New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Toronto vs Montreal+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-4.4-0.2-0.2+4.1+4.5+4.6
-0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.9+0.9
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
Washington vs Montreal-0.1-0.3-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.1
Detroit vs Boston+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128-164InYes1007,751*
1276015-7In99.7%1000381*
1265915-8In99.81000641*
1255815-9In99.910001,095*
1245816-8InYes1001,871*
1235716-9In99.9100003,025*
1225717-8In99.7100004,984*
1215617-9In99.6100007,714*
1205618-8In99.31000012,177*
1195518-9In99.01000018,815*
1185519-8In98.5990028,382*
1175419-9In97.69910041,770*
1165420-8In96.3981161,019*
1155320-9In94.49711086,691*
1145321-8In91.796220121,578*
1135221-9In88.194330169,502*
1125121-10In83.091540229,297*
1115122-9In76.7887500307,265*
1105022-10In68.7839800404,522*
1095023-9In59.278121000525,282*
1084923-10In48.4701514100669,562*
1074924-9In37.2621918100840,152*
1064824-10In26.45323222001,038,876*
1054825-9100.0%16.842262740001,265,071*
1044725-10100.09.432293260001,514,911*
1034726-9100.04.523303791001,790,270*
1024626-10100.01.81529411320002,080,285*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,386,206*
1004527-1099.90.1523422361002,695,050*
994528-999.80.021840291020002,999,085*
984428-1099.50.011335331440003,287,359*
974429-998.50.0092935187100003,552,589*
964329-1096.1No0523352111310003,783,864*
954330-990.9No03163222177200003,968,973*
944230-1081.3No021127202213510004,112,059*
934231-967.0No0172115231910310004,190,131*
924131-1049.4No041592124177200004,216,421*
914132-931.9No0210515242314610004,178,266*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,083,099*
894033-98.7No003141323261992003,936,045*
883933-103.8No002027172625156103,740,819*
873934-91.5No0010131021282311303,503,976*
863834-100.5No000001514252818613,236,503*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,947,394*
843735-100.1No00000141326311952,647,814*
833736-90.0No00000002821332792,345,050*
823636-100.0No0000014153134152,047,189*
813637-90.0No00000292739231,765,833*
803537-100.0No0000152141321,498,620*
793538-90.0No0000031540411,254,539*
783438-10OutNo00011037511,035,761*
773439-9OutNo00173260843,958*
763339-10OutNo00042769678,617*
753340-9OutNo0022276537,612*
743240-10OutNo0011782419,946*
733241-9OutNo011386321,754*
723141-10OutNo00990244,976*
713142-9OutNo00793182,858*
703042-10OutNo0595134,664*
693043-9OutNo039798,312*
682943-10OutNo029870,443*
672944-9OutNo029849,388*
662844-10OutNo019934,610*
652845-9OutNo19923,903*
642745-10OutNo010015,941*
632746-9OutNo010010,760*
622646-10OutNo01006,880*
612647-9OutNo01004,470*
602547-10OutNo01002,920*
592548-9OutNo01001,762*
582549-8OutNo01001,082*
0-57OutNo1008,990*
Total:50.0%3.3%661312666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghDetroitOttawaMontrealBostonNY IslandersFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.6%767667777677777
1366511-6NoYes
1356310-9No252550
1346412-620.0202060
1336211-922.211221111111122
1326212-8No71377713720137
1316314-512.04208124412848124
1306214-63.555579711592125477
1296013-910.374667935106106866
1286014-87.08555478138588755
1276015-76.88866567993106557
1265915-87.3865568678696587
1255815-97.8746557579688787
1245816-87.4855668587696678
1235716-97.7866668687576678
1225717-87.7866658587686687
1215617-97.5856558688676688
1205618-87.2866668688586688
1195518-97.6866668588586688
1185519-87.3866558588685688
1175419-97.3866668688586688
1165420-87.5866668688686588
1155320-97.4855668688686688
1145321-87.5866568688586588
1135221-97.5856658688585588
1125121-107.4855558588585588
1115122-97.4855558588585588
1105022-107.4855558588585588
1095023-97.3955558588595599
1084923-107.3955559599595599
1074924-97.2955559599595599
1064824-107.2944449499494499
1054825-97.11044441041010410441010
1044725-107.01044441041010410441010
1034726-96.91033331031010310331010
1024626-106.71133331131111311331111
1014627-96.61133331131111311331111
1004527-106.41133331131111311331111
994528-96.31122221121111211321111
984428-106.21132231131111311331111
974429-96.01133331131111311331111
964329-105.71133331131111311331111
954330-95.31033331031010310331010
944230-104.7833338388383388
934231-93.9722227277272277
924131-102.8522225255252255
914132-91.8311113133131133
904032-101.0211112122121122
894033-90.5100001011010011
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863935-80.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843735-100.0000000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823636-100.00000000000
813738-70.00000000
803638-8No00
793639-7No0
0-78No
Total:3.1%5.31.61.61.61.65.21.65.35.21.65.31.61.65.35.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.9+0.0+0.0-0.9-1.0-1.0
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Washington vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-164100
1276015-71000
1265915-81000
1255815-91000
1245816-8100
1235716-9100000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-9981100
1165420-8962110
1155320-9943110
1145321-89242020
1135221-9886303000
1125121-10838504000
1115122-977116050000
1105022-1069159080000
1095023-959181201000000
1084923-1048221501300100
1074924-93725181170010000
1064824-102626211211120000
1054825-9172624224210400000
1044725-1092324426420600000
1034726-9419237267509001000
1024626-1021320102210801200020000
1014627-918151217141201611040000
1004527-10051013101515119320601000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-10013102111751698013140000
974429-900180714911121201627010000
964329-100050391151216217511031000
954330-900301411210164148161720000
944230-100020029061479111831351000
934231-90010016039104111671810410000
924131-10000040141018101120189310000
914132-90000200280441116221893100000
904032-100001001602188182318104100000
894033-900000030104310192319114100000
883933-1000000020002131019232013620000
873934-9000010001013918232114720000
863834-1000000000001391723221572000
853835-90000000000138172323167200
843735-1000000000013917242315610
833736-900000000013101926231341
823636-100000000141222282292
813637-900000016152729174
803537-1000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-10000029253925
773439-90015194035
763339-100002133946
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-90011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-1000595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582549-80100
53-57100
522252-8298
0-51100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333