Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.0
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona vs Winnipeg-4.5-0.3-0.3+4.0+4.5+4.8
-0.3-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.9+0.9
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Dallas vs Chicago+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3+0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-164In100.0%10014,844*
1225717-8In99.8100004,829*
1215617-9In99.6100007,791*
1205618-8In99.41000012,205*
1195518-9In99.01000018,546*
1185519-8In98.5990028,405*
1175419-9In97.6991041,780*
1165420-8In96.3991161,202*
1155320-9In94.49811086,899*
1145321-8In91.897210122,454*
1135221-9In88.095320168,695*
1125121-10In83.393430229,885*
1115122-9In76.790650307,393*
1105022-10In68.786860405,192*
1095023-9In59.38111900526,074*
1084923-10In48.574141200668,721*
1074924-9In37.266171510840,689*
1064824-10In26.45821201001,038,484*
1054825-9In16.84825243001,264,788*
1044725-10In9.53828294001,516,038*
1034726-9100.0%4.529303471001,789,178*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,082,782*
1014627-9100.00.5132942142002,388,324*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,693,124*
994528-9100.00.0422432561002,995,670*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,288,369*
974429-999.60.0112353414300003,552,893*
964329-1098.9No08303618610003,783,032*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,972,500*
944230-1093.0No03173423166100004,107,520*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,192,582*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,215,554*
914132-958.5No004181224231341004,176,185*
904032-1042.0No0213720262092004,088,127*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,934,887*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,736,743*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,504,028*
863834-103.6No0010282130251123,236,306*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,945,861*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,648,049*
833736-90.2No000015173233132,345,068*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,046,828*
813637-90.0No00000172341281,764,921*
803537-100.0No0000041741371,499,201*
793538-90.0No000021239471,255,931*
783438-100.0No00001835561,035,939*
773439-90.0No000053065843,291*
763339-100.0No00032473678,624*
753340-9OutNo0021979537,709*
743240-10OutNo011584419,266*
733241-9OutNo001188321,939*
723141-10OutNo00892245,051*
713142-9OutNo00694183,147*
703042-10OutNo0496134,878*
693043-9OutNo039798,504*
682943-10OutNo029870,759*
672944-9OutNo019949,962*
662844-10OutNo019934,623*
652845-9OutNo19923,887*
642745-10OutNo010016,218*
632746-9OutNo010010,748*
622646-10OutNo01006,993*
612647-9OutNo01004,546*
602547-10OutNo01002,821*
592548-9OutNo1001,771*
582549-8OutNo01001,149*
0-57OutNo1008,978*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryVancouverColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-07.5%8777788888878
1356512-566.7333333
1346210-10No2020202020
1336211-911.111221122111111
1326111-107.129714772177
1316213-73.8151241519812448
1306113-86.35136116135210105115
1296013-95.68119811671082659
1286014-86.966596691071041011
1275914-98.49887897979667
1265915-86.61067101165997677
1255815-96.688810977988767
1245816-86.99699977986787
1235716-97.49699876997777
1225717-87.297891066997766
1215617-97.79799977996776
1205618-87.79799977897777
1195518-97.98799976997777
1185519-87.59799967997777
1175419-97.69799976996777
1165420-87.59799977997677
1155320-97.49799976997776
1145321-87.39799976996676
1135221-97.59699967996667
1125121-107.49699966996666
1115122-97.49699966996666
1105022-107.496109966996666
1095023-97.31061010106610106666
1084923-107.31061010106610106666
1074924-97.31061010106610106666
1064824-107.21051110105510105555
1054825-97.11151111115511115555
1044725-107.01151111115511115555
1034726-96.91241212124412124444
1024626-106.81241212124412124444
1014627-96.71331313133313133333
1004527-106.51331313133313133333
994528-96.31331313133313133333
984428-106.21331413133313133333
974429-96.01331313133313133333
964329-105.91331313133313133333
954330-95.71331313133313133333
944230-105.41231212123312123333
934231-94.91031010103310103333
924131-104.29399933993333
914132-93.37377733773333
904032-102.45255522552222
894033-91.53133311331111
883933-100.82122211221111
873934-90.41011100110000
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823737-80.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803537-100.000000000000
793538-90.00000000
783438-10No00000
773540-7No00
763440-8No0
0-75No
Total:3.5%7.02.27.07.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Colorado-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-164100
1265915-81000
124-125100
1235716-91000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-899100
1175419-998210
1165420-896211
1155320-9943110
1145321-89252100
1135221-988730200
1125121-108310403000
1115122-97713604000
1105022-106917806000
1095023-9592110080000
1084923-1048261301100000
1074924-937291711510100
1064824-102631201181010000
1054825-917312232121030000
1044725-1092923523520400000
1034726-9524228238306001000
1024626-1021819122013609101000
1014627-91121415161790121002000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-90451652015316720601000
984428-10023142171571312509120000
974429-901111012121191681113300000
964329-10008078155181121266010000
954330-90050341621713511119130000
944230-100030121401211107161245100000
934231-90020011107715318111094100000
924131-10001007044161167171294100000
914132-9000004012150123211013105200000
904032-1000020111207119613161373100000
894033-90001008040142714181610410000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-90000003104013816212114720000
863834-1000001002001381622221572000
853835-90000101000138162323167200
843735-1000000000013817242315610
833736-9000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-900000000016152729174
803537-1000000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-1000000029253925
773439-9000015194035
763339-1000002133846
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-900032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-1000595
672944-900397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582549-80100
0-57100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333