Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Beat Arizona 4-3 (so), playoff odds up 0.5 to 2.2%
47 points   20 22-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Florida 4 Detroit 5 +0.1
Columbus 4 Washington 3 +0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
New Jersey vs Toronto+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
113330-0In21.3%711415010251,283
112320-1InNo1001
110311-1InNo2222569*
109301-2InNo9224841746*
108291-3InNo91535112613182*
107292-2InNo41430143026617*
106282-3InNo11022183331312,147*
105283-2InNo0612183572016,675*
104273-3100.0%No036163211293018,320*
103274-299.9No012122515376047,754*
102264-399.7No01181817441200114,777*
101254-499.1No0041017481910260,614*
100255-397.6No002514472820556,906*
99245-494.5No00121142385001,128,936*
98246-389.0No00017354611002,165,722*
97236-480.9No000042651181003,958,173*
96237-370.2No000021750272006,903,917*
95227-457.7No000111463750011,497,992*
94228-344.5No000163845910018,314,446*
93218-432.1No0000329511610027,960,624*
92219-321.4No000120512430040,946,796*
91209-413.1No0001124832600057,605,878*
902010-37.3No0000740401210077,903,952*
891910-43.7No0004314419200101,390,278*
881911-31.6No0022244275000127,007,994*
871811-40.6No00114403510100153,341,381*
861812-30.2No0008324117200178,375,909*
851712-40.1No0004234325500200,158,415*
841713-30.0No0002153934910216,669,062*
831613-40.0No00019334016200226,322,700*
821614-30.0No0004244225500228,202,076*
811514-40.0No002154033910222,156,986*
801515-30.0No001933401620208,774,092*
791415-40.0No000425432440189,463,356*
781416-3OutNo00216413370165,967,411*
771316-4OutNo001103641120140,413,229*
761317-3OutNo00052847200114,602,799*
751217-4OutNo0002204829090,329,416*
741218-3OutNo001134639068,657,588*
731118-4OutNo00084150050,348,879*
721119-3OutNo00043461035,580,561*
711019-4OutNo0022770024,233,531*
701020-3OutNo0012078015,884,927*
69920-4OutNo001585010,022,656*
68921-3OutNo00108916,084,932*
67821-4OutNo0069213,540,350*
66822-3OutNo049421,981,557*
65722-4OutNo029431,061,726*
64723-3OutNo01935544,030*
63623-4OutNo1918265,864*
62624-3OutNo008812124,392*
61524-4OutNo0831655,669*
60525-3OutNo0782223,261*
59526-2OutNo071299,476*
58426-3OutNo063373,522*
57427-2OutNo056441,291*
56327-3OutNo4258436*
55328-2OutNo3268125*
54228-3OutNo376341*
53229-2OutNo109010*
51-52OutNo1002*
47033-0OutNo199251,283
Total:2.2%0.0%0000000271318201813703,031,496,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY IslandersDetroitMontrealPittsburghTampa BayNY RangersWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaTorontoColumbusNew JerseyCarolina
113330-00.7%76615512291623000
112320-1NoYes
110311-1No112233111111
109301-2No7202613111392
108291-30.5101519121995102
107292-20.6819211118868100
106282-30.5920209191146010
105283-20.51020201119114400
104273-30.412192010211134000
103274-20.5141919102011330000
102264-30.5151919112012320000
101254-40.51818191118122100000
100255-30.519171811171221000000
99245-40.42116171116122100000
98246-30.421151610141110000000
97236-40.42013149121010000000
247-20.42013149121010000000
96237-30.3191212810910000000
226-50.318111281091000000
95227-40.31691078710000000
238-20.316101078810000000
216-60.31591067710000000
94228-30.2137856600000000
217-50.212775650000000
239-10.2138857600000000
93218-40.195544400000000
229-20.2105645400000000
207-60.19554440000000
92219-30.163433300000000
208-50.163423300000000
2210-10.163423300000000
91209-40.142222200000000
2110-20.142222200000000
198-60.14221120000000
902010-30.021111100000000
199-50.021111100000000
2111-10.02111110000000
891910-40.011100000000000
2011-20.01110010000000
881911-30.000000000000000
871811-40.00000000000000
861812-30.000000000000
851712-40.0000000000
841713-30.000000000
831613-40.000000000
821614-30.00000000
811615-2No0000000
801515-30.000000
791516-2No00
47-78No
Total:0.0%0.60.30.40.20.30.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 4 Washington 3 +0.0
Florida 4 Detroit 5 -0.0
Edmonton 1 Minnesota 2 +0.0
Nashville 4 Colorado 3 (ot)*+0.0
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113330-021491221410100
112320-1100
110311-122222233
109301-2915726224152
108291-3951014211122413
107292-2441082214237260
106282-3128318170231131301
105283-2015111171201671901
104273-300306142141811028130
103274-2001029381715034360
102264-3001015241417038612000
101254-4000321916139919010
100255-30001105131341328020
99245-4000102922616380500
98246-30000015218174511100
97236-400000022101648318100
96237-30000001151345627200
95227-4000001293610366000
94228-300000015251343111000
93218-4000000031415442030000
92219-300000016143929910000
91209-400000121029351741000
902010-3000000161835271120000
891910-400000039273220710000
881911-30000241731281441000
871811-40000118233123102000
861812-30000031327301861000
851712-40000016193027133000
841713-300000021024312281000
831613-400000014152930164000
821614-300000182233259100
811514-400000313293318400
801515-30000162135279100
791415-400000313313516200
781416-3000016233926500
771316-4000031536351000
761317-30001830421810
751217-40000421452820
741218-30002144338400
731118-400183748700
721119-3000429551200
711019-4000221591810
701020-300114582620
69920-40008553430
68921-3005484150
67821-4002404890
66822-3013253140
65722-4012455211
64723-3001754281
63623-401150373
62624-30744455
61524-40436528
60525-302285713
59526-21215820
58426-30155629
57427-2095436
56327-354253
55328-233562
54228-33763
53229-22080
51-52100
47033-0199
Total:000000000000001135681011121313106100