"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Washington Capitals Playoff Chances

Beat Minnesota 4-3, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%
84 points   40 9-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota 3 Washington 4 +0.8
Philadelphia 5 Buffalo 1 +0.0
NY Islanders 5 Los Angeles 2 +0.1
Chicago 2 Dallas 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Florida vs St. Louis-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-142In100.0%100478,620,863*
126207-2In100.0100067,194,525
196-4In100.0100033,660,834
218-0In100.0100024,400,567*
125197-3In100.0100059,645,351
208-1In100.0100052,091,112
186-5In100.0100018,925,151*
124198-2In99.9100069,384,364
187-4In99.9100037,595,897
209-0In99.9100025,225,137*
123188-3In99.91000058,308,852
199-1In99.91000047,830,533
177-5In99.91000020,164,412*
122189-2In99.71000060,284,240
178-4In99.71000034,682,818
1910-0In99.71000022,093,115*
121179-3In99.41000047,797,326
1810-1In99.51000055,047,103*
1201710-2In98.91000044,491,742
169-4In98.81000043,228,223*
1191610-3In97.81000033,184,304
1711-1In97.91000037,940,718*
1181611-2In96.31000028,074,813
1510-4In96.01000027,936,415*
1171511-3In93.3991019,641,387
1612-1In93.5991022,367,463*
1161512-2In89.19910030,601,211*
1151412-3In83.09820021,261,752*
1141413-2In74.89640014,355,370*
1131313-3In64.4946109,250,883*
1121314-2In52.3909105,793,691*
1111214-3In39.58513203,459,681*
1101215-2In27.37818402,008,228*
1091115-3In16.97024601,110,100*
1081116-2In9.16030100598,421*
1071016-3In4.24936150306,071*
1061017-2In1.738402110151,968*
105917-3In0.52643292072,412*
104918-2In0.11741375032,806*
103818-3InNo938449014,209*
102819-2InNo430491516,194*
101719-3InNo223482422,478*
100720-2InNo116473240942*
99620-3InNo0544437348*
98621-2InNo72554132119*
97622-1InNo2184927451*
96522-2InNo8504212*
95523-1InNo50502*
93-94InNo1002*
84029-00.0%No00421442930129,224
Total:100.0%98.0%1000000000000001,558,973,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupFloridaNY RangersNY IslandersTampa BayDetroitBostonPittsburghNew JerseyMontrealPhiladelphiaCarolinaOttawaTorontoBuffaloColumbus
142290-031.2%03869111715111082000
141280-131.403869111715101082000
140281-031.404869111715101082000
139271-131.504869111715101082000
138261-231.404869111715101082000
137262-131.504869111715101082000
136252-231.404869111715101082000
135253-131.404869101716101082000
134243-231.404869101716101082000
133244-131.504769101716101082000
132234-231.50476910171691082000
131235-131.50476910171691082000
130225-231.50477910171691082000
129226-131.50477910171691082000
128216-231.50477910171691082000
127206-331.504771010171691082000
126207-231.504771010171691082000
125197-331.404771010171691082000
124198-231.504771010171691082000
187-431.404771010171691082000
123188-331.504771010171691082000
122189-231.504771010171691082000
121179-331.504771010171791082000
1201710-231.504771010171791082000
1191610-331.504771010171791082000
1181611-231.405771010171791082000
1171511-331.405771010171791082000
1161512-231.405771010171781072000
1151412-331.405771010171781072000
1141413-231.305871010171781072000
1131313-331.30587109171781072000
1121314-231.10587109171781072000
1111214-331.106979917178972000
1101215-230.9061079918177971000
1091115-330.7071179918167961000
1081116-230.5091369818166861000
1071016-330.10111568819155751000
1061017-229.60131857719145651000
105917-329.30162056619134641000
104918-228.90192445519123541000
103818-327.80212745419112430000
102819-228.01242934319914300
101719-327.21253123320914200
100720-226.32282921219101420
99620-322.723134111187132
98621-229.482636112185131
97622-137.31439162214842
96522-216.725332517
93-9550.0Yes
84029-00.00000
Total:31.4%0.34.37.46.79.610.016.816.39.010.07.61.90.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

ThursdayNone
FridayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130-142100
129226-11000
215-31000
128216-21000
205-41000
127206-31000
217-11000
126207-210000
196-410000
125197-310000
208-110000
124198-210000
187-410000
209-010000
123188-3100000
199-1100000
122189-2100000
178-4100000
121179-399100
1810-199100
1201710-299100
169-499100
1191610-3982000
1711-198200
1181611-29630000
1171511-3936100
1161512-2891010000
1151412-3831520000
1141413-2752140000
1131313-3642960100
1121314-25238901000
1111214-339451302000
1101215-227511713000
1091115-317532225100
1081116-295125572000
1071016-34452791050000
1061017-22362713129001000
105917-30262419121610200
104918-201719231124305000
103818-3913248306081000
102819-2482253310113201
101719-3251923014217612
100720-212141241751811240
99620-3005171892018661
98621-2167118192581132
97622-126661020182274
96522-28173342
95523-15050
93-94100
84029-000017182927144000
Total:98200000000000000000000000000