New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Lost to Anaheim 3-6, playoff odds down 8.7 to 44.1%
53 points   24 20-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim 6 NY Rangers 3 -6.7
-0.2
Vegas 6 Columbus 3 +0.8
Detroit 2 Philadelphia 3 (ot)-0.7
Boston 3 New Jersey 2 +0.5
Dallas 6 Florida 1 +0.3
Montreal 4 Colorado 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Chicago vs Toronto+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119330-0In72.3%871382,355
117321-0In50.050502
116311-1In25.0673312*
115301-2In23.9396146*
114302-1In14.733671190*
113292-2In7.422770635*
112282-3In3.9158412,020*
111283-2In1.4108915,839*
110273-3In0.6692215,395*
109274-2In0.23934038,191*
108264-3In0.12926087,925*
107265-2In0.0190900188,822*
106255-3In0.00861300386,684*
105245-4InNo0801910748,974*
104246-3InNo073262001,373,464*
103236-4InNo063333002,404,328*
102237-3InNo053406004,012,556*
101227-4100.0%No04246111006,398,090*
100228-3100.0No03149182009,757,602*
99218-4100.0No0214826500014,286,175*
98219-3100.0No134235910020,053,182*
97209-499.9No7344016200027,063,095*
962010-399.5No3244225600035,116,107*
951910-498.4No114373412200043,851,984*
941911-395.6No08293820400052,740,676*
931811-489.6No03193729910061,139,370*
921812-379.3No0111313617300068,335,528*
911712-464.6No005213827810073,698,144*
901713-347.3No00212333515200076,701,529*
891613-430.4No0016243825610077,053,165*
881614-316.9No00021435341320074,738,743*
871514-48.1No00017263922500070,036,198*
861515-33.2No00031737321010063,349,698*
851415-41.1No0001930381830055,365,999*
841416-30.3No000421402771046,741,465*
831316-40.1No00021335351320038,121,897*
821317-30.0No001727402240030,002,552*
811217-40.0No000318393180022,806,957*
801218-30.0No001113438141016,734,898*
791118-40.0No00062643232011,837,258*
781119-3OutNo003184232508,082,194*
771019-4OutNo001113841905,319,025*
761020-3OutNo000631481403,368,102*
75920-4OutNo00323522202,055,402*
74921-3OutNo0115513111,205,260*
73821-4OutNo011047402680,848*
72822-3OutNo00541494367,520*
71722-4OutNo0333577191,853*
70723-3OutNo0126621194,798*
69623-4OutNo0118641745,700*
68624-3OutNo012642320,534*
67524-4OutNo0861318,821*
66525-3OutNo555403,591*
65526-2OutNo349481,450*
64426-3OutNo24652526*
63427-2OutNo3664187*
62428-1OutNo307064*
61328-2OutNo138824*
60228-3OutNo25754*
59229-2OutNo1001
58129-3OutNo1001
53033-0OutNo19982,355
Total:44.1%0.0%02691215151512842001,026,806,010

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonWashingtonTorontoPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusPittsburghNY IslandersCarolinaFloridaDetroitMontrealOttawaBuffalo
119330-03.4%71181418181372210
117321-0No5050
116311-1No1733178888
115301-24.311151120151111222
114302-12.6919161617127111
113292-23.18121191814115110
112282-33.811019181815114110
111283-23.40111201917141041100
110273-33.0110212016141151100
109274-23.00120212016151141100
108264-33.10120212115141041100
107265-23.00120212115141041100
106255-33.00130222215131041100
105245-42.9001302222141310411000
104246-32.90014022231413941100
103236-42.80016022231312931000
102237-32.700170222413118310000
101227-42.60018022241211830000
100228-32.600200232412107300000
99218-42.50022023241110720000
98219-32.4102402224119620000
97209-42.3212602223108620000
962010-32.3422702122985200000
199-52.242280212297520000
951910-42.183290191976420000
2011-22.1832901919764200000
941911-32.0145290161665310000
1810-52.01562801516653100000
931811-41.72182601212432100000
1912-21.82082601313443100000
1710-61.72392501111432100000
921812-31.4261020088221000000
1711-51.4261020088221000000
911712-41.1271014055111000000
1813-21.2271015066111000000
1611-61.0271013054111000000
901713-30.82499033110000000
1612-50.72398032100000000
891613-40.51764011000000000
881614-30.21042000000000000
871514-40.152100000000000
861515-30.021000000000000
851415-40.010000000000000
841416-30.000000000000000
831316-40.00000000000
821317-30.00000000000
811217-40.0000000
801218-3No000
791118-4No00
53-78No
Total:0.9%10.64.010.40.06.26.42.42.01.40.50.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 6 NY Rangers 3 +1.0
Vegas 6 Columbus 3 -0.1
Detroit 2 Philadelphia 3 (ot)+0.1
Boston 3 New Jersey 2 -0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
119330-07214130
117321-05050
116311-1254233
115301-2241561
114302-115186341
113292-271570700
112282-34117014100
111283-2186722100
110273-3155933101
109274-203504310200
108264-302385520400
107265-201266421600000
106255-3001670111000000
105245-40971121511000
104246-3046812194100000
103236-40262022382100000
102237-301520223153310000
101227-40042012124371010000
100228-300310116322123011000
99218-40021001137118522300000
98219-301300636122753710000
97209-4070033102389214110000
962010-303012302071422424000000
951910-41001401551813329100000
941911-30008092170382182210000
931811-40003051140371282431000
921812-3000120903103625751000
911712-4000010502103815121151000
901713-30000020120330413191230000
891613-400001060240210232392000
881614-300000201401620301961000
871514-4000001070021330291430000
861515-300003001622332481000
851415-40000100021329321741000
841416-30000016203427112000
831316-40000002112833196100
821317-3000001519332812300
811217-4000002102733216100
801218-30000518332913200
791118-4000210263421600
781119-300151834301210
771019-400210283620300
761020-30015203730700
75920-40021334381300
74921-3001727442110
73821-400319453120
72822-300112424140
71722-4006355080
70723-30032756131
69623-4011958201
68624-3011257283
67524-40752365
66525-30444438
65526-22355013
64426-31315315
63427-2245125
62428-1145036
61328-244650
60228-35050
59229-2100
58129-3100
53033-00595
Total:00020015041401201412471010864311000