Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 23.4%
2 points   1 4-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg vs Carolina+2.7+2.9+2.3-1.1-1.0-4.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.4
Colorado vs Florida-0.2-0.2*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Calgary vs Tampa Bay-0.2*-0.2-0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.3
Boston vs San Jose+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.3*-0.2-0.2
Dallas vs Vancouver*-0.0-0.3-0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-156In99.8%100663*
1175315-9In94.298286*
1165316-8In90.49533146*
1155317-7In91.59523248*
1145217-8In87.49343435*
1135117-9In81.19254608*
1125118-8In71.885871,058*
1115018-9In65.68112701,600*
1105019-8In56.67515912,488*
1094919-9In45.967191413,499*
1084920-8In34.960221815,208*
1074820-9In24.9502622207,368*
1064821-8In15.44030273010,389*
1054721-9In8.931313250014,483*
1044621-10In3.822323781019,480*
1034622-9In1.7153141121026,354*
1024522-10In0.592944162034,939*
1014523-9100.0%0.2525442140045,051*
1004423-10100.00.03204327610057,086*
994424-999.90.011540321020071,911*
984324-1099.7No01135361530089,217*
974325-999.0No072937196100107,310*
964225-1097.5No0422382210200128,331*
954226-994.0No03163524165100151,371*
944126-1087.6No0111312322102000174,296*
934127-977.3No17251925165100198,972*
924027-1063.5No0419142623113000223,064*
914028-947.8No021492327176100246,333*
903928-1032.3No019517282512300266,956*
893929-919.8No016211252919610286,729*
883829-1010.8No003171930261120301,328*
873830-95.3No002031327311850312,991*
863730-102.4No00101822332691320,590*
853731-91.0No00014153132152322,805*
843631-100.3No00002102636225320,202*
833632-90.1No0000152036298313,423*
823532-100.0No000314343613302,165*
813533-90.0No00019294119285,941*
803433-100.0No00016244426267,090*
793434-90.0No0003184434245,458*
783334-100.0No0002134243222,993*
773335-9OutNo0193951198,611*
763235-10OutNo0063459175,141*
753236-9OutNo0043066151,276*
743136-10OutNo0022573129,383*
733137-9OutNo0012079108,631*
723037-10OutNo01168390,211*
713038-9OutNo00138773,258*
702938-10OutNo099059,095*
692939-9OutNo079346,396*
682839-10OutNo059536,627*
672840-9OutNo049628,143*
662740-10OutNo039721,052*
652741-9OutNo29815,614*
642641-10OutNo019911,459*
632642-9OutNo1998,216*
622542-10OutNo1995,766*
612543-9OutNo01004,133*
602443-10OutNo01002,823*
592444-9OutNo01001,943*
582445-8OutNo01001,286*
572345-9OutNo0100830*
562245-10OutNo0100543*
2-55OutNo1001,418*
Total:23.4%0.2%12474679111416196,562,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleSan JoseChicagoLos AngelesMinnesotaVancouverSt. LouisCalgaryDallasArizonaColoradoEdmonton
156770-03.1%887787119118934
1255812-750.05050
1245611-10NoYes
1235612-950.05050
1225815-4No333333
1215412-11No20402020
1205514-89.118999999189
1195414-95.7966176966111493
1185415-81.6105101511106668562
1175315-91.2586107912101331051
1165316-84.13899111579710832
1155317-74.4484871041110121246
1145217-84.8588108989119833
1135117-93.049513610810910844
1125118-84.4510511811711710555
1115018-94.659710811711710654
1105019-83.9610712611610710833
1094919-93.7611611612711710643
1084920-83.6512612612612610643
1074820-93.7513513613512611533
1064821-84.0413513513613611543
1054721-93.5414514514513511532
1044621-103.7416416514413411432
1034622-93.6316416415414412332
1024522-103.3317417416414412331
1014523-93.3318317316314312231
1004423-103.2318318316314312231
994424-93.1419318316315312231
984324-103.1418318317314212231
974325-92.9518418316314211231
964225-102.9518417416313311130
954226-92.8617516414312210120
944126-102.571551441331139120
934127-92.27135124113927120
924027-101.8611510493725110
914028-91.45847362524110
903928-100.94535242313010
893929-90.62323131211000
883829-100.31212111101000
873830-90.11101010100000
863831-80.10000000000000
853731-90.00000000000000
843631-100.00000000000000
833733-70.0000000000000
823633-80.000000000000
813432-110.00000000
803534-80.000000
793636-5No0
783536-6No0
2-77No
Total:0.7%1.74.11.33.81.13.40.92.90.72.30.40.60.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Carolina-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.2+0.2+1.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-156100
1195414-9973
1185415-8100
1175315-99432
1165316-890433
1155317-792323
1145217-887643
1135117-9811154
1125118-8721387
1115018-96616120700
1105019-85718150901
1094919-9462119013001
1084920-8352521117101
1074820-92525242211120
1064821-815252632321300
1054721-99222652543050000
1044621-104182482575080010
1034622-92132011221180110010
1024522-1009151317151201411200
1014523-9051015111715117314000
1004423-10036156171831853060100
994424-901312214186169601012000
984324-10011019151012131001323000
974325-901706111371514115460100
964225-1000403614315164158101200
954226-90030131211116712121425100
944126-100010110071212716166930000
934127-9010070471431614121472000
924027-1000004023141138171613620000
914028-90002111209419131713620000
903928-100001008051168161914731000
893929-900100502011310182116831000
883829-10000031061411192217941000
873830-900002003015122023181041000
863730-1000001001001512212419104100
853731-90001000261322241993100
843631-100000000026152325188200
833632-9000000012817252516610
823532-100000013102027231230
813533-900000141324292081
803433-100000027182927143
793434-9000013112532226
783334-1000001619333011
773335-9000313303717
763235-100018254025
753236-90014194234
743136-100002144044
733137-900193654
723037-1000163162
713038-90042670
702938-100022177
692939-9011782
682839-10011386
672840-9001090
662740-1000793
652741-90595
642641-100397
632642-9397
622542-10298
612543-9199
602443-10199
592444-9199
582445-80100
572345-90100
562245-100100
552246-90100
2-54100
Total:001111121223232423344555677899