New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Lost to Montreal 2-3 (so), playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.9%
78 points   38 19-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers 2 Montreal 3 (so)*+0.1
-0.2
Carolina 1 Pittsburgh 3 +0.1
Minnesota 3 Chicago 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124230-0In98.0%982237,222
123220-1In91.793725,401
122221-0In85.588120131,228*
121211-1In75.480190402,712*
120201-2In63.57129001,244,678*
119202-1In49.46039102,943,310*
118192-2In35.848049206,802,311*
117193-1In23.2360595013,214,624*
116183-2In13.62606410024,811,406*
115184-1In6.91606517141,029,417*
114174-2In3.01006126265,302,516*
113175-1In1.1505336593,942,440*
112165-2In0.3204345100130,053,003*
111166-1In0.1103151170165,161,443*
110156-2In0.0002152260202,030,350*
109146-3In0.0001349380102,342,019
157-1In0.0001450370126,621,051*
108147-2In0.000844480136,034,799
136-4In0.000743490114,111,761*
107137-3In0.000435610115,549,359
148-1In0.000436600139,316,387*
106138-2In0.000228700134,379,538
127-4In0.000227710116,099,207*
105128-3100.0%No001207900230,548,388*
104129-2100.0No000148600204,797,436*
103119-3100.0No00099100170,857,721*
1021110-2100.0No00059410137,634,431*
1011010-3100.0No039610104,205,969*
1001011-2100.0No029620076,225,035*
99911-3100.0No019540052,413,975*
98912-2100.0No009370034,815,675*
97812-399.8No00881100021,712,656*
96813-298.9No0801910013,077,912*
95713-396.2No068294007,374,775*
94714-289.0No05138101004,018,519*
93715-175.3No03343205002,039,935*
92615-255.5No0173831122001,002,941*
91616-133.9No07273723610453,078*
90516-216.4No214333415200199,711*
89517-15.9No005213727810080,206*
88417-21.7No021131351740031,070*
87418-10.3No004193730910010,662*
86318-2OutNo19283621513,645*
85319-1OutNo0316343213101,067*
84219-2OutNo01624342681317*
83220-1OutNo1937301463*
82120-2OutNo144336714*
81121-1OutNo4040205
80122-0OutNo3333333
78023-0OutNo0194149231,549
Total:99.9%0.7%201328561000000002,793,522,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersFloridaTampa BayBuffaloPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
124230-09.8%011361112439434200
123220-19.4043361011409434200
122221-09.5075361011379423200
121211-19.2012836910348323200
120201-28.8117113589307323200
119202-18.4223152477256312100
118192-28.0330192366205212100
117193-17.5436242345154211100
116183-27.1641271233103111100
115184-16.784530112272101000
114174-26.594732211141000000
113175-16.394832321121000000
112165-26.394831531111000000
154-46.394731531111000000
111166-16.594529852101000000
155-36.584528952201000000
110156-26.8841251382201000000
145-46.8741251382201000000
109146-37.26362019113301000000
157-17.26362118113301000000
108147-27.65301624144402000000
136-47.65301624155402000000
107137-38.14241230186502000000
148-18.04241229186502000000
106138-28.4319934217503000000
127-48.5318835217503000000
105128-38.8213539248603100000
139-18.8213639238603000000
104129-29.019442258603100000
118-49.019342268603100000
103119-39.216244279704100000
1210-19.216244279704100000
1021110-29.314146289704100000
109-49.314146289704100000
1011010-39.412147289704100000
1001011-29.422047299704100000
99911-39.331046289704100000
98912-29.261045289704100000
97812-39.010104326860410000
96813-28.716213924760310000
95713-38.02531342064030000
94714-27.03332261543020000
93715-15.53742171032010000
92615-23.8333295111000
91616-12.2232142000000
90516-21.0121111000000
89517-10.351000000
88417-20.11000000
87418-10.00000
78-86No
Total:8.0%4.623.913.627.616.85.54.40.62.30.40.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 2 Montreal 3 (so)+0.2
Carolina 1 Pittsburgh 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124230-09802
123220-19217
122221-0853120
121211-1755190
120201-264829000
119202-1491139010
118192-23613049020
117193-12313059050
116183-214120640100
115184-17100650171
114174-23700601262
113175-11400512365
112165-20200403045100
111166-101002840510170
110156-200001740520260
109146-30000940490380
157-100001040500370
108147-200005304300490
107137-300002203500610
148-100002203600600
106138-20000110027007100
105128-30000100190080000
139-1000010021007800
104129-20000000140086000
118-40000000130086000
103119-3000000090091000
1021110-200000050094010
1011010-30000300096010
1001011-200002000960200
99911-300001000950400
98912-200000009207000
97812-30000000871110000
96813-20000773190100
95713-30000626290400
94714-2000042938010100
93715-1000231042120500
92615-2000983623112200
91616-10352343623610
90516-202104323415300
89517-1000332036289100
88417-200119283520610
87418-1000214323215400
86318-20519332612300
85319-10182134241120
84219-20192231221310
83220-1113329243
82120-272136297
81121-1404020
80122-03367
78023-0015183631100
Total:11001120028000560100000000000000