Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Lost to Tampa Bay 2-4, playoff odds down 8.5 to 19.6%
4 points   2 5-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
*-0.0
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.4
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-154InYes100729*
1175315-7In90.5%935174*
1165215-8In95.29721105*
1155115-9In88.79334168*
1145116-8In87.59172263*
1135016-9In76.78795467*
1125017-8In66.6771490821*
1114917-9In58.673151201,270*
1104918-8In49.168181301,895*
1094818-9In39.1602217103,025*
1084819-8In29.9512621204,453*
1074719-9In18.94128283006,454*
1064720-8In11.4323033509,358*
1054620-9In6.524313681012,993*
1044621-8In2.8173040111018,098*
1034521-9100.0%1.01028431620025,010*
1024522-8100.00.4625442140033,477*
1014422-9100.00.1320432671043,907*
1004423-899.90.01154032101057,449*
994323-999.8No11135361430072,777*
984223-1099.5No07303819500091,181*
974224-998.6No052338249100112,674*
964124-1096.5No0317362714300136,083*
954125-992.2No01123227207100163,041*
944025-1084.6No017262526123000190,336*
934026-973.2No04201929197100221,011*
923926-1058.6No0214132825123000251,842*
913927-942.8No011082429197100281,940*
903827-1028.1No016417292613400311,303*
893828-916.5No003211253020710336,119*
883728-108.8No002161830271330359,187*
873729-94.0No001031226312061378,509*
863629-101.7No00017203227112390,949*
853630-90.6No000003142932173397,253*
843530-100.2No0000282435256399,320*
833531-90.1No00001518353210392,153*
823431-100.0No0000212313816383,039*
813432-90.0No00018264223366,836*
803332-100.0No00004214331346,211*
793333-90.0No0002154240320,215*
783233-10OutNo001113949292,188*
773234-9OutNo00173557264,500*
763134-10OutNo0053065233,971*
753135-9OutNo0032572204,668*
743035-10OutNo0022078174,932*
733036-9OutNo0011683148,476*
722936-10OutNo011287123,741*
712937-9OutNo00991100,955*
702837-10OutNo0079382,487*
692838-9OutNo059564,948*
682738-10OutNo039651,142*
672739-9OutNo029839,127*
662639-10OutNo029829,580*
652640-9OutNo19922,229*
642540-10OutNo19916,172*
632541-9OutNo19911,808*
622441-10OutNo01008,329*
612442-9OutNo01005,905*
602342-10OutNo01004,084*
592343-9OutNo01002,780*
582344-8OutNo01001,870*
572244-9OutNo01001,172*
4-56OutNo1002,661*
Total:19.6%0.1%01364679111417238,009,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesChicagoMinnesotaCalgaryDallasSan JoseVancouverSt. LouisArizonaEdmontonColorado
154750-05.0%5858101110789874
1225512-8No5050
1215614-5No25252525
1205413-8No40202020
1195414-74.34913131713229
1185314-83.039312213123631563
1175315-71.43779143153815387
1165215-85.7489101291310107317
1155115-93.6310411111310978725
1145116-81.53961112618668545
1135016-92.641271212711779444
1125017-83.339512128138510556
1114917-93.4312513136126610554
1104918-83.041251013614769554
1094818-92.8312514136135610445
1084819-83.3313513135135611445
1074719-93.131541515514559444
1064720-83.1216415154144410334
1054620-93.321641616414449334
1044621-83.2218417174144410223
1034521-92.921831817315339224
1024522-83.131931818315339224
1014422-92.931931918315329113
1004423-82.841931918315229113
994323-92.752031918315229113
984223-102.762041818315228113
974224-92.781941817314228113
964124-102.591851716313227113
954024-112.4111751515412226102
4125-92.4111751515411226112
944126-82.1121551413410225102
4025-102.1121551413410225102
933925-111.912135121138214002
4026-91.912135111138214101
924027-81.4101059836213001
3926-101.5101049836213001
913927-91.08736624112001
903928-80.76524413101000
893828-90.44312211001000
883829-80.22211101000000
873729-90.11101100000000
863730-80.00000000000000
853630-90.00000000000000
843631-80.00000000000000
833531-90.0000000000000
823532-80.000000000000
813432-9No000000000
803130-14No00000
793333-9No0
4-78No
Total:0.5%2.43.61.23.23.10.82.40.50.41.30.20.10.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
ThursdayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-154100
1175315-791351
1165215-895221
1155115-989534
1145116-887372
1135016-9771095
1125017-867111490
1114917-959141501200
1104918-8491918013000
1094818-93920211170010
1084819-83021251201120
1074719-9192226225213000
1064720-8112126328325000
1054620-9717266285480010
1044621-8314238268601100100
1034521-919181022121001510200
1024522-8061311161413119214000
1014422-903812101616121326010
1004423-80151151518321740100100
994323-91292111761811701313000
984223-1001707139131411017250000
974224-90040481171614119580100
964124-1000302411314154179131300
954125-9001012911014713141736100
944025-100010170610108171971131000
934026-900040361231616131682000
923926-100002012111131019181462000
913927-9000101808419151914720000
903827-100001006041169182015721000
893828-90000302011411192116831000
883728-100000021061513202217931000
873729-90000100301613212318931000
863629-10000001002614222418931000
853630-900000000271523241782000
843530-100000000127162424167200
833531-9000000013919262413410
823431-1000000014112228221020
813432-9000000161526281751
803332-100000029213025102
793333-9000014142831174
783233-10000292334257
773234-90001517343312
763134-10000211303918
753135-90017254225
743035-10004194433
733036-9002144242
722936-1000193951
712937-900063459
702837-100043066
692838-90022473
682738-10012079
672739-9011684
662639-10001287
652640-90990
642540-100793
632541-90594
622441-100496
612442-9298
602342-10298
592343-9199
582344-8199
572244-9199
562245-80100
552044-11199
542146-8199
4-53100
Total:000101111112222333344556678998