New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances

Lost to NY Islanders 4-6, playoff odds down 1.2 to 1.4%
60 points   25 24-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
NY Islanders 6 New Jersey 4 -1.2
Buffalo 1 Chicago 5 +0.1
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
San Jose vs Boston+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Toronto+0.0-0.1*+0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0
Colorado vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
St. Louis vs Florida+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
106230-0InNo01137439610
103200-3InNo1001
102212-0InNo25754*
101202-1InNo7217229*
100192-2InNo168485*
99182-399.2%No07921262*
98183-297.4No4943740*
97173-394.3No29261,757*
96174-289.5No1881004,107*
95164-382.6No18216108,690*
94165-270.1No0702730017,128*
93155-355.0No0553681031,762*
92156-236.7No0374118400055,511*
91146-320.6No02139281020090,472*
90147-29.3No092935216100140,770*
89137-33.2No0317333114300205,586*
88127-40.8No17233525810284,303*
87128-30.1No0212303417400176,479
117-50.2No0212293418400197,353*
86118-40.0No0041834301220187,479
129-20.0No0151934281120277,613*
85119-30.0No001927362150257,252
108-50.0No001926362250292,142*
84109-4OutNo003153433131375,690*
1110-20.0No0004173531111240,254
831010-3OutNo00182639234309,456
99-5OutNo00172439254173,546
1111-1OutNo00182738224176,361*
82910-4OutNo00315373610268,153
1011-2OutNo0031637349398,420*
81911-3OutNo018294418470,148*
1012-1OutNo0019314317173,918*
80912-2OutNo004214728235,133
811-4OutNo003194731354,482*
79812-3OutNo01124443244,029
711-5OutNo001124443269,485*
78813-2OutNo0063855174,154
712-4OutNo0053758249,237*
77713-3OutNo0032869330,399*
76714-2OutNo012079246,258*
75614-3OutNo001386172,535*
74615-2OutNo00892114,963*
73515-3OutNo059571,564*
72516-2OutNo039742,422*
71416-3OutNo019923,200*
70417-2OutNo19912,255*
69317-3OutNo01005,731*
68318-2OutNo01002,471*
67218-3OutNo01001,035*
60-66OutNo1001,166*
Total:1.4%No0000124710131822237,366,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonFloridaTampa BayBuffalo
106230-00.3%12251010221232200
103200-3NoYes
102212-0No7525
101202-1No7637103
100192-2No75441781
99182-3No835313300
98183-2No8256221000
172-4No808312100
97173-30.28163201000
184-1No825411101
162-5No8442311
96174-20.0795311000
163-4No77532100
185-0No81322100
152-6No767330
95164-3No725320000
175-10.1754320000
153-5No72521000
94165-20.0634210000
154-4No6143100
176-0No67421000
143-6No574210
93155-30.04833100000
166-10.051421000
144-5No45321000
133-7No463320
92156-20.0342210000
145-40.031221000
134-6No282210
167-0No362110
91146-30.0181100
157-1No211100000
135-5No1611000
124-7No14110
90147-20.0910000
136-40.0710000
125-6No70000
158-0No10100
89137-30.030000
148-1No3000
126-5No20000
88138-2No1000
127-4No1000
149-0No1000
87128-3No0000
139-1No0000
86129-2No0000
851210-1No000
841110-2No0
60-83No
Total:0.0%1.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 6 New Jersey 4 +0.6
Pittsburgh 2 Detroit 5 +0.1
Buffalo 1 Chicago 5 -0.1
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Colorado vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106230-005637439
103200-3100
102212-02575
101202-1332172
100192-21684
99182-307921
98183-24943
97173-3209206
96174-210880100
95164-3008211610
94165-20068127300
93155-30052336810
92156-20032541184000
91146-300155392810200
90147-20542735216100
89137-301214313216400
88127-4015193327123000
87128-3001823322492000
86118-400021125312182000
85119-30003132630197100
108-50003132630197200
84109-40014142729186100
1110-200015162828165100
831010-3001517292815410
99-5001516282816510
82910-4001619302713300
1011-2000172031261230
81911-300029233323810
80912-200041430321630
811-40031228341940
79812-3001520362990
711-5001520353090
78813-20002103039180
77713-300042042311
76714-200011239454
75614-300530577
74615-2002216413
73515-3011366200
72516-20076429
71416-300358390
70417-20150490
69317-3140600
68318-2033660
67218-320790
66219-219792
65220-112881
64120-210873
63121-19010
62122-07525
60023-018019
Total:0000000102356891011121211910