New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 42.8%
8 points   4 3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.4
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.3*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
San Jose vs Columbus+0.4*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.5-0.5
Calgary vs Carolina+0.3*-0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3
Detroit vs Pittsburgh+0.2*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2*-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120-158In99.5%100656*
1195216-7In96.9991256*
1185116-8In97.79900385*
1175117-7In92.09820662*
1165017-8In89.897211,002*
1155018-7In88.596311,501*
1144918-8In84.895322,241*
1134818-9In78.4925303,252*
1124819-8In70.6887504,690*
1114719-9In61.88410706,796*
1104720-8In52.17912809,139*
1094620-9In41.0721612012,379*
1084621-8In31.16420151016,623*
1074521-9In20.955242020021,521*
1064522-8In13.14528253028,057*
1054422-9In7.035303040035,927*
1044423-8In3.326323571045,315*
1034323-9In1.3183239101055,449*
1024324-8100.0%0.41130421520067,092*
1014224-9100.00.1626442040079,690*
1004225-899.90.03214226710093,607*
994125-999.8No1163931112000107,270*
984126-899.4No1113435154100121,179*
974026-998.4No0728361981000135,172*
964027-895.7No04213522124100148,830*
953927-990.4No021532231882000160,667*
943827-1080.9No0110272023135100170,593*
933828-966.5No1621152520103100178,852*
923728-1049.3No031592225177200183,380*
913729-932.6No02105162623134100186,845*
903629-1018.5No0162102227209300186,257*
893630-99.3No00315152626176100183,189*
883530-104.0No00202920282412300177,417*
873531-91.5No00101413252919710169,337*
863431-100.6No0000271929261330158,617*
853432-90.2No0000141226312061146,250*
843332-100.0No000017203227111133,719*
833333-90.0No00013132933183119,908*
823233-100.0No000182336266105,536*
813234-90.0No000141735331091,959*
803134-10OutNo0021132391678,767*
793135-9OutNo001727442266,327*
783035-10OutNo00420453055,262*
773036-9OutNo0215453845,204*
762936-10OutNo0111424636,364*
752937-9OutNo017395428,564*
742938-8OutNo005336222,517*
732838-9OutNo03286917,211*
722738-10OutNo002237513,304*
712739-9OutNo0120799,651*
702740-8OutNo015857,252*
692640-9OutNo012885,096*
682641-8OutNo09903,799*
672541-9OutNo06942,596*
662542-8OutNo05941,758*
652442-9OutNo4961,193*
642443-8OutNo397786*
632343-9OutNo0396490*
622344-8OutNo199335*
612345-7OutNo199192*
602245-8OutNo199146*
592145-9OutNo19975*
8-58OutNo100434*
Total:42.8%1.2%35101267778888753,748,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayOttawaWashingtonMontrealDetroitPittsburghColumbusNY IslandersNew JerseyTorontoBostonFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffalo
158750-05.8%7476991099664732
1316012-3NoYes
130569-10NoYes
1285712-6No5050
1275410-11NoYes
1265714-4No25252525
1255412-9No112211222211
1245514-6No5161155115551616
1235414-74.24844171384417134
1225314-85.6411613279644139211
1215315-74.34810103991681052142
1205114-105.86496899138765541
1195216-75.17695598710875761
1185116-84.25611859979677631
1175117-75.366865791091064851
1165017-86.356946810810655961
1155018-75.366967991010566662
1144918-85.2569769999765651
1134818-95.06596611999666651
1124819-85.55696591099666751
1114719-95.0559661010109655751
1104720-85.05510561091010555751
1094620-95.155105510101010555751
1084621-85.055115510101010555751
1074521-95.155115511111110555751
1064522-84.944125511111110544751
1054422-94.944134512121111444751
1044423-84.844134412121211443751
1034323-94.844144413131312333751
1024324-84.533153313131312333750
1014224-94.733153314141412322750
1004225-84.433163314141412222750
994125-94.233163314141412222740
984126-84.243163314141412222750
974026-94.144163314141311222640
964027-83.854154313131211221640
953927-93.655144412121110221540
943928-83.25512441010108211430
933828-92.55510438887111320
923829-81.8448336655111220
913729-91.2335224443110110
903730-80.7213112222000110
893630-90.4111111111000000
883631-80.1001000000000000
873531-90.100000000000000
863532-80.0000000000000000
853432-90.000000000000000
843433-80.0000000000000
833333-9No0000000
823435-6No000
813436-5No0
8-80No
Total:1.8%2.22.16.51.91.85.55.45.34.71.01.00.92.61.80.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Columbus-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Boston vs NY Islanders-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Calgary vs Carolina-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-158100
1225314-8982
1215315-7991
1205114-10991
1195216-79721
1185116-898200
1175117-792620
1165017-890721
1155018-788831
1144918-8851032
1134818-97814530
1124819-8711870500
1114719-96222907000
1104720-852271208000
1094620-9413115111000
1084621-83132191151010
1074521-9213421318212000
1064522-813322342031300
1054422-97282372252040000
1044423-8322221022940700100
1034323-911618142013701010100
1024324-80101316151710113102000
1014224-9069171019142163104000
1004225-80351651816417630701000
994125-9121421416716106010120000
984126-811100101311111310013240100
974026-900705913615132154701000
964027-8004035143131541571214100
953927-90020121219148121116282000
943827-10001019051011713185135100
933828-90100602612312151019114100
923728-10000030131119913201893100
913729-9000201805413162218931000
903629-1000100502199192318931000
893630-90000301053112123181041000
883530-100000200214122124191041000
873531-9000100101512212419114100
863431-1000000001513212419114100
853432-900000002613212519103100
843332-10000000026142325188200
833333-90000002716252516610
823233-10000001392027241230
813234-900000141324292071
803134-1000027182928143
793135-90013122533216
783035-10001619333010
773036-900313313616
762936-100018264123
752937-90015204332
742938-8003154142
732838-901103752
722738-100163360
712739-90042867
702740-8022275
692640-9011980
682641-811584
672541-901090
662542-80892
652442-90694
642443-8694
632343-90495
622344-8199
612345-7199
602245-8199
592145-9199
582146-8100
571945-11397
8-56100
Total:122323332333334345544444444432