Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.3 to 69.5%
6 points   3 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey 3 NY Rangers 4 (ot)-0.4
Chicago 4 Philadelphia 0 +0.4
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 1 +0.3
Calgary 1 Tampa Bay 2 (ot)*-0.2
NY Islanders 2 Toronto 5 +0.2
+0.1
Colorado 3 Florida 4 (ot)*-0.2
Boston 5 San Jose 3 -0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia+3.1+2.8+2.4-1.7-1.7-5.7
+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
+0.9+0.9+0.7-0.6-0.5-1.6
Edmonton vs Washington+0.3+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.0
-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Anaheim vs Buffalo+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128-162In100.0%10016,595*
1275714-7In99.910003,234*
1265614-8In99.91005,518*
1255615-7In99.8100009,114*
1245515-8In99.71000014,675*
1235516-7In99.51000023,506*
1225416-8In99.31000035,966*
1215417-7In99.01000054,938*
1205317-8In98.51000082,465*
1195318-7In97.79900120,586*
1185218-8In96.49911172,592*
1175118-9In94.798110244,702*
1165119-8In92.497210339,586*
1155019-9In89.096220463,411*
1145020-8In84.694420620,973*
1134920-9In78.991540816,961*
1124921-8In71.88875001,057,184*
1114821-9In63.28497001,346,441*
1104822-8In53.478129001,684,693*
1094722-9In42.8711612002,076,147*
1084723-8In32.16320161002,515,645*
1074623-9In22.35424201002,997,106*
1064624-8100.0%14.045272530003,513,009*
1054524-9100.07.735303040004,056,263*
1044525-8100.03.726323570004,606,659*
1034425-9100.01.5183240101005,148,821*
1024426-8100.00.51130431420005,666,075*
1014326-9100.00.1627441930006,140,918*
1004327-8100.00.0322442561006,556,541*
994227-999.90.01174130920006,892,734*
984228-899.60.0112363413300007,132,155*
974128-998.8No08303718610007,275,239*
964129-896.7No0523372111300007,300,880*
954029-992.0No03173422166100007,225,746*
944030-883.4No0111292021124100007,043,198*
933930-970.2No017231524198200006,764,778*
923931-853.5No0041710222415610006,397,017*
913831-936.1No0212517252212410005,960,434*
903832-821.4No017211222619820005,473,191*
893732-911.1No004161626251551004,954,004*
883733-85.0No0020210212822113004,420,200*
873633-92.1No001015142628186103,881,467*
863634-80.8No000002820292512303,364,627*
853534-90.3No000001413263019612,868,681*
843535-80.1No00000282031261122,413,975*
833435-90.0No00000141428321831,999,127*
823436-80.0No000002823352571,632,909*
813336-90.0No000014173433111,313,953*
803337-80.0No00002113138171,041,555*
793237-9OutNo0017254224814,431*
783238-8OutNo0004204333626,293*
773138-9OutNo002144241476,241*
763139-8OutNo001103950354,918*
753039-9OutNo00163558261,773*
743040-8OutNo0043066189,717*
732940-9OutNo0022573136,218*
722941-8OutNo01207995,780*
712841-9OutNo01168365,863*
702842-8OutNo00128744,826*
692742-9OutNo099030,240*
682743-8OutNo079320,253*
672643-9OutNo059513,225*
662644-8OutNo04968,374*
652544-9OutNo3975,373*
642545-8OutNo2983,333*
632445-9OutNo1992,008*
622446-8OutNo1991,285*
612346-9OutNo199724*
602347-8OutNo0100427*
6-59OutNo10012,904*
Total:69.5%5.8%121019167665544321148,910,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonTampa BayOttawaMontrealDetroitColumbusNY IslandersNew JerseyNY RangersTorontoBostonFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffalo
162780-09.3%667787877877552
139649-5NoYes
1386410-433.3333333
137629-7NoYes
136608-10No11221122111111
1356110-711.512124415481241288
1346111-615.37810314514231012372
1336011-75.4934839411118116643
1326012-67.06568851079884745
1316013-58.47757579109887652
1305913-69.2657667979776872
1295813-78.5777777887777663
1285713-88.88776689910766652
1275714-78.9766678998676563
1265614-89.1767669998776652
1255615-79.4766778988777662
1245515-89.4766778898777652
1235516-79.2766678898776652
1225416-89.1766678989776652
1215417-79.0766779998776662
1205317-89.2766779998776662
1195318-79.1766679998776662
1185218-89.2766679998776662
1175118-99.1766679998776662
1165119-89.1766669998776662
1155019-99.1766679998776662
1145020-89.1866669998766662
1134920-99.1866669998666662
1124921-89.0866669998666662
1114821-99.0866669998666652
1104822-89.095666101099666652
1094722-98.9955661010109665652
1084723-88.81055661010109655652
1074623-98.71155551111109555652
1064624-88.71255551212119554651
1054524-98.51344551212119444651
1044525-88.41444441313119444651
1034425-98.315444413131210433651
1024426-88.116334414141210333651
1014326-97.916333314141310332651
1004327-87.817333315151310222651
994227-97.618333315151310222650
984228-87.418333315151310222650
974128-97.218443315141310221550
964129-87.01844431414129221550
954029-96.51755441312118221540
944030-85.9155544111197211430
933930-94.91355439986111330
923931-83.71044337664111220
913831-92.5733224443110110
903832-81.4422113322000110
893732-90.7211111111000000
883733-80.3100001110000000
873633-90.1000000000000000
863634-80.1000000000000000
853534-90.0000000000000000
843535-80.0000000000000000
833536-70.00000000000000
823436-80.000000000000
813437-70.000000000
803438-6No000
6-79No
Total:5.4%11.03.23.23.02.99.29.18.16.42.12.01.83.73.40.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 2 Toronto 5 -0.1
New Jersey 3 NY Rangers 4 (ot)*+0.1
Chicago 4 Philadelphia 0 -0.1
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia-0.7-0.6-0.5+0.4+0.4+1.2
Edmonton vs Washington-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-162100
1316013-51000
129-130100
1285713-81000
1275714-710000
1265614-81000
1255615-7100000
1245515-8100000
1235516-7100000
1225416-899100
1215417-799100
1205317-898100
1195318-798200
1185218-896211
1175118-9953110
1165119-892520100
1155019-9897202000
1145020-8859402000
1134920-97913504000
1124921-872167050000
1114821-963209070000
1104822-8532512090000
1094722-943281511200000
1084723-832311911510010000
1074623-922322221911010000
1064624-81431234213103000000
1054524-982724623520400000
1044525-84222210238406000000
1034425-911619132012709001000
1024426-80111416161611012100200000
1014326-9061017101814115310300000
1004327-80361651817317530601000
994227-901314215177159609020000
984228-80111111015111213100121300000
974128-9008061014715141143601000
964129-80050361531416415610030000
954029-9003013131101681210152610000
944030-80010011006121271317412410000
933930-900100070371431215917931000
923931-800000401313199131916820000
913831-900002001100541316211672000000
903832-80000100070219920231683100000
893732-9000000401054122123178310000
883733-8000000200021513222317931000
873633-90000010010161421231810410000
863634-800000000026142224181031000
853534-90000000000261422241893100
843535-80000000027152325178200
833435-9000000013817252415610
823436-800000013102027231230
813336-900000151324282071
803337-80000027182927143
793237-900013122532216
783238-800001719332911
773138-9000313303617
763139-800018254025
753039-90015194134
743040-80002144044
732940-900193653
722941-80163262
712841-90042769
702842-80022176
692742-9011782
682743-8011386
672643-901090
662644-80793
652544-90694
642545-80496
632445-9298
622446-8298
612346-9199
602347-8199
592247-90100
6-58100
Total:665555544443434244333222221111