New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Lost to Buffalo 3-4, playoff odds down 1.5 to 96.3%
33 points   16 8-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Buffalo 4 NY Rangers 3 -0.9
-0.3
-5.2
Detroit 1 Florida 2 (ot)*-0.1
Pittsburgh 6 Dallas 2 -0.1
*-0.1
Ottawa 2 Philadelphia 3 (ot)*-0.1
St. Louis 5 Tampa Bay 4 +0.1
Chicago 4 New Jersey 3 (ot)-0.3
Washington 0 NY Islanders 3 +0.1
+0.5
Colorado 2 Columbus 3 *-0.1
-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose vs Montreal+0.9*+0.0*+0.0-0.9-0.9-0.8
Calgary vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-147In100.0%1002,032*
128457-5In99.910001,190*
127458-4In99.810002,036*
126448-5In99.8100003,526*
125449-4In99.7100005,938*
124439-5In99.4100009,726*
1234310-4In99.2991014,857*
1224210-5In98.7991022,434*
1214211-4In98.1981033,301*
1204111-5In96.9972147,558*
1194112-4In95.3963166,246*
1184012-5In93.19442089,122*
1174013-4In90.192530117,991*
1163913-5In85.989740152,510*
1153813-6In80.885960190,472*
1143814-5In74.4801280234,853*
1133714-6In66.77415110280,259*
1123715-5In57.867181500328,459*
1113615-6In47.859211910375,214*
1103616-5In37.751242410420,058*
1093516-6In27.942262920456,806*
1083517-5In19.034283530487,048*
1073417-6In11.8262941500511,016*
1063418-5In6.5182846800521,968*
1053318-6In3.11326491210522,373*
1043319-5In1.3823511720512,749*
1033219-6100.0%0.44195123300491,558*
1023220-5100.00.12154929500462,429*
1013120-6100.00.01114435810425,523*
1003121-5100.00.007384013100385,129*
993021-699.80.0043143193000338,390*
983022-599.5No022343256000294,741*
972922-698.4No0116403010200249,926*
962923-595.7No01113533174000208,428*
952823-689.8No0062831248200170,334*
942824-579.4No032126291541000136,190*
932724-664.1No0214183023103000106,388*
922725-545.2No019102628187200082,466*
912625-628.0No05518282513510061,486*
902626-514.7No032102328211030045,658*
892526-66.4No011515252817710033,355*
882527-52.2No000271928251441023,441*
872427-60.7No00031123292192016,465*
862428-50.2No0016162828165111,273*
852328-60.0No00292231241027,598*
842329-5OutNo0151430311635,049*
832229-6OutNo02924342563,190*
822230-5OutNo14173134131,988*
812130-6OutNo02102937221,293*
802131-5OutNo08223931778*
792031-6OutNo04164139439*
782032-5OutNo1103851285*
771932-6OutNo153560127*
761933-5OutNo5227383*
751934-4OutNo3286939*
741834-5OutNo178318*
731734-6OutNo386213*
33-72OutNo100758*
Total:96.3%21.2%2816291563111000008,974,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealColumbusWashingtonPittsburghTampa BayBostonOttawaFloridaTorontoNew JerseyPhiladelphiaCarolinaDetroitBuffaloNY Islanders
147570-018.0%1310128667491010544
138502-5NoYes
137525-050.05050
136515-1YesYes
135505-2No1443141414
134495-37.17721772129
133474-624.131771031471473373
132486-321.45145710125121084810
131476-419.0159128484412119425
130466-515.1131114766779106535
129467-418.213910758651489455
128457-518.21311105687411118535
127458-418.31410127667611108435
126448-518.0149116766611109535
125449-417.61410117666611109435
124439-518.21410117666610108545
1234310-418.61410116676610109435
1224210-518.11411117676511108445
1214211-418.21410116676611109435
1204111-518.21411116666611109435
1194112-418.01411126666611108435
1184012-518.21411126666611109435
1174013-418.11411126666511108435
1163913-518.11412136666511108435
1153813-617.91512136666511108435
1143814-518.0151414666551198435
1133714-617.9161415555551198435
1123715-517.7161516555541098335
1113615-617.6171716555441097324
1103616-517.5181818444441087324
1093516-617.3192019444431087224
1083517-516.91112120333331086224
1073417-616.7112222133333986213
1063418-516.5114242233322976213
1053318-616.3115252222222976113
1043319-516.0117262322221975113
1033219-615.8218262321111965113
1023220-515.6319262311111865102
1013120-615.3419262311111865102
1003121-515.2620262211111864002
993021-614.9920242111111854002
983022-514.81221232011111754002
972922-614.41522211821111643002
962923-514.01923181622111543002
952823-612.92223161322111432001
942824-511.22221121011111322001
932724-69.020189811110211001
922725-56.316136511000111000
912625-63.91093300000100000
902626-52.0552100000000000
892526-60.9221100000000000
882527-50.311000000000000
872528-40.10000000000
862327-70.000000
852429-4No00
33-84No
Total:15.8%3.913.420.118.42.92.82.72.62.48.56.85.61.71.33.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 4 NY Rangers 3 +0.6
Washington 0 NY Islanders 3 -0.1
Colorado 2 Columbus 3 +0.1
Pittsburgh 6 Dallas 2 +0.0
FridayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-147100
130466-51000
129467-4100
128457-51000
127458-410000
126448-5100000
125449-4100000
124439-599000
1234310-499010
1224210-599010
1214211-498010
1204111-597021
1194112-495131
1184012-5931420
1174013-4902530
1163913-586370400
1153813-681490600
1143814-57451208000
1133714-667715011000
1123715-5589180150000
1113615-64811210190010
1103616-538132402400100
1093516-628142612910200
1083517-5191527133113000
1073417-612142723721050000
1063418-57122533942080000
1053318-639215387401200100
1043319-5161763411601600200
1033219-60412728149022103000
1023220-50287191712026215000
1013120-601461117151294208010
1003121-50025515162297301301000
993021-6001421114425116018130000
983022-500216116181410024160000
972922-600103771115141273100200
962923-500101365131522761704000
952823-60000015181442292408200
942824-5000030410615112811541000
932724-60002026681027323103000
922725-50001013538206281872000
912625-6000014141172625145100
902626-50000202561927231241000
892526-6000101131022282093000
882527-500000141324271982000
872427-60000015152426188200
862428-5000261625251672000
852328-600027172524157200
842329-50029182623145100
832229-60131020262213410
822230-50151220272211300
812130-602615232520720
802131-51281727261541
792031-64921312691
782032-505192728146
771932-61122035283
761933-5713273914
751934-415362623
741834-56175622
731734-68233138
721634-75050
711635-62080
701737-32575
33057-0100
Total:2161321854110320513011100000000000