Eastern Conference Playoff Chances

NY Islanders +9.7, Boston -8.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthSaturday
Washington10414817-872In27.5%+0.572.8%+2.37519601.679Arizona 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Washington Capitals
Columbus10114719-760In12.3+0.213.7+0.815404512.645Philadelphia 0-0 (2:00 pm ET)Columbus Blue Jackets
PittsburghLNY Islanders 3-4 (so)1034617-1151In7.6-0.39.6-3.310414813.622Pittsburgh Penguins
NY Rangers944525-440100.0%7.8+0.10.00019900006.598Los Angeles 0-0 (10:30 pm ET)New York Rangers
Montreal914124-91599.9-0.02.4+0.0No672940000008.542Ottawa 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa9014124-8599.3-0.21.2+0.0No315413011000012.513Montreal 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Ottawa Senators
Toronto8513523-151188.0-2.52.1-0.0No2156109831000018.549Buffalo 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Toronto Maple Leafs
NY IslandersWPittsburgh 4-3 (so)8213526-12-648.6+9.70.2+0.0No049271671000015.500Boston 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New York Islanders
Boston823830-61142.3-8.20.5-0.1No0215025291982000014.534NY Islanders 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Boston Bruins
Tampa BayWDetroit 2-1 (ot)813629-9-116.9+3.00.1+0.0No0060102434205100017.504Tampa Bay Lightning
Carolina7723227-13-174.7-1.60.0-0.0No0511213917610021.476New Jersey 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Carolina Hurricanes
Philadelphia7613431-8-260.2-0.20.0No01516412882020.443Columbus 0-0 (2:00 pm ET)Philadelphia Flyers
Florida7513230-11-230.1-0.10.0No00000282740185023.456Chicago 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Florida Panthers
Buffalo723032-12-310.00.0No000017184326524.445Toronto 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Buffalo Sabres
DetroitLTampa Bay 1-2 (ot)7012932-12-340.0No-0.0No000001625472125.410Detroit Red Wings
New Jersey6612734-12-46OutNoNo000015217326.398Carolina 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New Jersey Devils

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Pittsburgh 3 NY Islanders 4 (so)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+0.3
+2.3
Columbus+0.1
+0.7
Pittsburgh-0.2
-3.2
Ottawa-0.2
Toronto-1.4
NY Islanders+11.5
Boston-6.4
-0.1
Tampa Bay-2.1
Carolina-1.2
Philadelphia-0.1
Detroit 1 Tampa Bay 2 (ot)
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa-0.1
Toronto-1.0
NY Islanders-1.7
Boston-2.1
Tampa Bay+5.5
Carolina-0.5
Philadelphia-0.1
Detroit*No
Saturday
NY Islanders vs BostonIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington27.727.627.627.427.427.3
Ottawa99.499.199.299.199.199.3
Toronto88.886.386.986.486.488.2
2.22.12.12.12.12.1
NY Islanders65.059.657.439.639.528.7
0.30.20.20.20.20.1
Boston24.735.936.154.855.061.0
0.30.50.50.70.70.8
Tampa Bay17.215.016.015.715.717.6
Carolina4.73.94.34.34.35.0
Buffalo vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa99.499.399.399.299.299.2
Toronto80.487.187.192.293.193.1
1.92.12.12.32.32.3
NY Islanders50.949.049.047.547.147.1
Boston45.042.442.440.540.540.5
0.60.60.60.50.50.5
Tampa Bay19.017.317.315.915.615.6
Carolina5.14.74.74.54.44.4
New Jersey vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto88.488.288.287.987.887.8
NY Islanders49.749.149.148.147.747.7
Boston43.342.642.641.541.541.5
Tampa Bay17.517.217.216.716.516.5
Carolina1.73.43.46.37.17.1
Montreal vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers7.87.87.87.97.97.9
Montreal100.0100.0100.099.999.999.8
Ottawa98.799.599.599.899.899.8
Toronto88.188.088.088.088.088.0
NY Islanders48.848.548.548.448.448.5
Boston42.442.242.242.142.142.1
Tampa Bay17.016.916.916.816.816.9
Columbus vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
2:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington27.427.427.527.827.828.0
70.870.972.476.076.078.5
Columbus12.512.512.412.012.011.7
16.316.214.59.49.45.7
Pittsburgh7.57.57.57.77.77.8
9.29.29.210.310.311.0
NY Islanders48.748.648.648.548.548.5
Boston42.3*42.342.342.142.142.1
Philadelphia0.10.20.20.50.60.6
Florida vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington74.473.573.571.971.771.7
Columbus14.213.913.913.413.313.3
Pittsburgh10.19.89.89.49.39.3
Florida0.20.10.10.00.00.0
Los Angeles vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY RangersNo0.00.0*0.00.00.0
Washington vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington27.827.827.727.027.026.2
76.576.474.764.964.953.7
Columbus12.212.212.312.612.612.9
12.012.013.217.617.621.9
Pittsburgh7.57.57.57.77.78.0
8.38.38.412.112.116.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

WashingtonColumbusPittsburghNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoNY IslandersBostonTampa BayCarolinaPhiladelphiaFloridaBuffaloDetroit
Washington10.314.30.30.20.76.836.818.77.93.80.20.00.00.0
Columbus10.374.00.60.40.31.56.93.91.50.50.00.00.00.0
Pittsburgh14.374.00.50.60.31.14.92.81.00.40.00.00.00.0
NY Rangers0.30.60.565.730.62.20.00.10.00.00.00.0
Montreal0.20.40.665.72.123.90.14.42.50.00.00.00.0
Ottawa0.70.30.330.62.150.70.010.83.60.00.00.00.0
Toronto6.81.51.12.223.950.70.01.50.30.00.0
NY Islanders36.86.94.90.00.10.00.00.00.0
Boston18.73.92.80.14.410.81.50.00.10.00.0
Tampa Bay7.91.51.00.02.53.60.30.00.1No0.0
Carolina3.80.50.40.00.00.00.00.0No
Philadelphia0.20.00.00.0
Florida0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.00.00.00.0
Detroit0.00.00.00.00.0