New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 2-4, playoff odds down 0.008 to 99.98%
82 points   38 17-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia 4 NY Rangers 2 -0.4
-5.6
NY Islanders 3 Carolina 5 +0.1
+0.3
Montreal 4 Toronto 0 -0.0
-0.5
Nashville 3 Detroit 4 +2.9
Edmonton 1 St. Louis 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
Washington vs Toronto-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Columbus-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Vancouver vs St. Louis+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Dallas vs Anaheim+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124210-0In100.0%1000194,849
123200-1In99.8100089,022
122201-0In99.41000435,788*
121191-1In98.499101,172,190*
120181-2In96.599103,361,962*
119182-1In93.097307,074,967*
118172-2In87.19550015,058,934*
117173-1In78.39190026,172,561*
116163-2In66.485141045,038,578*
115164-1In51.977221066,701,315*
114154-2In36.4663130096,869,921*
113155-1In22.15342600124,752,758*
112145-2In11.23851100089,426,814
156-0In11.13851100067,362,070*
111146-1In4.72658161092,473,517
135-3In4.22458171085,404,883*
110136-2In1.414602520111,283,819
147-0In1.31460252085,300,684*
109137-1In0.3756334098,619,268
126-3In0.3655354099,641,267*
108127-2In0.03474280109,364,323
116-4In0.0246438085,244,786*
107128-1In0.01374814084,819,219
117-3In0.013449160090,738,606*
106118-2In0.002550241086,138,448
107-4In0.002450251067,948,026*
105119-1In0.001648343059,380,085
108-3In0.001446363065,389,539*
104109-2InNo0839457098,320,746*
1031010-1100.0%No043053140071,581,454*
102910-2100.0No022056230050,761,967*
101911-1100.0No011253341033,232,381*
100811-2100.0No0646462021,212,862*
99812-1100.0No03365650012,453,155*
98712-299.8No01266210007,142,139*
97713-199.4No00186318103,747,195*
96613-298.3No00115928201,923,498*
95614-195.6No0075039400898,060*
94514-290.4No043948900410,064*
93515-181.7No0227531710168,136*
92415-269.0No116522830067,367*
91416-153.4No09443970024,003*
90316-238.8No04344714108,421*
89317-122.8No01225025302,559*
88217-211.7No111423780770*
87218-14.2No04354516212*
86219-02.0No2303432250*
85119-1OutNo1133569*
84120-0OutNo50502*
82021-00.0No00935431210171,411
Total:100.0%9.7%203627143000000002,067,584,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealTampa BayNY IslandersDetroitPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaColumbusToronto
124210-015.6%00000214815950000
123200-115.400110195017840000
122201-015.700110185017840000
121191-115.600110185017840000
120181-215.600111185017840000
119182-115.600111185017840000
118172-215.500111194917840000
117173-115.400211204817830000
116163-215.300212234616730000
115164-115.100312264315630000
114154-214.900514303813620000
113155-114.600715353311520000
144-314.600816353311520000
112145-214.300111839279410000
156-014.300111839279410000
111146-113.9001511142217310000
135-313.9001611242206210000
110136-213.6002001642154200000
147-013.6002001642154200000
109137-113.3002402040113100000
126-313.2002502139103100000
108127-213.000290253582000000
116-412.900290253582000000
107128-112.700330293061000000
117-312.600330303051000000
106118-212.300360332641000000
107-412.300370332531000000
105119-112.100390352221000000
108-312.010380362221000000
104109-211.811400372010000000
1031010-111.621401381810000000
102910-211.431401391600000000
101911-111.342401391400000000
100811-211.362392391200000000
99812-111.38338338100000000
98712-211.21243633780000000
97713-111.11653343470000000
96613-210.82263063060000000
95614-110.5277257254000000
94514-29.8318208203000
93515-18.8328158152000
92415-27.13171181120
91416-15.826676710
90316-23.92054551
89317-12.11232320
88217-20.5611210
87218-1No10011
86219-0No2
84-85No
82021-00.000
Total:13.3%0.50.523.70.520.631.215.44.91.90.70.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 4 NY Rangers 2 +0.7
NY Islanders 3 Carolina 5 -0.2
Montreal 4 Toronto 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Columbus+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Washington vs Toronto+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Florida vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124210-010000
123200-110000
122201-09900
121191-198110
120181-297210
119182-193430
118172-287850000
117173-17813900000
116163-266191401000
115164-152252201000
114154-2363031030000
113155-122314115000000
112145-211274928110000
156-011274929110000
111146-1521535122201000
135-3420535123301000
110136-2113509145602000
147-0112509145602000
109137-10743141381304000
126-30641141381404000
108127-20230179102307010
116-40230179102307010
107128-1011918510330111200
117-30118175103401213000
106118-20010152740115270100
107-4009152740115270100
105119-10051114412154140300
108-30041014402155160300
104109-202702343137260700
1031010-10040125488370130000
102910-20020015547440221000
101911-1001008415451313100
100811-20003303412388200
99812-1000120131340165000
98712-20000100215362610000
97713-100000125273616210
96613-200000651642226200
95614-100003484225144000
94514-2001333623259100
93515-10021261637144000
92415-2010168441810200
91416-100093411720810
90316-204134132618500
89317-101021625301430
88217-21112182927101
87218-10493231222
86219-0241838308
85119-11122113322
84120-0100
82021-000017233726600
Total:1011288641615170300000000000000