Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 76.6%
54 points   23 16-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey 0 Detroit 3 +0.3
Arizona 3 NY Islanders 2 (ot)*+0.1
Toronto 2 Colorado 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit vs Philadelphia-5.8-0.8-0.8+3.9+4.4+4.5
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Anaheim vs NY Rangers+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.8
Vegas vs Columbus+0.6-0.1-0.1-0.8-0.8-0.8
Pittsburgh vs Carolina+0.0-0.6-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.3
Boston vs New Jersey+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Dallas vs Florida+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Montreal vs Colorado-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124350-0In99.2%100082,031
122341-0In66.767333*
121331-1In64.7762417*
120321-2In86.195579*
119322-1In74.28416240*
118312-2In64.87723822*
117302-3In53.068322,558*
116303-2In41.8594107,200*
115293-3In29.34852018,971*
114294-2In19.83861045,117*
113284-3In12.129710102,622*
112285-2In6.5217810217,166*
111275-3In3.1148510436,912*
110265-4In1.398920832,647*
109266-3In0.4591401,501,922*
108256-4In0.13916002,584,339*
107257-3In0.02899004,248,477*
106247-4In0.018613006,684,343*
105248-3In0.0080191010,075,383*
104238-4In0.0073251014,576,820*
103239-3InNo0653230020,251,111*
102229-4100.0%No05540600027,064,068*
1012210-3100.0No044461000034,830,499*
1002110-4100.0No034491610043,205,856*
992111-3100.0No0245024300051,653,734*
982011-4100.0No0154632600059,627,291*
972012-399.9No9383912100066,456,583*
961912-499.7No5294320400071,550,753*
951913-399.0No2194129810074,447,256*
941813-496.9No111343516300074,923,592*
931814-392.0No05253725710072,917,018*
921714-482.9No0215333314300068,667,719*
911715-368.8No018243624710062,537,612*
901615-451.1No00315333214300055,170,671*
891616-333.2No0017253624710047,063,710*
881516-418.4No00031533331420038,885,056*
871517-38.6No0018253724600031,086,377*
861417-43.3No00031534331220024,063,529*
851418-31.1No0001827382140018,022,820*
841318-40.3No000317383191013,053,707*
831319-30.1No00019313817209,147,450*
821219-40.0No00042241275006,204,480*
811220-30.0No00214373611104,065,877*
801120-40.0No0017304218202,571,438*
791121-3OutNo004224327401,575,057*
781021-4OutNo00114403680929,346*
771022-3OutNo0183444130529,795*
76922-4OutNo0042649210291,894*
75923-3OutNo021850300153,324*
74823-4OutNo01124740078,618*
73824-3OutNo074150138,235*
72724-4OutNo043460217,861*
71725-3OutNo2276838,064*
70625-4OutNo1217263,484*
69626-3OutNo0147691,438*
68627-2OutNo197911576*
67527-3OutNo97615211*
66528-2OutNo2653382*
65529-1OutNo831718*
64328-4OutNo455511*
63329-3OutNo1001
54035-0OutNo69482,031
Total:76.6%0.0%01218191512974210001,022,595,922

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonWashingtonTorontoNew JerseyColumbusNY RangersNY IslandersPittsburghCarolinaFloridaDetroitMontrealOttawaBuffalo
124350-04.4%041111817171676200
122341-0No6733
121331-1No1824181212612
120321-2No513181515185831
119322-15.4311323171515832
118312-25.261101916171694200
117302-34.561141816161474210
116303-24.171141816161484200
115293-34.2071151816161474200
114294-24.3071151916151474200
113284-34.10081161916151474100
112285-24.2091161916151373100
111275-34.10091171916151363100
110265-44.10091181915141363100
109266-34.1001011819151413631000
108256-44.000101191915141263100
107257-34.0001112019151312631000
106247-43.9001112118151312621000
105248-33.9001212218141211621000
104238-43.8001312418141211521000
103239-33.7001512517131110521000
102229-43.7001612617131110521000
1012210-33.600180281612109511000
1002110-43.50019029161299410000
992111-33.40021029161198410000
982011-43.30023030151188410000
972012-33.21025030151087400000
1911-53.21125029141087400000
961912-43.1312702914977300000
2013-23.1312702913977300000
951913-32.9622902712866300000
1812-53.0622902712866300000
941813-42.81143002310655200000
1914-22.81153002310655200000
931814-32.5177280208544200000
1713-52.5187270187533200000
921714-42.1239230145322100000
911715-31.6261017093211100000
901615-41.123910051111000000
891616-30.71775021000000000
881516-40.41142010000000000
871517-30.252100000000000
861417-40.1210000000000000
851418-30.010000000000000
841318-40.000000000000000
831319-30.00000000000
821219-40.0000000
811321-1No000
801120-4No0
54-79No
Total:2.3%8.73.518.20.118.29.06.34.94.72.40.40.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 0 Detroit 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Philadelphia+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.8
Boston vs New Jersey-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2
Vegas vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Anaheim vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Carolina+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
124350-09900
122341-06733
121331-1651224
120321-28695
119322-1741016
118312-2651223
117302-35315320
116303-242174010
115293-329185120
114294-22019583000
113284-31217647000
112285-271466121000
111275-331165201000
110265-418593010100
109266-3055041202000
108256-403395221300000
107257-302286121600000
106247-401186822910000
105248-300107012132100000
104238-40056813174100000
103239-30262032092100000
102229-40154022017231000000
1012210-30044021726361000000
1002110-400330113352112110000
992111-300240194011642120000
982011-4001500541121652400000
972012-3090236023710210110000
961912-40501280216152182200000
951913-32001901742012826100000
941813-4100110112210352141110000
931814-300050611803712423210000
921714-40002301203303225631000
911715-300011070240361611941000
901615-400000030150331513171030000
891616-3000010702502112220820000
881516-400000301501721281861000
871517-300001080031428271440000
861417-40000030017213124102000
851418-3000010003122732196100
841318-400000015183229133000
831319-3000000292534227100
821219-400000416323114300
811220-30000182435237100
801120-40000315323214300
791121-300018253623610
781021-400041734311220
771022-3001928372140
76922-400520383080
75923-30021234381400
74823-40172742230
73824-300319433310
72724-40112404420
71725-3017345450
70625-404276090
69626-311965141
68627-211463201
67527-3963253
66528-22503810
65529-16733
64328-427649
63329-3100
54035-00990
Total:00111004140828114112113444321000000