New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 82.2%
25 points   11 4-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 3 Buffalo 1 -0.1
Columbus 2 NY Rangers 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg vs New Jersey-3.1+0.1+0.1+3.0+3.3+3.3
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.2
-0.9-0.1-0.1+0.8+0.9+1.0
Philadelphia vs Calgary-0.2-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
Pittsburgh vs Chicago-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Washington vs Minnesota-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Tampa Bay vs NY Islanders+0.2-0.1-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
San Jose vs Boston+0.2*+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.2
Ottawa vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Los Angeles vs Florida+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Montreal vs Toronto+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs St. Louis+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
132-153InYes10014,163*
131519-4In99.5%1000204*
130509-5In99.4991499*
129499-6In99.3991969*
1284910-5In99.09911,725*
1274810-6In98.39823,490*
1264811-5In97.49826,298*
1254711-6In96.3973010,744*
1244611-7In95.0955018,625*
1234612-6In93.3946031,278*
1224512-7In90.7919050,920*
1214513-6In87.88911080,935*
1204413-7In84.285150124,669*
1194414-6In80.082180189,497*
1184314-7In75.177220280,621*
1174315-6In69.2722700405,460*
1164215-7In62.7673210576,824*
1154216-6In55.5613810798,240*
1144116-7In47.85544201,082,203*
1134117-6In39.84849201,436,359*
1124017-7In31.94255401,869,201*
1114018-6In24.335605002,380,651*
1103918-7In17.429647002,971,957*
1093919-6In11.6226710003,635,239*
1083819-7In7.0176814104,363,713*
1073820-6In3.91268181005,129,225*
1063720-7In1.9866232005,915,361*
1053620-8In0.8562293006,692,899*
1043621-7In0.3357346007,429,364*
1033521-8100.0%0.12493991008,096,914*
1023522-7100.00.014143131008,651,131*
1013422-8100.00.0033451930009,071,813*
1003423-7100.00.0025452551009,340,441*
993323-899.90.00184131910009,441,793*
983324-799.7No012363613300009,370,046*
973224-899.0No07293818610009,135,181*
963225-797.1No042238221130008,746,422*
953125-892.9No0215342418610008,220,470*
943126-785.0No01928222412300007,583,508*
933026-872.5No0521182819710006,884,988*
923027-756.1No031412272613410006,128,964*
912927-838.6No0197223021920005,360,327*
902928-723.2No005315282816510004,608,877*
892828-812.0No002182130231130003,884,356*
882829-75.3No001041427291861003,225,425*
872729-82.0No000017203026123002,625,502*
862730-70.7No00003132631206102,102,016*
852630-80.2No00001719312712201,650,671*
842631-70.0No00000312273219501,276,982*
832531-80.0No00001721332791966,323*
822532-70.0No00003143133162718,893*
812432-80.0No0000182537234526,945*
802433-7OutNo00151937318377,459*
792333-8OutNo00213343813267,196*
782334-7OutNo0018294319184,502*
772234-8OutNo0005234626124,887*
762235-7OutNo00217463583,192*
752135-8OutNo00113444354,526*
742136-7OutNo018405135,367*
732036-8OutNo005355922,436*
722037-7OutNo03296713,906*
711937-8OutNo0225748,242*
701938-7OutNo119804,955*
691939-6OutNo015852,927*
681839-7OutNo011891,694*
671840-6OutNo1090988*
661740-7OutNo793492*
651741-6OutNo496282*
641641-7OutNo397154*
25-63OutNo10014,110*
Total:82.2%3.2%52522167654322110174,316,636

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoColumbusNY IslandersOttawaDetroitCarolinaPhiladelphiaPittsburghNY RangersBostonWashingtonFloridaMontrealBuffalo
153640-06.9%04897101098887831
138545-5NoYes
136536-5No25252525
135537-4No9927918189
134527-54.3949131313134949
133517-64.0410641214161041064
132507-75.28611499157931141
131519-44.947951081581256730
130509-56.00481067111089710621
129499-66.7061078108109778741
1284910-56.304997101099788731
1274810-66.604897910119878621
1264811-56.605897911119867631
1254711-66.505997910109977621
1244611-76.805997911109877621
1234612-66.905997910109877621
1224512-77.005997910109877621
1214513-66.805997910109877621
1204413-76.805997910109877621
1194414-66.905997910109877621
1184314-76.805997910109877621
1174315-66.8059107910109867621
1164215-76.7059107910109867621
1154216-66.7059107910109867621
1144116-76.70610108910109867521
1134117-66.70610108911108767521
1124017-76.60610118911108767521
1114018-66.60611118911108766521
1103918-76.50611118911108756521
1093919-66.50612128911108756421
1083819-76.40612137911108756411
1073820-66.40513137811108756410
1063720-76.30514147811118746410
1053620-86.20515156711118746310
1043621-76.10416166712118746310
1033521-86.00417175612118736310
1023522-75.91318184512128736210
1013422-85.81319194413128726210
1003423-75.61220203313128726210
993323-85.52221212313128716100
983324-75.34222212213128616100
973224-85.27222211112128615100
963225-74.911221201111117605000
953125-84.61622018111096504000
943126-74.1212171611885403000
933026-83.4232131211664302000
923027-72.52229810442202000
912927-81.71816510221101000
902928-71.01213300111100000
892929-60.5701100110000000
882829-70.2301100000000000
872830-60.1100000000000000
862730-70.0000000000000000
852731-60.0000000000000000
842732-50.0000000000000
832531-80.000000000000
822532-7No0000
812432-80.00000
25-80No
Total:4.6%5.92.714.414.13.23.59.38.86.35.02.04.41.70.60.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs New Jersey+0.8-0.0-0.0-0.7-0.8-0.8
Tampa Bay vs NY Islanders-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Chicago+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
132-153100
131519-41000
130509-5991
129499-6991
1284910-59901
1274810-69802
1264811-59702
1254711-696030
1244611-795050
1234612-693060
1224512-791190
1214513-68811100
1204413-7841150
1194414-68021800
1184314-775222000
1174315-6693270000
1164215-76343201000
1154216-65563801000
1144116-74874302000
1134117-64084902000
1124017-732105413000
1114018-6241159150000
1103918-7171162270000000
1093919-6121163490100000
1083819-7710636121101000
1073820-6485991423010000
1063720-72753131535020000
1053620-815441816580300000
1043621-70335221481205000000
1033521-8022525111116181001000
1023522-70116258132121021010000
1013422-80092441323412430300000
1003423-70052021123813750501000
993323-8002161820131111908110000
983324-70111051417715131113300000
973224-800703818415163126601000
963225-70040141611317712101013000
953125-80020021309141191514461000
943126-700100190591451715911410000
933026-800005025142161216159310000
923027-7000301212011720161683100000
912927-800010018073191219169310000
902928-7000000503114716211810410000
892828-800000201082918231911410000
882829-7000010004131019242012510000
872729-8000000010141120242012510000
862730-70000000014112025211241000
852630-800000001512212520113100
842631-70000000015142326199200
832531-80000000027162526176100
822532-70000013919282513300
812432-80000001412243021810
802433-7000161730291430
792333-800031125332260
782334-700016183330111
772234-80003123037171
762235-7000172440262
752135-800041840344
742136-70021237427
732036-8017324911
722037-7005265316
711937-802215621
701938-701155826
691939-61105634
681839-7075438
671840-6055144
661740-743958
651741-623662
641641-722573
631642-63169
621643-52575
611442-8892
601443-72575
25-59100
Total:321610448544533433322222111110000