Eastern Conference Playoff Chances

Philadelphia +3.7, Boston -8.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthMonday
Washington684319-649100.0%21.1%+0.241.4%+2.8501331330000000003.675Carolina 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Washington Capitals
ColumbusWOttawa 7-6 (ot)6843210-449100.0+0.015.5-0.129.2+5.3360372060000000002.660Columbus Blue Jackets
PittsburghWBoston 5-16543011-535100.0+0.05.6+1.17.5+2.81002446190000000001.613Pittsburgh Penguins
Montreal6322813-72399.7+0.14.7+0.10.6+0.118213300000000007.586Montreal Canadiens
NY RangersWDetroit 1-0 (ot)6133016-13999.6+0.38.4+0.60.9+0.310621692000000005.625Los Angeles 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New York Rangers
OttawaLColumbus 6-7 (ot)5552515-5287.1+0.90.7-0.00.0-0.0010423204532110009.515Ottawa Senators
Toronto5162114-9583.4+1.71.7+0.10.0073636045432110016.549Calgary 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Toronto Maple Leafs
Carolina4942118-7-635.5+1.70.1+0.00.000001341813108653211.505Washington 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Carolina Hurricanes
BostonLPittsburgh 1-5522321-6-626.4-8.30.1-0.10.0-0.0004130914141210975315.498Boston Bruins
NY IslandersLPhiladelphia 2-3 (ot)4751917-9-420.5-2.50.1-0.00.0000012016131210987524.512New York Islanders
Buffalo4741918-9-1813.2+0.90.0+0.00.0+0.00026059111212121111923.472Buffalo Sabres
PhiladelphiaWNY Islanders 3-2 (ot)5222319-6-1810.6+3.70.0+0.00.0+0.0000001012121212121110819.462Philadelphia Flyers
Tampa Bay4722122-5-128.3+0.80.0+0.00.00014036910121314141421.481Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida4922019-9-216.8+0.50.0+0.00.00013036810111314151626.456Arizona 0-0 (9:00 pm ET)Florida Panthers
DetroitLNY Rangers 0-1 (ot)4832019-8-165.1+0.00.00.0-0.0001202468101214172225.449Detroit Red Wings
New Jersey4922019-9-263.9+0.30.00.0+0.0000004679111215172018.432New Jersey Devils

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1
3:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.3
Columbus-0.2
Pittsburgh+0.9
NY Rangers+0.1
Ottawa+0.8
Toronto+0.9
Carolina+0.9
Boston-5.2
No
NY Islanders+0.6
Buffalo+0.6
Philadelphia+0.3
Tampa Bay+0.4
Florida+0.3
Detroit+0.2
New Jersey+0.2
NY Islanders 2 Philadelphia 3 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina*+0.2
NY Islanders-2.7
No
Philadelphia+2.5
No
Ottawa 6 Columbus 7 (ot)
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington*-0.1
-1.6
Columbus+0.2
+3.5
Pittsburgh*-0.1
-0.3
Montreal-0.1
Ottawa+0.2
Toronto*-0.1
Boston*-0.1
Florida*-0.1
Detroit 0 NY Rangers 1 (ot)
12:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh+0.1
NY Rangers+0.2
+0.2
Detroit-0.1
No
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+3.4
Columbus+2.7
Pittsburgh+0.9
Montreal+0.1
NY Rangers+0.1
Monday
Washington vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington21.321.321.220.820.820.5
44.344.343.437.937.932.5
Columbus15.415.415.415.615.615.9
27.827.828.330.830.833.2
Pittsburgh5.65.65.65.75.75.7
7.07.07.18.08.08.9
Montreal0.60.60.60.70.70.8
NY Rangers0.80.80.80.90.91.1
Ottawa87.487.087.086.786.686.6
Toronto83.783.383.382.982.882.8
Carolina31.336.636.742.343.243.2
Boston27.026.226.225.325.225.2
NY Islanders21.620.320.318.918.618.6
Buffalo13.513.113.012.612.512.5
Philadelphia11.310.510.59.69.59.5
Tampa Bay8.68.38.27.97.97.9
Florida7.06.76.76.46.46.4
Detroit5.35.05.04.84.84.8
New Jersey4.13.83.83.43.43.4
Toronto vs CalgaryHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa86.886.886.987.287.287.6
Toronto86.186.185.682.182.178.1
1.71.71.71.61.61.6
Carolina35.235.235.235.635.636.1
Boston25.725.725.926.726.727.7
NY Islanders20.320.320.420.620.620.9
Buffalo12.712.712.813.413.414.0
Philadelphia10.510.510.510.710.710.9
Tampa Bay8.08.08.18.58.58.9
Florida6.56.56.66.96.97.3
Detroit4.94.94.95.25.25.5
New Jersey3.83.83.83.93.94.0
Arizona vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa87.487.287.286.986.986.9
Toronto83.783.583.583.183.183.1
Carolina35.835.635.635.335.235.2
Boston26.826.526.526.126.126.1
NY Islanders20.820.620.620.420.420.4
Buffalo13.413.213.213.013.013.0
Philadelphia10.810.710.710.610.510.5
Tampa Bay8.58.48.48.28.28.2
Florida4.46.16.18.38.58.6
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
Detroit5.25.15.15.05.05.0
New Jersey3.93.93.93.83.83.8
NY Rangers vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington41.341.341.341.441.441.5
Columbus29.129.129.129.229.229.3
Pittsburgh5.75.75.75.65.65.5
NY Rangers99.799.799.799.599.599.2
8.48.48.48.58.58.5
1.11.01.00.60.60.4
Carolina35.435.435.5*35.5*35.535.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

WashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersOttawaTorontoCarolinaBostonNY IslandersBuffaloPhiladelphiaTampa BayFloridaDetroitNew Jersey
Washington9.527.12.611.22.22.316.94.410.22.55.31.51.41.02.0
Columbus9.537.24.512.21.92.012.73.46.91.63.71.21.00.81.3
Pittsburgh27.137.215.86.32.41.83.51.02.20.51.10.30.30.20.4
Montreal2.64.515.856.95.57.31.61.90.81.00.40.60.50.30.1
NY Rangers11.212.26.356.96.74.70.50.30.30.10.20.10.10.00.1
Ottawa2.21.92.45.56.751.20.17.70.13.80.02.21.81.40.0
Toronto2.32.01.87.34.751.20.16.60.02.90.01.91.41.00.0
Carolina16.912.73.51.60.50.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Boston4.43.41.01.90.37.76.60.00.00.50.00.20.20.10.0
NY Islanders10.26.92.20.80.30.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo2.51.60.51.00.13.82.90.00.50.00.00.10.10.10.0
Philadelphia5.33.71.10.40.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Tampa Bay1.51.20.30.60.12.21.90.00.20.00.10.00.10.00.0
Florida1.41.00.30.50.11.81.40.00.20.00.10.00.10.00.0
Detroit1.00.80.20.30.01.41.00.00.10.00.10.00.00.00.0
New Jersey2.01.30.40.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0