Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Lost to Calgary 2-3 (ot), playoff odds down 0.2 to 2.7%
66 points   27 25-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Philadelphia 2 Calgary 3 (ot)-0.4
Florida 2 Toronto 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Winnipeg vs Ottawa+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
102180-0100.0%No052946190326,433
101170-199.6No1124542011,063
100171-098.6No063756163,621*
99161-196.3No02266740227,347*
98151-292.1No01177480772,873*
97152-185.2No00107515002,082,741*
96142-276.0No0057123105,275,806*
95143-164.2No00262342011,448,623*
94133-251.1No01504540023,362,758*
93134-137.5No00375390042,363,788*
92124-225.2No002558161072,518,218*
91125-115.0No0015562720112,551,383*
90115-28.0No008493760092,590,712
104-47.8No008483860072,795,887*
89105-33.4No00337471200101,046,380
116-13.7No00438461100121,840,146*
88106-21.4No00126512010210,309,265*
95-41.2No00124512220074,758,594
8796-30.4No00144833400197,822,258*
107-10.5No000174931300138,826,497
8697-20.1No0084143800205,444,163
86-40.1No00084044800172,498,172*
8587-30.0No03295116000233,865,807*
98-10.0No004315014000159,281,302
8488-20.0No01195325100210,868,666
77-40.0No01185228200106,057,229
99-00.0No0120532510072,125,019*
8378-30.0No00104639400164,479,426
89-10.0No00114837400192,656,218*
8279-20.0No0053748910170,032,487
68-40.0No00536491010141,967,184*
8169-3OutNo0223541920146,996,544*
710-10.0No00227531720105,453,726
80610-2OutNo0114512950107,300,644
59-4OutNo011451295087,045,078*
79510-3OutNo0064140121076,380,051*
611-1OutNo008433810161,674,312*
78511-2OutNo0033045212093,199,564*
77512-1OutNo0011843326057,627,423*
76412-2OutNo009364213033,840,324*
75413-1OutNo004264723017,973,636*
74313-2OutNo0216473509,047,337*
73314-1OutNo009415004,035,197*
72214-2OutNo04336301,704,684*
71215-1OutNo00223750612,890*
70115-2OutNo0115840209,055*
69116-1OutNo0991055,981*
68117-0OutNo0595014,671*
67017-1OutNo29802,344
66018-0OutNo01980324,853
Total:2.7%No000031224302173103,913,768,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY RangersPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitWashingtonBostonOttawaFlorida
102180-00.5%1928177185600
101170-10.4283211910720
100171-00.53133898820
99161-10.53233796910
98151-20.53231695910
162-00.53232695910
97152-10.430295848100
141-30.43028684800
96142-20.427265738000
153-00.42827583800
131-40.4262557380
95143-10.323224637000
132-30.32221463700
121-50.3212046270
94133-20.31817352500
144-00.31918352600
122-40.21716452500
111-60.2161544250
93134-10.21313341400
123-30.21212341400
112-50.21211331400
92124-20.199221300
113-40.18822130
135-00.11092313000
102-60.17722130
91125-10.155121200
114-30.155111200
103-50.14411120
90115-20.033110100
104-40.022110100
126-00.033110100
93-60.022110100
89116-10.011000000
105-30.01100000
94-50.01100000
88106-20.00000000
95-40.00000000
117-00.011000000
84-60.00000000
87107-10.00000000
96-30.00000000
85-50.00000000
8697-20.00000000
86-40.00000000
8598-10.00000000
8488-20.00000000
8389-10.00000000
8279-2No0000000
81710-1No0
66-80No
Total:0.0%0.90.90.20.30.10.30.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 2 Calgary 3 (ot)+0.1
Florida 2 Toronto 3 -0.1
New Jersey 3 Nashville 1 +0.1
Dallas 3 NY Islanders 2 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Winnipeg vs Ottawa-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
102180-0000041442104521900
101170-100011003964200
100171-00000502885511
99161-1000020161065240
98151-200001089695800
97152-10000003764111500
96142-2000014512023100
95143-10000023428324000
94133-20000118323711200
93134-1000073034216100
92124-200002232531163000
91125-10000015143229101000
90115-20000862437214000
104-4000852337215000
89105-300031123434132000
116-10004213353212200
88106-20001052438246100
95-40001052338257100
8796-300001113335163000
107-100000112333415300
8697-2000052237278100
86-40000042137279100
8587-3000110303619300
98-100002123235173000
8488-2000042037308000
77-40000418373110000
99-0000052137298000
8378-300019293919200
89-10000111313817100
8279-200004194031500
68-400004194032600
8169-30019324314100
710-1000110344112100
80610-20004224724400
59-40003214724400
79510-300011141361010
611-10001124235910
78511-2000531431920
77512-100219433160
76412-2000103641120
75413-10042647230
74313-200216473500
73314-1009415000
72214-204336300
71215-1002237410
70115-201158320
69116-1098650
68117-0058780
67017-1285131
66018-001762120
Total:000000000000022481216171613621000