Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Beat Columbus 5-3, playoff odds up 0.03 to 99.95%
81 points   36 17-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 5 Columbus 3 +0.0
+0.1
+0.6
Florida 4 Tampa Bay 3 +0.2
Dallas 1 Anaheim 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose vs Montreal+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
NY Rangers vs Nashville+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121200-0In97.9%9910405,801
120190-1In94.89820365,590
119191-0In90.396311,724,198*
118181-1In83.1936104,257,827*
117182-0In73.388102011,664,369*
116172-1In60.280154022,770,339*
115162-2In45.671228046,062,203*
114163-1In30.4582913074,566,682*
113153-2In17.545361900121,615,724*
112154-1In8.231412710167,971,364*
111144-2In3.019423720130,810,985
155-0In3.11942362099,960,200*
110145-1In0.910404550162,294,472
134-3In0.79394660114,878,495*
109135-2In0.243352100186,944,449
146-0In0.243352100141,885,007*
108136-1In0.022556170193,306,796
125-3In0.012356190154,347,059*
107126-2In0.0016552810205,359,045
137-0In0.0016552810156,477,935*
106127-1In0.0010503820181,954,778
116-3In0.009474130157,544,106*
105117-2In0.005405060177,179,426
128-0In0.005405060135,946,467*
104118-1InNo023057100137,399,913
107-3InNo022759120124,787,368*
103108-2100.0%No0119611900121,713,457
119-0100.0No011961190093,846,582*
102109-1100.0No0011592900161,512,430*
10199-2100.0No06543910118,872,347*
100910-1100.0No0345503079,736,879*
99810-2100.0No01355760052,564,599*
98811-199.8No0126611200031,537,934*
97711-299.4No001961201018,621,225*
96712-198.2No00125630209,946,295*
95612-295.4No0847414005,247,844*
94613-190.1No05365010002,483,956*
93513-281.2No03245418101,165,656*
92514-168.5No115522840482,674*
91414-253.2No184538800199,517*
90415-136.8No033345162071,564*
89315-222.7No012147264025,723*
88316-111.3No001140381107,756*
87216-25.5No005324319102,381*
86217-11.8No21943315559*
85117-2OutNo13314313166*
84118-1OutNo43391828*
83018-2OutNo67333*
82019-1OutNo1002
81020-00.0No00329481820299,325
Total:100.0%3.2%91836288100000003,610,819,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY RangersNY IslandersDetroitTampa BayWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaColumbusToronto
121200-08.5%00111955171510000
120190-18.5001111054181320000
119191-08.5002111153181320000
118181-18.4003111351171220000
117182-08.3014111548171220000
116172-18.2017111845151020000
115162-28.0021011224014910000
114163-17.8031511263412810000
113153-27.504211130279610000
112154-17.306270134207410000
111144-27.009340034134300000
155-07.009340035145300000
110145-16.801241003393200000
134-36.701341003382100000
109135-26.501646003051100000
146-06.501646003051100000
108136-16.301851002631000000
125-36.301951002531000000
107126-26.102154002220000000
137-06.202153002320000000
115-46.102254002120000000
106127-16.012355002010000000
116-35.912455001910000000
105117-25.812556001710000000
128-05.812456001810000000
106-45.812655001600000000
104118-15.722655111500000000
107-35.722755111500000000
103108-25.632853111300000000
119-05.63285311130000000
102109-15.55295122110000000
98-35.553050221100000000
10199-25.5732472290000000
100910-15.51034433370000000
99810-25.41335394350000000
98811-15.41736345440000000
97711-25.42136296430000000
96712-15.32634247520000000
95612-25.130312085200000
94613-14.83228159510000
93513-24.33223128410000
92514-13.63018884100
91414-22.8251366300
90415-11.918935200
89315-21.21152310
88316-10.563121
87216-20.4310100
86217-10.211000
82-85No
81020-0No00
Total:6.3%1.819.745.30.80.722.06.22.01.20.20.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Columbus 3 -0.4
Florida 4 Tampa Bay 3 -0.1
Washington 4 Toronto 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Nashville+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121200-098110
120190-195320
119191-0906310
118181-1831060100
117182-073151002000
116172-160201504000
115162-246252108000
114163-1302829012000
113153-2182735118100000
112154-1823383242101000
111144-2316376275402000
155-0316376275402000
110145-119319279905000
134-31830926101006000
109135-2042211221318010000
146-0042211211318010000
108136-10213121415270160100
125-3011211131528017110
107126-20061071335023240100
137-0007107133502224100
106127-100373937126490200
116-3002628361274100300
105117-2001414322257180600
128-0001414322257180600
104118-10020225419102801000
107-30020222419103001200
103108-2001011541211390180000
102109-1000008469440261000
98-3000007359450291000
10199-200003326441363100
100910-100001213392418300
99810-2000010230342166000
98811-10000012153625111000
97711-20000001362734182100
96712-100000761640246200
95612-20003583926154000
94613-10014333232791000
93513-200021241539135100
92514-10101574516114000
91414-201083421419112000
90415-100313392322810
89315-2010214193118510
88316-1001111030301430
87216-200505203424910
86217-122828351860
85117-24172739102
84118-14294621
83018-23367
82019-1100
81020-000011135391210
Total:35136106181123120710000000000000