Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Lost to Nashville 0-4, playoff odds down 1 to 97.9%
64 points   28 14-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 0 Nashville 4 -0.6
-0.2
-1.7
-0.4
Washington 3 St. Louis 4 +0.1
-0.1
+0.1
Montreal 2 Arizona 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Rangers vs Florida+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
125-128In99.9%10042,609*
124291-2In97.9100001,691*
123292-1In97.4100005,308*
122282-2In94.51000015,471*
121283-1In91.6990039,737*
120273-2In86.9991095,161*
119263-3In80.697210208,578*
118264-2In72.395410428,893*
117254-3In61.9926200819,341*
116255-2In49.88794001,484,866*
115245-3In37.080146002,523,896*
114246-2In24.9702010004,086,031*
113236-3In14.859261400006,259,132*
112237-2In7.547321911009,146,924*
111227-3In3.2343724320012,719,525*
110228-2In1.1234028540016,955,197*
109218-3In0.313393010700021,589,349*
108219-2In0.173529171110026,392,340*
107209-3In0.032925251621030,909,549*
106199-4In0.012218312142034,830,109*
1051910-3100.0%0.0015123525940037,664,190*
1041810-4100.00.0010635261670039,269,063*
1031811-3100.0No063312325111039,357,702*
1021711-4100.0No031251934162038,044,328*
1011712-3100.0No0201813412240035,410,930*
1001612-499.9No010128432790031,818,507*
991613-399.7No000844230160027,527,870*
981513-499.1No004238302410023,016,795*
971514-397.7No002132283520018,545,248*
961414-494.9No001025244450014,444,413*
951415-390.2No010181952900010,830,802*
941315-483.1No000131456161007,852,666*
931316-373.4No0009956243005,487,552*
921216-461.6No006551326003,703,971*
911217-348.5No00334240111002,410,429*
901117-435.5No0213244182001,513,256*
891118-323.9No0112244266000914,898*
881018-414.5No00014393411100532,697*
871019-37.9No008313919300299,292*
861020-23.8No004223927710161,837*
85920-31.5No001133535132083,961*
84921-20.6No00172639225042,307*
83821-30.2No03173731101019,975*
82822-20.0No019313818309,239*
81722-3OutNo05213927704,108*
80723-2OutNo021534381011,692*
79623-3OutNo163038222689*
78624-2OutNo41841334285*
77524-3OutNo1139371382*
76525-2OutNo345341838*
75425-3OutNo25502512*
73-74OutNo1002*
64032-0OutNo0295242,077
Total:97.9%1.2%6131018121912920000000507,564,620

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayMontrealDetroitNY IslandersNY RangersWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaPhiladelphiaTorontoNew JerseyColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
128320-05.9%1264432337721100
127310-1No14736367
126300-23.145644283563111
125301-17.423533333269310
124291-25.321635293585321
123292-15.6225443033873110
122282-25.92264430338631000
121283-15.92354529348631000
120273-26.023545293486310000
119263-35.923645283486310000
118264-25.923655283486310000
117254-35.823655283386210000
116255-25.833656283376210000
115245-35.834766273275210000
114246-25.744867273165210000
113236-35.645978262954210000
112237-25.5561088252754100000
111227-35.4781199232543100000
110228-25.289131010212332100000
109218-35.11011141111182122100000
108219-24.91113161112161821000000
107209-34.81314171212131611000000
106199-44.61516181212111411000000
1051910-34.5161719121391210000000
189-54.5161719121391210000000
1041810-44.4181820131381000000000
1031811-34.219192013137900000000
1710-54.219192013137900000000
1021711-44.120202013136700000000
1011712-34.020202014146600000000
1001612-43.921201915155500000000
991613-33.921201916155400000000
981513-43.821201817164300000000
971514-33.721201717164300000000
961414-43.521191717153200000000
951415-33.32019161614320000000
941315-43.01918151513210000000
931316-32.71716131311210000000
921216-42.2151411119110000000
911217-31.81211987110000000
901117-41.398765100000000
891118-30.966443000000000
881119-20.5333220000000
871019-30.3221110000
861020-20.111110000
85920-30.10000000
84921-20.0000000
83821-3No000000
82822-2No0
64-81No
Total:4.3%16.216.417.313.012.79.610.81.00.70.20.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 0 Nashville 4 +0.8
Washington 3 St. Louis 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Florida+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128320-01000
126-127100
125301-1991
124291-298200
123292-197200
122282-295500
121283-192800
120273-2871210
119263-3811720100
118264-2722340100
117254-36230602000
116255-25037904000
115245-3374314060000
114246-2254619181000
113236-3154425211200000
112237-2839293145101000
111227-3331316159302000
110228-21213091414504000
109218-30132612111910061000
108219-2072014821170921000
107209-303141542124012420100
106199-40181321730113840200
1051910-3004111113231312904000
1041810-4002806305101516070000
1031811-301503247716250110100
1021711-400301168415331161200
1011712-3001001082113822024000
1001612-40010057173852349000
991613-30000250433923615000
981513-4000140225132110241100
971514-30000201161615133322000
961414-40000100916101538650000
951415-300100414514391391000
941315-400002112123224142000
931316-30000181822331961000
921216-400005051239211341000
911217-30003035371819113000
901117-40020123113221982000
891118-30010102271925176100
881018-400000143132526144100
871019-3000816192924102000
861020-2000402112530207100
85920-300101516292915400
84921-200100282231251020
83821-3000313283219510
82822-200161833291120
81722-30021027352150
80723-21419343291
79623-302832342030
78624-20518422940
77524-31123340112
76525-233739183
75425-31750258
74325-4100
73326-3100
64032-00448461
Total:15763714357163937210000000000000