Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.5 to 66.3%
40 points   17 10-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver 3 Calgary 2 (ot)-0.7
San Jose 3 St. Louis 2 (ot)-0.6
Los Angeles 4 Arizona 2 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg vs Philadelphia+3.6+3.7+3.0-1.7-1.6-6.5
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Edmonton vs Dallas+0.4*-0.0*+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3
Detroit vs Colorado+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.2*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-138In99.8%100984*
122396-4In93.597362*
121386-5In84.79641137*
120387-4In78.19306256*
119377-5In72.990090451*
118378-4In67.1870120896*
117368-5In57.18211711,701*
116369-4In46.57412413,044*
115359-5In36.96722935,148*
1143510-4In27.058334508,803*
1133410-5In18.74834108014,076*
1123411-4In11.638445012122,526*
1113311-5In6.128548018134,262*
1103211-6In2.9205480243050,467*
1093212-5In1.11354613105072,300*
1083112-6In0.48441137080100,513*
1073113-5In0.143352430130137,126*
1063013-6In0.023273460190181,185*
1053014-5In0.012193480261232,095*
1042914-6100.0%No011344613410291,968*
1032915-5100.0No01844224220355,472*
1022815-6100.0No00433535040421,828*
1012816-599.9No002327556800489,352*
1002716-699.7No0012196601200553,555*
992717-599.1No0001127611810609,844*
982617-697.7No0001775825200655,537*
972618-594.7No000465233500689,001*
962518-689.2No0002443401010705,963*
952519-581.0No0001333441720704,013*
942419-669.9No002234525500689,654*
932420-556.9No0011541331010656,881*
922320-643.3No001934391610611,262*
912321-530.5No0005264224300555,421*
902221-620.0No002184133600492,735*
892222-512.1No011137411010427,507*
882122-66.7No00630461610362,074*
872123-53.4No00323482320298,706*
862023-61.6No00216473140242,074*
852024-50.7No00110433880190,512*
841924-60.3No00063744120147,267*
831925-50.1No033048171110,881*
821825-60.0No0022350242081,630*
811826-50.0No011648313058,000*
801726-60.0No001144396040,940*
791727-50.0No00739458028,186*
781627-6OutNo04325013018,443*
771628-5OutNo03255319011,902*
761528-6OutNo0119552417,677*
751529-5OutNo0114523214,768*
741429-6OutNo09503922,855*
731430-5OutNo05454641,583*
721431-4OutNo438526996*
711331-5OutNo0130608538*
701332-4OutNo2265913289*
691232-5OutNo206020142*
681132-6OutNo110632684*
671133-5OutNo13325538*
661134-4OutNo752512*
65933-7OutNo1414717*
641136-2OutNo2550254*
631036-3OutNo1002*
62936-4OutNo1001
61735-7OutNo1001
40049-0OutNo100943
Total:66.3%0.2%103110328211512510011,386,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverMinnesotaCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
138490-04.0%23831014132713420
127424-3YesYes
126425-2No255025
125415-3No20204020
124405-4No112211222211
123406-39.15185141818185
122396-41.6315513613271053
121386-54.44491812123113231
120387-43.9248591312321231
119377-53.1359691212251243
118378-44.925761010132814310
117368-53.124761113132910310
116369-43.824861314132611310
115359-53.724781215142311310
1143510-43.724691415151911210
1133410-53.5246101516171611210
1123411-43.5246121617171311210
1113311-53.6245131818181011100
1103211-63.523415191919710100
1093212-53.423417202019510100
1083112-63.22331921201939000
1073113-53.223322222019280000
1063013-63.02332422191818000
1053014-53.033326221918170000
1042914-62.934327211817160000
1032915-52.84442920171615000
1022815-62.86543019161514000
1012816-52.787530181414140000
1002716-62.6108530171312130000
992717-52.5139629161211130000
982617-62.41611727141010120000
972618-52.320127251298020000
962518-62.123138211077010000
952519-51.92413817855010000
942419-61.62412713644010000
932420-51.3211179422000000
922320-61.017956222000000
912321-50.713644111000000
902221-60.49432100000000
892222-50.26321000000000
882122-60.1321100000000
872123-50.12110000000
862023-60.0100000000000
852024-50.00000000000
841924-60.0000000000
831925-50.000000000
821825-6No000000
812028-10.000
801928-2No0
791626-7No0
40-78No
Total:1.7%12.17.24.716.09.37.37.00.62.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 5 Nashville 6 (ot)+0.0
San Jose 3 St. Louis 2 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Philadelphia-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-138100
123406-3919
122396-49433
121386-5851141
120387-4781506
119377-57317090
118378-4672001200
117368-5572511701
116369-4472712301
115359-53730202803
1143510-427313034150
1133410-5192930392080
1123411-412274041301201
1113311-56224142501801
1103211-631841408024030
1093212-511231351110300050
1083112-608222714103610800
1073113-5042219162041201300
1063013-6021211162043401900
1053014-501016143041702601
1042914-60012113135111033010
1032915-50011721271520411200
1022815-60000422181730473400
1012816-500002121017405077000
1002716-6000010141551481212000
992717-5000000121152421917110
982617-60000107333226242200
972618-50000032421312855000
962518-600000213113229119100
952519-5000001035282519154000
942419-600002221182720820000
932420-500010141031221551000
922320-60001095292022113100
912321-50000052241525198200
902221-60000211792326166100
892222-50010114162824123000
882122-600062102330207100
872123-5000315162928144100
862023-60020292331239200
852024-500101415293016410
841924-600000282332249200
831925-50001415293116400
821825-60000182333248100
811826-50000415303115300
801726-600029243423710
791727-5001417333013200
781627-600210283420510
771628-50151934281010
761528-6021230341730
751529-501824352571
741429-60031636321210
731430-5292937203
721330-61618402771
711331-512153237121
701332-4093039174
691232-5142542199
681132-651038407
671133-511215018
661134-4833508
65933-729141443
641136-2502525
631036-3100
62936-4100
61735-7100
40049-0100
Total:0100220064111612111076654321000000