New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.9%
43 points   18 22-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Columbus 1 Montreal 4 -0.1
Carolina 1 Ottawa 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
New Jersey vs Anaheim+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Columbus+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
113350-0In4.9%6913474
106302-3InNo1001
105303-2InNo5025254*
104293-3InNo571414147*
103294-2InNo154040520*
102284-3InNo6353719452*
101285-2InNo42741244123*
100275-399.6%No3193830100248*
99265-497.8No1103535162590*
98266-393.6No06293326601,211*
97256-488.3No22129361112,379*
96257-378.1No0214224119304,305*
95247-463.9No18154129707,656*
94248-347.9No0048353913013,273*
93238-434.3No0242844201021,921*
92239-321.6No0121945313033,723*
91229-412.4No0111141416051,701*
90219-56.3No0063449110075,129*
892110-42.9No00325531810103,512*
882010-51.2No001175326300140,235*
872011-40.4No000104835600182,657*
861911-50.1No0005404211100227,936*
851912-40.0No003304618300277,182*
841812-50.0No01204527600323,306*
831813-40.0No0013403411100365,682*
821713-5OutNo07323918300400,543*
811714-4OutNo03223927710423,247*
801614-5OutNo011435341420432,579*
791615-4OutNo01828372150167,326
1514-6OutNo00727382250259,987*
781515-5OutNo004193730101408,670*
771516-4OutNo01113136173379,318*
761416-5OutNo0162439266339,739*
751417-4OutNo00316363411293,702*
741317-5OutNo019314118246,065*
731318-4OutNo005234427199,900*
721218-5OutNo002164438156,520*
711219-4OutNo001103950118,980*
701119-5OutNo006346086,636*
691120-4OutNo03277061,088*
681020-5OutNo01197941,835*
671021-4OutNo01148527,369*
661022-3OutNo0099017,833*
65922-4OutNo069410,530*
64923-3OutNo04966,155*
63823-4OutNo02983,597*
62824-3OutNo1992,039*
61724-4OutNo1991,007*
60725-3OutNo0100499*
43-59OutNo100897*
Total:0.9%0.0%000001311171817151285,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNY IslandersPittsburghWashingtonBostonColumbusMontrealBuffaloCarolinaNY Rangers
113350-00.8%11021206241240
106302-3NoYes
105303-2No25252525
104282-5No14432914
103294-2No15352525
102284-3No4292919217
101285-20.86242329152
100275-3No100282716116001
99265-40.71612921150150
98266-3No231252114100
255-50.32612219131100
97256-4No35120178070
267-2No33121169080
96257-30.1391161170500
246-50.2391151160400
268-10.23911610650
95247-40.038111740300
258-20.1391107404
236-60.2391875030
94248-30.1351642020
237-50.1321532020
259-1No3617632
226-70.1301532020
93238-40.1271321010
249-20.0281431010
227-60.1251321010
216-8No251321010
92239-30.01902100000
228-5No170110000
217-70.11601100
2410-10.0201211010
91229-40.0100110000
2310-20.012010000
218-6No100100000
207-80.09010000
902210-30.06000000
219-50.05000000
208-70.05000000
2311-10.06000000
892110-40.030000000
2211-20.03000000
209-60.020000000
882111-3No1000000
2010-5No10000000
872011-40.0000000
862012-30.0000000
851912-4No000
841913-3No00
831813-4No0
43-82No
Total:0.0%0.60.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs Anaheim-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.3+0.3+0.9
Nashville vs Florida-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
113350-0518833
106302-3100
105303-2502525
104293-357141414
103294-2510103030555
102284-36191515813194
101285-24215915720244
100275-3317101361830100
99265-4103767211350162
98266-3014252113212660
97256-4121316228136111
96257-300201102211411930
95247-40100621324002970
94248-30000227135039130
93238-4001131271442110
92239-300111171453130
91229-4000009240417000
90219-5000042314813100
892110-40000112149224000
882010-50000112433210200
872011-400000530361971000
861911-5000021732281551000
851912-400007212924124100
841812-500210222822113000
831813-400041224282092000
821713-50151425281972000
811714-400016162627166100
801614-500027182826145100
791615-400029212924113000
781515-50013112430219200
771516-40001415272917610
761416-5000171930271330
751417-400021024322281
741317-500014163031153
731318-400182335257
721218-5000315333513
711219-400018274123
701119-5004194334
691120-4002124046
681020-50173459
671021-40042670
661022-3022079
65922-411485
64923-30991
63823-40694
62824-30496
61724-4298
60725-3199
59625-40100
43-58100
Total:0000000000000010256667899998754