Eastern Conference Playoff Chances

Season starts October 8th
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrength10/8
Pittsburgh000-0050.0%3.1%3.3%66131266666666661.500Pittsburgh Penguins
Detroit000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Ottawa Senators
Montreal000-0050.03.13.366131366666666661.500at TorontoMontreal Canadiens
NY Rangers000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500New York Rangers
Boston000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661.500PhiladelphiaBoston Bruins
NY Islanders000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661.500New York Islanders
Florida000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Florida Panthers
Philadelphia000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500at BostonPhiladelphia Flyers
Carolina000-0050.03.13.366131366666666661.500Carolina Hurricanes
Tampa Bay000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500Tampa Bay Lightning
Columbus000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Columbus Blue Jackets
Toronto000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500MontrealToronto Maple Leafs
Buffalo000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661.500Buffalo Sabres
Washington000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500Washington Capitals
New Jersey000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661.500New Jersey Devils

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Boston vs PhiladelphiaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Detroit49.949.749.749.949.950.3
Ottawa49.949.749.749.949.950.3
Montreal49.949.749.8*49.949.950.3
NY Rangers50.249.849.949.749.749.9
Boston53.653.452.948.548.544.3
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
NY Islanders50.249.849.949.849.749.9
Florida49.949.749.7*49.949.950.3
Philadelphia45.449.749.754.154.654.8
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Carolina50.249.849.949.749.749.9
Tampa Bay49.949.749.749.949.850.2
Columbus50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Toronto49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Buffalo49.949.749.749.949.950.2
Washington50.249.849.949.749.749.9
New Jersey50.249.849.949.749.649.9
Toronto vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal45.349.549.654.254.655.1
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Toronto53.853.452.948.448.344.1
3.43.43.33.03.02.7
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Thursday
Buffalo vs ColumbusIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Detroit49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Ottawa49.949.749.8*50.049.950.2
Montreal49.949.749.849.949.950.3
NY Rangers50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Boston49.949.749.749.949.950.3
NY Islanders50.249.949.949.749.649.9
Florida49.949.849.749.949.950.2
Philadelphia50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Carolina50.249.849.949.749.749.9
Tampa Bay49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Columbus45.449.749.754.154.654.8
2.8*3.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Toronto49.949.749.749.949.950.3
Buffalo53.653.452.948.548.544.2
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Washington50.249.849.949.749.749.9
New Jersey50.249.949.949.749.649.9
Washington vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Detroit50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Ottawa50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Montreal45.449.749.754.154.654.8
2.83.13.13.43.43.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
NY Rangers49.949.749.849.949.950.3
Boston50.249.849.949.749.649.9
NY Islanders49.949.749.749.949.850.3
Florida50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Philadelphia49.949.749.749.949.950.3
Carolina49.949.749.7*49.949.950.3
Tampa Bay50.249.849.949.749.749.9
Columbus49.949.749.8*49.949.950.3
Toronto50.249.849.949.749.649.9
Buffalo50.249.849.949.749.749.9
Washington53.653.452.948.548.544.2
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
New Jersey49.949.749.849.949.950.2
Philadelphia vs New JerseyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia53.853.452.948.348.344.1
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
New Jersey45.349.549.554.254.755.0
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Tampa Bay vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida45.349.549.654.254.755.1
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Tampa Bay53.853.452.948.448.244.1
3.43.43.43.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Detroit vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit53.853.453.048.348.344.1
3.43.43.33.03.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Boston45.349.549.654.254.755.0
2.83.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Pittsburgh vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh53.553.452.948.748.744.5
3.43.43.43.13.02.8
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Ottawa49.849.849.9*50.0*50.150.3
Montreal49.849.849.9*50.150.150.3
NY Rangers49.749.849.850.150.150.5
Boston49.849.849.8*50.0*50.050.3
NY Islanders49.749.749.850.150.150.5
Philadelphia49.749.749.850.150.150.5
Carolina49.749.749.850.150.150.5
Tampa Bay49.849.849.850.150.150.3
Columbus49.749.749.750.1*50.150.5
Toronto49.849.849.950.1*50.150.3
Buffalo49.849.849.850.150.150.3
Washington49.749.749.750.150.150.5
New Jersey49.749.749.750.150.150.5
St. Louis vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Detroit50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Ottawa50.2*50.0*50.049.849.749.8
Montreal50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
NY Rangers45.649.849.854.154.554.6
2.8*3.1*3.13.43.43.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Boston50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
NY Islanders50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Florida50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Philadelphia50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Carolina50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Tampa Bay50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Columbus50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Toronto50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Buffalo50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Washington50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
New Jersey50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Nashville vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Detroit50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Ottawa45.649.849.854.054.554.6
2.8*3.13.13.43.53.5
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Montreal50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
NY Rangers50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Boston50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
NY Islanders50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Florida50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Philadelphia50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Carolina50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Tampa Bay50.4*50.0*50.049.749.649.6
Toronto50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Buffalo50.4*50.0*50.049.649.649.6
Washington50.2*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
New Jersey50.2*50.0*50.049.849.749.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

PittsburghDetroitOttawaMontrealNY RangersBostonNY IslandersFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
Pittsburgh1.71.61.65.31.65.21.65.35.31.65.31.61.65.35.2
Detroit1.75.35.31.65.21.65.31.61.65.31.65.25.31.61.6
Ottawa1.65.35.31.65.21.65.31.71.65.31.65.25.31.61.6
Montreal1.65.35.31.65.31.65.21.61.65.21.65.35.31.61.6
NY Rangers5.31.61.61.61.65.21.65.35.21.65.31.61.65.35.3
Boston1.65.25.25.31.61.65.31.61.65.31.65.35.31.61.6
NY Islanders5.21.61.61.65.21.61.65.35.31.65.31.61.65.35.3
Florida1.65.35.35.21.65.31.61.61.65.31.65.35.21.61.6
Philadelphia5.31.61.71.65.31.65.31.65.21.65.21.61.65.35.3
Carolina5.31.61.61.65.21.65.31.65.21.65.31.61.65.35.3
Tampa Bay1.65.35.35.21.65.31.65.31.61.61.65.35.21.61.6
Columbus5.31.61.61.65.31.65.31.65.25.31.61.61.65.25.3
Toronto1.65.25.25.31.65.31.65.31.61.65.31.65.31.61.6
Buffalo1.65.35.35.31.65.31.65.21.61.65.21.65.31.61.6
Washington5.31.61.61.65.31.65.31.65.35.31.65.21.61.65.2
New Jersey5.21.61.61.65.31.65.31.65.35.31.65.31.61.65.2