Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances

Losing to Vegas 0-5 (End 2nd), playoff odds unchanged at 100%
92 points   44 25-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Dallas 1 Colorado 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vegas vs Winnipeg-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
11090-0InNo356583,711
10980-1InNo1783145,167
10881-0InNo1090451,386
70-2InNo892112,713
10771-1InNo397699,591
60-3InNo39750,592
10672-0InNo1991,084,613
61-2InNo199471,088
50-4InNo19914,504
10562-1InNo01001,460,999
51-3InNo0100180,181
40-5InNo01002,724
10463-0InNo010001,512,365
52-2InNo01000838,581
41-4InNo0100042,931
30-6InNo100325
10353-1InNo09911,735,151
42-3InNo0982266,711
31-5InNo09826,511*
10254-0InNo096401,347,335
43-2InNo09640826,619
32-4InNo946050,306
21-6InNo9190686*
10144-1InNo861401,280,050
33-3InNo84160209,071
22-5InNo811805,742
11-7InNo653534
10045-0InNo76241793,496
34-2InNo73261484,261
23-4InNo6930129,578
12-6InNo62362359
9935-1InNo52444599,996
24-3InNo4947491,021
13-5InNo455062,164*
9836-0InNo375490310,724
25-2InNo3356100169,630
14-4InNo28581408,736
03-6InNo17661764
9726-1InNo1760230176,026
15-3InNo146124021,180
04-5InNo1256321347
9627-0InNo85337277,747
16-2InNo75338232,644
05-4InNo549424963
9517-1InNo23754729,137
06-3InNo1375472,041
9418-0InNo123591711,433
07-2InNo02158202,787
9308-1InNo09573302,104
9209-0InNo4454921,995
Total:InNo189910015,728,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgarySan JoseNashvilleVegasSt. LouisDallasColoradoArizonaMinnesotaChicagoVancouverEdmonton
11090-07.3%1045120145211
10980-17.21066115114110
10881-07.1107651393110
70-27.1107641393110
10771-17.0208671283100
60-37.1209661283100
10672-07.0208681182100
61-27.0209661182100
50-46.9209651183100
10562-16.9209671182100
51-36.92010661182100
40-57.2210651282100
10463-06.9209671182100
52-26.92010661182100
41-46.92011651182100
30-67.72136410821
10353-16.82011651182100
42-36.92012641182100
31-57.02013641172100
10254-06.82013641182100
43-26.82014631182100
32-46.82016621072100
21-66.321860116210
10144-16.63021571072100
33-36.6302356962100
22-56.0402556852000
11-72.9355933
10045-06.5402751962100
34-26.5403050862100
23-46.1503248752100
12-65.6835435721
9935-16.2804238641000
24-36.1804437541000
13-55.7847364310
9836-06.101205030431000
25-26.01105229431000
14-46.2125527321000
03-64.71164205
9726-15.81605920211000
15-35.915612021000
04-57.2156121210
9627-05.51906216110000
16-25.418631711000
05-45.9196416100
9517-15.4220631410000
06-34.8206415100
9418-05.72759131000
07-26.028581310
9308-15.203852910
9209-04.6104645710
Total:6.8%0.00.02.90.016.460.010.27.12.30.70.20.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 1 Pittsburgh 2 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vegas vs Winnipeg+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Minnesota+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
11090-035650
10980-117830
10881-010891
70-28902
10771-13915
60-33926
10672-018711
61-218811
50-418712
10562-107624
51-307624
40-507723
10463-006040000
52-205941000
41-40584200
30-66238
10353-1038600010
42-3037610010
31-5036620020
10254-001977003100
43-20187800310000
32-4177704100
21-618730620
10144-168000760000
33-36780870000
22-5576099000
11-7362926
10045-017506170000
34-217207190100
23-416807230100
12-616182820
9935-105205390311
24-304905420311
13-50454450311
9836-00370153051300
25-20330155051400
14-4280157062600
03-61766926
9726-11700600821300
15-3140610721500
04-512055102201
9627-080053812911
16-27053713012
05-4549803413
9517-1237604816
06-3137405017
9418-01233057116
07-2021256119
9308-10915603300
9209-0404504901
Total:14346002700010000