New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 98.3%
58 points   27 15-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
New Jersey 1 Pittsburgh 2 (ot)-0.0
-0.1
Carolina 2 St. Louis 3 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Colorado vs Nashville+0.4*+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Anaheim vs Chicago-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Rangers vs Carolina+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.3-1.1
+0.1*+0.1+0.1-0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.5-0.5-1.1
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.5
New Jersey vs Florida+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Ottawa vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.2
Boston vs Los Angeles-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Washington-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Detroit vs NY Islanders+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Columbus-0.0*-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Chicago+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-130In98.9%100995*
122313-2In96.11000735*
121303-3In93.499001,537*
120304-2In88.998103,324*
119294-3In81.697216,316*
118295-2In72.8944211,670*
117285-3In62.89163019,783*
116286-2In50.786940032,828*
115276-3In37.8791370051,037*
114277-2In25.270191100076,231*
113267-3In15.1592416010108,143*
112268-2In7.74729211100147,709*
111258-3In3.23434272300191,881*
110248-4In1.12335315500241,225*
109249-3In0.31434349900290,929*
108239-4In0.173033151401337,594*
1072310-3In0.0424282120120378,097*
1062210-4In0.0118212725430408,455*
1052211-3In0.0012143030760425,408*
1042111-4InNo088293113110428,392*
1032112-3100.0%No0442628211710416,137*
1022012-4100.0No0222023282420390,056*
1012013-3100.0No0111416333140355,514*
1001913-499.9No000910353780312,848*
991914-399.7No006634401400265,636*
981814-499.1No003330412310219,620*
971815-397.9No002124393220175,664*
961715-495.3No010183343500136,257*
951716-391.0No000142750900102,129*
941616-484.1No0092055151074,176*
931617-375.5No00613562220052,059*
921517-463.6No048523150035,743*
911518-350.9No0254439101023,410*
901418-437.7No123544162014,774*
891419-325.1No112345255009,182*
881319-415.4No0015413310105,568*
871320-39.0No0093239173003,245*
861220-44.8No05244125511,787*
851221-31.9No021438321221,025*
841121-40.8No1729372231531*
831122-30.4No021836321010250*
821022-4OutNo1133535143142*
811023-3OutNo2917391715254*
801024-2OutNo1938192326*
79924-3OutNo833421712*
781026-0OutNo50504*
77825-3OutNo50502
76826-2OutNo1002*
75827-1OutNo1001
58036-0OutNo6238477
Total:98.3%2.2%91312141514157100000005,758,620

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealNY IslandersTampa BayPittsburghDetroitWashingtonBostonFloridaOttawaPhiladelphiaTorontoNew JerseyColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
130360-011.7%13145264086311
127341-1NoYes
126331-215.4888313188
125332-16.774794949722
124322-215.733472447921
123323-114.01125826398632
122313-210.21323619449732010
121303-310.724347213810632000
120304-210.3233562140963200
119294-310.02325721399632000
118295-210.623357193910631000
117285-310.12335721389631000
116286-210.32436820389621000
115276-310.23447821358521000
114277-210.23548921338521000
113267-310.0455910213174210000
112268-29.7566101221276311000
111258-39.66781113212453110000
110248-49.38891215202142100000
109249-39.099111316181832000000
108239-48.9119131418161521000000
1072310-38.61310151419141311000000
1062210-48.31410171419121111000000
1052211-38.1161118142011910000000
2110-58.2161118142011910000000
1042111-47.9171219142010810000000
2212-28.0171119142010810000000
1032112-37.718122014199700000000
2011-57.718122014199700000000
1022012-47.619132014198600000000
1012013-37.319152015188500000000
1001913-47.32017201517840000000
991914-37.32019201515730000000
981814-47.12121201514720000000
971815-36.92122191413620000000
961715-46.82122181412610000000
951716-36.42122181311510000000
941616-45.92021161110510000000
931617-35.3191914109410000000
921517-44.6161712873000
911518-33.5141310662000
901418-42.61010844200
891419-31.56752310
881319-41.2543211000
871320-30.623111000
861220-40.11110100
851221-30.11100
841222-20.2000
831122-3No0
58-82No
Total:8.0%15.012.615.913.416.311.710.61.40.90.30.20.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 1 Pittsburgh 2 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Carolina-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.3+0.3+1.0
Montreal vs Washington-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs NY Islanders-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-130100
124322-2991
123323-1973
122313-29640
121303-393600
120304-2891010
119294-38216201
118295-2732242
117285-3632960300
116286-25136904000
115276-338421307000
114277-225451711010000
113267-315442221320100
112268-283925516511000
111258-3331268189203000
110248-412224111714505000
109249-301420151419908100
108239-40714161023150122010
1072310-3049156232101551200
1062210-40151331926117940300
1052211-300310113272161470600
1042111-40170825413181301100
1032112-30040420692020016110
1022012-40020214751827122220
1012013-30010186214312274400
1001913-400004519314298800
991914-30002405276281214000
981814-4001203219241722010
971815-30001011411182131220
961715-4001008111122375500
951716-300004106213912810
941616-400027317342114200
931617-300161122531195100
921517-40040815372211300
911518-30020573721188200
901418-4102332162416510
891419-31112310242412410
881319-4000155182822102000
871320-3009110252818710
861220-405151529271441
851221-3020192230231120
841121-41021228301961
831122-300521282714410
821022-44829252581
811023-344172028207
801024-2481242314
79924-38423317
781026-0252550
77825-35050
76826-25050
75827-1100
58036-0115731
Total:276648123781221146110000000000000