Eastern Conference Playoff Chances

Capitals +10.4, Red Wings -4.3
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthTuesday
Bruins954014-1541100.0%6.7%-0.09.2%-0.114136310000011.601SenatorsBoston Bruins
Panthers9414519-459100.016.9-0.031.5-0.1432826300002.643Florida Panthers
Rangers9414519-444100.010.6+0.027.1+0.1364321000001.613JetsNew York Rangers
Hurricanes9014220-648100.0-0.012.0+0.03.3-0.06157900000005.622at IslandersCarolina Hurricanes
Maple Leafs8533819-933100.0-0.02.9-0.00.1-0.001118160000000010.576at FlyersToronto Maple Leafs
Lightning7823625-61095.3-0.80.9-0.0No-0.0000678113100000012.524at Golden KnightsTampa Bay Lightning
Flyers7613426-8-666.0-3.20.2-0.0No0051213151053100018.493Maple LeafsPhiladelphia Flyers
Red Wings7413428-6347.9-4.30.3-0.0No0010382015105200019.511Blue JacketsDetroit Red Wings
CapitalsWFlames 5-27523325-9-2742.2+10.40.0+0.0No00262141917127300020.447Washington Capitals
Islanders7322923-15-2031.7-2.90.1-0.0No001811219191510500023.470HurricanesNew York Islanders
Penguins6923028-9-28.0-1.20.0-0.0No040491420242230025.504at DevilsPittsburgh Penguins
SabresWKraken 6-2713331-536.9+2.40.0+0.0No0016111623251720022.513at CanucksBuffalo Sabres
Devils6813232-4-162.2-0.50.0-0.0No01014815243981021.476PenguinsNew Jersey Devils
Senators6032834-4-220.0-0.00.0No000000295330627.454at BruinsOttawa Senators
Canadiens6122531-11-500.0-0.00.0No0000000330511528.401at OilersMontreal Canadiens
Blue Jackets5712334-11-470.0No-0.0No00000003177930.406at Red WingsColumbus Blue Jackets

All times are in Eastern. email errors to amer at mallah dot com, all credit to Anna Kear for figuring this out in the first place.
data pulled March 19, 2024 06:00:32

The top 3 teams in each division automatically qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but the next 2 highest-placed finishers in each conference also make the postseason. In Round 1, each conference winner plays the second wild card team from their conference, while the other division winner in that conference faces its first wild card. At the same time, the second-placed team in each division takes part in a best-of-seven series with their third-placed counterpart upon meeting each other, on both sides of the playoff bracket. The Second Round pits the winner of that contest against the first seed from their division, or the wild card team that beat them. The Conference Finals see the 2 divisional champions from each conference squaring off, and the Stanley Cup Final consists of a matchup between the Eastern and Western Conference champions.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
Flames 2 Capitals 5
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Hurricanes+0.1
Lightning-0.5
Flyers-2.5
Red Wings-2.6
Capitals+9.5
Islanders-2.3
Penguins-0.9
Sabres-0.4
Devils-0.3
Kraken 2 Sabres 6
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Lightning-0.2
Flyers-0.3
Red Wings-0.8
Capitals-0.4
Islanders-0.3
Penguins-0.2
Sabres+2.2
Tuesday
Red Wings vs Blue JacketsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Lightning95.095.095.195.595.596.0
Flyers64.764.764.866.966.969.0
Red Wings53.853.752.943.443.434.1
0.30.30.30.30.30.2
Capitals40.740.740.943.443.345.8
Islanders30.330.330.432.632.634.8
Penguins7.47.47.68.38.39.1
Sabres6.16.16.47.57.58.5
Devils2.02.02.02.32.32.6
Blue JacketsOutOutOut0.0Out0.0
Flyers vs Maple LeafsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Panthers16.916.916.916.916.916.8
Hurricanes12.012.012.012.012.012.1
Maple Leafs0.00.10.10.20.20.3
Lightning94.994.994.995.395.395.8
Flyers74.574.573.364.964.955.8
Red Wings45.945.945.948.048.050.3
Capitals39.939.940.542.642.644.9
Islanders29.529.530.132.032.034.2
Penguins7.17.17.28.08.09.0
Sabres6.46.46.46.96.97.5
Devils1.91.91.92.22.22.5
Islanders vs HurricanesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Bruins9.59.39.39.19.19.1
Panthers32.131.831.831.331.131.1
Rangers27.727.427.426.926.826.8
Hurricanes11.912.012.012.112.112.1
1.02.22.24.24.64.6
Lightning94.894.894.895.395.395.7
Flyers63.563.564.066.266.268.2
Red Wings45.545.545.547.947.950.0
Capitals39.939.940.542.542.544.3
Islanders41.041.039.831.131.123.3
Penguins7.27.27.38.08.08.6
Sabres6.36.36.36.96.97.4
Devils1.91.91.92.22.22.4
Devils vs PenguinsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Lightning95.495.395.395.295.195.2
Flyers66.766.066.065.465.265.4
Red Wings48.447.8*47.847.447.347.5
Capitals42.842.342.341.841.641.7
Islanders32.331.731.731.231.131.2
Penguins4.26.96.910.811.511.6
Sabres7.06.86.96.76.76.7
Devils3.23.13.11.51.50.7
Canucks vs SabresHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Bruins8.98.98.99.69.610.1
Panthers30.630.631.232.532.533.5
Rangers26.426.426.828.028.028.8
Hurricanes3.13.13.23.43.43.6
Lightning95.595.395.395.094.994.9
Flyers66.466.0*66.065.365.365.3
Red Wings48.848.048.046.746.346.2
Capitals42.742.242.241.541.541.5
Islanders32.131.731.731.031.031.0
Penguins8.28.08.07.77.67.6
Sabres4.06.86.810.711.311.3
Devils2.2*2.2*2.22.12.12.1
Golden Knights vs LightningHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Lightning92.995.695.697.497.697.6
Flyers66.465.965.965.665.665.6
Red Wings48.447.847.847.347.347.3
Capitals42.742.242.241.941.841.8
Islanders32.131.631.631.231.231.2
Penguins8.17.97.97.87.87.8
Sabres7.16.86.86.66.66.6
Devils2.22.22.22.12.12.1
Bruins vs SenatorsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
BruinsInIn100.0In100.0100.0
6.86.86.86.56.56.3
11.211.211.26.86.83.8
Panthers16.816.816.817.017.017.2
31.031.031.032.132.132.8
Rangers26.626.626.627.827.828.6
Hurricanes3.23.23.23.43.43.5
Oilers vs CanadiensHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Panthers31.431.431.531.631.631.6
Rangers27.127.127.127.227.227.2
Rangers vs JetsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Bruins9.08.58.59.19.010.0
Panthers16.816.816.8*16.9*16.917.0
30.729.630.631.631.233.2
RangersInInInInIn100.0
10.810.810.710.610.610.4
35.534.532.322.822.415.7
Hurricanes3.12.93.03.23.23.6
Blues vs AvalancheHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Bruins9.69.49.49.09.09.0
Panthers32.231.931.931.231.031.0
Rangers27.827.427.426.826.726.7
Hurricanes3.43.33.33.23.23.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

BruinsPanthersRangersHurricanesMaple LeafsLightningFlyersRed WingsCapitalsIslandersPenguinsSabresDevilsSenatorsCanadiensBlue Jackets
Bruins1.60.00.066.317.12.07.12.12.00.51.00.20.00.00.0
Panthers1.60.00.028.227.96.318.66.75.81.82.60.60.00.00.0
Rangers0.00.00.02.736.917.018.110.59.02.32.70.70.00.00.0
Hurricanes0.00.00.01.012.240.63.822.914.83.30.50.80.00.00.0
Maple Leafs66.328.22.71.01.10.10.30.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Lightning17.127.936.912.21.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Flyers2.06.317.040.60.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Red Wings7.118.618.13.80.30.00.00.00.00.0
Capitals2.16.710.522.90.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Islanders2.05.89.014.80.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Penguins0.51.82.33.30.00.00.00.00.00.0
Sabres1.02.62.70.50.00.00.00.00.00.0
Devils0.20.60.70.80.00.00.00.00.00.0
Senators0.00.00.00.00.0
Canadiens0.00.00.00.00.0
Blue Jackets0.00.00.00.00.0