Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 35.9%
54 points   23 18-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Tampa Bay 6 Pittsburgh 3 +0.8
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 5 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Philadelphia vs NY Rangers+6.4+5.9+5.0-1.5-1.5-7.2
New Jersey vs Washington-1.3-1.3-1.1*+0.0*+0.0+1.1
Florida vs Pittsburgh+0.9-0.1-0.1-1.1-1.2-1.2
Detroit vs NY Islanders-0.2-0.8-0.6-0.3-0.4+0.5
Boston vs Buffalo-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.6
Montreal vs Edmonton-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120330-0In63.2%64036141,824
117311-1InNo1001
116301-2In30.0307030*
115302-1In10.51684114*
114292-2In7.91189404*
113282-3In5.790911,399*
112283-2In2.1419504,124*
111273-3In1.13197011,392*
110274-2In0.52197129,635*
109264-3In0.210981070,897*
108254-4In0.0009720161,132*
107255-3In0.0009640342,232*
106245-4In0.0009460692,942*
105246-3In0.0009010001,326,697*
104236-4In0.0008515002,415,080*
103237-3100.0%No0078211004,191,288*
102227-4100.0No0069283006,952,563*
101228-3100.0No00593650011,021,477*
100218-4100.0No00474390016,749,207*
99219-3100.0No0036481510024,423,536*
98209-499.9No0025492330034,191,952*
972010-399.6No0164531700046,003,363*
961910-498.5No09383813100059,540,872*
951911-395.5No05293923400074,180,766*
941811-488.9No0219353210100089,035,314*
931812-377.2No01112639194000103,003,860*
921712-460.6No0061738299100114,913,257*
911713-341.8No0393036184000123,625,423*
901613-424.7No0142037289100128,374,614*
891614-312.3No001113036183000128,653,873*
881514-45.1No00052137288100124,477,055*
871515-31.7No0002113236163000116,249,400*
861415-40.5No000052238277100104,862,741*
851416-30.1No00021334351420091,300,715*
841316-40.0No0001625392450076,775,922*
831317-30.0No00002153634111062,283,417*
821217-40.0No0000182840203048,780,662*
811218-30.0No00031940308036,855,415*
801118-4OutNo00110343915126,868,706*
791119-3OutNo0005254224318,879,065*
781019-4OutNo002164134712,788,541*
771020-3OutNo00193443138,336,004*
76920-4OutNo00042648225,233,865*
75921-3OutNo0021748333,158,786*
74821-4OutNo0011045441,830,988*
73822-3OutNo00638561,018,070*
72722-4OutNo0033167545,117*
71723-3OutNo012376277,953*
70623-4OutNo011683135,541*
69624-3OutNo0118963,359*
68524-4OutNo079327,808*
67525-3OutNo049611,781*
66526-2OutNo3974,654*
65426-3OutNo1991,820*
64427-2OutNo199668*
54-63OutNo100142,119*
Total:35.9%0.0%004910131414131074201,710,969,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonFloridaTampa BayNY RangersNY IslandersBostonPittsburghDetroitNew JerseyCarolinaMontrealOttawaTorontoBuffaloColumbus
120330-00.9%012622315813731000
117311-1NoYes
116301-23.3432317133
115302-10.914032213291
114292-21.2043370915210
113282-31.1042351111730000
112283-21.0004536010072000
111273-30.7004635011062000
110274-20.7004535010072000
109264-30.700045360100720000
108254-40.7000453601006200000
107255-30.7000453601006200000
106245-40.7000453601106100000
105246-30.7000453601106100000
104236-40.7000453601106100000
103237-30.7010453601106100000
102227-40.7020443501106100000
101228-30.7041433401006100000
100218-40.6171413201006100000
99219-30.62122383011005100000
98209-40.6318433261905100000
972010-30.6724529221704100000
199-50.6825527211704100000
961910-40.61429622161603100000
2011-20.61429622161603100000
951911-30.52231616122402100000
1810-50.52431615111402100000
179-70.52431615111402100000
941811-40.5322861071201000000
1912-20.5302961281302000000
1710-60.534276961201000000
931812-30.438225641101000000
1711-50.439214641101000000
1610-70.438214641101000000
921712-40.338143321100000000
1813-20.338163421100000000
1611-60.336123320100000000
911713-30.23182210000000000
1612-50.22971110000000000
901613-40.12031100000000000
891614-30.11110000000000000
881514-40.0500000000000000
871515-30.0200000000000000
861415-40.0000000000000
851416-30.00000000000
841316-40.0000000000
831317-30.0000000
821318-2No000
811218-3No0
54-80No
Total:0.2%13.28.21.75.74.30.41.40.10.80.20.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 6 Pittsburgh 3 -0.1
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs NY Rangers-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9
New Jersey vs Washington+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Florida vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs NY Islanders-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120330-0631036
117311-1100
116301-23070
115302-111584
114292-283881
113282-3630892
112283-22219140
111273-312190600
110274-20110861101
109264-301007917110
108254-4000070252200
107255-300005834404000
106245-400004542706000
105246-300003247110900000
104236-4000020481601400000
103237-3000114521119101000
102227-4000537252253103000
101228-3000227264286205000
100218-400011723729105090000
99219-3000091882514901501000
98209-40000412918171302213000
972010-3000278111617129370000
961910-4000365131913251301000
951911-300013281633092214000
941811-40002041232213312101000
931812-3000101631313344194000
921712-40000003361130829101000
911713-30000012272010341940000
901613-400000103101032291120000
891614-3000000137233422710000
881514-400000001412293117510000
871515-300000001417302715510000
861415-40000000171929251341000
851416-3000000282028241341000
841316-40000002921282312310000
831317-300000003102228231130000
821217-4000000131123292192000
811218-3000014132529208200
801118-40001515272817510
791119-30000171830271330
781019-400002923322491
771020-300003142933183
76920-4000162135298
75921-3000212313816
74821-40016234327
73822-30002154240
72722-400183754
71723-30043066
70623-40022177
69624-3011585
68524-400990
67525-30595
66526-20496
65426-3298
64427-2199
63327-3100
62328-2298
54-61100
Total:000001112241641031211976543321100