New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.1 to 36.3%
20 points   8 7-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 +0.8
Colorado 2 Washington 3 -0.7
San Jose 2 Florida 3 (so)-0.4
Ottawa 3 Nashville 2 -0.3
Los Angeles 3 Carolina 2 +0.3
Montreal 4 St. Louis 1 -0.2
Toronto 5 Tampa Bay 2 -0.2
Winnipeg 3 Detroit 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Buffalo vs NY Rangers-5.5-1.2-1.1+3.1+3.6+3.7
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs NY Islanders+0.4-0.2*-0.0-0.6-0.6-0.5
Edmonton vs New Jersey+0.5*+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Columbus vs Boston+0.2*-0.0*+0.1*-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-146InYes100748*
121479-7In92.9%93714*
1204710-6In93.393730*
1194711-5In91.4911770*
1184611-6In86.387112117*
1174511-7In79.181217230*
1164512-6In72.0784180364*
1154412-7In65.2714240652*
1144413-6In55.66482801,110*
1134313-7In44.85693501,786*
1124314-6In37.649104012,907*
1114214-7In27.542144414,614*
1104215-6In18.534145027,021*
1094115-7In11.92616563010,554*
1084116-6In6.51817605015,612*
1074016-7In3.51317636022,578*
1063916-8In1.5816669031,644*
1053917-7In0.55156713043,417*
1043817-8In0.231267171058,474*
1033818-7100.0%0.0110652210077,266*
1023718-8100.00.018622820099,738*
1013719-7100.0No0557344000125,947*
1003619-899.9No0450396100157,934*
993620-799.7No02434482000192,028*
983520-899.1No0136481131000229,269*
973521-797.6No012950126200268,203*
963421-894.4No0224913104100308,964*
953422-788.4No0164712149300347,606*
943322-878.9No011421016146100385,543*
933323-766.1No073671619113000416,780*
923223-851.6No042941423187100444,434*
913224-737.3No0222210232412300463,817*
903124-824.6No0116162029206100476,560*
893125-715.2No01110315292711200480,329*
883025-88.7No0070210263218500474,979*
873026-74.7No04015203326910460,232*
862926-82.4No020031330321630438,770*
852927-71.1No010018253523600410,580*
842827-80.5No010041835301110376,216*
832828-70.2No000021230361730340,083*
822728-80.1No00001724392450301,078*
812729-70.0No000418383280262,348*
802629-80.0No0002123438131223,922*
792630-70.0No000172942191187,023*
782530-80.0No00042344272153,735*
772531-7OutNo0021643344123,925*
762431-8OutNo01114041798,560*
752432-7OutNo00735481076,372*
742332-8OutNo00529521458,602*
732333-7OutNo0223551943,971*
722233-8OutNo0118562532,606*
712234-7OutNo113553123,607*
702134-8OutNo09523916,368*
692135-7OutNo06484611,454*
682035-8OutNo0444527,824*
672036-7OutNo0337605,319*
661936-8OutNo0133663,331*
651937-7OutNo129712,228*
641837-8OutNo122771,450*
631838-7OutNo11783858*
621839-6OutNo1585556*
611739-7OutNo1387322*
601740-6OutNo1189163*
591640-7OutNo1288103*
581540-8OutNo29852*
571743-3OutNo89237*
561542-6OutNo59522*
20-55OutNo100744*
Total:36.3%0.1%011018357101111108418,813,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayDetroitMontrealNY IslandersOttawaWashingtonBostonTorontoFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaColumbusBuffalo
146630-03.7%17108611713151344100
132545-4NoYes
125508-5NoYes
124509-4No502525
122478-88.38817833178
1214810-57.17777777141421
1204710-63.373101320102377
1194711-55.731371011910717463
1184611-65.11129979915777613
1174511-72.60310614111212798511
1164512-64.40559141191011108422
1154412-74.11667209148886410
1144413-63.026562010148976511
1134313-73.41456238158856620
1124314-63.92455268157757521
1114214-73.334562861676575110
1104215-63.134443161855575210
1094115-73.443443451855475210
1084116-62.953343651944375210
1074016-72.962333842043375210
1063916-83.162234032133275210
1053917-72.772224232122275210
1043817-82.882224322222175210
1033818-72.791224422221175210
1023718-82.710111451231117521
1013719-72.6102114512311175210
1003619-82.511211451221107521
993620-72.5122224412211075210
983520-82.4133224212010075210
973521-72.4144334011910065210
963421-82.216533371171006411
953422-72.117533331151005411
943322-81.9175332811310043100
933323-71.5154222411000032100
923223-81.212322190800022100
913224-70.89211140600021100
903124-80.66111100400011000
893125-70.3310070200011000
883025-80.2200040100000000
873026-70.110002010000000
862926-80.100001000000000
852927-70.000001000000
842827-80.0000000000000
832828-70.0000000000
822728-80.0000000000
812729-70.000000
802730-6No00000
792630-7No0
782429-10No0
20-77No
Total:0.9%6.11.51.00.914.50.46.60.30.20.22.21.60.50.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 2 Minnesota 3 -0.1
Colorado 2 Washington 3 +0.1
Los Angeles 3 Carolina 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs NY Rangers+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6
Pittsburgh vs NY Islanders-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Edmonton vs New Jersey-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-146100
121479-7937
1204710-6937
1194711-59117
1184611-6861112
1174511-7792217
1164512-67264180
1154412-76564240
1144413-6568827000
1134313-74511903400
1124314-6381110039011
1114214-7281413042011
1104215-619151414721200
1094115-71214151503230
1084116-671215250540500
1074016-7410143488706000
1063916-81712441131209000
1053917-714105331717012000
1043817-803662320231151110
1033818-701461421282182201000
1023718-80125718315185502000
1013719-70143143091779040000
1003619-80031926151311150501000
993620-70020519199132127110000
983520-800102122141327482301000
973521-7001017212102998460200
963421-800031817261676914100
953422-7000114042023571229300
943322-8000010021327271151361000
933323-70007017281698171241000
923223-8000403260459181993000
913224-70020121022814221772000
903124-800101160116921231562000
893125-7010011000341424231351000
883025-800007002181825221241000
873026-700400103112126201031000
862926-8002000151323261882000
852927-7010000271726251561000
842827-801000039202723124100
832828-70000014122328209200
822728-800000016162726165100
812729-7000031021292311300
802629-80001514262918610
792630-7000282130261120
782530-8000141428311850
772531-70002822332691
762431-80014153133152
752432-700292636223
742332-800152038306
732333-700314353810
722233-80019314315
712234-7015254821
702134-8003194929
692135-702144837
682035-81104544
672036-7064053
661936-8033561
651937-7023166
641837-822474
631838-7011980
621839-601584
611739-71486
601740-61387
591640-71486
581540-8298
571743-3892
561542-6595
20-55100
Total:000011351259122246666666543321