New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Lost to Los Angeles 4-5 (ot), playoff odds down 0.5 to 95.5%
68 points   31 18-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 5 (ot)-0.2
-0.0
Buffalo 6 Montreal 4 +0.2
Carolina 1 Pittsburgh 2 (so)-0.1
Tampa Bay 4 Nashville 3 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Minnesota vs Boston+0.2*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs NY Islanders-0.0-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122270-0In45.9%4654516
121260-1InNo1001
120261-0In25.025758*
119251-1In22.2227836*
118241-2In16.31783104*
117242-1In6.9793306*
116232-2In4.9595983*
115233-1In2.43972,209*
114223-2In1.6209804,923*
113213-3In0.9109909,969*
112214-2In0.41099019,045*
111204-3In0.20099033,203*
110205-2In0.10099156,093*
109195-3In0.00099187,411*
108196-2In0.0009820130,868*
107186-3In0.0009730183,976*
106187-2InNo009460246,710*
105177-3InNo009190313,370*
104178-2InNo00861400380,663*
103168-3InNo00802000439,934*
102169-2InNo00722710486,658*
101159-3InNo0623520244,700
1610-1InNo0623620269,525*
1001510-2InNo0524450290,195*
149-4InNo0514450230,430*
991410-3100.0%No004050900504,949*
981411-2100.0No030541510469,658*
971311-399.9No0205422400417,342*
961312-299.3No1250299100359,271*
951212-397.2No7413217300293,527*
941213-292.0No3313127710230,295*
931113-381.4No120243616300174,157*
921114-264.7No012153827810125,645*
911014-345.4No06831361630087,615*
901015-227.1No03321382681058,168*
89915-313.6No011123235163037,229*
88916-25.6No00522382681022,604*
87816-32.0No002123335152013,121*
86817-20.5No016243925507,398*
85717-30.1No021435361213,913*
84718-2OutNo0827392242,016*
83618-3OutNo0216413370914*
82619-2OutNo0103442131450*
81519-3OutNo522452271198*
80520-2OutNo11143349187*
79420-3OutNo11313319636*
78421-2OutNo9454511*
77220-5OutNo1001
76322-2OutNo33673*
68027-0OutNo595516
Total:95.5%0.0%00513095310000006,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonFloridaNY IslandersTampa BayBostonDetroitPittsburghNew JerseyPhiladelphiaMontrealCarolinaOttawaBuffaloTorontoColumbus
122270-03.7%4032518129362
121260-1NoYes
120261-0No503813
119251-15.64736171468
118241-25.8582113155321
117242-13.96111208613
116232-24.764011198403
115233-14.3660001984020
114223-24.30650002084020
113213-34.400650002094020
112214-24.40660002084020
111204-34.400660002184020
110205-24.5006600020840200
109195-34.606600021830200
108196-24.3006600021830200
107186-34.4006600021830200
106187-24.3006600021830200
105177-34.20066000228320
188-14.400660002183020
104178-24.300660002283020
167-44.300660002283020
103168-34.200660002273020
179-14.200660002273020
102169-24.2016500022730200
158-44.201650002273020
101159-34.1026400022730200
1610-14.1016500021730200
148-54.0026400022730200
1001510-24.0036310021730200
149-44.0046210021730200
991410-34.0066011020730200
139-54.0185911120630100
981411-24.011156211186301000
1310-43.911156211186301000
971311-33.9416503211652010000
961312-23.882142422134201000
1211-43.8922414221342010000
951212-33.8172433422103101000
1313-13.6172433422931010000
941213-23.4272324422721010000
931113-32.936181631141100000
921114-22.3381192112100000
911014-31.6316510010000
901015-20.9213200000000
89915-30.41211000000
88916-20.150000000
87816-30.120000
86817-20.0000
85717-3No0
68-84No
Total:3.9%5.27.053.61.30.60.517.45.92.60.01.30.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 5 (ot)+0.1
Carolina 1 Pittsburgh 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs NY Islanders-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122270-04654
121260-1100
120261-02575
119251-12278
118241-216183
117242-17093
116232-25095
115233-121970
114223-22009800
113213-310098100
112214-20009720
111204-300096400
110205-200092701
109195-30000871201
108196-2000078190200
107186-3000068281300
106187-20005538206000
105177-30004146409000
104178-2000275170131000
103168-30001652120182000
102169-2000846171224010
101159-30033621226810200
1610-103362122681200
1001510-200126224261330400
149-40123225261440500
991410-3000142072319909000
981411-20061581722150150100
971311-30029810212212114000
961312-2015741627226390100
951212-3025110264275170300
941213-201305206228271710
931113-300102126141034216300
921114-20000657833527810
911014-300024252473516300
901015-20012131383427101000
89915-3000101572634206100
88916-200001414312915410
87816-3000026203126123100
86817-20001922292311310
85717-30021022292211300
84718-213122228231020
83618-30312252822720
82619-200614233217610
81519-327133026167
80520-227253022103
79420-331919252563
78421-29184527
77220-5100
76322-23367
68027-001189
Total:0000152210313981815021000000000000