New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 1.2%
47 points   20 20-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina 1 Ottawa 4 +0.1
Columbus 1 Montreal 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.7+0.8
NoNoNoNo*No+0.0
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Minnesota vs Columbus+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
117350-0In42.0%48510474
107283-4InNo33673*
106284-3InNo33673*
105274-4InNo1750336*
104275-3InNo3229291128*
103254-6InNo14413211187*
102266-3InNo13934223145*
101256-4InNo32042278327*
100246-598.7%No2173730121689*
99247-497.0No110323321301,403*
98237-593.0No052533296102,684*
97238-484.0No0318263814204,884*
96228-572.4No0112194023408,659*
95229-457.2No0071238339014,362*
94219-542.1No0046324017123,548*
932110-427.9No0232345252035,846*
922010-516.8No0111543364054,057*
912011-49.2No0008374680077,953*
901911-54.5No00429521410107,695*
891912-42.0No00220542120145,094*
881812-50.8No001135230400186,661*
871813-40.3No00084539810233,462*
861713-50.1No004364514100282,827*
851714-40.0No002264721300329,519*
841614-50.0No01174430710371,870*
831615-40.0No00010383613200405,449*
821515-5OutNo05294021500427,497*
811516-4OutNo02193829910435,321*
801416-5OutNo011133351630429,155*
791417-4OutNo00624382571409,902*
781317-5OutNo003163433132377,270*
771318-4OutNo0192837214336,146*
761218-5OutNo0042038308289,009*
751219-4OutNo00212343814240,925*
741119-5OutNo0017274323192,136*
731120-4OutNo003194433149,149*
721020-5OutNo01124145111,892*
711021-4OutNo017365780,787*
70921-5OutNo04296756,208*
69922-4OutNo02227637,402*
68822-5OutNo01158424,231*
67823-4OutNo00108914,910*
66723-5OutNo006938,863*
65724-4OutNo04965,039*
64725-3OutNo2982,749*
63625-4OutNo1991,352*
62626-3OutNo199714*
61526-4OutNo100302*
60527-3OutNo199125*
47-59OutNo100569*
Total:1.2%0.0%000001413191816131075,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNY IslandersPittsburghWashingtonBostonColumbusMontrealBuffaloCarolinaFloridaNew JerseyOttawa
117350-00.2%36182292013710
107283-4No333333
106284-3No6733
105274-4No175033
104275-3No718211842544
103254-6No131823302031
102266-3No41282323119
101256-4No812927161171
100246-5No120292216117000
99247-40.1211262114014000
98237-50.12912417120900
248-30.12702417140900
97238-40.1361191480700
227-60.137118138060
249-20.236117157070
96228-50.138113950500
239-30.1381141065000
217-7No38112870400
95229-40.1361864020
218-6No3518540300
2310-20.13818640300
207-8No351963030
94219-50.0311432010
2210-30.1311532010
208-70.12915320100
932110-40.022132101000
209-60.02212110100
2211-20.122132101000
198-80.0201211010
922010-50.013011000000
2111-30.01501100000
199-70.0130110000
2212-10.014011000
912011-40.080100000
1910-60.07000000
2112-2No80100000
189-80.0800000
901911-50.04000000
2012-30.040000000
1810-70.04000000
891912-4No2000000
1811-60.02000000
2013-2No2000000
881812-5No1000000
871813-40.000000000
861713-50.000000
851714-4No000
841614-5No0
831716-2No00
47-82No
Total:0.0%0.80.00.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs NY Rangers+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.8-0.8-0.8
Nashville vs Florida-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
117350-04265100
107283-43367
106284-33367
105274-4171717171717
104275-311217184214411
103254-614182482435111
102266-3115181516612223
101256-431811179160278
100246-5021511108190300121
99247-41037562013302130
98237-50142319133029610
97238-400212132251381420
96228-500101931714002340
95229-400000421023803390
94219-5000225131140171
932110-4001121221452620
922010-50001111324336400
912011-400000723645910
901911-5000032265117200
891912-40000111649266100
881812-50000183935133100
871813-40000032536239200
861713-500011329301972000
851714-400005172827166100
841614-50017192825145100
831615-4000029202824124100
821515-5000310222922103000
811516-400141224282082000
801416-5000151426281861000
791417-400016172827155100
781317-50002820302512300
771318-4000311243021820
761218-5000151528301750
751219-400017213226112
741119-5003122833194
731120-400161935309
721020-500212313817
711021-40016234328
70921-5002164240
69922-40193753
68822-50053065
67823-4022275
66723-5011782
65724-411189
64725-30793
63625-40595
62626-3298
61526-4496
60527-3199
47-59100
Total:0000000000000010367778899887643