Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 31.5%
19 points   8 9-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)-0.5
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -0.5
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.9*+0.1+0.3-0.5-0.4-0.6
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 +2.8
+0.1
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 +1.2
+0.0
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.4
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 -0.3
Boston 0 Montreal 2 +0.2
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 +0.2
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*+0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 *-0.1
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-143In99.8%100456*
118469-7In87.8902741*
117459-8In80.4884851*
1164510-7In70.982315117*
1154511-6In67.979615193*
1144512-5In58.6718210382*
1134412-6In49.96510241669*
1124312-7In36.153113521,067*
1114313-6In28.748143621,788*
1104213-7In20.040154232,726*
1094214-6In11.6301747604,297*
1084114-7In6.3231851806,396*
1074115-6In3.21518551109,354*
1064015-7In1.310175716013,773*
1054016-6In0.46155820119,210*
1043916-7In0.131356261026,390*
1033917-6In0.021054322035,574*
1023817-7100.0%No17493840047,271*
1013818-6100.0No05434460061,352*
1003718-799.9No0437491010077,396*
993719-699.7No02305213200096,329*
983619-799.2No012453175100117,653*
973519-897.6No011752198200139,798*
963520-794.2No0124820135100163,454*
953420-887.8No0843181892000187,013*
943421-777.5No05361522166100210,318*
933321-864.2No032910222211300233,347*
923322-748.9No02226192618610251,569*
913222-834.2No0116314262512300266,520*
903223-721.7No001119233019610278,171*
893123-812.6No007151831261120284,651*
883124-76.8No040212283218400284,938*
873024-83.4No02017213425810280,231*
863025-71.6No0100315323214200270,642*
852925-80.7No010019263622400256,540*
842926-70.3No000015193730800238,650*
832826-80.1No000021333371310217,638*
822827-70.0No0001827412020195,354*
812727-80.0No0000421422850171,888*
802728-70.0No000214403580149,116*
792628-80.0No000193541121126,046*
782629-70.0No00062945182105,207*
772529-8OutNo003224725385,537*
762530-7OutNo02164631569,294*
752430-8OutNo01114238854,262*
742431-7OutNo00737431241,718*
732331-8OutNo0432471731,505*
722332-7OutNo0325502323,649*
712232-8OutNo0219502917,472*
702233-7OutNo0115483712,251*
692133-8OutNo11146438,629*
682134-7OutNo0742516,015*
672034-8OutNo0437594,038*
662035-7OutNo332652,707*
652036-6OutNo227721,797*
641936-7OutNo123771,117*
631937-6OutNo01980725*
621837-7OutNo01683410*
611737-8OutNo694269*
601637-9OutNo991133*
591739-6OutNo69493*
581538-9OutNo79359*
571640-6OutNo10028*
561641-5OutNo89213*
19-55OutNo100443*
Total:31.5%0.1%01615468111213128415,195,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitMontrealTorontoOttawaNY RangersWashingtonBostonNew JerseyFloridaCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
143620-05.6%2438814141181341000
124507-5NoYes
122509-3YesYes
1215010-2No3367
120478-7No9992791818
119468-8No10201020201010
118469-77.310721020101271012
117459-8No212121012810814410
1164510-72.62418589127810953
1154511-64.715175988710123941
1144512-52.9321946111110139741
1134412-63.94420689991275510
1124312-72.8632567861010674100
1114313-64.06327658791176510
1104213-73.7723156671110554100
1094214-63.292344465121055310
1084114-73.21023744441210453100
1074115-63.41224033441210352100
1064015-73.11424233331210352100
1054016-63.1151442222121025100
1043916-73.11614622221110251100
1033917-63.21724622111210141000
1023817-72.91724722111110151100
1013818-62.91834622111210140100
1003718-72.91944622111110140100
993719-62.919544221110914010
983619-72.920642331110914010
973519-82.72173933119813000
963520-72.52293643117713000
953420-82.42293243116613000
3319-102.32393243116512000
943421-72.122927331154020000
3522-52.12292733115402000
933321-81.719822331143010000
923322-71.21661722002201000
913222-80.911412110021010000
903223-70.5728110011000000
893123-80.3415000010000000
883124-70.221300000000000
873125-60.110200000000000
863025-70.000100000000000
853026-60.00000000000000
842926-70.00000000000
832927-60.000000000
822928-50.00000
812828-6No00000
802627-9No00
792830-4No0
782629-7No0
19-77No
Total:0.9%7.72.612.31.11.00.30.32.42.20.21.00.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)+0.1
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Buffalo vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 4 Columbus 2 -0.5
Washington 1 Buffalo 2 -0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-143100
119468-89010
118469-788227
117459-880848
1164510-77111315
1154511-66811615
1144512-5591282100
1134412-650151024001
1124312-7361710034102
1114313-6291913134102
1104213-7202014139213
1094214-61219162424160
1084114-761715341637000
1074115-63121444011511000
1064015-71912534158015100
1054016-60687261912019101
1043916-703671822161233110
1033917-60237102219224520200
1023817-7126519215259504000
1013818-60152141982213906000
1003718-70030915121617141911000
993719-6002051014102020211220000
983619-70010261551924512450100
973519-800101313215251112780200
963520-700011101021179101215100
953420-8000805152261214493000
943421-7000502924312147156100
933321-8000301523191111191241000
923322-700020220066131919103000
913222-800101150331115231882000
903223-70000110118921241562000
893123-80000710551524231451000
883124-7000400228192622124100
873024-80020010311222620103000
863025-700100015142426187200
852925-801000027182625145100
842926-7000000131021282311300
832826-80000015142628197100
822827-700002819292613300
812727-8000013122530207100
802728-70001618302813300
792628-8000311263221610
782629-7000161933281120
772529-800031329331740
762530-7001723362571
752430-8004163432122
742431-7002103037183
732331-80162439255
722332-70031738329
712232-80212343814
702233-7018294120
692133-8005244526
682134-703184435
672034-801134243
662035-7184051
652036-6053461
641936-7033066
631937-622772
621837-712078
611737-811089
601637-911189
591739-6991
581538-9892
571640-6100
561641-5892
19-55100
Total:000011122247233356677776654210