New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 21.8%
13 points   6 7-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 -0.3
Boston 2 Dallas 1 (ot)*-0.2
NY Islanders 3 Montreal 4 (so)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.2*+0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers vs Montreal+3.2+3.0+2.7-1.1-1.1-4.3
+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Dallas-0.3*-0.2-0.2*+0.2*+0.2+0.4
St. Louis vs Carolina+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.3-0.3
Ottawa vs New Jersey+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2
Toronto vs Vegas-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton-0.1*-0.2*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-149InYes100364*
1174913-6In84.4%97332*
1164813-7In90.098260*
1154713-8In79.5926288*
1144714-7In83.89622148*
1134715-6In68.28884274*
1124615-7In62.086122442*
1114515-8In51.677184715*
1104516-7In41.37418801,149*
1094416-8In30.964251101,805*
1084316-9In21.754301512,658*
1074317-8In12.8453320104,016*
1064318-7In7.2363824205,606*
1054218-8In4.0274029408,493*
1044219-7In1.619403560011,635*
1034119-8In0.512394091016,102*
1024019-9In0.173543132021,609*
1014020-8100.0%0.0430451830028,951*
1003920-9100.00.0224452451037,780*
993921-899.9No1184230810047,230*
983821-999.6No01337351230059,693*
973822-898.8No08313717610073,477*
963722-996.6No0524372011300088,457*
953723-891.6No03173521177100104,818*
943623-983.1No0111301922124100122,318*
933624-869.5No172414242082000139,741*
923524-952.8No041792325155100156,941*
913525-835.5No02115172723113000174,480*
903425-921.0No0172112428187200188,160*
893426-810.6No0041618282613410201,462*
883326-94.9No00203112329219200211,472*
873327-81.8No00101516282715510218,037*
863227-90.6No0000210233023920221,542*
853228-80.2No0000151629291640220,508*
843128-90.1No000021023322381216,074*
833129-80.0No000015173130142208,397*
823029-90.0No0002112735214197,088*
813030-80.0No000162136298183,180*
802930-90.0No0000315343513168,015*
792931-8OutNo0019294119151,065*
782831-9OutNo0016244426133,708*
772832-8OutNo003184435116,695*
762732-9OutNo00213424499,217*
752733-8OutNo0019395283,467*
742633-9OutNo006336168,736*
732634-8OutNo003296856,125*
722534-9OutNo02237544,742*
712535-8OutNo01188034,707*
702435-9OutNo01148527,072*
692436-8OutNo0118920,407*
682336-9OutNo089215,501*
672337-8OutNo069411,075*
662237-9OutNo05957,906*
652238-8OutNo03975,668*
642138-9OutNo02983,941*
632139-8OutNo2982,569*
622140-7OutNo1991,823*
612040-8OutNo1991,239*
602041-7OutNo199727*
591941-8OutNo0100499*
13-58OutNo1001,050*
Total:21.8%0.1%02573567910111212114,230,956

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersBostonTorontoMontrealPittsburghNew JerseyWashingtonBuffaloColumbusCarolinaFloridaPhiladelphiaOttawaDetroit
149680-02.4%3769910777797342
128547-7NoYes
1225110-7NoYes
1215010-8NoYes
1205112-5No40202020
1195012-614.3142914141414
1184912-7No18181818999
1174913-6No39931913391336333
1164813-7No2105312121510787272
1154713-82.352881398118786331
1144714-72.0474869127126125331
1134715-63.655778141087865352
1124615-73.44987871097775632
1114515-82.23677811999777441
1104516-74.247769101297686431
1094416-83.0486681111118885531
1084316-93.0496681010108884332
1074317-82.24106681111107784421
1064318-72.84106671212116774431
1054218-83.24125561212116784431
1044219-72.94135561212125883421
1034119-82.83154551313134783421
1024019-92.83164441413134882410
1014020-82.63164441414143882410
1003920-92.63183341514143882410
993921-82.53193331514142891410
983821-92.44193331514142891410
973822-82.35193331514132881410
963722-92.36194431413131881300
3823-72.26194431413131881300
953723-82.08194431212111771300
3622-102.17194431212121771300
943623-91.89175431010101560200
3724-71.89175431110101650200
933624-81.49144438871440200
3523-101.69154438881440200
923524-91.18114426551330100
913525-80.8673324430220100
903425-90.4442212220110000
893426-80.2221101110110000
883427-70.1110001000000000
873327-80.0000000000000000
863328-70.00000000000000
853228-80.0000000000000
843128-90.0000000000000
833129-8No0000000000
823029-9No000
812828-12No00
802930-9No0
13-79No
Total:0.5%2.04.21.21.10.82.82.72.60.41.51.50.20.70.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Montreal-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
118-149100
1174913-684133
1164813-79082
1154713-8801362
1144714-7841222
1134715-6682084
1124615-762241102
1114515-852261804
1104516-74133180700
1094416-83133232100000
1084316-9223228213101
1074317-81333294172110
1064318-772930817522000
1054218-84232911187404000
1044219-7217251517117060000
1034119-801120181415110810100
1024019-90714219171511021200
1014020-804921518183124203000
1003920-902519216207137405010
993921-812161121811111180811000
983821-901120714167141211023000
973822-80080491831516312560100
963722-9005025181121771191013000
953723-800312150814128131337200
943623-9001011004916414148114100
933624-80100702517113111416104100
923524-9000412140961716171041000
913525-80020110052161119181141000
903425-90010060201151521191251000
893426-80000410627162221136200000
883326-90000200302816232114720000
873327-8000100101381623221572000
863227-900000001381723231572000
853228-800000001391724231572000
843128-9000000139182523145100
833129-80000000141020262212410
823029-900001513232720920
813030-80000271626271651
802930-900000310213024102
792931-800015152830174
782831-9000292334258
772832-80001416323313
762732-900210283920
752733-80016234129
742633-9003174238
732634-8002123948
722534-900183557
712535-80053065
702435-9032473
692436-8021979
682336-9011585
672337-8001189
662237-90891
652238-80694
642138-90496
632139-8397
622140-7298
612040-8199
602041-7199
591941-80100
581841-90100
571842-8100
561843-7199
13-55100
Total:0011011211231223334445556677776