"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 1-4, playoff odds down 0.3 to 99.5%
95 points   42 24-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 1 Philadelphia 4 -0.3
-0.1
No
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa vs Tampa Bay-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Detroit vs Boston+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Montreal vs Washington+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10550-0InNo0010042,320,069
10440-1InNo00918043,017,038
10341-0InNo78211133,431,908
30-2InNo6731216,954,912
10231-1InNo48448105,199,849
20-3InNo3950113,228,488
10132-0InNo2953180163,138,278
21-2InNo195724030,012,467
10-4InNo1260280293,934
10022-1100.0%No847440093,081,759
11-3100.0No54549103,652,190
00-5InNo34552110,135
9923-0100.0No336583096,237,812
12-299.9No132625016,980,794
01-499.9No0316260158,541
9813-199.4No0166815135,117,155
02-399.1No01466191979,438
9714-095.3No095234527,217,121
03-293.1No7454173,036,968
9604-183.2No23051174,710,718
9505-061.5No11248392,987,926
Total:99.5%No0038342430821,767,500

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY RangersMontrealTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitWashingtonBostonOttawaFlorida
10550-03.6%058042000
10440-13.60006203800
10341-03.501062037
30-23.501166032
10231-13.424362030
20-33.426365024
10132-03.339557024
21-23.3413758018
10-43.3514860012
10022-13.29241242013
11-33.21026144208
00-53.01028154305
9923-03.21332163207
12-23.21634173003
01-43.31735173001
9813-13.12540191402
02-33.12839181400
9714-02.9373316801
03-22.8423014700
9604-12.5482311200
9505-01.842126100
Total:3.3%6.913.46.949.60.022.80.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 1 Philadelphia 4 +1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Washington-0.4-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.4+0.4
Columbus vs NY Islanders-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3
Chicago vs Vancouver-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10550-0000317773
10440-10000874935000
10341-0025323316210
30-2014620423310
10231-1002621234854
20-3021172381165
10132-09200351716120
21-25130332318160
10-4490322719190
10022-117020243936000
11-314016263940100
00-512152739421
9923-003081984533000
12-20105189457500
01-4004189458600
9813-100017826614110
02-30016726417210
9714-00002705225950
03-2016045281270
9604-10020302527151
9505-00112113728100
Total:00002231311912242021000