New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 0-3, playoff odds down 5.8 to 85.5%
56 points   24 14-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey 0 Detroit 3 -3.7
-0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs NY Islanders+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs New Jersey-3.0+0.7+0.6+3.7+4.1+4.1
-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Anaheim vs NY Rangers+0.6*+0.0*+0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6
Vegas vs Columbus+0.4*-0.1*-0.0-0.5-0.6-0.6
Detroit vs Philadelphia+0.4*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Carolina*+0.0-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.2
Dallas vs Florida+0.2*+0.0*-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120-128In99.6%100478*
119303-3In78.9871338*
118304-2In51.9663479*
117294-3In47.762380222*
116295-2In33.653470476*
115285-3In22.7425801,020*
114275-4In14.8326802,057*
113276-3In9.2247613,803*
112266-4In4.9178127,041*
111267-3In2.21286212,134*
110257-4In0.87893019,976*
109258-3In0.34915031,658*
108248-4In0.12908047,901*
107249-3In0.018711069,900*
106239-4InNo08316097,899*
1052310-3InNo0772210132,382*
1042210-4InNo0702910172,476*
1032211-3InNo06136300217,041*
1022111-4InNo05143500262,829*
1012112-3InNo04149900306,768*
1002012-4100.0%No315316100349,366*
991912-5100.0No215223300381,647*
981913-4100.0No134732710405,325*
971813-599.9No8393913200414,773*
961814-499.6No4284221500411,646*
951714-598.5No218393010100396,771*
941715-495.6No110323518400369,450*
931615-589.4No052235279100332,203*
921616-478.1No0213293417400291,024*
911516-562.1No0162035279100246,689*
901517-443.6No00311293418400201,847*
891417-526.1No01520352810100160,512*
881418-413.4No00211293518400123,778*
871318-55.7No0015203629810091,647*
861319-42.1No002113137162066,260*
851320-30.6No01522392660046,324*
841220-40.1No002143635121031,421*
831221-30.0No0172841203020,302*
821121-40.0No0031942307012,966*
811122-3OutNo011135381317,777*
801022-4OutNo0529432124,666*
791023-3OutNo320433042,595*
78923-4OutNo113403881,455*
77924-3OutNo09324514788*
76824-4OutNo13304719395*
75825-3OutNo1204831197*
74725-4OutNo133947198*
73625-5OutNo495143*
72626-4OutNo5296721*
71627-3OutNo604010*
70527-4OutNo60405*
68-69OutNo1003*
56036-0OutNo1288462
Total:85.5%0.0%0202518139642100005,758,644

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonWashingtonTorontoPhiladelphiaColumbusNY RangersNY IslandersPittsburghCarolinaFloridaDetroitMontrealOttawa
128360-02.4%3117161817137531
120302-4No1931619196
119303-32.655824112411113
118304-22.5611414112311141111
117294-34.550151818121210541
116295-23.26116171616127540
115285-33.272141719161183200
114275-43.171171817141274210
113276-33.471191815141273200
112266-43.408119181614127320
111267-33.5081192017141163200
110257-43.581191817141173200
109258-33.4091191916141163100
108248-43.40091201916141163100
107249-33.2091211816141162100
106239-43.2091211916131162100
1052310-33.200101221816131162100
1042210-43.10111231915131062100
1032211-33.100121231815121062100
1022111-43.000141241814121051100
1012112-32.90015024181411951100
1002012-42.90017025181411951100
1911-62.90017025181311951000
991912-52.70019025181310951000
2013-32.90018025181310951000
981913-42.70020025171310851000
1812-62.81020025171310941000
971813-52.7112302416129840000
1914-32.71022025171210840000
1712-72.6212302416119840000
961814-42.6312502315119740000
1713-62.5312602315119740000
951714-52.483280201397630000
1815-32.463280211497730000
1613-72.583280201397630000
941715-42.3135290171176530000
1614-62.2135290171176530000
931615-52.020827013854420000
921616-41.624102109532210000
911617-31.225101505321110000
901517-40.8218803111000000
891518-30.5146401000000000
881418-40.2831000000000
871419-30.14100000000
861319-40.0110000000000
851320-30.00000000
841220-40.0000
831221-3No00
821222-2No0
56-81No
Total:2.3%6.52.617.50.218.012.69.47.66.43.50.60.30.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 0 Detroit 3 +1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs NY Islanders-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs New Jersey+0.7-0.1-0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
Detroit vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vegas vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Anaheim vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
128360-0100
120302-48813
119303-379813
118304-2521434
117294-348143700
116295-234194710
115285-323195620
114275-4151764400
113276-3915688000
112266-4512681310
111267-3296521101
110257-41657322010
109258-304474420300
108248-402355521500
107249-3012463218000
106239-4015682212100
1052310-30869131630000
1042210-404661319610000
1032211-302600321131100000
1022111-401510219222310000
1012112-300410216322610000
1002012-40300111401113111000
991912-50210074511643120000
981913-4013044302056250000
971813-58023702161221111000
961814-440128019518120130000
951714-5200180143221292811000
941715-4100109122035117121000
931615-500541170351272432000
921616-400220110290341585200
911516-5011060200351512136100
901517-40000311029031220155100
891417-500015200192225133000
881418-400021100418292310200
871318-500015002102630206100
861319-400200417302914300
851320-3010018233324810
841220-40000313303316400
831221-30016213526910
821121-4000212303417400
811122-30162035271020
801022-4021331331840
791023-31823352581
78923-403163133152
77924-3192537243
76824-4051937318
75825-31214343515
74725-461947271
73625-595140
72626-4144343
71627-36040
70527-4204040
69528-35050
68428-4100
56036-022671
Total:0021801519082811209012332210000000