Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.005 to 0.09%
42 points   18 23-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
No*No*No*No*No+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
112350-0In4.6%10901474
101273-5InNo50502
100274-4InNo25754*
99275-3InNo1122561118*
98276-292.5%No38353018840*
97255-590.6No14292828985*
96256-483.1No12222335152189*
95246-566.3No2121636286451*
94247-449.9No07103240100880*
93237-536.4No35284120201,758*
92238-424.1No022204528303,396*
91228-512.6No01114041705,734*
90229-46.5No0063348121010,234*
89219-53.0No0032452202016,771*
882110-41.2No0011651284026,768*
872010-50.4No0009453691040,980*
862011-40.1No053642152060,487*
851911-50.0No00226442350085,801*
841912-40.0No011642319100117,862*
831812-50.0No009343716300156,557*
821813-4OutNo05253924610199,144*
811713-5OutNo021636321220246,458*
801714-4OutNo01929372040295,628*
791614-5OutNo00420372891340,947*
781615-4OutNo002123235162382,233*
771515-5OutNo0162438255414,009*
761516-4OutNo00316373410233,504*
1415-6OutNo00316373410198,537*
751416-5OutNo00110324116275,061*
1315-7OutNo019304119160,178*
741417-4OutNo005244526425,683*
731317-5OutNo002164437401,497*
721318-4OutNo001104049181,296*
1217-6OutNo01104049184,798*
711218-5OutNo0063460323,941*
701219-4OutNo0032770275,502*
691119-5OutNo012079227,318*
681120-4OutNo011486180,671*
671020-5OutNo00991137,650*
661021-4OutNo00694101,929*
65921-5OutNo049672,558*
64922-4OutNo029849,715*
63822-5OutNo019932,930*
62823-4OutNo19920,703*
61723-5OutNo010012,792*
60724-4OutNo01007,385*
59725-3OutNo01004,157*
58625-4OutNo01002,153*
57626-3OutNo01001,084*
42-56OutNo1001,436*
Total:0.1%0.0%0000000269131722295,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNY IslandersPittsburghWashingtonBostonColumbusMontrealBuffaloCarolina
112350-0No41518186191271
101273-5NoYes
100274-4No5050
99275-3No1128221722
98276-2No15202810183
97255-5No271619131131
96256-4No392011816
245-6No352151548
267-2No2816151113
95246-5No311136613
257-3No3581056
235-71.3%36135811
268-1No462101057
94247-4No3417633
236-6No3216422
258-2No2917826
225-8No283621
93248-3No2713422
237-5No27223110
226-7No234321
259-1No26123312
92238-4No2002111
227-6No1901101
249-2No21031101
216-8No1701101
91228-5No11010000
239-3No12010000
217-7No1001000
2410-1No1210
206-9No1000000
90229-4No6000000
218-6No600000
2310-2No70000
207-8No5000
89219-5No30000
2210-30.0300000
208-7No2000
2311-1No400
882110-4No1000000
209-6No1000
2211-2No100000
198-8No10
872111-3No000
2010-5No000
199-7No00
862011-4No000
851911-5No0000
842013-2No0
832014-1No00
42-82No
Total:0.0%0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 3 Toronto 1 +0.0
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 -0.0
Carolina 1 Ottawa 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Philadelphia+0.4-0.1-0.0-0.6-0.6-0.6
Colorado vs Los Angeles-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Nashville vs Florida-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
112350-05582800
101273-55050
100274-42575
99275-3116175611
98276-2353102530188
97255-5141271271289
96256-4112216521235152
95246-50108415136286
94247-40438332040100
93237-52241271412120
92238-401111192442830
91228-50001923941800
90229-4000042314714100
89219-50000112048245100
882110-4000111413311300
872010-50000528362182000
862011-40021530291761000
851911-500006192826155100
841912-40028202824134100
831812-5000310212823124100
821813-401311222821103000
811713-500141324282092000
801714-400015142528187100
791614-500016172727165100
781615-4002820292512300
1514-60002820292512300
771515-5000310233022920
761516-400141428301850
1415-600141528301750
751416-50017203227112
1517-300017203227112
741417-40003112734204
731317-500151935309
721318-4000211313917
711218-50016234328
701219-40002154240
691119-500193852
681120-40053164
671020-50022474
661021-4011782
65921-5001188
64922-40792
63822-50595
62823-40397
61723-50298
60724-4199
59725-30100
58625-40100
57626-30100
42-56100
Total:000000000000000001122345781012131516