Eastern Conference Playoff Chances

Ottawa +3.6, Toronto -2.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
1/21PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
NY Islanders6323114-12299.6%+0.04.4%+0.08.2%-0.22316181214782000000003.5+0.051.568NY RangersNew York Islanders
Tampa Bay643014-42999.5+0.09.4-0.06.4-0.419231417101222000000003.4+0.019.607at CarolinaTampa Bay Lightning
NY Rangers5842713-42899.4+0.010.7+0.07.6-0.42115181214892000000003.6+0.028.615at NY IslandersNew York Rangers
Detroit6312711-92098.9-0.07.1-0.03.7-0.212161319121934100000004.0+0.0113.595at FloridaDetroit Red Wings
Montreal6132913-31798.8+0.03.6+0.04.1-0.213171319121834100000003.9+0.015.561DallasMontreal Canadiens
PittsburghLChicago 2-3 (so)6022612-82198.6-0.16.1-0.22.8-0.79916111912175100000004.6-0.097.589WinnipegPittsburgh Penguins
Washington5722413-91794.4-0.04.4-0.00.6-0.1347715113514410000006.0+0.0115.580at ColumbusWashington Capitals
BostonLColorado 2-3 (so)572516-7570.8-0.91.4-0.00.0-0.001133916371783100007.8-0.0417.543Boston Bruins
OttawaWToronto 4-34721918-9-216.7+3.60.2+0.00.0000001312272416952109.9+0.3419.515Ottawa Senators
Florida5042014-10-1516.2-0.00.10.000000131125241610531010.0+0.0425.471DetroitFlorida Panthers
TorontoLOttawa 3-4472223-3-84.5-2.20.0-0.00.0-0.000000014121923191372011.2-0.2811.488Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia451922-7-161.7+0.10.00.000000001612192219136012.0+0.1024.481ArizonaPhiladelphia Flyers
ColumbusLWinnipeg 0-44332022-3-290.4-0.40.0-0.00.0-0.000000000251016232618013.0-0.3420.419WashingtonColumbus Blue Jackets
New Jersey4211722-8-270.4+0.00.00.000000000251016232617013.0+0.1026.443New Jersey Devils
Carolina3721625-5-220.0+0.00.00.0000000000136122354114.2+0.0628.446Tampa BayCarolina Hurricanes
Buffalo3111430-3-780.00.0No0000000000000019916.027.287at CalgaryBuffalo Sabres

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Ottawa 4 Toronto 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.1
Boston-0.2
Ottawa+2.5
Florida-0.1
Toronto-2.1
No
Colorado 3 Boston 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+0.1
Boston-0.6
Ottawa+0.3
Toronto*+0.1
Winnipeg 4 Columbus 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston+0.1
Columbus-0.3
No
Pittsburgh 2 Chicago 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders-0.1
Tampa Bay*-0.1
NY Rangers*-0.1
Detroit*-0.1
Montreal*-0.1
Pittsburgh*-0.1
-0.5
Ottawa*+0.1
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders-0.1
Tampa Bay-0.1
NY Rangers-0.2
Detroit-0.1
Montreal-0.1
Pittsburgh-0.1
Tuesday
Florida vs DetroitIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders8.48.38.38.28.28.1
Tampa Bay99.499.499.499.599.599.5
9.49.49.49.39.39.3
6.56.46.46.36.36.3
NY Rangers99.499.499.499.4*99.499.5
7.87.77.77.67.57.5
Detroit98.298.898.899.399.399.4
6.87.07.07.27.27.2
2.23.23.24.54.74.7
Montreal98.798.798.798.898.898.9
4.24.14.14.04.04.0
Pittsburgh98.598.598.598.698.698.7
2.92.92.92.82.82.8
Washington94.094.094.094.494.494.8
Boston69.369.269.270.970.972.4
Ottawa16.216.116.116.716.717.2
Florida20.019.819.715.815.812.5
Toronto4.34.34.34.54.54.7
Philadelphia1.61.61.61.71.71.8
Columbus vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington91.993.994.095.595.795.7
4.14.34.34.54.54.5
0.30.40.40.70.70.7
Boston71.370.970.970.670.670.6
Ottawa17.416.816.816.416.316.4
Florida16.716.216.215.815.815.9
Toronto4.84.64.64.44.44.4
Philadelphia1.81.71.71.61.61.6
Columbus0.70.60.60.40.40.2
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Pittsburgh vs WinnipegHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders8.28.28.28.38.38.3
Tampa Bay6.46.36.46.46.46.5
NY Rangers10.710.710.710.710.710.8
7.67.67.67.77.77.7
Montreal4.04.04.14.14.14.1
Pittsburgh99.099.099.098.598.597.8
6.26.26.26.06.05.9
3.63.63.42.42.41.6
Boston70.770.770.870.970.971.0
Ottawa16.616.616.616.716.716.9
Florida16.116.116.116.216.216.3
Philadelphia vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington94.494.494.494.494.494.5
Boston70.770.770.871.071.071.1
Ottawa16.616.616.716.816.816.8
Florida16.116.116.116.216.216.3
Philadelphia2.02.01.91.31.30.9
0.00.0NoNoNoNo
Montreal vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders8.28.28.28.38.38.4
Tampa Bay9.39.39.39.49.49.4
6.36.36.46.56.56.5
NY Rangers7.67.67.67.77.77.8
Detroit7.07.07.07.17.17.1
3.73.73.73.73.73.8
Montreal99.299.299.198.798.798.1
3.73.73.73.63.63.4
5.05.04.83.43.42.4
Pittsburgh2.82.82.82.92.92.9
Boston70.870.870.870.970.971.0
Ottawa16.616.616.616.716.716.9
Florida16.116.116.116.216.216.3
Toronto4.54.54.54.54.54.6
NY Islanders vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders99.799.799.799.699.699.3
4.64.54.54.44.44.2
10.610.39.97.37.35.3
Tampa Bay6.46.36.36.36.36.5
NY Rangers99.199.499.499.699.799.7
10.410.610.710.911.011.0
5.06.96.99.59.810.1
Montreal4.14.04.04.04.04.1
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders8.58.38.38.18.18.1
Tampa Bay99.199.499.499.699.799.7
9.19.39.39.59.59.5
3.95.55.57.67.87.8
NY Rangers7.97.77.77.57.57.5
Detroit7.17.17.17.07.07.0
3.83.83.83.73.63.6
Montreal4.24.14.14.04.04.0
Pittsburgh3.02.92.92.82.82.8
Ottawa16.8*16.716.716.716.716.7
Florida16.216.2*16.216.116.116.1
Carolina0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Calgary vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Buffalo0.0OutOutOutOut0.1
Vancouver vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders8.58.38.38.08.08.0
Tampa Bay6.66.46.46.26.26.2
NY Rangers7.97.77.77.47.47.4
Detroit3.93.73.73.63.63.6
Montreal4.24.14.13.93.93.9
Pittsburgh3.02.92.92.72.72.7
Nashville vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders7.87.87.98.78.79.4
Tampa Bay6.16.16.16.76.77.3
NY Rangers7.27.27.38.08.08.7
Detroit3.53.53.63.93.94.3
Montreal3.83.93.94.34.34.7
Pittsburgh2.72.72.73.03.03.3
Washington0.50.50.50.60.60.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

NY IslandersTampa BayNY RangersDetroitMontrealPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaTorontoPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
NY Islanders12.49.414.514.212.513.214.63.73.51.00.30.10.10.00.0
Tampa Bay12.412.99.99.516.618.912.03.12.90.80.40.10.10.00.0
NY Rangers9.412.914.714.612.313.513.93.33.31.00.30.10.10.00.0
Detroit14.59.914.712.117.516.48.72.12.00.60.20.10.10.00.0
Montreal14.29.514.612.117.017.19.32.22.00.50.20.10.00.00.0
Pittsburgh12.516.612.317.517.010.08.51.71.80.50.10.00.00.00.0
Washington13.218.913.516.417.110.03.70.60.70.10.00.00.00.00.0
Boston14.612.013.98.79.38.53.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Ottawa3.73.13.32.12.21.70.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Florida3.52.93.32.02.01.80.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Toronto1.00.81.00.60.50.50.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Philadelphia0.30.40.30.20.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Columbus0.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
New Jersey0.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Carolina0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0