New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Beat Carolina 1-0, playoff odds up 2.7 to 86.2%
38 points   17 10-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Rangers 1 Carolina 0 +2.0
+0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Winnipeg 3 Philadelphia 4 (ot)-0.4
Chicago 4 Toronto 0 +0.3
-0.0
Boston 4 Buffalo 3 (ot)*-0.1
Detroit 1 Colorado 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Florida vs Pittsburgh-0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.4
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Washington vs Ottawa*-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs Nashville-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
127-140In100.0%1005,542*
126425-4In98.3991400*
125426-3In94.9973869*
124416-4In94.997031,880*
123417-3In91.295053,743*
122407-4In87.893077,076*
121397-5In82.59001013,044*
120398-4In76.187013023,299*
119388-5In68.783017039,730*
118389-4In59.778121065,436*
117379-5In50.1721270104,454*
1163710-4In40.16523201162,620*
1153610-5In30.258339010241,724*
1143611-4In21.550445020354,294*
1133511-5In13.941551030498,979*
1123512-4In8.333656040683,891*
1113412-5In4.4267601700914,462*
1103413-4In2.119763110001,183,621*
1093313-5In0.813763215001,496,134*
1083314-4In0.387614200101,840,030*
1073214-5In0.156566260102,203,791*
1063114-6In0.035489320202,572,113*
1053115-5In0.0143913381402,932,829*
1043015-6100.0%0.01330164336003,256,407*
1033016-5100.00.00220184659003,528,201*
1022916-6100.0No01131846913003,731,085*
1012917-5100.0No017174215181003,854,217*
1002817-699.9No003143522232003,880,897*
992818-599.6No0011127282840003,825,118*
982718-698.6No001818333191003,680,522*
972719-596.4No0051135311430003,460,022*
962619-692.0No003633292171003,178,266*
952620-584.3No0022302427133002,852,878*
942520-673.2No00112517292061002,503,288*
932521-559.4No01019112827112002,144,378*
922421-644.4No0001462432184001,797,990*
912422-530.5No001031733269101,477,305*
902322-619.2No0071113033153001,185,751*
892323-511.0No00416243623600928,901*
882223-65.8No02031735311110711,891*
872224-52.9No010110303618200533,580*
862124-61.3No01016233926500391,435*
852125-50.5No0003163733910280,893*
842025-60.2No00011032401520196,008*
832026-50.1No001525432330134,498*
821926-60.0No00031742316089,890*
811927-50.0No0001113738111059,305*
801827-60.0No00163143182037,896*
791828-5OutNo0032445253023,460*
781728-6OutNo021643326014,577*
771729-5OutNo011038401018,753*
761629-6OutNo0631451625,099*
751630-5OutNo425472232,872*
741530-6OutNo217443171,583*
731531-5OutNo01141399824*
721431-6OutNo8374015481*
711432-5OutNo4284920230*
701433-4OutNo2185228115*
691333-5OutNo22423765*
681233-6OutNo8524025*
671234-5OutNo88138*
661033-8OutNo1008*
651135-5OutNo67333*
641136-4OutNo1001
631036-5OutNo1001
38051-0OutNo1005,232
Total:86.2%0.9%3217821141386421000063,133,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghNY IslandersTampa BayDetroitMontrealTorontoWashingtonBostonFloridaOttawaPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
140510-06.8%0738101317101191010
133451-5NoYes
132463-2No5050
131464-1No1733171717
130443-420.01010201010101020
129444-33.266106191010101310
128445-212.011471112167118123
127435-36.55510718209996
126425-46.815410101317111189100
125426-37.90669121315101081010
124416-46.90659121215111091010
123417-36.7055911131512111091000
122407-46.90659121415101089100
121397-57.00759111414111098100
120398-47.306610121414101098100
119388-56.907610121514109871000
118389-47.10761012151499871000
117379-57.00871113151399871000
1163710-47.10871113151299861000
1153610-56.80981214151288761000
1143611-46.70981314151188751000
1133511-56.601091315161177651000
1123512-46.5110101415161077640000
1113412-56.411011151616966630000
1103413-46.211112161616966530000
1093313-56.111112161616866520000
1083314-46.011213171716855420000
1073214-55.911214181716755420000
1063114-65.721215181716744410000
1053115-55.621216181715644310000
1043015-65.521317181715644310000
1033016-55.331318191714633310000
1022916-65.241419181614533310000
1012917-55.151520181613533200000
1002817-64.971620181512523200000
992818-54.891721171411422200000
982718-64.7131821161310422100000
972719-54.417182014128311100000
962619-64.121181812107311100000
952620-53.72416161085211100000
942520-63.2251413864211000000
932521-52.623129653100000000
922421-61.91996432100000000
912422-51.31364221100000000
902322-60.8942111000000000
892323-50.5531110000000000
882324-40.2211000000000000
872224-50.11100000000000
862225-40.10000000000000
852125-50.00000000000
842126-40.0000000000
832026-50.0000000000
821825-80.00000
811826-7No000
801928-4No0
38-79No
Total:4.5%8.713.115.113.812.410.34.52.62.72.20.80.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 1 Carolina 0 -0.4
Chicago 4 Toronto 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-140100
128445-2991
127435-3991
126425-49811
125426-39523
124416-495203
123417-391405
122407-488507
121397-5827010
120398-4761101300
119388-5691401700
118389-4601812100
117379-55022102600
1163710-440252031101
1153610-53027303720100
1143611-42228404140200
1133511-51428504470300
1123512-482560451100400
1113412-5421614416107000
1103413-42176140221010000
1093313-511261342920131000
1083314-408522635401820100
1073214-505421838602140100
1063114-6032211379024800200
1053115-50112634121251310300
1043015-601122271322419306000
1033016-5000112013420265080000
1022916-6001012117153190121000
1012917-500007889331411531000
1002817-600003595301931762000
992818-50000138225217181040000
982718-600001171172112161481100
972719-500015010171812191223000
962619-600030512228211657100
952620-50002027234201610123000
942520-600010142121614161782000
932521-50010218011919201451000
922421-600001140641919211131000
912422-5000100321614252092000
902322-6000701111822261761000
892323-5000401064162725134100
882223-6002003292229229200
872224-500100104142729175100
862124-600100101720302511200
852125-5000003122631196100
842025-6000001619312712200
832026-50000311273220610
821926-600001619332812200
811927-50000211283419500
801827-60001620352710200
791828-500313303416300
781728-60017233625710
771729-50031533321320
761629-601928372050
751630-51520382891
741530-602133433154
731531-51625402340
721431-6419353480
711432-5213343813
701433-472349192
691333-581734383
681233-644452
671234-5135038
661033-87525
651135-5100
641136-4100
631036-5100
38051-0100
Total:12116115381387764343221100000000