Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Beat Washington 5-4 (ot), playoff odds up 5.6 to 34.5%
4 points   2 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+3.7
+0.1
+0.2
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +0.1
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
85-108In99.3%100747*
843810-4In96.4991332*
833710-5In93.1982577*
823610-6In90.596211,002*
813611-5In86.994511,661*
803511-6In79.892622,781*
793512-5In70.988934,470*
783412-6In61.7831356,726*
773413-5In49.676187010,276*
763313-6In35.9662311015,028*
753314-5In24.1562915021,784*
743214-6In14.34533211030,402*
733215-5In6.93236292041,367*
723115-6100.0%2.821373750055,438*
713116-5100.00.812344490071,634*
703016-6100.00.26284915100091,500*
693017-599.90.022050243000113,392*
682917-699.60.011245357000137,000*
672918-598.7No063543141100162,534*
662818-695.9No022246224400188,488*
652819-589.2No011140271110100213,361*
642719-676.5No04282421194000236,630*
632720-557.4No011415272613300256,057*
622620-636.5No06625262510200271,518*
612621-519.2No0221618302292000279,947*
602521-68.3No000882531207100284,733*
592522-52.9No0003314283017510283,198*
582422-60.9No0001161831281330273,311*
572423-50.3No000002924332481259,452*
562323-60.1No000003143033173241,482*
552324-50.0No0000172236277218,504*
542224-60.0No0000313333615193,916*
532225-50.0No000017264224169,130*
522125-60.0No0003184336143,498*
512126-50.0No00001114048118,806*
502026-6OutNo016345997,460*
492027-5OutNo003276977,402*
481927-6OutNo002217760,512*
471928-5OutNo01158445,598*
461828-6OutNo00118933,668*
451829-5OutNo079324,635*
441729-6OutNo059517,701*
431730-5OutNo039712,408*
421630-6OutNo02988,344*
411631-5OutNo1995,650*
401531-6OutNo1993,578*
391532-5OutNo1992,382*
381432-6OutNo01001,386*
371433-5OutNo0100818*
361333-6OutNo0100510*
351334-5OutNo0100318*
4-34OutNo100694*
Total:34.5%0.8%238105667788910114,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyMinnesotaNY IslandersArizonaSt. LouisNY RangersBostonAnaheimSan JoseBuffaloLos Angeles
108520-03.4%017172011301013190
94435-4NoYes
91427-3No5050
90395-8No2020202020
89418-3No17258178178
88397-64.85102414555514510
87398-55.1337158192738887
86399-44.23678941413695795
85389-53.6241114124817993565
843810-43.94510121041234793495
833710-53.8341081158757864104
823610-64.2451011105855974575
813611-54.14510101051056895465
803511-64.545991051056885575
793512-54.84599106965875474
783412-64.7441010106956785574
773413-54.545109106965885574
763313-64.5451110105955785564
753314-54.3451110105955875464
743214-64.24511111151055874464
733215-54.54412121241044784464
723115-64.03413131341134883373
713116-53.93314151431233982272
703016-63.92216161521322992272
693017-53.72217161621311991171
682917-63.62217171611411991181
2816-83.521171716113119101171
672918-53.42217171611311991171
3019-33.52217161621311991171
662818-63.33216161621311991171
2717-83.24315151521211881171
652819-53.05314141421122881161
2718-72.95413131331022771161
2920-33.05414141331022771161
642719-62.6641212113922661141
2618-82.4641010103822551141
632720-51.9648883622331131
622620-61.2435552311221111
612621-50.6223331211110010
602521-60.3111110100000000
592522-50.1001110000000000
582523-40.0000000000000000
572423-50.0000000000000000
562424-40.00000000000000
552425-30.000000000
542325-40.00000000
532326-30.0000000
522327-2No000
512126-5No0
4-50No
Total:1.2%1.81.45.25.25.01.14.00.80.72.72.70.60.62.10.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-108100
86399-4991
85389-5982
843810-49631
833710-59352
823610-6916201
813611-587751
803511-6801262
793512-57117903
783412-6622112050
773413-550261716000
763313-6363022210000
753314-5243125314100
743214-614302761821100
733215-57252611225302000
723115-631822152295040000
713116-511115191914101800000
703016-60691913181621321010000
693017-5024176181961753030000
682917-601111213181217107070000
672918-5006071116121514212110100
662818-60020251561619617540400
652819-500100191101612161110192000
642719-6000040491510151831661000
632720-5000101311312198191562000
622620-6000005151312132217831000
612621-5000202511616221911510000
602521-6000000161715222115731000
592522-500003016132023181041000
582422-60000100141118232013620000
572423-5000000001391723221572000
562323-60000000137152323178200
552324-50000012715232517820
542224-600000271625261661
532225-5000000138192826133
522125-600013112431237
512126-500001517313214
502026-6000210263823
492027-50015194134
481927-60002133946
471928-500183457
461828-60042868
451829-5022276
441729-60011683
431730-511288
421630-600891
411631-50694
401531-60396
391532-50298
381432-6298
371433-5199
361333-60100
351334-5199
4-34100
Total:1112122222333342444444444555555