Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 43.3%
20 points   8 8-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Anaheim 3 Florida 2 +0.2
Detroit 3 Colorado 4 (ot)+0.1
Carolina 4 NY Islanders 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Washington vs Calgary-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.6
Minnesota vs New Jersey+0.4*-0.0*-0.0-0.3-0.4-0.5
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-144InYes100663*
123509-3In80.0%80205*
122488-6InYes10015*
121489-5In96.697329*
1204810-4In93.194672*
1194710-5In86.9928107*
1184610-6In86.388120226*
1174611-5In78.283171367*
1164511-6In76.583170650*
1154512-5In64.2742511,152*
1144412-6In57.5673121,873*
1134413-5In49.2623532,971*
1124313-6In37.15343404,693*
1114213-7In30.14648607,308*
1104214-6In21.038538011,149*
1094114-7In14.93157110016,391*
1084115-6In9.02459161023,479*
1074015-7In4.717602120033,014*
1064016-6In2.312582630045,524*
1053916-7100.0%0.985532500060,899*
1043917-6In0.35493781080,716*
1033817-7In0.1342411210103,495*
1023818-6100.00.01354418300130,052*
1013718-7100.00.012744235000160,421*
1003719-699.90.001941309100195,147*
993619-799.8No013363514300231,956*
983620-699.4No083037195100269,852*
973520-798.3No0522372510200307,956*
963521-695.6No02153428164000343,389*
953421-790.4No1102829238100375,600*
943321-881.5No05212529144000404,977*
933322-768.3No03141932228200427,310*
923222-852.0No019132929154100441,350*
913223-735.6No015723312292000449,479*
903123-821.2No0023152929154100448,030*
893124-711.0No001192331239200437,341*
883024-84.9No0000415293017510419,881*
873025-71.9No000282332249200394,946*
862925-80.6No0001415293116400364,607*
852926-70.2No000029233324810331,725*
842826-80.0No000141632311420295,999*
832827-70.0No00021027362150257,394*
822727-80.0No0001520362881222,186*
812728-7OutNo003133335142187,884*
802628-8OutNo00182839213154,967*
792629-7OutNo00052140286125,450*
782529-8OutNo00215383510100,167*
772530-7OutNo011034411478,755*
762430-8OutNo00628452060,084*
752431-7OutNo00322462845,649*
742331-8OutNo00216463633,813*
732332-7OutNo0112444424,728*
722232-8OutNo009405117,634*
712233-7OutNo005355912,189*
702234-6OutNo0330678,376*
692134-7OutNo0226725,742*
682135-6OutNo119803,655*
672035-7OutNo116832,436*
661935-8OutNo112871,562*
651936-7OutNo0991973*
641937-6OutNo595585*
631837-7OutNo496380*
621838-6OutNo496199*
611738-7OutNo397115*
601739-6OutNo49685*
591740-5OutNo128833*
20-58OutNo100691*
Total:43.3%0.2%1581181010109986418,170,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoColumbusNY IslandersNew JerseyCarolinaDetroitOttawaNY RangersBostonWashingtonPittsburghFloridaMontrealBuffalo
144620-04.9%12910111010897117310
126517-4NoYes
125507-5No5050
124508-4No3317171717
123509-3No20204020
122488-6No13207777137713
121489-53.437714141471071033
1204810-46.971011887176413631
1194710-55.6121598961148782
1184610-65.30191113148810671022
1174611-55.713911111369971010101
1164511-64.313111112147688106310
1154512-55.602131511126610697210
1144412-65.23141313137610576210
1134413-54.902121314126710697210
1124313-65.402121213147610687210
1114213-75.10312131313669697210
1104214-65.90213141313769686210
1094114-75.40214141414669586210
1084115-65.20215151414668576210
1074015-75.30215151514658476100
1064016-65.10216161515558475100
1053916-75.20216171615558475100
1043917-64.91217171615447365100
1033817-74.71218171715447365100
1023818-64.61219181715337265100
1013718-74.51119181816337265100
1003719-64.42220191816227265000
993619-74.34220181816227165000
983620-64.16220181815116164000
973520-74.010319181714116154000
3621-54.09319181714116154000
963521-63.714318171613115044000
953421-73.519416141411114043000
3522-53.518416151411114043000
943422-63.02251312119113032000
3220-103.02251312119113032000
933322-72.523510986112021000
923323-61.92147664001011000
913223-71.31634332001011000
903224-60.71122221000000000
893124-70.4611111000000000
883125-60.231000000000000
873025-70.1100000000000000
863026-60.000000000000000
852926-70.0000000000000
842927-60.0000000000
832928-50.0000000
822828-6No000
20-81No
Total:1.8%7.71.97.36.86.55.40.70.72.30.51.91.50.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 4 NY Islanders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs New Jersey-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
124-144100
123509-38020
122488-6100
121489-5973
1204810-49316
1194710-58758
1184610-6862120
1174611-5784171
1164511-6766170
1154512-56492501
1144412-658931020
1134413-549133403
1124313-63716430400
1114213-730164716000
1104214-621175128000
1094114-71516534101100
1084115-69155361312100
1074015-751350101533010000
1064016-621045131745030000
1053916-717371816780500000
1043917-60428211410130700100
1033817-703202311131711110100
1023818-6011222714202143103000
1013718-70172031322515620500000
1003719-600316111218151050811000
993619-701110717121215801223000
983620-600704111471811115450100
973520-70040261431713316991200
963521-60020131211413614141424100
953421-70100180910810191768200
943321-8000050561052017121351000
933322-7000302392181319171031000
923222-8000101170127221817931000
913223-70001004073201320179310000
903123-8000020311571722181041000
893124-700000101083101923191041000
883024-80000000414122024191041000
873025-700000201513212419103100
862925-800001001614222519930000
852926-7000000026152425178200
842826-800000027172625156100
832827-700000131020282412300
822727-80000014132429208100
812728-70001617282815400
802628-8000310243123810
792629-7000151731301420
782529-80021026342250
772530-70015203429101
762430-80003133235162
752431-700182639233
742331-800041939315
732332-70021437389
722232-80019334314
712233-7006264819
702234-6003215025
692134-702174933
682135-601114840
672035-7094249
661935-8054153
651936-7033462
641937-622870
631837-711979
621838-62080
611738-711287
601739-61882
591740-51585
20-58100
Total:0023123324333546455555554443210