New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 34.4%
6 points   3 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Tampa Bay 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey vs NY Rangers-4.4-0.5-0.4+4.1+4.6+5.1
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
Chicago vs Philadelphia+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Winnipeg vs Carolina+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
NY Islanders vs Toronto-0.1-0.3-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.2
Colorado vs Florida+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.3-0.2
Boston vs San Jose-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
Calgary vs Tampa Bay+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Montreal vs Detroit+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-158InYes1008,614*
1235514-7In99.7%1000383*
1225414-8In99.4100662*
1215415-7In99.1100001,176*
1205315-8In98.999002,030*
1195215-9In97.799003,401*
1185216-8In96.8991105,573*
1175116-9In95.2981109,125*
1165117-8In92.69712014,465*
1155017-9In89.59623022,684*
1145018-8In85.59434034,045*
1134918-9In79.49145050,818*
1124919-8In72.28767074,365*
1114819-9In63.58381000107,999*
1104820-8In54.077101310152,341*
1094720-9In42.8691317100212,529*
1084721-8In32.3611521200290,527*
1074621-9In22.2521826300390,915*
1064622-8In13.8422132500516,197*
1054522-9100.0%7.63323368100672,266*
1044523-8100.03.624234012100857,371*
1034423-9100.01.4162243163001,078,353*
1024424-8100.00.41020432250001,331,168*
1014324-999.90.1517422781001,620,613*
1004224-1099.80.031338321220001,938,227*
994225-999.50.01933351740002,284,169*
984125-1098.80.006263722710002,644,261*
974126-997.1No042035261230003,013,193*
964026-1093.6No0214312918610003,383,436*
954027-986.9No01926272410200003,740,024*
943927-1076.1No00519232817610004,064,364*
933928-961.4No0031416292411310004,353,772*
923828-1044.4No001910242818720004,592,156*
913829-928.2No015517282513510004,764,530*
903729-1015.5No0032102328211030004,874,831*
893730-97.4No001151626271761004,904,549*
883630-103.0No001029212824123004,862,763*
873631-91.1No000014132528197104,748,020*
863531-100.3No00002719292613304,568,734*
853532-90.1No000001412253020714,323,981*
843432-100.0No00000171931271224,032,714*
833433-90.0No00000131328331943,710,705*
823333-100.0No00002822352673,353,612*
813334-90.0No000014163433112,991,759*
803234-100.0No00002113039172,624,979*
793235-9OutNo000172543252,269,381*
783135-10OutNo000041944331,934,077*
773136-9OutNo00021442411,624,839*
763036-10OutNo0011039501,339,752*
753037-9OutNo000635581,088,316*
742937-10OutNo00043066873,526*
732938-9OutNo0022573689,322*
722838-10OutNo0012078535,347*
712839-9OutNo011683410,002*
702739-10OutNo001287307,998*
692740-9OutNo00990229,233*
682640-10OutNo00793167,555*
672641-9OutNo00595120,741*
662642-8OutNo049684,529*
652542-9OutNo039759,357*
642543-8OutNo029840,554*
632443-9OutNo19927,312*
622444-8OutNo19918,210*
612344-9OutNo19911,758*
602345-8OutNo01007,719*
592245-9OutNo01004,919*
582145-10OutNo01003,052*
572146-9OutNo01001,885*
562147-8OutNo01001,111*
6-55OutNo1009,766*
Total:34.4%0.8%2279788888999799,092,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonOttawaNY IslandersDetroitPittsburghTampa BayMontrealColumbusNew JerseyPhiladelphiaBostonTorontoCarolinaFloridaBuffalo
158760-05.2%9510510551010855752
1315910-7NoYes
1306012-4NoYes
1295912-5No171717171717
1285711-87.782388882388
1275813-55.45814585314115148
1265713-62.63311131131683111111
1255613-77.1936413458612451262
1245513-85.71241071334511875542
1235514-75.511211411551111844842
1225414-84.510511510351011754751
1215415-75.6951241244129844741
1205315-84.710311410541011944852
1195215-95.310410410451111954842
1185216-84.510411411451110844842
1175116-94.710411411451110944742
1165117-84.610411411441111944842
1155017-94.810411411441111944842
1145018-84.810411411441111844842
1134918-94.711411411441111844841
1124919-84.911411411441111844741
1114819-94.811412411441111844731
1104820-84.712412412441111844731
1094720-94.712312412441211833731
1084721-84.713313313341211833731
1074621-94.614313313331211833731
1064622-84.514314314331212833721
1054522-94.515314314331212722621
1044523-84.416215315331212722621
1034423-94.316215215221312722621
1024424-84.217216215221312722610
1014324-94.017316315331312711610
1004224-104.017316315331212711610
994225-93.916415415331211611510
984125-103.816515414441111611510
974126-93.715514514541110611510
964026-103.51461351355109511410
954027-93.2136126115588411310
943927-102.8126105105477311310
933928-92.2958585455211210
923929-81.6746463343211110
913829-91.0434242222100100
903830-80.6222121111100000
893730-90.3111111011000000
883731-80.1100000000000000
873631-90.0000000000000000
863632-80.0000000000000000
853532-90.0000000000000000
843533-80.0000000000000000
833534-70.00000000000000
823434-8No0000000000
813435-7No000
803335-8No0
6-79No
Total:1.3%5.42.14.81.84.71.81.63.63.41.90.60.51.60.50.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs NY Rangers+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-1.0
Chicago vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-158100
1235514-71000
1225414-8991
1215415-799100
1205315-899000
1195215-998100
1185216-8972110
1175116-9953110
1165117-8934120
1155017-989620300
1145018-885830400
1134918-97912405000
1124919-87215507000
1114819-9631970100000
1104820-85423100130010
1094720-943261201700100
1084721-8322915120102000
1074621-92230172242030000
1064622-814281832731050000
1054522-9825185286208001000
1044523-842016727103011001000
1034423-911413923146015103000
1024424-80910101717801920050000
1014324-905611111911122410801000
1004224-10033105181322273011020000
994225-9012821412519115016140000
984125-10001619107131580202701000
974126-900405687161012151203000
964026-10002023831412319917151000
954027-9001011711010514132231020000
943927-10000000405778152261761000
933928-9000003024831317112212410000
923828-100000010126191014222010310000
913829-900010014054131724189310000
903729-1000000003021992024189310000
893730-900000101054122224189310000
883630-10000001000215132224181041000
873631-9000000010151321241910410000
863531-100000000026132124191041000
853532-900000000000261422241993100
843432-100000000027152325188200
833433-90000000012817252515610
823333-1000000013102027231230
813334-9000000151324282071
803234-1000000027182927143
793235-900013122532216
783135-1000001719332910
773136-90000313303617
763036-10000018254025
753037-90015194234
742937-100002144043
732938-900193753
722838-1000163261
712839-90042769
702739-1000022276
692740-90011782
682640-10011386
672641-9001090
662642-800793
652542-90595
642543-80496
632443-90298
622444-80298
612344-90199
602345-8199
592245-90100
582145-100100
572146-90100
562147-80100
6-55100
Total:111122223322435355555555555544