Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 39.1%
11 points   5 3-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
NY Rangers vs San Jose-0.2-0.2*-0.1*+0.2*+0.1+0.3
Toronto vs Los Angeles-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-157In99.7%100785*
1215114-8In99.2991118*
1205115-7In94.59821200*
1195015-8In94.79811302*
1185016-7In93.69721548*
1174916-8In92.29631903*
1164816-9In88.795411,366*
1154817-8In82.691722,114*
1144717-9In78.2897303,180*
1134718-8In71.38412404,761*
1124618-9In63.28014606,986*
1114619-8In54.475178010,121*
1104519-9In43.8672112014,404*
1094520-8In33.15826161020,112*
1084420-9In24.15030191027,241*
1074421-8In15.34033252036,493*
1064321-9In9.432342940048,201*
1054322-8In4.723363460062,580*
1044222-9100.0%2.11635391010079,030*
1034223-8In0.7103242142099,600*
1024123-9100.00.26284419300122,168*
1014124-8100.00.032343256100146,088*
1004024-999.90.011740309100174,961*
994025-899.70.0112363414300204,295*
983925-999.2No083037196100234,121*
973926-897.8No05233723102000265,420*
963826-994.6No03173425165100294,214*
953827-888.5No021129252292000322,837*
943727-978.6No017242126155100347,329*
933728-864.4No0417162722103000366,543*
923628-947.9No02121024271761000382,527*
913528-1031.8No0175182824124100393,137*
903529-918.4No0042112428198200395,411*
893429-109.4No00216182826144100393,998*
883430-94.1No00103112329219200383,893*
873330-101.6No00001617282815510371,862*
863331-90.5No00000310233023920350,454*
853231-100.2No0000151629291540327,908*
843232-90.0No000021024322371300,456*
833132-100.0No00016183229122271,376*
823133-90.0No00003122834194241,776*
813033-10OutNo00172336266210,879*
803034-9OutNo000417353310181,580*
792934-10OutNo00211323916153,804*
782935-9OutNo0017264323128,743*
772936-8OutNo0004214430105,645*
762836-9OutNo00216443885,097*
752837-8OutNo00111414767,824*
742737-9OutNo0018375552,852*
732738-8OutNo005326341,044*
722638-9OutNo03286931,364*
712639-8OutNo02227623,397*
702539-9OutNo1188116,874*
692540-8OutNo1148512,183*
682440-9OutNo012888,753*
672441-8OutNo07926,189*
662341-9OutNo07934,201*
652342-8OutNo04962,823*
642242-9OutNo4961,867*
632243-8OutNo2981,283*
622143-9OutNo298771*
612043-10OutNo298527*
602044-9OutNo0100338*
592045-8OutNo100189*
581945-9OutNo397127*
11-57OutNo100763*
Total:39.1%0.7%2481178889988747,848,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoOttawaNew JerseyPhiladelphiaColumbusCarolinaNY IslandersBostonFloridaDetroitWashingtonBuffaloNY RangersMontreal
157730-03.0%3579911976769452
1295510-8NoYes
1285511-7No25252525
127529-12NoYes
1265311-911.13311113311
1255312-8No1010101010202010
1245212-9No181212661261866
1235314-68.133514198148311833
1225214-72.64868994851386651
1215114-83.43551011118868612322
1205115-72.0274987101188811471
1195015-84.0456999121176611321
1185016-74.6346109111297676352
1174916-83.24658101211106758451
1164816-94.22651110119107767441
1154817-83.725510111210106659351
1144717-93.835511101010116768341
1134718-83.735510101110116668341
1124618-93.135510101110106669441
1114619-83.535510111111106668341
1104519-93.534512121210116658341
1094520-83.534512121211106558341
1084420-93.434413121211105558341
1074421-83.434413131311115548231
1064321-93.334414141311114447231
1054322-83.124415151411114448231
1044222-93.223316161411113437231
1034223-83.023317171512113337131
1024123-93.033317171512113327130
1014124-82.933318181512112227130
1004024-92.943318181512112227130
994025-82.843318181511112227130
983925-92.764318181511112117120
973926-82.674417171410101116020
963826-92.58551616131091116020
953827-82.31065151512881115020
943727-92.01065131310761114010
933728-81.7105510108551113010
923628-91.2844875431112010
913629-80.8633553220001000
903529-90.5422332110001000
893530-80.2211111110000000
883430-90.1100110000000000
873431-80.0000000000000000
863331-90.0000000000000000
853332-80.00000000000000
843232-90.0000000000000
833132-10No00000000000
823234-7No000000
11-81No
Total:1.1%3.52.22.06.56.55.23.93.70.80.70.72.30.30.90.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
125-157100
1245212-9946
1235314-6973
1225214-7100
1215114-8991
1205115-795321
1195015-895311
1185016-794421
1174916-892431
1164816-989641
1154817-8839720
1144717-978117030
1134718-8711312400
1124618-963171406000
1114619-854201708000
1104519-9442320012000
1094520-833252511500100
1084420-92426272181110
1074421-8152529321210200
1064321-9922296243340000
1054322-85182782465060000
1044222-9214231123980900100
1034223-819181419121101310200
1024123-9051315141415117113000
1014124-80381581518219320601000
1004024-90141341319419650901000
994025-8012111101771610801313000
983925-9017061310111312117260100
973926-8005038126141521851002000
963826-9003014112121641781515100
953827-800102918147121219392000
943727-9001016049107142071551000
933728-80004025103131612201141000
923628-900020129199152018931000
913528-100001001605414152218931000
903529-9000004021108192318931000
893429-1000000201063112023181041000
883430-90000100314112023191151000
873330-10000000010151220232012510000
863331-90000000000151120242012510000
853231-1000000001512202420114100
843232-900000001512212520103100
833132-1000000026142325188200
823133-90000002716252516610
813033-100001392028241230
803034-9000141325292071
792934-10000027193027132
782935-900014132732205
772936-800172134289
762836-9000415323514
752837-800029284021
742737-90015224329
732738-8003164238
722638-9002124046
712639-80183656
702539-90053164
692540-8032671
682440-9022276
672441-8011584
662341-901486
652342-801089
642242-90793
632243-8496
622143-90496
612043-100496
602044-9298
592045-8199
581945-9496
11-57100
Total:1122223222333343555444444444332