Eastern Conference Playoff Chances

New Jersey +7.8, Columbus -8.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthMonday
Tampa Bay8123917-352100.0%19.1%-0.427.5%-0.25603950000000002.638Tampa Bay Lightning
Boston7853513-847100.017.0-0.420.6-0.142050800000000006.634Calgary 0-0 (4:00 pm ET)Boston Bruins
TorontoWDetroit 3-2773620-53299.9+0.14.4+0.00.3+0.120128600000000005.580Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington7333318-7899.1+0.32.7-0.30.1-0.00432917821000000010.528Buffalo 0-0 (3:00 pm ET)Washington Capitals
PittsburghWColumbus 5-2743522-41599.0+1.74.2+0.40.0+0.00353220102100000007.549Pittsburgh Penguins
PhiladelphiaWNY Rangers 7-47023019-10695.4+5.12.9+0.40.0+0.001423312073100000017.538Philadelphia Flyers
New JerseyWCarolina 3-2 (ot)7023120-8-189.8+7.81.4+0.10.007142531136310000018.510New Jersey Devils
NY Islanders6412925-6-1434.4+4.20.2+0.00.000139212118148410020.475Minnesota 0-0 (1:00 pm ET)New York Islanders
ColumbusLPittsburgh 2-56322925-5-1227.0-8.60.1-0.10.0001271720191611610019.475Columbus Blue Jackets
FloridaLWinnipeg 2-75852624-6-1924.0-6.90.1-0.10.0-0.0000081518181712721021.467Florida Panthers
CarolinaLNew Jersey 2-3 (ot)6412723-10-1823.7+0.20.1-0.00.0000261619201712620022.466Carolina Hurricanes
NY RangersLPhiladelphia 4-75912728-5-184.4-2.70.0-0.0No-0.000001371117252493024.470New York Rangers
DetroitLToronto 2-35732425-9-193.0-1.20.0-0.00.000001259142228135027.455Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa5142127-9-430.1+0.00.0No0000000125133635728.413Nashville 0-0 (8:00 pm ET)Ottawa Senators
Montreal5132229-7-360.1+0.00.0No00000014113243829.422Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo4521731-11-540.00.0No0000000003128531.379Washington 0-0 (3:00 pm ET)Buffalo Sabres

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Columbus 2 Pittsburgh 5
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+0.1
Pittsburgh+1.3
+0.1
Philadelphia+0.5
New Jersey+1.1
NY Islanders+1.7
Columbus-8.2
-0.1
*No
Florida+1.6
Carolina+1.3
*No
NY Rangers+0.3
Detroit+0.3
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.2
Boston-0.2
Washington+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.2
Philadelphia+0.3
New Jersey+0.8
NY Islanders+1.2
Columbus+1.3
Florida-5.3
No
Carolina+1.0
NY Rangers+0.2
Detroit+0.3
Carolina 2 New Jersey 3 (ot)
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh*-0.1
Philadelphia-0.1
New Jersey+5.0
+0.1
No
NY Islanders-0.6
Columbus-0.4
*No
Florida-0.6
Carolina-2.8
NY Rangers-0.1
Detroit-0.1
NY Rangers 4 Philadelphia 7
12:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia+3.2
+0.1
NY Islanders-0.1
Carolina-0.1
NY Rangers-3.0
Detroit 2 Toronto 3
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston*-0.1
Toronto+0.1
+0.1
Philadelphia+0.1
New Jersey+0.2
NY Islanders+0.3
Columbus+0.3
Florida+0.3
Carolina+0.2
NY Rangers+0.1
Detroit-1.7
Monday
NY Islanders vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
1:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington99.099.099.199.299.299.2
Pittsburgh98.998.998.999.099.099.1
Philadelphia95.095.095.195.595.595.8
New Jersey89.189.189.390.090.090.7
NY Islanders40.840.839.632.832.826.4
0.0*No*No*No*NoNo
Columbus25.425.525.727.427.429.1
Florida22.622.623.024.424.425.8
Carolina22.222.322.424.024.025.5
NY Rangers4.04.04.14.54.54.9
Detroit2.72.72.83.13.13.4
Buffalo vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
3:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington98.599.199.199.499.599.5
2.62.72.72.82.82.8
NY Islanders34.634.434.434.434.334.3
Columbus27.227.1*27.127.027.027.0
Florida24.124.024.124.024.024.0
Carolina23.823.723.723.623.623.6
Buffalo0.0*No*No*No*NoNo
Nashville vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay27.327.327.327.827.828.2
Boston20.420.420.420.820.821.1
Ottawa0.10.10.10.20.20.2
Calgary vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay19.519.219.218.918.918.9
29.528.128.126.326.326.3
Boston16.516.916.917.317.317.3
14.418.918.924.124.424.4
Vegas vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay25.425.426.129.329.332.4
Boston19.019.019.221.821.824.2
Toronto0.20.20.20.30.30.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

Tampa BayBostonTorontoWashingtonPittsburghPhiladelphiaNew JerseyNY IslandersColumbusFloridaCarolinaNY RangersDetroitOttawaMontrealBuffalo
Tampa Bay1.642.11.21.43.97.311.69.89.28.71.71.40.00.00.0
Boston1.655.90.81.13.15.29.47.36.46.51.61.00.00.00.0
Toronto42.155.90.10.10.10.20.30.30.30.30.10.00.00.00.0
Washington1.20.80.120.631.628.15.23.93.63.40.40.30.00.00.0
Pittsburgh1.41.10.120.632.628.14.73.53.13.10.40.20.00.00.0
Philadelphia3.93.10.131.632.618.12.21.41.01.10.10.10.00.00.0
New Jersey7.35.20.228.128.118.11.00.70.40.60.10.00.00.00.0
NY Islanders11.69.40.35.24.72.21.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Columbus9.87.30.33.93.51.40.70.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Florida9.26.40.33.63.11.00.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Carolina8.76.50.33.43.11.10.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
NY Rangers1.71.60.10.40.40.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Detroit1.41.00.00.30.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Ottawa0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Montreal0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No