Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Beat Florida 7-2, playoff odds up 0.3 to 99.8%
79 points   35 15-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.6
Colorado 2 Edmonton 4 +0.1
San Jose 5 Dallas 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Anaheim-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.9
Calgary vs Boston+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125230-0In99.5%1000213,991
124220-1In98.699134,606
123221-0In96.89820176,314*
122211-1In93.79550514,797*
121201-2In89.193701,552,486*
120202-1In82.0881203,535,754*
119192-2In72.6831707,974,026*
118193-1In60.87624015,012,009*
117183-2In47.86732127,513,953*
116184-1In34.758402044,253,482*
115174-2In23.048493068,933,740*
114175-1In13.738566096,685,140*
113165-2In7.22961100131,142,567*
112166-1In3.321641500162,876,526*
111156-2In1.314642200195,426,970*
110157-1In0.5962290096,270,646
146-3In0.49603200120,718,499*
109147-2In0.15553900127,367,608
136-4In0.15544000105,462,076*
108137-3In0.034551100131,346,472*
148-1In0.03484810101,458,632*
107138-2In0.013858200121,505,753
127-4In0.013759300103,516,611*
106128-3In0.01286650092,184,364
139-1In0.012966500111,353,858*
105129-2100.0%0.00207010000178,061,567*
104119-3100.00.00126917100146,155,698*
1031110-2100.0No076426300116,080,955*
1021010-3100.0No04543660086,622,137*
1011011-2100.0No0242431210062,526,746*
100911-399.9No0129462130042,416,477*
99912-299.5No0184430700027,842,248*
98812-397.9No01037361520017,134,928*
97813-293.2No0527362661010,213,018*
96713-382.5No02172835152005,695,580*
95714-265.1No0191837268103,069,222*
94715-143.7No049303617301,542,000*
93615-224.6No02319382980749,755*
92616-111.3No011103139181337,135*
91516-24.2No000420423120146,517*
90517-11.3No0011137456058,374*
89417-20.3No0005295412022,461*
88418-10.0No0218582107,796*
87318-2OutNo110563302,613*
86319-1OutNo549451763*
85219-2OutNo242550207*
84220-1OutNo3762263*
83120-2OutNo2764911*
82121-1OutNo1004*
79023-0OutNo0260344205,855
Total:99.8%3.8%1139408210000002,565,923,010

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNashvilleSan JoseDallasSt. LouisLos AngelesMinnesotaAnaheimCalgaryColoradoChicagoEdmontonVancouverArizona
125230-013.0%2318187189817000
124220-112.81417187199817000
123221-013.0014171871998170000
122211-113.1014171871998170000
121201-213.0014171871998170000
120202-112.9014171971988160000
119192-212.9014181961988160000
118193-112.8024181961987160000
117183-212.7024192061987160000
116184-112.6024192162077150000
115174-212.4023202152076150000
114175-112.3023212252066140000
164-312.3023222252066140000
113165-212.1023232352065140000
154-412.1023232352065140000
112166-112.0023242442055130000
155-311.9023242442055130000
111156-211.8022262542054120000
145-411.8022262541954120000
110157-111.6032272531944120000
146-311.6032282631943120000
109147-211.5032302631933110000
136-411.5032302631933110000
108137-311.3032322721932100000
148-111.3032312721932110000
107138-211.1041332721822100000
127-411.1041342721822100000
106128-311.005135281182190000
139-111.005135281182190000
105129-210.806136281171190000
118-410.806137281171190000
104119-310.607037281171180000
1210-110.60703728117118000
1031110-210.419038270161080000
1021010-310.211103727016007000
1011011-210.131403625014007000
100911-39.962003323013006000
99912-29.7112602819010005000
98812-39.419310221508004000
97813-28.82832016100500200
96713-37.7342801060300100
95714-26.03321063020010
94715-14.02612032010000
93615-22.2166011000000
92616-11.083000000000
91516-20.4310000000
90517-10.1100000
89417-20.00000
88317-3No0
79-87No
Total:11.3%0.85.11.629.925.32.518.03.12.710.60.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 -0.3
San Jose 5 Dallas 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
125230-010000
124220-19901
123221-097120
122211-194250
121201-289470
120202-18261200
119192-2731017000
118193-1611524000
117183-2481932010
116184-135234002000
115174-223254903000
114175-114255605100
113165-272261082000
112166-13176401140000
111156-21136411390000
145-41136311390000
110157-109611141500000
146-308581141700000
109147-2055221426000000
108137-30342411391010000
148-1034531236101000
107138-2013359482020000
127-4013258492020000
106128-3012265574041000
139-1012366574041000
105129-200146360707300000
104119-3007515612198001000
1031110-20340461621115003000
1021010-30130321741123106000
1011011-200101915893040120100
100911-3001091010633812103000
99912-2000351032812229170000
98812-300127118125342150200
97813-2000040998314260610
96713-30002035922635015200
95714-20001012711736126810
94715-10000004452823617300
93615-20002121633729900
92616-1000101732939191000
91516-20000221840325000
90517-100018314314200
89417-2000031943268100
88418-1018333418510
87318-2031933281340
86319-1172334231220
85219-22133034174
84220-132129331122
83120-2996418
82121-15050
79023-0004214126710
Total:4736372841341020100000000000000