Washington Capitals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.002 to 96.6%
90 points   40 24-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Washington vs Nashville+1.8+1.8+1.5-0.2-0.2-3.0
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.3
Boston vs NY Rangers-1.2-1.2-1.0+0.2+0.2+1.2
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Ottawa+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.5
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Montreal vs Florida+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Detroit vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Arizona-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10680-0In0.0%0293508,725,150
10570-1InNo008317016,708,023
10471-0InNo007028251,819,254
60-2InNo006632213,996,004
10361-1InNo0046468086,822,368
50-3InNo039501106,572,524
10262-0InNo03053170134,615,290
51-2InNo0265420061,117,619
40-4InNo022542401,886,449
10152-1100.0%No13513600189,561,995
41-3100.0No948430023,414,734
30-5100.0No7454700340,064
10053-0100.0No6425200195,939,375
42-2100.0No5395610108,922,496
31-4100.0No33561105,260,090
20-6100.0No333622037,165
9943-1100.0No2266930225,176,114
32-399.9No121735032,630,685
21-599.8No1187380691,818
10-799.3No017701112,207
9844-099.8No01674100174,594,153
33-299.5No01373130101,203,056
22-499.1No011711815,370,118
11-698.4No0106623249,550
00-895.8No135429448
9734-198.1No07662620156,951,264
23-396.5No0560323022,199,941
12-594.0No04533860459,086
01-791.9No3454381,489
9635-093.6No0350416097,351,340
24-291.1No0244459051,642,758
13-486.7No0237481302,372,529
02-681.2No2305019015,767
9525-180.7No01285219064,063,137
14-373.6No0022512607,354,720
03-564.7No0154935098,540
9426-063.4No00144936133,124,774
15-257.3No00114642113,680,758
04-448.1No0741501382,712
9316-138.2No043457514,154,575
05-329.3No0227656945,036
9217-019.8No011968126,269,991
06-215.4No011571141,469,655
9107-16.1No0666281,300,898
9008-01.5No0255440664,881
Total:96.6%0.0%00112846123001,919,960,200

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY RangersMontrealTampa BayNY IslandersPittsburghDetroitOttawaBostonFlorida
10680-06.5%00052480000
10570-16.400052480000
10471-06.211151470000
60-26.211151470000
10361-16.123348440000
50-36.02544743000
10262-06.046644390000
51-25.94884238000
40-45.941194036000
10152-15.871514333100
41-35.87191630270
30-55.77231829240
10053-05.7112220262200
42-25.710252123200
31-45.710292321170
20-65.79322320150
9943-15.6143126151300
32-35.6153628121000
21-55.61638271170
10-75.5173827117
9844-05.520342910700
33-25.52136287600
22-45.4243727640
11-65.3263725640
00-82.129351948
9734-15.33134274300
23-35.2343325320
12-55.0383022210
01-75.243252031
9635-05.0412722210
24-24.9442520110
13-44.6462217110
02-64.1481913100
9525-14.3481714100
14-33.9481411000
03-53.446108000
9426-03.345108000
15-23.04386000
04-42.53854000
9316-12.03143000
05-31.5252200
9217-01.0171100
06-20.8141100
9107-10.3600
9008-00.1100
Total:5.5%17.421.818.420.618.20.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Nashville-0.7-0.7-0.4+0.3+0.3+1.0
Pittsburgh vs Arizona+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.5
NY Islanders vs Anaheim+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Toronto vs Ottawa-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Detroit vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10680-00001102657040000
10570-1000213671124000
10471-00000660315121020
60-2000055831614220
10361-100001405122850710
50-30001344133070910
10262-0000023773610012400
51-2000019663413015500
40-4001666321701870
10152-10852311801817000
41-30641252112121000
30-50431212312424000
10053-00230202011834000
42-20230162121838100
31-40120112121941100
20-612092131943200
9943-1010715410593100
32-3010413410634100
21-5000311410637100
10-7002115962921
9844-00003855697300
33-20001754699500
22-400015546712610
11-60005446315820
00-88464815154
9734-1000241651115200
23-3000131601319300
12-500012152152360
01-712045182571
9635-00001205010315100
24-20000204410347200
13-4000103711371130
02-600103011391540
9525-10001028447127000
14-30000022447151100
03-500015445201500
9426-000000141481520200
15-20000111451525300
04-400071401730400
9316-1004034104011100
05-302027104514100
9217-00101954228600
06-20101544231710
9107-1006127422040
9008-00201237351310
Total:00000182213102938482100000