Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 71.2%

6 points 3 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)	-0.6
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)					-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Edmonton	+3.8+3.2+2.6-2.1-2.0-6.4		+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2*-0.1-0.4		+0.9+0.9+0.6-0.6-0.5-1.6
Vancouver vs Montreal	*-0.0-0.7-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.3				+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona					-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota					+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

90	-110						In		Yes		100														663	*
89		39	8		-	5	In		99.2	%	99	1													258	*
88		39	9		-	4	In		99.6		100	0													475	*
87		38	9		-	5	In		98.9		100	0													837	*
86		38	10		-	4	In		98.7		100	0													1,501	*
85		37	10		-	5	In		98.1		99	1	0												2,439	*
84		37	11		-	4	In		97.0		99	1	0												3,843	*
83		36	11		-	5	In		95.5		98	2	0												6,133	*
82		36	12		-	4	In		92.2		96	3	1												9,525	*
81		35	12		-	5	In		87.9		95	4	1												14,033	*
80		34	12		-	6	In		82.5		92	7	2	0											20,611	*
79		34	13		-	5	In		74.0		87	10	3	0											29,391	*
78		33	13		-	6	In		64.3		83	13	5	0											39,891	*
77		33	14		-	5	In		52.7		75	17	7	0											53,833	*
76		32	14		-	6	In		39.9		66	23	11	0	0										70,196	*
75		32	15		-	5	In		27.5		56	28	16	0	0										90,166	*
74		31	15		-	6	In		16.5		44	33	22	1	0										112,368	*
73		31	16		-	5	100.0	%	8.4		32	37	29	2	0		0								136,501	*
72		30	16		-	6	100.0		3.4		21	37	37	4	0		0								161,804	*
71		30	17		-	5	100.0		1.1		12	36	45	7	0		0								187,778	*
70		29	17		-	6	100.0		0.3		6	30	51	13	1	0	0								214,035	*
69		29	18		-	5	100.0		0.0		2	23	53	21	1	0	0	0							236,568	*
68		28	18		-	6	99.9		0.0		1	15	50	30	4	0	0	0							257,512	*
67		28	19		-	5	99.7		0.0		0	8	43	40	8	1	0	0							272,018	*
66		27	19		-	6	99.0		No		0	4	32	48	14	2	1	0	0						282,058	*
65		27	20		-	5	97.1		No		0	1	20	49	20	7	3	0	0						285,586	*
64		26	20		-	6	92.3		No			0	10	43	22	17	7	1	0	0					283,157	*
63		26	21		-	5	83.1		No			0	4	31	18	30	13	4	1	0	0				275,429	*
62		25	21		-	6	68.8		No			0	1	19	11	38	18	10	3	0	0				259,332	*
61		25	22		-	5	51.3		No				0	9	5	37	19	20	9	2	0	0			241,048	*
60		24	22		-	6	33.8		No				0	4	1	29	14	26	19	6	1	0	0		219,139	*
59		24	23		-	5	20.0		No				0	1	0	18	8	24	29	15	4	0	0		194,333	*
58		23	23		-	6	10.3		No				0	0	0	10	3	17	32	26	10	2	0		168,996	*
57		23	24		-	5	4.9		No				0	0	0	5	1	9	27	33	19	5	0		144,185	*
56		22	24		-	6	2.1		No				0	0	0	2	0	4	18	33	30	11	2		119,791	*
55		22	25		-	5	0.8		No				0	0		1	0	1	10	27	36	21	4		97,787	*
54		21	25		-	6	0.4		No				0	0		0	0	0	5	19	36	31	9		78,047	*
53		21	26		-	5	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	2	11	32	39	16		60,773	*
52		20	26		-	6	0.1		No					0		0		0	1	6	25	44	25		46,679	*
51		20	27		-	5	0.1		No					0		0		0	0	3	17	44	35		34,414	*
50		19	27		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	11	41	47		25,230	*
49		19	28		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	7	36	57		18,281	*
48		18	28		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	4	30	66		12,546	*
47		18	29		-	5	0.0		No							0				0	2	24	74		8,555	*
46		17	29		-	6	Out		No											0	1	18	81		5,788	*
45		17	30		-	5	Out		No												1	14	86		3,772	*
44		16	30		-	6	Out		No												0	10	90		2,417	*
43		16	31		-	5	Out		No												0	8	92		1,495	*
42		15	31		-	6	Out		No													5	95		936	*
41		15	32		-	5	Out		No													4	96		550	*
40		14	32		-	6	Out		No													4	96		302	*
39		14	33		-	5	Out		No													2	98		165	*
38		14	34		-	4	Out		No													2	98		86	*
6	-37						Out		No														100		490	*

Total:							71.2	%	4.6	%	9	10	19	18	6	10	4	5	5	5	4	3	2		4,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Montreal	Calgary	Tampa Bay	Florida	Carolina	Winnipeg	Nashville	Ottawa	Dallas	Detroit	Columbus	Vancouver	Edmonton	Chicago

110		52	0		-	0	7.8	%	19	19			0	21	0	19			0	11	10
97		44	5		-	3	No			Yes
96		43	5		-	4	No							Yes
95		43	6		-	3	No			20				40		20					20
94		42	6		-	4	No			14				43		43
93		42	7		-	3	No		7	7				7	7	21				14	29	7
92		40	6		-	6	10.0		5	20		3	3	23	3	10	3			20	13
91		41	8		-	3	6.2		10	12				22	4	16	2	5		11	15	2
90		40	8		-	4	8.4		20	17	2		3	18	2	13	2	1	1	15	5	2
89		39	8		-	5	8.1		16	12	2		2	19	3	20	2	3	4	7	10	1
88		39	9		-	4	4.6		15	11	2	2	2	17	2	19	2	3	3	11	11	1
87		38	9		-	5	6.9		13	15	1	2	1	17	2	16	3	2	2	12	11	1
86		38	10		-	4	7.9		14	16	2	2	2	17	2	17	2	2	3	10	10	2
85		37	10		-	5	7.4		14	14	2	2	2	16	3	17	3	3	2	10	11	2
84		37	11		-	4	7.6		14	14	2	2	3	16	2	17	3	3	2	10	10	1
83		36	11		-	5	7.8		14	14	2	3	3	16	3	15	3	3	2	10	10	2
82		36	12		-	4	7.2		14	13	3	3	3	16	3	15	3	3	3	10	10	2
81		35	12		-	5	7.6		13	14	3	3	3	15	3	15	4	3	3	10	10	2
80		34	12		-	6	7.3		13	13	3	3	3	15	4	15	4	4	3	9	9	2
79		34	13		-	5	7.5		12	13	3	4	4	15	4	14	4	4	3	9	9	2
78		33	13		-	6	7.2		13	13	4	4	4	14	4	14	4	4	4	9	8	2
77		33	14		-	5	7.3		12	13	4	4	4	14	5	13	4	4	4	8	8	2
76		32	14		-	6	7.2		13	13	4	4	5	14	5	13	5	4	4	8	8	2
75		32	15		-	5	7.1		13	13	4	5	5	14	5	12	5	4	4	7	7	2
74		31	15		-	6	7.2		14	14	4	5	5	14	5	12	5	4	4	7	7	2
73		31	16		-	5	7.0		15	15	4	4	5	14	5	12	5	4	3	6	6	2
72		30	16		-	6	6.9		16	16	4	4	4	14	4	13	4	4	3	6	6	2
71		30	17		-	5	6.7		17	18	3	4	4	15	4	13	4	3	2	6	6	1
70		29	17		-	6	6.4		19	19	3	3	3	16	3	14	3	2	2	6	6	1
69		29	18		-	5	6.2		21	21	2	2	2	17	2	14	2	2	1	6	6	1
68		28	18		-	6	6.0		22	22	2	2	2	18	2	15	1	1	1	7	6	0
67		28	19		-	5	5.9		22	22	2	1	1	18	1	15	1	1	1	7	6	0
66		27	19		-	6	5.7		22	22	2	2	2	18	1	14	1	1	1	7	6	0
65		27	20		-	5	5.5		21	21	3	2	2	16	2	13	2	1	1	6	6	0
64		26	20		-	6	5.1		20	19	4	4	3	14	3	11	2	1	1	5	5	0
63		26	21		-	5	4.5		17	17	6	5	4	11	3	9	3	1	1	4	4	0
62		25	21		-	6	3.7		14	13	6	5	4	8	3	6	3	1	1	2	2	0
61		25	22		-	5	2.8		11	10	5	4	3	6	3	4	2	1	1	1	1	0
60		24	22		-	6	1.9		8	7	3	3	2	3	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	0
59		24	23		-	5	1.1		5	5	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
58		24	24		-	4	0.5		3	3	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		23	24		-	5	0.3		1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		23	25		-	4	0.1		1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		22	25		-	5	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
54		22	26		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
53		21	26		-	5	0.0		0	0		0		0	0	0				0	0
52		21	27		-	4	0.0		0	0		0		0		0				0	0
51		20	27		-	5	0.0		0	0				0		0				0	0
50		20	28		-	4	0.0		0	0				0		0					0
49		19	28		-	5	No		0					0		0
48		20	30		-	2	No		0							0
47		20	31		-	1	No			0
6	-46						No

Total:							4.4	%	13.9	13.9	2.8	2.6	2.5	10.9	2.3	8.9	2.0	1.5	1.1	4.2	4.0	0.6

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto vs Edmonton	-0.8-0.8-0.6+0.4+0.4+1.5
Vancouver vs Montreal	-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

90	-110						100
89		39	8		-	5	99		1
88		39	9		-	4	100	0	0
87		38	9		-	5	99	1	0
86		38	10		-	4	99	1	0
85		37	10		-	5	98	1	1		0
84		37	11		-	4	97	2	1		0
83		36	11		-	5	95	3	2		0
82		36	12		-	4	92	4	3		1
81		35	12		-	5	88	7	4		1
80		34	12		-	6	82	9	6	0	2	0	0		0
79		34	13		-	5	74	13	10	0	3	0	0		0
78		33	13		-	6	64	18	12	0	5	0	0		0
77		33	14		-	5	53	23	17	0	7	0	0		0
76		32	14		-	6	40	26	22	1	11	0	0		0				0
75		32	15		-	5	27	28	26	3	15	1	1		0				0
74		31	15		-	6	16	28	28	5	19	2	1	0	1	0			0
73		31	16		-	5	8	24	28	9	23	4	3	0	2	0	0		0				0
72		30	16		-	6	3	18	24	13	24	8	6	0	4	0	0		0				0
71		30	17		-	5	1	11	18	18	20	13	11	1	7	0	0		0	0			0
70		29	17		-	6	0	6	11	19	14	17	17	2	11	1	1	0	1	0	0		0
69		29	18		-	5	0	2	5	18	8	18	21	6	14	3	3	0	1	0	0		0	0
68		28	18		-	6	0	1	2	13	3	15	20	13	15	8	7	0	4	0	0		0	0
67		28	19		-	5	0	0	0	8	1	9	14	19	12	14	13	2	7	1	1	0	0	0
66		27	19		-	6		0	0	4	0	4	7	21	6	17	19	6	10	3	2	0	1	0	0
65		27	20		-	5		0	0	1	0	1	2	17	2	13	19	16	11	9	7	0	3	0	0	0
64		26	20		-	6				0	0	0	0	9	0	7	12	24	7	14	14	3	5	2	0	0	0
63		26	21		-	5				0		0	0	4	0	2	4	24	3	15	18	11	8	6	2	1	0	0	0
62		25	21		-	6				0		0	0	1		1	1	17	1	10	14	24	7	11	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
61		25	22		-	5						0		0		0	0	9	0	5	7	30	4	10	14	11	6	3	1	0	0	0
60		24	22		-	6								0		0	0	4	0	1	2	26	1	5	12	16	15	10	5	2	0	0	0	0
59		24	23		-	5								0		0	0	1		0	0	18	0	1	5	12	18	19	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
58		23	23		-	6								0		0	0	0		0	0	10	0	0	1	5	11	18	21	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
57		23	24		-	5								0				0		0	0	5	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
56		22	24		-	6								0				0		0	0	2		0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	6	2	0	0
55		22	25		-	5								0				0			0	1				0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	6	1	0
54		21	25		-	6								0				0				0					0	0	1	3	9	18	25	24	15	5	1
53		21	26		-	5												0				0						0	0	1	3	10	20	28	24	12	2
52		20	26		-	6												0				0							0	0	1	4	12	25	31	21	6
51		20	27		-	5												0				0								0	0	1	6	18	31	30	13
50		19	27		-	6																0								0	0	0	3	11	27	38	22
49		19	28		-	5																0										0	1	6	20	40	33
48		18	28		-	6																0										0	0	3	14	38	45
47		18	29		-	5																0											0	1	9	34	56
46		17	29		-	6																											0	0	5	27	67
45		17	30		-	5																												0	3	22	75
44		16	30		-	6																													2	16	82
43		16	31		-	5																													1	12	87
42		15	31		-	6																													0	8	92
41		15	32		-	5																														6	94
40		14	32		-	6																													0	5	95
39		14	33		-	5																														3	97
38		14	34		-	4																														3	97
6	-37																																				100

Total:							5	4	5	5	4	4	5	5	4	4	4	6	3	3	4	6	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1