New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 44.4%
8 points   4 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.4
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1*-0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.3*-0.0
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.5
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.3
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.2
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-158In99.8%100933*
1215214-9In98.11000209*
1205215-8In98.11000359*
1195216-7In97.09911575*
1185116-8In95.29910935*
1175016-9In92.798211,498*
1165017-8In90.697212,278*
1154917-9In86.796313,345*
1144918-8In80.3935205,074*
1134818-9In74.891637,362*
1124819-8In66.08794010,748*
1114719-9In57.082126015,005*
1104720-8In46.976159020,770*
1094620-9In36.0691912028,061*
1084621-8In26.26023161037,367*
1074521-9In17.45128202049,320*
1064522-8In10.041312530063,419*
1054422-9In5.232343040079,819*
1044423-8In2.423353571099,838*
1034323-9In0.91534391010122,363*
1024324-8100.0%0.39324215200148,017*
1014224-9100.00.05274420400174,708*
1004225-8100.00.032243256100204,432*
994125-999.80.01174031102000234,690*
984126-899.5No0123534144000266,110*
974026-998.5No082937187100294,107*
964027-896.1No052236211231000321,658*
953927-990.9No031633221772000346,814*
943928-882.0No01112919221341000367,647*
933828-968.5No172315242092000385,668*
923728-1051.9No041692225166100395,603*
913729-935.0No021151726231241000399,171*
903629-1020.8No0172112327198200398,566*
893630-910.9No00416172726144100390,130*
883530-105.2No00203102329229200376,515*
873531-92.1No00101516282816510357,522*
863431-100.8No0000210233123910334,583*
853432-90.3No0000151629301530308,649*
843332-100.1No00000021024332371279,795*
833333-90.0No00015183330121250,280*
823233-100.0No00003122935183221,557*
813234-90.0No000172438255191,612*
803134-10OutNo0041737339163,408*
793135-9OutNo00212343913136,292*
783035-10OutNo0018294319113,601*
773036-9OutNo00523462692,294*
762936-10OutNo00218463374,827*
752937-9OutNo00113454158,514*
742938-8OutNo019424945,634*
732838-9OutNo006375634,881*
722839-8OutNo004326426,340*
712739-9OutNo03287019,352*
702740-8OutNo02237514,206*
692640-9OutNo1207910,243*
682641-8OutNo116847,115*
672541-9OutNo012885,044*
662542-8OutNo09913,449*
652442-9OutNo07932,465*
642443-8OutNo05951,530*
632343-9OutNo4961,029*
622344-8OutNo397671*
612244-9OutNo298391*
602245-8OutNo298247*
592145-9OutNo298171*
582146-8OutNo298113*
8-57OutNo100791*
Total:44.4%1.1%35111267788887638,009,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayOttawaWashingtonDetroitMontrealNY IslandersPittsburghColumbusNew JerseyTorontoFloridaPhiladelphiaBostonCarolinaBuffalo
158750-05.3%8597878108767812
131579-9NoYes
1305710-8NoYes
1295812-550.05050
1285712-620.020204020
1275713-5No101010101010101020
1265512-8No10203010101010
1255614-54.2441321881744413
1245413-86.499611131166944426
1235414-712.1373212121216793752
1225314-83.51412871048118910532
1215214-94.865795961110108662
1205215-82.265108981188866611
1195216-74.2681167910710576621
1185116-86.06897789108866521
1175016-94.55796698810687731
1165017-84.96687699910678621
1154917-95.66687689910867631
1144918-85.36687699109767621
1134818-95.6579679999677621
1124819-85.156967109109767621
1114719-94.856977109109767621
1104720-85.05696610101010667621
1094620-95.056106610101010667521
1084621-85.156116611101010657521
1074521-94.955126611111010657521
1064522-85.055125512111110557420
1054422-94.745135513121111547421
1044423-84.744144513121211447420
1034323-94.644154414131211437320
1024324-84.534154415131212337320
1014224-94.333163315141312337220
1004225-84.333173316141312227220
994125-94.233173316141312228220
984126-84.143173316141312228120
974026-93.944173316141312217120
964027-83.854164415131211217110
953927-93.564154414121110216110
943928-83.2651344121099115110
933828-92.664114410877114110
923829-81.9548337655113010
913729-91.3426225433102000
903730-80.8223113222001000
893630-90.4112111111001000
883631-80.2101001110000000
873531-90.1000000000000000
863532-80.0000000000000000
853432-90.0000000000000000
843433-80.00000000000000
833434-70.000000000000
823334-8No000000
813537-3No00
8-80No
Total:1.8%2.62.17.02.01.96.55.65.24.91.10.93.00.80.70.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 -0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.0
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.0
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-158100
1245413-8982
1235414-7982
1225314-8100
1215214-99810
1205215-89820
1195216-797211
1185116-895310
1175016-993521
1165017-891621
1154917-987931
1144918-880135200
1134818-97516603
1124819-86621904000
1114719-957251206000
1104720-847291508000
1094620-93633181110000
1084621-82634212141010
1074521-9173424417212000
1064522-810312562031030000
1054422-952624921630400000
1044423-82202213201050700100
1034323-91141717171480910100
1024324-80913191217121131102000
1014224-905819818152153204000
1004225-80341841717516640601000
994125-9012151131791410709120000
984126-80111091313101311112240000
974026-90070591551515214470100
964027-80050251521316514711131000
953927-90030121319159111115272000
943928-8001001100510136131751251000
933828-90100602614312141018103100
923728-10000401313199131917930000
913729-90002011005413162217821000
903629-100010060211092023168310000
893630-9000040106412212317831000
883530-10000020031514222317931000
873531-9000010010261422241793100
863431-10000000002715222417931000
853432-90000000271523241782000
843332-1000000000138172524156100
833333-900000131019262313410
823233-10000001412232721920
813234-90000261627271651
803134-10000310223024102
793135-900015152831173
783035-1000292434247
773036-9001517343211
762936-10000211303818
752937-90017254225
742938-8004194334
732838-9002134143
722839-80193852
712739-90063460
702740-8042967
692640-90022573
682641-8011979
672541-9011585
662542-801288
652442-900991
642443-80693
632343-90595
622344-8397
612244-9397
602245-8298
592145-9298
582146-8397
572046-9298
8-56100
Total:122323342334334345554444444332