New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Lost to New Jersey 3-4, playoff odds down 10.4 to 40.8%
2 points   1 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 -7.0
-0.5
-1.0
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.4
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
86-108In99.9%100723*
85399-5In98.71000309*
843910-4In96.69910556*
833810-5In94.998101,014*
823710-6In91.297311,708*
813711-5In87.495412,768*
803712-4In81.292614,328*
793612-5In72.3881026,993*
783512-6In62.883124010,307*
773513-5In50.676187015,248*
763413-6In38.3682210021,922*
753414-5In25.9572715030,523*
743314-6In15.74632201041,592*
733315-5100.0%8.134362820055,479*
723215-6100.03.323373640071,517*
713216-5100.01.013354480091,727*
703116-6100.00.26294914100113,358*
693117-599.90.032150233000136,821*
683017-699.70.011346346000162,538*
673018-598.90.0073642131100189,082*
662918-696.5No032446213300212,444*
652919-590.6No0113412799100234,936*
642819-678.9No0529251917400254,401*
632820-561.0No011617272511200268,662*
622720-640.0No0772627239200278,897*
612721-521.8No0221720302071000282,342*
602621-69.9No0109102630186100280,401*
592622-53.7No0004316302815400271,732*
582522-61.2No0001172032261120258,031*
572523-50.4No000021025332271240,048*
562423-60.1No000014163131152217,863*
552424-50.0No0000182436256193,791*
542324-60.0No0000315343513169,516*
532325-50.0No00018274122144,896*
522225-60.0No0004194333120,531*
512226-50.0No000213404598,793*
502126-6OutNo0017355778,793*
492127-5OutNo004296761,793*
482027-6OutNo002227647,718*
472028-5OutNo01168335,664*
461928-6OutNo00128826,134*
451929-5OutNo0089218,574*
441829-6OutNo059513,235*
431830-5OutNo03979,206*
421730-6OutNo02986,010*
411731-5OutNo2983,929*
401631-6OutNo1992,495*
391632-5OutNo1991,654*
381532-6OutNo0100988*
371533-5OutNo0100563*
2-36OutNo1001,193*
Total:40.8%1.3%34101166677788884,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoPhiladelphiaWashingtonNew JerseyMinnesotaNY IslandersArizonaSt. LouisBostonAnaheimSan JosePittsburghBuffaloLos Angeles
108530-05.5%141617181209111
93457-1NoYes
92436-4No333333
91448-1No333333
90427-4No721217714777
89406-712.5448254138488444
88418-46.34151310413461022682
87408-55.1119775154664613105
86398-64.7341311133717933885
85399-57.823913978647441095
843910-44.034121112411631044654
833810-57.83611111041254943783
823710-67.5451010951254854783
813711-56.04411121051045855774
803712-47.04510101051055855874
793612-56.6451010105955855775
783512-66.9451091051055855775
773513-56.84510101051055855765
763413-66.7451010105955854774
753414-56.44511111051055854764
743314-66.74512111151055844764
733315-56.34412121241144844764
723215-66.23413131341243833773
713216-56.13314141431333933772
703116-65.82216151521322922772
693117-55.72216161621422911871
683017-65.622171717114111011881
673018-55.322171717114111011871
3119-35.32217171721411911871
662918-65.13216161621411911871
2817-85.04316151521311911771
652919-54.84315141421221811761
2818-74.65414141431122811661
3020-34.65314141421121811661
642819-64.2641212123922611551
2718-83.7641111113822511441
632820-53.0648893622411331
622720-62.0536562411211211
612721-51.1323331211100110
602722-40.5112220100000000
592622-50.2001110000000000
582623-40.1000000000000000
572523-50.0000000000000000
562524-40.00000000000000
552525-30.000000000
542425-4No0000000
532325-5No0000000
522427-2No0000000
512428-1No00
2-50No
Total:2.2%2.01.66.16.16.11.35.01.00.93.30.70.72.72.60.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +1.5
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-108100
86398-6991
85399-59910
843910-497210
833810-595410
823710-691631
813711-587841
803712-48111601
793612-572169020
783512-663211204000
773513-551251717000
763413-638302119000
753414-5263225314100
743314-61631276182101000
733315-582626102142020000
723215-632023142285040000
713216-511216182014101700000
703116-60610201418152121101000
693117-5024177191961743030000
683017-60111231418111897060000
673018-50006181216131513111110100
662918-60030361571618517430300
652919-500101210211171117109081000
642819-60000505101411141721551000
632820-50001013124132071914510000
622720-6000016161412152115720000
612721-50002026127182218941000
602621-6000100272817232013620000
592622-500000302715212216831000
582522-60000100251220231911510000
572523-5000000014101823211362000
562423-6000000139172322157200
552424-50000013817242415610
542324-6000001381826241451
532325-500001310202824112
522225-600014132531216
512226-500001618323012
502126-60000311273721
492127-50016214032
482027-60003143944
472028-50193555
461928-60152966
451929-50032375
441829-6011781
431830-511288
421730-60892
411731-50793
401631-6595
391632-5397
381532-6298
371533-50100
361433-6199
351333-7199
341435-4199
331335-5100
321235-6496
2-31100
Total:1223223333333343444444444444443