793512-66.591055511595578557
783513-56.891055510595578557
773413-66.791155510585588556
763414-56.6101055510585587556
753314-66.3111155511595587446
743315-56.2121254411594488446
733215-66.3131444412494488336
723216-56.11515333133103388337
713116-65.91616333143102298227
703117-55.71817222152112299227
693017-65.61918222152111199117
683018-55.41918221161111199117
672918-65.21918222151111199117
2817-85.11918222152111199117
662919-55.11917333142101188117
3020-35.01817333142101188117
652819-64.6171533313291177116
2718-84.4161444411382266115
642820-53.9151244410362255114
2921-33.914124449362255114
632720-63.01294447341133112
622721-52.0963334221122111
612621-61.0541112110011001
602622-50.5321111010000000
592623-40.2110000000000000
582523-50.1000000000000000
572524-40.0000000000000000
562424-50.0000000000000
552425-40.0000000000
542325-50.00000000
532326-4No0000000
522226-50.00000
512227-4No0
3-50No
Total:2.6%8.67.61.81.71.76.31.44.41.00.93.63.50.80.82.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Arizona+1.1+0.1+0.1-1.1-1.2-1.3
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs San Jose*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
89-109100
88408-5973
87409-4100
86399-59811
853910-49910
843810-596310
833811-494411
823711-592521
813712-487932
803612-58112502
793512-673177030
783513-563211005000
773413-651261418000
763414-5383017112000
753314-62632213161010
743315-5153123521211000
733215-68262392552030000
723216-5319191325105050000
713116-611214162115919000000
703117-5068171420142142101000
693017-6024147201851953030000
683018-50119214161119107070000
672918-6005081115141613113210100
662919-50020351461718518530400
652819-6000011921116111811909100
642820-500040591411151721661000
632720-6000101311412197191461000
622721-500000161614121421167200000
612621-600020261261722181041000
602622-5000100272716222113621000
592522-60000302614212217941000
582523-5000010015121923191252000
572423-6000000014101823211462000
562424-500000138162323167200
552324-60000013816242416720
542325-500001381725251551
532225-600000139202824123
522226-5000014122431216
512126-600001618313113
502127-50000310273822
492027-60016204033
482028-50002143945
471928-60183457
461929-50052867
451829-60032176
441830-5011782
431730-6011287
421731-50891
411631-60694
401632-5496
391532-6397
381533-5199
371433-60100
361434-50100
351334-6100
341335-5496
331336-4397
3-32100
Total:2323333333334343444444444333333