Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Lost to St. Louis 1-2 (so), playoff odds up 1.2 to 62.6%
74 points   31 20-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 2 Minnesota 4 -2.3
-0.1
San Jose 2 Detroit 3 +1.9
Los Angeles 0 Ottawa 1 +1.6
Buffalo 6 Vancouver 3 +0.6
Winnipeg 1 St. Louis 2 (so)-0.5
*-0.0
*No
Florida 0 Chicago 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders vs Calgary+1.7-0.1-0.1-1.8-1.8-1.8
Anaheim vs Los Angeles+1.5-0.0-0.0-1.3-1.4-1.3
Dallas vs Colorado+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
112190-0In9.4%3026610111,778
111180-1In2.014275903,945
110181-0In0.5927216022,073*
109171-1In0.1426527277,888*
108161-2In0.021543840261,328*
107162-1In0.011414990695,340*
106152-2In0.00028541701,748,612*
105153-1InNo0017552803,750,245*
104143-2100.0%No00105040007,604,639*
103144-1100.0No00541531013,707,935*
102134-2100.0No00231652023,388,787*
101135-1100.0No001217350036,216,765*
100125-2100.0No00147790053,220,473*
99115-399.8No00776160032,574,527
126-199.8No00876150039,270,668*
98116-299.1No04702410050,480,241
105-499.1No0470251041,717,199*
97106-396.8No02603530050,386,720
117-197.0No02603530059,190,262*
96107-292.0No01474480089,958,089*
96-491.1No014545810034,066,514
9597-381.6No0031501720060,381,431
108-182.2No0032501620070,110,553*
9498-267.7No0019482850070,220,086
87-466.0No0018482950036,539,615
109-068.0No0019482750024,155,209*
9388-349.0No094039110056,667,859
99-149.9No0104039110065,659,281*
9289-232.4No042846211058,580,289
78-431.5No042746212050,493,325*
9179-317.5No011645334041,773,435
810-118.1No011745334048,753,792*
90710-28.6No008374410138,865,529
69-48.3No008374410132,842,814*
89610-33.4No003265018252,785,252*
88611-21.1No001165029437,033,775*
87511-30.3No000843399024,044,078*
86512-20.1No004334716014,880,920*
85513-10.0No00123502608,443,159*
84413-20.0No0014483804,558,700*
83414-10.0No008415002,233,138*
82314-20.0No004346201,039,512*
81315-1OutNo0225730427,819*
80215-2OutNo0117820168,112*
79216-1OutNo01188056,025*
78116-2OutNo0793017,734*
77117-1OutNo049604,438*
76118-0OutNo19801,078*
75018-1OutNo397172
74019-0OutNo009810111,062
Total:62.6%0.0%00043127191341001,339,302,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoVancouverLos AngelesCalgaryMinnesotaSan JoseColoradoDallas
112190-01.9%13903223416201
111180-11.43500331128100
110181-01.85520341115100
109171-11.66541340013000
108161-21.67544330002000
107162-11.67528301001000
106152-21.674914271101000
105153-11.774423222101000
104143-21.873733173111000
103144-11.973044124210000
102134-21.97235286210000
123-41.97225286210000
101135-12.09175866210000
124-32.09156057310000
100125-22.012116237310000
114-42.012106338310000
136-02.012126247310000
99115-32.01776228310000
126-12.01686227310000
104-52.01776128310000
98116-22.02365817210000
105-42.02465717310000
127-02.02365817210000
97106-31.83254916210000
117-11.93155116210000
95-51.83354816210000
96107-21.73954015210000
96-41.6405381521000
118-01.73854115210000
9597-31.44352713100000
108-11.44352913100000
86-51.44352613100000
9498-21.14151812100000
87-41.1415161210000
109-01.1415181210000
9388-30.833491100000
99-10.83541011000000
9289-20.524340100000
78-40.52334010000
9179-30.31422000000
90710-20.1711000000
89711-10.0300000000
88611-20.010000000
87612-10.000000000
86512-20.0000000
85513-10.0000000
84413-20.00000
83313-3No00
82415-0No0
74-81No
Total:1.1%24.35.526.41.53.21.10.50.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 2 Minnesota 4 +0.1
San Jose 2 Detroit 3 -0.1
Winnipeg 1 St. Louis 2 (so)+0.1
Florida 0 Chicago 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Calgary-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112190-092120615100
111180-1212116015900
110181-00811462601610
109171-1041128370025220
108161-20201144100326400
107162-101015360033150900
106152-2000012700272701700
105153-1000016011837002620
104143-2000090194100355000
103144-1000401337004112100
102134-2000101130004222200
101135-1000000200138355000
100125-200000120130479000
99115-300000602215615100
126-100000602215515000
98116-20003021258232100
105-40000302125823210
97106-3000101654314300
117-1000101654304300
96107-20000013443598000
96-4000012433598100
9597-300001313416162000
108-10000131341616200
9498-2000001927212660000
87-400000182622286000
109-000000192721265000
9388-300009162336141000
99-1000010172335131000
9289-20000482038255000
78-4000471937265000
9179-300013133136132000
810-1000231432351220000
90710-20001720392471000
89610-30003103234164000
711-10003103334164000
88611-200014203527102000
87511-300001927342161000
86512-200003153131153000
85513-1000162134269100
84413-20002112834205000
83414-10000417343112200
82314-200018253723500
81315-10031435341220
80215-2001625392350
79216-1002153734121
78116-20162841213
77117-10317393370
76118-019334116
75018-12224828
74019-00115463800
Total:0000000003006251710151163210000000