Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Philadelphia-4.6-0.3-0.3+4.1+4.6+4.8
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
Toronto vs Montreal+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+3.8+3.4+2.9-1.7-1.7-5.9
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.3-0.3-1.0
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Washington vs Montreal-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Boston+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-164In100.0%1009,962*
1245816-8In99.710001,887*
1235716-9In99.8100003,062*
1225717-8In99.8100004,925*
1215617-9In99.5100007,928*
1205618-8In99.41000012,365*
1195518-9In98.91000018,768*
1185519-8In98.5990028,506*
1175419-9In97.6991041,914*
1165420-8In96.39811060,894*
1155320-9In94.59711086,718*
1145321-8In91.796220121,868*
1135221-9In87.994330169,366*
1125121-10In83.191540229,539*
1115122-9In76.8886500306,347*
1105022-10In68.8839700405,230*
1095023-9In59.278121000525,039*
1084923-10In48.570151410668,871*
1074924-9In37.1621918100838,609*
1064824-10In26.45323222001,039,217*
1054825-9100.0%16.742262740001,263,925*
1044725-10100.09.432293360001,516,131*
1034726-9100.04.523303791001,789,658*
1024626-10100.01.81529411320002,081,673*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,384,771*
1004527-1099.90.15234223610002,696,882*
994528-999.80.021840291020002,995,028*
984428-1099.50.0113353314400003,288,739*
974429-998.50.0092935187100003,554,545*
964329-1096.1No0523352112310003,783,063*
954330-990.8No03163222177200003,971,039*
944230-1081.3No021127202213510004,108,052*
934231-967.0No0172115231910310004,189,687*
924131-1049.3No0041592124177200004,214,214*
914132-931.9No0210515242314610004,180,952*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,088,646*
894033-98.7No003141323261992003,935,498*
883933-103.8No002027172625156103,739,040*
873934-91.5No0010131021272311303,503,586*
863834-100.5No000001514252818613,238,463*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,947,785*
843735-100.1No000000141326311952,648,205*
833736-90.0No000002821332792,342,981*
823636-100.0No0000014153134152,046,811*
813637-90.0No0000292739231,765,034*
803537-100.0No0000152141321,498,868*
793538-90.0No000031540411,255,081*
783438-10OutNo00011037511,035,666*
773439-9OutNo00163260842,715*
763339-10OutNo00042769679,404*
753340-9OutNo0022276537,389*
743240-10OutNo0011782418,918*
733241-9OutNo011387322,702*
723141-10OutNo00990244,495*
713142-9OutNo00793183,110*
703042-10OutNo0595135,535*
693043-9OutNo0039797,960*
682943-10OutNo029870,774*
672944-9OutNo029849,942*
662844-10OutNo019934,602*
652845-9OutNo19923,825*
642745-10OutNo010016,007*
632746-9OutNo010010,695*
622646-10OutNo01007,037*
612647-9OutNo01004,531*
602547-10OutNo01002,852*
592548-9OutNo1001,766*
582549-8OutNo01001,149*
0-57OutNo1008,934*
Total:50.0%3.3%661312666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghDetroitOttawaMontrealNY RangersBostonNY IslandersFloridaCarolinaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.3%776767767777677
1386812-2NoYes
1376510-7NoYes
1366410-8NoYes
1356512-5No5050
1346210-1020.020402020
1336312-712.5251313251313
1326212-8No196136131366613
1316112-911.861291263366151266
1306012-1010.334349747137764910
1296013-97.8858897948469196
1286014-88.2466511310910595486
1276015-77.585756645951075810
1265915-86.0966576877685676
1255916-76.58556861058577678
1245816-87.7856685868686578
1235716-96.3865686768686588
1225717-86.8866676768685588
1215617-97.3866686868685588
1205618-87.4865686868686688
1195518-97.4866685868685688
1185519-87.3866586868686688
1175419-97.7866586858686588
1165420-87.5866686868686688
1155320-97.4866686868586588
1145321-87.6856686868586688
1135221-97.5865585858586688
1125121-107.4855585858585588
1115122-97.3855585858585588
1105022-107.3855585858585588
1095023-97.4955595858595588
1084923-107.3955595959595599
1074924-97.3955595959595599
1064824-107.2944494949494499
1054825-97.11044410410410410441010
1044725-107.01044410410410410441010
1034726-96.91033310310310310331010
1024626-106.71133311311311311331111
1014627-96.61133311311311311331111
1004527-106.51133311311311311331111
994528-96.31133211211311311321111
984428-106.21123311311311211221111
974429-96.01133311311311311331111
964329-105.81133311311311311331111
954330-95.31033310310310310331010
944230-104.7833383838383388
934231-93.8722272727272277
924131-102.8522252525252255
914132-91.8311131313131133
904032-101.0211121212121122
894033-90.5100010101010011
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863935-80.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843836-80.0000000000000000
833736-90.0000000000000
823737-80.000000000
813637-90.00000000
803537-100.000000
793639-7No0
0-78No
Total:3.1%5.31.61.71.65.31.65.31.65.21.65.21.61.65.35.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs New Jersey-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.3+0.3+1.2
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-164100
1255916-71000
1245816-810000
1235716-9100000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-8962110
1155320-9953110
1145321-8924220
1135221-988630300
1125121-10838504000
1115122-977116050000
1105022-1069159070000
1095023-95918120100000
1084923-10492215013001000
1074924-937251811700010000
1064824-1026262112111020000
1054825-9172624224210400000
1044725-10923244264206000000
1034726-9519237267509001000
1024626-102132010231080120020000
1014627-918151217141201611040000
1004527-100510131015151193206010000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-100131021117516980131400000
974429-900180714911121201627010000
964329-100050391151216217511031000
954330-900301411210174148161720000
944230-100020029061479111831351000
934231-90010016039104111671810410000
924131-100000040141018101120189310000
914132-9000020028044111622189310000
904032-100000100160218818231810410000
894033-900000030104310192319114100000
883933-100000020002131018232013620000
873934-9000010001013918232114720000
863834-1000000000001391723221572000
853835-9000000000138172323167200
843735-10000000000013917242315610
833736-90000000001391926231341
823636-100000000141222282292
813637-900000016152729174
803537-1000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-10000029253925
773439-900015194135
763339-100002133846
753340-900183457
743240-1000052966
733241-900032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-100595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582549-80100
0-57100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333