Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Tied with Dallas 0-0 (14:56 1st), playoff odds down 0.04 to 80%
60 points   26 16-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg vs Dallas+3.9+3.4+3.0-2.0-2.1-7.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.3
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Boston vs Los Angeles+1.0*+0.1*+0.1-0.7-1.0-1.1
Calgary vs Edmonton-0.4-0.5-0.3+0.5+0.4+1.3
San Jose vs Chicago-0.6-0.8-0.7*-0.1*+0.1+0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Minnesota+0.2-0.3-0.2-0.5-0.4*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
119-124In99.8%100556*
118282-2In80.080101020*
117272-3In73.9841669*
116273-2In58.97512200214*
115263-3In47.2645293502*
114264-2In30.750637701,137*
113254-3In19.4406431002,397*
112255-2In10.73064701624,821*
111245-3In4.31964902339,334*
110246-2In1.311545033616,277*
109236-3In0.4643804101128,010*
108226-4In0.1333014601844,897*
107227-3In0.01222148026068,593*
106217-4InNo0114147036100,544*
105218-3InNo0081420470141,500*
104208-4InNo0041360590190,727*
103209-3InNo0021281680246,753*
102199-4100.0%No00112017700305,083*
1011910-3100.0No00001428310364,042*
1001810-4100.0No0009287200417,494*
991811-399.8No0005288500460,691*
981711-499.4No0022851010490,610*
971712-398.2No0011791720503,190*
961612-495.5No00016826400496,752*
951613-390.0No00154359100474,361*
941513-480.7No00039411720436,866*
931514-367.8No00254226600385,454*
921414-452.2No001438351210331,751*
911415-336.3No00729402040273,494*
901315-422.3No0319402981218,395*
891316-312.2No01113437152167,246*
881216-45.9No062641244125,094*
871217-32.4No021739338088,827*
861117-40.8No0110334115061,686*
851118-30.3No005254624040,997*
841018-40.1No002184535026,219*
831019-30.0No01104246016,197*
82919-4OutNo06365809,685*
81920-3OutNo03286905,428*
80820-4OutNo02217712,964*
79821-3OutNo1168211,542*
78721-4OutNo011863830*
77722-3OutNo7903406*
76622-4OutNo3925182*
75623-3OutNo3898180*
74624-2OutNo851533*
72-73OutNo10019*
71425-3OutNo83176*
70426-2OutNo1001
68327-2OutNo1001
66228-2OutNo1001
60032-0OutNo11980542
Total:80.0%0.0%001081531710631006,562,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoAnaheimVancouverSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasColoradoMinnesotaArizonaEdmonton
124320-05.5%021013192217978
120302-0No5050
119281-3No1717173388
118282-25.0551510201551015
117272-31.413201020226126
116273-22.80122142020157127
115263-33.6123114221522974
114264-24.3133217221917665
113254-34.6133319221818544
112255-24.7133522221916333
111245-34.2233723231915222
110246-24.32221026231814111
109236-34.02221427211713111
108226-43.922220272015120000
107227-33.822227261813100000
106217-43.522233251611800000
105218-33.43324023139700000
104208-43.34334720117500000
103209-33.2443521896400000
102199-43.2543571575300000
1011910-33.2643601464300000
189-53.1644601464300000
1001810-43.1654621253200000
1911-23.1654621253200000
991811-33.0854621143200000
1710-53.086463114320000
981711-43.01064611042200000
1812-23.0964611042200000
1610-62.91074611042100000
971712-32.9128558932100000
1611-52.9138557932100000
961612-42.81610651822100000
1713-22.9169652832100000
1511-62.9171064982110000
951613-32.61911743621100000
1512-52.52011742621100000
941513-42.32212732511000000
1614-22.32112832511000000
931514-31.92112723310000000
921414-41.5181161420000000
911415-31.014858100000000
901315-40.6953410000000
891316-30.453220000000
881216-40.2321100000
871217-30.11100000
861218-20.00000000
851118-30.00000
841018-4No00000
83918-5No00
60-82No
Total:2.4%10.96.84.540.19.04.02.71.90.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Dallas-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7
Calgary vs Edmonton+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
SundayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124320-01000
119-120100
118282-2801010
117272-3741016
116273-2591612200
115263-3471752803
114264-231206036070
113254-3192160412100
112255-21119514340162
111245-34155140802303
110246-211032331203216
109236-306222217003920110
108226-403121218104150180
107227-301015161039902600
106217-40012121032150360
105218-300008112220004620
104208-400004011323005440
103209-30002016221059100
102199-4000101218105818000
1011910-300000113115330100
1001810-40000081143442000
991811-3000050232564100
981711-400020220658210
971712-30001011167125200
961612-40000156314124000
951613-3000125214218100
941513-400001381130145100
931514-3000257351910200
921414-40001443422196100
911415-300071281926144100
901315-403019142824102000
891316-301011724301971000
881216-40063152927144100
871217-30021821302410200
861117-4010312263020710
851118-30001517292814400
841018-4000029233224920
831019-3000313283118510
82919-40162133281020
81920-30031128351940
80820-41521352991
79821-3021329361820
78721-4052339275
77722-302163833100
76622-433045211
75623-3151853231
74624-232142303
73524-385833
72525-25743
71425-317175017
70426-2100
68327-2100
66228-2100
60032-0118756
Total:000001003501193461165421100000000