Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%
82 points   37 14-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto 1 NY Rangers 2 (so)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Edmonton-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.5+0.5+1.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128230-0In98.6%99149,505
127220-1In95.496413,804
126221-0In92.293768,957*
125211-1In86.88812189,773*
124201-2In79.982180559,923*
123202-1In70.6742601,223,019*
122192-2In60.1653502,669,174*
121193-1In48.2554504,822,826*
120183-2In36.64554008,544,976*
119184-1In25.735641013,161,436*
118174-2In16.8270712019,778,448*
117175-1In9.8190774026,557,487*
116165-2In5.3130808034,670,203*
115166-1In2.6807913020,374,559
155-3In2.3707814020,811,324*
114156-2In1.0407421126,674,324
145-4In1.0407421120,832,430*
113157-1In0.4206729223,630,232
146-3In0.3206431326,777,726*
112147-2In0.11055395028,781,391
136-4In0.11054395023,125,312*
111148-1In0.00044469022,313,764
137-3In0.000424810027,222,069*
110138-2In0.000325216025,196,964
127-4In0.000315217020,691,145*
109128-3In0.000215326039,571,438*
108129-2In0.000135037033,154,649*
107119-3In0.00084449025,916,641*
1061110-2InNo0043660019,668,325*
1051010-3InNo0022771013,977,994*
1041011-2100.0%No0011979009,632,522*
103911-3100.0No01386106,212,287*
102912-2100.0No0890203,890,206*
101913-1100.0No0592302,276,731*
100813-2100.0No0392501,291,952*
99814-1100.0No019080684,304*
98714-2100.0No1861300350,991*
97715-199.7No0802000166,997*
96615-298.9No071281077,180*
95616-196.4No0583830032,987*
94516-289.5No0444691013,721*
93517-176.6No2848194005,146*
92417-257.7No1543329101,916*
91418-135.9No72938225582*
90318-216.8No21531331541185*
89319-13.8No22344317253*
88219-2OutNo191956616*
87220-1OutNo67333*
86221-0OutNo50502
82023-0OutNo004194131646,061
Total:100.0%3.9%70473017000000000555,713,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersFloridaTampa BayBuffaloCarolinaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyDetroit
128230-08.4%12461110538212000
127220-17.93245910517312100
126221-08.0534599507212100
125211-17.90954599477212100
124201-27.801374488446212100
123202-17.501893477406212100
122192-27.2023123467355212100
121193-16.9029162356304111100
120183-26.6035192245243111100
119184-16.3141232234193111000
118174-26.0146261133142101000
117175-15.7250291122101100000
116165-25.535331111171000000
176-05.535331111171000000
115166-15.345633011141000000
155-35.345533111141000000
114156-25.145634111120000000
145-45.245634111120000000
113157-15.155734110010000000
146-35.155634110010000000
112147-25.155534221110000000
136-45.155534221110000000
111148-15.155432431100000000
137-35.255232441100000000
110138-25.444930662200000000
127-45.444930662200000000
109128-35.74442610103201000000
139-15.6444271093201000000
108129-26.03382214144301000000
118-46.03382214144301000000
107119-36.52311818186401000000
1061110-26.92241422237502000000
1051010-37.31181026279602000000
1041011-27.61137293110702000000
103911-37.8184323311703000000
102912-28.0253333511803000000
101913-18.0332333611803000000
100813-28.0521333611803000000
99814-17.98113236118030000
98714-27.81211313411703000
97715-17.6181128321073000
96615-27.226112529962000
95616-16.7352120247502000
94516-25.742211519541000
93517-14.84431101332100
92417-23.53931652110
91418-11.22711250
90318-21.613211
89319-1No22
82-88No
Total:5.7%3.345.927.26.76.82.72.23.51.00.20.10.20.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 1 NY Rangers 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128230-09901
127220-19504
126221-09207
125211-187112
124201-2802180
123202-1713260
122192-2605350
121193-14874500
120183-237954000
119184-1261064010
118174-21710071020
117175-1109077040
116165-2570079080
115166-13500781130
155-3250771140
114156-21300722211
145-4130712211
113157-10200634292
146-30200604313
112147-2010049603950
136-401004963950
111148-1000037746090
137-30000348480100
110138-200002480520160
127-400002380520170
109128-300001480530260
108129-20000760500370
107119-30000350440490
1061110-20001300360600
1051010-300020027007100
1041011-2000100190079000
103911-30000130086010
102912-2000080090020
101913-1000040092030
100813-20000200092050
99814-1000100090080
98714-200008511300
97715-1000078220000
96615-2000067428010
95616-10000517380300
94516-20003311451910
93517-1181146219400
92417-27839432910
91418-13422737225
90318-228830341451
89319-1222642254
88219-2619696
87220-16733
86221-05050
82023-000182232251020
Total:4300434003000017000000000000000