New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances

Beat NY Rangers 4-3, playoff odds up 8.4 to 65%
5 points   2 0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 +6.0
+0.4
+1.1
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)-0.4
Philadelphia 3 Buffalo 0 +0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.2*-0.1-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
88-111In99.5%1001,746*
873910-4In99.410001,162*
863810-5In99.0100001,981*
853811-4In97.799103,057*
843711-5In96.199105,073*
833712-4In94.598207,566*
823612-5In91.0973011,517*
813512-6In86.8954116,994*
803513-5In80.8926124,328*
793413-6In72.78992033,411*
783414-5In62.383134045,640*
773314-6In50.477176060,768*
763315-5In37.7682210078,872*
753215-6In25.7582814099,116*
743216-5In15.246332010121,362*
733116-6In7.634372720146,358*
723117-5100.0%3.0233835400171,990*
713017-6100.00.91335438000197,067*
703018-5100.00.263049141000221,324*
692918-699.90.022250233000242,443*
682919-599.70.011446336000260,787*
672819-699.0No073742121100274,123*
662820-596.7No0324462033000280,877*
652720-690.8No01134126108100282,337*
642721-579.2No05302519174000277,510*
632621-661.1No0117162725112000268,419*
622622-540.3No00772626239200252,352*
612522-621.8No022181930217100232,613*
602523-59.8No010992630186100209,959*
592423-63.7No0003315292915410185,191*
582424-51.2No0001162031261120160,058*
572324-60.4No000021025332271135,803*
562325-50.1No000014153132153112,641*
552225-60.1No000018233626791,732*
542226-50.1No000031434351372,422*
532126-60.0No0001827422356,454*
522127-50.0No0000419433442,613*
512027-6OutNo0212404632,077*
502028-5OutNo017355723,131*
491928-6OutNo004286816,890*
481929-5OutNo02227611,566*
471829-6OutNo0117837,822*
461830-5OutNo012885,233*
451730-6OutNo09913,417*
441731-5OutNo05952,159*
431631-6OutNo4961,407*
421632-5OutNo298870*
411532-6OutNo199473*
401533-5OutNo0100275*
391433-6OutNo199174*
5-38OutNo100586*
Total:65.0%5.0%1010171576665544324,793,746

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoPhiladelphiaWashingtonMinnesotaNY IslandersArizonaSt. LouisNY RangersBostonAnaheimSan JosePittsburghBuffaloLos Angeles
111530-09.1%19151501414139
97467-0No5050
96457-1No5050
95447-2No25252525
94426-55.055201053010510
93427-4No491794449134174
92428-315.4413415281712228104
91418-46.4114711854913421263
90419-37.7151112513421110321183
89409-49.2211210283512144310103
88399-510.033111331333101143993
873910-48.723121041134121134993
863810-57.133111141244101033993
853811-48.53411124104411934994
843711-58.534111141145101044983
833712-48.0341110410549944994
823612-57.8341011510549944984
813512-68.544101051055101054884
803513-58.1451010510559954884
793413-68.1451010510559955874
783414-58.1451010510558955775
773314-67.9451010510558855875
763315-58.0451010510558855774
753215-67.9451111510558855774
743216-58.0451111511559944774
733116-67.7441212411449944773
723117-57.6341314412449933873
713017-67.533151531333101033882
703018-57.222161621422101022882
692918-67.022171721522111111981
682919-56.822181811511111111991
672819-66.522181811511111111991
2718-86.522181821511111111991
662820-56.232171721411101011881
2921-36.232171721411101011881
652720-65.7431515212229911771
642721-54.9641313310227711551
632621-63.8649937224411331
622622-52.5536624112211221
612623-41.3324412111100110
602523-50.6112201001100000
592524-40.2001100000000000
582424-50.1000000000000000
572425-40.0000000000000000
562325-50.000000000000
552326-40.000000000
542327-30.00000000
532126-6No000
522228-30.000000
5-51No
Total:4.5%2.72.49.99.92.18.31.71.76.16.11.41.45.04.91.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 3 New Jersey 4 -1.3
Pittsburgh 5 Washington 4 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
91-111100
90419-3991
89409-41000
88399-5991
873910-49900
863810-599100
853811-498210
843711-5962100
833712-495420
823612-591630
813512-6878401
803513-581126010
793413-6731690200
783414-562211204000
773314-650261716000
763315-538302129000
753215-626322531310000
743216-51531276172101000
733116-68262710204202000
723117-532023152285040000
713017-6112161919141017000000
703018-506102013181521211010000
692918-6024187191961643020000
682919-50111221418121797060000
672819-6006081217131513111110100
662820-500303516616195164303000
652720-600101111211171116109081000
642721-500050510151015172155100
632621-60001013124122071814510000
622622-50000016161412142115720000
612522-600020261261722181041000
602523-5000100272817222113620000
592423-600000302614212217941000
582424-5000010015122023191252000
572324-6000000014101823211462000
562325-5000000138162323167200
552225-60000013816242416720
542226-500001381726251551
532126-6000139202824122
522127-500014122431216
512027-60001617323113
502028-5000311273722
491928-6016214033
481929-503143944
471829-60193556
461830-50152866
451730-6022375
441731-5011683
431631-611287
421632-50892
411532-6595
401533-50397
391433-6298
381434-5397
5-37100
Total:5555444444434342433333222222111