Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 4 to 61.9%
89 points   43 32-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville 3 Carolina 0 -3.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Winnipeg vs Nashville+18.2+14.9+14.8-14.3-14.4-33.2
+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Vancouver vs Calgary+11.8+1.4+1.5-8.7-8.7-8.7
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9740-0InNo1992,387,394
9630-1InNo01002,631,309
9531-098.8%No9917,042,245
20-296.9No973989,697
9421-170.8No712905,299,220
10-366.5No66331146,619
9322-047.7No484757,100,991
11-239.9No405281,175,243
00-432.2No3257117,378
9212-111.7No1259303,149,229
01-38.2No8553777,338
9113-02.9No340572,811,353
02-21.1No13366311,179
9003-1OutNo1189554,938
8904-0OutNo298375,275
Total:61.9%No062261234,059,408

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoEdmontonDallasMinnesota
9740-01.0%7252030
9630-11.069101920
9531-01.06811182
20-21.06514171
9421-10.74611131
10-30.64311121
9322-00.530881
11-20.425870
00-40.420750
9212-10.17320
01-30.15210
9113-00.02100
02-20.01000
89-90No
Total:0.6%41.77.911.41.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Carolina 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Nashville-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.3+0.3+1.0
Vancouver vs Calgary-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
9740-0199
9630-10100
9531-09901
20-29703
9421-1692290
10-3652331
9322-03994760
11-23375280
00-426656110
9212-156503440
01-344483950
9113-0022449231
02-2011952261
9003-1330579
8904-0096724
Total:0593231041