Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.004 to 99.98%
65 points   30 11-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 6 Carolina 1 -0.0
-0.5
NY Rangers 3 Los Angeles 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs St. Louis+1.1+1.0+0.8-1.1-1.1-2.6
NY Islanders vs Columbus+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4
Ottawa vs Washington+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+1.3+0.4+0.4-0.5-0.7-0.7
Dallas vs Minnesota+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
137360-0In100.0%1000367,035
136350-1InYes100234
135351-0In99.810001,424*
134341-1In99.910005,837*
133331-2In99.8100021,627*
132332-1In99.6100065,291*
131322-2In99.29901185,623*
130323-1In98.599010458,234*
129313-2In97.3980201,066,732*
128303-3In95.3960402,250,885*
127304-2In92.4930704,494,732*
126294-3In88.19001008,339,702*
125295-2In82.285015014,691,204*
124285-3In74.6780211024,336,780*
123286-2In65.5700282038,446,992*
122276-3In55.1610363057,569,100*
121277-2In44.1520435082,539,321*
120267-3In33.34204990112,822,288*
119268-2In23.632053150148,101,697*
118258-3In15.5240552200186,047,825*
117259-2In9.4160533000225,052,084*
116249-3In5.1100493910261,293,710*
115239-4In2.560434920292,747,834*
1142310-3In1.130355740315,578,358*
1132210-4In0.420276470328,690,966*
1122211-3In0.1102068110330,074,055*
1112111-4In0.0001469170320,701,408*
1102112-3In0.000967230300,822,643*
1092012-4In0.000663310273,260,592*
1082013-3In0.000357400239,945,320*
1071913-4In0.000250480204,174,697*
1061914-3100.0%0.0001425700168,071,618*
1051814-4100.0No000346500134,200,948*
1041815-3100.0No000277200103,686,808*
1031715-4100.0No00021790077,705,496*
1021716-3100.0No016841056,392,365*
1011616-4100.0No0118710039,717,677*
1001617-3100.0No08902027,082,785*
991517-4100.0No059140017,915,805*
981518-399.9No039070011,477,906*
971418-499.7No0287110007,131,124*
961419-399.1No181171004,293,419*
951319-497.6No1732420002,506,976*
941320-394.3No0613350001,417,080*
931220-487.8No0484011100775,167*
921221-376.9No03443194000409,761*
911121-461.5No02141289200210,190*
901122-343.6No0113234175100103,656*
891022-426.4No052134261130049,733*
881023-313.0No211273120710022,672*
871024-25.0No051730281541010,166*
86924-31.8No029223024103004,402*
85925-20.3No0313243120711,812*
84825-30.1No0171829241560735*
83826-2OutNo28243322102305*
82726-3OutNo7132828204109*
81626-4OutNo31331341932*
80627-3OutNo55337519*
79527-4OutNo1003*
78528-3OutNo1001
65036-0OutNo0100367,000
Total:100.0%6.5%902446210000000004,427,710,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusMontrealNY RangersTorontoOttawaBostonCarolinaNY IslandersBuffaloPhiladelphiaTampa BayFloridaDetroitNew Jersey
137360-08.7%000245132225685434
136350-17.735492425796144
135351-08.700145122125784425
134341-18.5001451224245105334
133331-28.5000245122324695434
132332-18.7000245122324694334
131322-28.7010245122324694334
130323-18.7010245122324694334
129313-28.6020245122323694334
128303-38.6030245112323594334
127304-28.5150244112222594334
126294-38.3180244112121594334
125295-28.13110334102020594324
124285-37.9416033491918483223
123286-27.5621043381716473223
122276-37.1926052371514373223
121277-26.71232052261212362212
120267-36.31537062251010252112
119268-25.819420712488241111
118258-35.422460811365131111
117259-25.125490911244121001
116249-34.8275211001122110001
115239-44.6295321000111010000
1142310-34.5305331001011000000
1132210-44.4305251011000000000
1122211-34.529509911000000000
1112111-44.6284813822000000000
1102112-34.8264419622000000000
1092012-45.0244025533000000000
1082013-35.2213531444000000000
1071913-45.5193138355000000000
1061914-35.7162645266000000000
1051814-46.0132151176000000000
1041815-36.2111757177000000000
1031715-46.391362188000000000
1021716-36.571066098000000000
1011616-46.66869099000000000
1001617-36.75670099000000000
991517-46.75571099000000000
981518-36.66570099000000000
971418-46.68668099000000000
961419-36.411864088000000000
951319-46.1151057187000000000
941320-35.6191348166000000000
931220-45.1231638155000000000
921221-34.2241827143000000000
911121-43.2221717122000000000
901122-32.218149111000000000
891123-21.31294011000000
881023-30.6651000000
871024-20.2220000
861025-10.21100
85925-20.100
84825-3No0
65-83No
Total:5.2%22.640.816.96.62.52.51.12.12.10.51.00.40.30.20.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 3 Los Angeles 2 +0.1
Washington 6 Carolina 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs St. Louis-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.7
NY Islanders vs Columbus-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Ottawa vs Washington-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
137360-01000
136350-1100
135351-01000
134341-11000
133331-210000
132332-110000
131322-299001
130323-1990010
129313-2970020
128303-3950040
127304-2921070
126294-38810100
125295-28220150
124285-3753021010
123286-2655028020
122276-3556036030
121277-24480043050
120267-333800490090
119268-2249005300150
118258-31580054002200
117259-29700530030000
116249-35500490039010
115239-43400430049020
1142310-312003510570040
1132210-401002710640070
1122211-3010019106800110
1112111-40000131006900170
1102112-3000081006700230
1092012-4000041006300310
1082013-30000210057004000
1071913-40000110050004800
1061914-300000000420057000
1051814-400000003410065000
1041815-300000002610072000
1031715-400000001910079000
1021716-300001320084010
1011616-400009210870100
1001617-300005210890200
991517-400032109014000
981518-300012108727000
971418-4000110824110000
961419-30100738170100
951319-4000060122402000
941320-3000045163215000
931220-40000291938211100
921221-30001518385194000
911121-40006153292710200
901122-300292012321861000
891022-400410122827134100
881023-30238202923113100
871024-20014922282210310
86924-30013122226219410
85925-20141222262010410
84825-30015132324181131
83826-224142123231040
82726-3616231919143
81626-4913343113
80627-3511423255
79527-4100
78528-3100
65036-0029629
Total:720023100450002100000000000000000