Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Beat Columbus 5-2, playoff odds up 1.7 to 99%
74 points   35 22-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus 2 Pittsburgh 5 +1.3
+0.1
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 +0.2
Carolina 2 New Jersey 3 (ot)*-0.1
NY Rangers 4 Philadelphia 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Washington+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116210-0In45.8%72280220,370
115200-1In26.65545033,661
114201-0In16.343570174,120*
113191-1In8.430690527,593*
112181-2In3.9217901,616,458*
111182-1In1.4138703,779,692*
110172-2In0.5792108,631,581*
109173-1In0.14952016,522,657*
108163-2In0.02953030,582,267*
107164-1In0.019460049,611,609*
106154-2In0.009090077,570,475*
105155-1In0.00851500109,070,908*
104145-2In0.00782110147,691,702*
103146-1InNo070292086,633,312
135-3InNo068302095,945,865*
102136-2InNo05838400121,519,584
125-4InNo0573940095,892,478*
101137-1InNo04745800107,677,738
126-3InNo04446900130,946,956*
100127-2InNo034511510139,333,934
116-4100.0%No0335115100113,108,398*
99117-3100.0No225124300112,748,818*
128-1100.0No0235123300134,916,294*
98118-2100.0No144733600128,208,488
107-4100.0No134634600106,098,330*
97108-3100.0No7374313000115,621,109*
119-1100.0No83941110090,613,843*
96109-2100.0No3284721100175,206,433*
9599-399.9No11746323000138,698,202*
94910-299.6No01040437000105,986,347*
93810-398.5No0429501510075,478,235*
92811-295.4No02195025400051,897,713*
91812-188.5No001043351010033,179,435*
90712-276.6No00431411940020,493,202*
89713-159.9No002193930910011,725,579*
88613-241.2No0093137184006,480,576*
87614-124.1No00420372991003,292,317*
86514-211.8No01113036193001,620,221*
85515-14.6No004193730910723,504*
84415-21.4No011030381830313,760*
83416-10.3No004203929700121,704*
82316-20.0No001103339151045,640*
81317-1OutNo042343263015,025*
80217-2OutNo01133938904,720*
79218-1OutNo00730471421,290*
78118-2OutNo32045284332*
77119-1OutNo1139381171*
76120-0OutNo641351817*
75020-1OutNo50502
74021-0OutNo011445401212,665
Total:99.0%0.0%0353220102100000002,650,795,230

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonTorontoWashingtonPhiladelphiaNew JerseyNY IslandersColumbusFloridaCarolinaNY RangersDetroitOttawaMontrealBuffalo
116210-05.7%0021122151514143200
115200-15.600414251413131222000
114201-05.500416281312121121000
113191-15.300518301211111021000
112181-25.300061932111011911000
111182-15.20007213410910811000
110172-25.100072235989711000
109173-15.100072336989711000
108163-25.000082336979611000
107164-15.000082436978611000
106154-24.900092635878611000
105155-14.900092735867611000
144-34.9000102735867510000
104145-24.8000112934767510000
134-44.8000112934767510000
103146-14.7000123133766510000
135-34.7000133133756510000
102136-24.6000143332655410000
125-44.6000143332655410000
101137-14.5000163530644400000
126-34.5000173530544400000
100127-24.4000193629543300000
116-44.3000203629533300000
138-04.4000193629543300000
99117-34.2000223729432300000
128-14.2000213829432300000
98118-24.1000243828431200000
107-44.1000253828421200000
129-04.1000243828432200000
97108-34.0000273827321200000
119-14.0000273827321200000
96109-23.9100303726320200000
98-43.9100303625320200000
9599-33.8210343423220100000
1010-13.8210333523220100000
94910-23.7430363121210100000
89-43.7430363120210100000
93810-33.6860372717110100000
92811-23.314110342113100000000
91812-12.9191512815900000000
90712-22.322181201060000000
89713-11.721181126300000
88613-21.116141631000000
87614-10.6109021100000
86514-20.355010000000
85515-10.122000000
84415-20.0110000
83416-10.0000000
82316-20.000
74-81No
Total:4.2%1.41.10.120.632.628.14.73.53.13.10.40.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 2 Pittsburgh 5 -0.7
NY Rangers 4 Philadelphia 7 +0.2
Carolina 2 New Jersey 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Washington-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
116210-046262800
115200-127284420
114201-0162653500
113191-18226010000
112181-24176118000
111182-11115829000
110172-207504200000
109173-1033956101000
108163-20228671020000
107164-101187610400000
106154-200108011800000
105155-1005800113100000
104145-20027601192000000
103146-1016900244101000
135-3016700255101000
102136-200570028101020000
125-400570028101120000
101137-100470028181150000
126-300440028191160000
100127-20034002327121111000
116-400330023281211110000
99117-30220016351318321000
128-100230016351317321000
98118-201400103803228330000
107-4013009370322843000
97108-30704330222185800000
119-10704340222175700000
96109-2030226021728517100000
9599-3100170110353291200000
94910-20009005341422500000
93810-300400228050213110000
92811-200200180501241210000
91812-100000100430351342000
90712-20000403104114982000
89713-10000201903903121861000
88613-200009031021128153000
87614-1004020017302610200
86514-201110032433216100
85515-10040114313114300
84415-2010062235259100
83416-100002112934194000
82316-2000041834301120
81317-1019263622500
80217-2031635311320
79218-11724392441
78118-201192835143
77119-1624352763
76120-024351824
75020-1100
74021-00021433361400
Total:0023300131811992802000000000000000