Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 84%
69 points   31 21-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Los Angeles vs Washington+1.0+0.2*+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.6
Columbus vs Tampa Bay-0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.0-0.2+0.5
-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
San Jose vs Boston+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.2*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey vs Pittsburgh-5.9-1.0-1.1+3.1+3.7+3.7
-0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2
Carolina vs NY Rangers-0.7-0.8-0.5+0.4+0.4+1.5
-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Columbus-0.5-1.0-0.8*-0.1-0.2+1.0
Florida vs Buffalo+0.4*-0.0*-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay-0.4-0.5-0.4*+0.0*+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
115230-0In1.7%2961535
114220-1InNo294447
113221-0In0.51946187*
112211-1In0.208911549*
111201-2InNo084161,860*
110202-1InNo79214,483*
109192-2InNo7129010,819*
108193-1InNo06138021,467*
107183-2InNo53471041,233*
106184-1InNo43552071,032*
105174-2InNo346340117,062*
104175-1InNo246870174,133*
103165-2InNo17691310249,847*
102155-3InNo11662220328,174*
101156-2100.0%No65930400227,935
145-4100.0No65831400188,866*
100146-3100.0No34740910221,849
157-1100.0No34839810266,694*
99147-299.9No136451420295,103
136-499.9No135451530256,844*
98137-399.5No1234722700270,243
148-199.6No1254721600316,106*
97138-298.6No01543271310313,646
127-498.3No01442281420281,083*
96128-395.4No0734302440264,959
139-195.6No0835292340305,114*
95129-290.2No04262734900272,725
118-488.9No032426351100250,825*
94119-378.5No0115204220100211,592
1210-179.3No021621411910243,212*
931110-264.2No19134231400379,166*
921010-346.7No004735431010298,739*
911011-230.0No023254919200226,588*
90911-316.5No011154830600162,562*
89912-27.8No000739391210112,133*
88812-33.0No00328442140072,587*
87813-20.9No00117413191044,937*
86713-30.2No0083339172026,732*
85714-20.1No042241276015,129*
84614-30.0No011235371317,858*
83615-2OutNo06264222303,901*
82515-3OutNo03174133701,933*
81516-2OutNo183345131883*
80517-1OutNo32647232346*
79417-2OutNo111245338153*
78317-3OutNo1029528262*
77318-2OutNo5253530520*
76319-1OutNo208010*
74220-1OutNo1001
69023-0OutNo13267524
Total:84.0%0.0%04252614151141000006,562,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoBostonColumbusWashingtonCarolinaMontrealBuffaloPhiladelphiaFloridaNY RangersNew JerseyDetroitOttawa
115230-04.9%115232016322110
114220-16.4221528133064
113221-08.02242518143222
112211-14.411422241923210
111201-24.811424221825210
110202-14.4114252517241110
109192-24.12132726182121000
108193-14.221329281818110000
107183-24.531231291815110000
106184-14.131233291713110000
105174-24.2412353017101100000
104175-14.1050136311781000000
164-34.106013730177100000
103165-23.907013831175000000
154-43.907013830175000000
102155-33.809013930173000000
166-13.909013930174000000
101156-23.8011003930172000000
145-43.801200392917200000
100146-33.711500382816100000
157-13.711500382816100000
99147-23.62190037261510000000
136-43.5320003625151000000
158-03.721900362715100000
98137-33.572400332213000000
148-13.552300332413000000
126-53.482500322112000000
97138-23.3132700281911000000
127-43.3152800271710000000
149-03.3132700281911000000
96128-33.124280022138000000
139-13.022280023158000000
117-52.92727002012700000
95129-22.83325001610600000
118-42.6352400158500000
1310-02.7332500161050000
94119-32.2411800105300000
1210-12.2411900106300000
931110-21.84212006320000
109-41.7411100632000
921010-31.235600311000
911011-20.7253001100000
90911-30.41510000000
89912-20.270000000
88913-10.13000000
87813-20.010000
86814-1No00
85714-2No0
84715-1No0
69-83No
Total:2.9%15.115.90.10.223.917.19.71.40.10.30.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs Washington-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Tampa Bay+0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.0+0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs Pittsburgh+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6
Carolina vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Montreal vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
115230-020961
114220-12944
113221-019451
112211-1089191
111201-208221411
110202-17541524
109192-264717390
108193-1052917616000
107183-24013148240100
106184-1281510103502000
105174-218156104513010
104175-11014395426020
103165-25121656590410
102155-32804511111010020
101156-2150241161211704000
145-4150240171211804000
100146-3030126211022809010
157-1030127211022708010
99147-2010015217235014020
136-4010014217236015030
98137-3010061742392220700
148-101071842391210600
97138-20002132237327013010
127-40002121236327114020
96128-300170128528124040
139-100170129528123040
95129-200400196252340900
118-4003001862423501100
94119-3001009617341020100
1210-1002001061734101910
931110-201004510341031400
921010-30002343341431010
911011-20001122424919200
90911-3001011324730600
89912-20000052383913200
88812-30000212543235100
87813-2000114373312200
86713-300062436248100
85714-200212293218610
84614-300416292915510
83615-20161928261541
82515-30282029251231
81516-20282130241130
80517-129233222103
79417-221224332181
78317-381821291510
77318-215203020510
76319-110305010
74220-1100
69023-0083953
Total:002311149411921311501041000000000000