Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances

Beat Columbus 3-2 (ot), playoff odds up 5.2 to 39.4%
4 points   2 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)+3.5
+0.2
+0.2
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina*+0.1-0.6-0.4-0.4-0.6+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Arizona*-0.0-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-108InYes100523*
86399-4In97.3%991147*
85389-5In97.5100243*
843810-4In96.79910478*
833710-5In93.59820831*
823711-4In92.797311,365*
813611-5In87.194412,392*
803511-6In81.691723,757*
793512-5In73.2879305,796*
783412-6In63.68212608,970*
773413-5In53.376168013,480*
763313-6In39.8662112019,548*
753314-5In27.45626181027,738*
743214-6In16.24430241038,069*
733215-5100.0%8.332323230051,332*
723115-6100.03.521334060067,385*
713116-5100.01.1123047111085,819*
703016-6100.00.26245018200107,103*
693017-599.90.021749274000131,444*
682917-699.50.011043378010155,993*
672918-598.30.005324416020181,939*
662818-695.4No022145262400207,985*
652819-588.7No00113933511100230,941*
642719-676.8No0427331120300251,145*
632720-559.8No01162618319100267,460*
622620-640.5No007141937194000279,459*
612621-523.2No002615333111200284,316*
602521-611.3No01292336227100283,152*
592522-54.7No000412313216400276,064*
582422-61.7No000252134271020264,760*
572423-50.5No000021128342050245,983*
562323-60.2No000004183430122225,150*
552324-50.1No0002102736214200,894*
542224-60.0No000041937309175,604*
532225-50.0No0000211323816150,279*
522125-60.0No0016264325125,442*
512126-50.0No0003184435102,455*
502026-6OutNo0112414681,846*
492027-50.0No0017355764,229*
481927-6OutNo004296748,895*
471928-5OutNo02237437,030*
461828-6OutNo001188127,066*
451829-5OutNo01138619,340*
441729-6OutNo0099113,555*
431730-5OutNo06949,335*
421630-6OutNo04966,058*
411631-5OutNo3973,982*
401531-6OutNo2982,741*
391532-5OutNo1991,579*
381432-6OutNo199972*
371433-5OutNo199549*
4-36OutNo1001,128*
Total:39.4%1.1%34911851010999874,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealCalgaryTampa BayTorontoFloridaCarolinaWinnipegNashvilleOttawaDallasColumbusVancouverEdmontonChicago
108520-05.2%0018015131151161505
96433-6NoYes
91438-1No17501717
90406-6No40202020
89407-58.3178332588
88408-49.7316106610310613313
87398-55.97212911979797442
86399-44.1951031410610288832
85389-55.86887981071075762
843810-45.965999899884764
833710-55.777978898776864
823711-44.266788889966774
813611-55.286878888976763
803511-65.977888898986773
793512-55.377888998975673
783412-65.667878988875763
773413-55.666989989875673
763313-65.667107101089786663
753314-55.4661161111710796553
743214-65.1551251212611696443
733215-55.34413513135125106333
723115-65.13315414144134116323
713116-55.02217316163143126223
703016-64.82218217172152137113
693017-54.62219217171151137113
682917-64.52218218171151137003
672918-54.32218217171151136003
3019-34.32218217172141136113
662818-64.03317216162141126113
2717-83.94416315152132116113
652819-53.85415314143122105112
2920-33.75415313133112105112
642719-63.3551341211310284112
2618-83.055114101038273111
632720-52.5551048836252111
622620-61.744736524131000
612621-51.022413312120000
602521-60.411212201010000
592522-50.200101100000000
582523-40.100000000000000
572423-50.000000000000000
562424-40.0000000000000
552324-50.00000000000
542325-40.00000000
532225-50.0000000
522226-4No0000
512025-7No0000
502329-0No
492027-5No0
4-48No
Total:1.8%1.91.86.61.56.15.91.25.11.04.32.10.50.50.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 3 Columbus 2 (ot)-0.8
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Nashville vs Carolina-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-108100
86399-49721
85389-5982
843810-497310
833710-594420
823711-493431
813611-587741
803511-68210602
793512-573149030
783412-66419120500
773413-553221508000
763313-6402720112000
753314-52728242171010
743214-6162826521210100
733215-58242482542030000
723115-6318211226850600000
713116-511115152314901000010
703016-6068161619142162102000
693017-5024138201752052040000
682917-60119316151021115080010
672918-50005191013151810114200200
662818-60020341372013419620400
652819-500001192161210191450101000
642719-60004086131122921661000
632720-5000102211422117201451000
622620-6000106113712152115720000
612621-500002053127172217931000
602521-6000102182817222012620000
592522-500000402715212216831000
582422-6000020025132023191151000
572423-50000000014101823211362000
562323-60000000139172322157200
552324-50000013917242415620
542224-6000001391826241551
532225-500001310202824122
522125-6000014132530216
512126-500001618313013
502026-600311273722
492027-500016204033
481927-6003133846
471928-500183457
461828-60052867
451829-50032176
441729-60011583
431730-511189
421630-60892
411631-50595
401531-6397
391532-5298
381432-6199
371433-5199
361434-4100
351334-50100
341335-4199
331235-5298
4-32100
Total:1222222233234523444444444444444