Washington Capitals Playoff Chances

Lost to NY Rangers 1-2, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%
85 points   39 12-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers 2 Washington 1 -0.4
-7.7
Pittsburgh 2 Detroit 5 +0.2
+1.3
Columbus 3 Nashville 4 +0.2
+1.0
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-133In100.0%10055,554*
128212-1In99.9100062,660*
127202-2In99.71000122,111*
126203-1In99.21000185,783*
125193-2In98.11000159,534
204-0In98.31000132,121*
124194-1In96.61000247,875
183-3In95.61000135,547*
123184-2In93.01000284,924
195-0In93.21000223,335*
122185-1In88.810000353,618
174-3In87.21000233,214*
121175-2In81.49910382,570
186-0In83.49910182,438
164-4In79.29910112,793*
120176-1In73.99820394,851
165-3In71.29820298,633*
119166-2In62.39640399,273
177-0In65.09640175,035
155-4In59.39550133,174*
118167-1In52.293070352,905
156-3In48.9920800295,853*
117157-2In38.88701300333,094
168-0In41.58801200136,623
146-4In35.98601400122,468*
116158-1In28.68001910258,985
147-3In25.87802110234,139*
115148-2In17.86902830227,498
159-0In19.5710272089,237
137-4In15.4660303088,250*
114149-1In10.95803660156,424
138-3In9.25503870148,998*
113139-2In5.244044121127,423
1410-0In5.043044121100,539*
1121310-1In2.53204719279,161
129-3In1.92904721277,366*
1111210-2In0.820046295105,567*
1101211-1In0.211040391065,928*
1091111-2In0.06031461740,782*
1081112-1InNo30224827023,449*
1071012-2InNo1014463913,009*
1061013-1In0.000840526,733*
105913-2InNo004326403,461*
104914-1InNo222761,725*
103814-2InNo116820780*
102815-1InNo8911343*
101715-2InNo595128*
100716-1InNo296247*
96-99InNo10032*
85024-0OutNo052034281120610
Total:100.0%59.5%86010310000000007,366,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersFloridaCarolinaTampa BayBuffaloPhiladelphiaNew JerseyDetroit
133240-031.2%01249114461434121
132230-131.0000341094381233220
131231-034.900145994181333210
130221-133.6001359104081333320
129222-033.7001359104091333310
128212-133.90013510104081333310
127202-233.80013510104091333310
126203-133.80003510103991333310
125193-233.90013510103991333310
124194-133.70003510103991333310
183-333.80003610103991233310
123184-233.70013510103991233310
195-033.70013510103991333310
122185-133.60013510103991233310
174-333.80013610103891233310
121175-233.60113510103891233310
186-033.60113510103891233310
120176-133.31113510103891233310
165-333.41113610103791233310
119166-233.3122359103791233310
177-033.2121359103781233310
155-433.0122359103681233310
118167-132.923335993581133310
156-332.733335993581133310
117157-232.545435993381132310
168-032.545435993381132310
116158-131.968635883071032310
147-331.77873488297932310
115148-231.3101292477266822310
159-030.91012102477266822310
114149-130.31416132366225722210
138-330.11516142356215622210
113139-229.21920172344164511210
1121310-128.22324202233113411110
1111210-227.8252723332272211100
1101211-127.7272824542241100100
1091111-227.8262723862221100000
1081112-127.72425211382311000000
1071012-228.920221819113402000000
1061013-129.11717142516450200000
105913-231.113131030206503000
104914-131.089736237630000
103814-230.0765372867300
102815-135.652245276831
101715-236.731145309921
100716-140.44432669112
99616-217.461309
98617-150.0335017
96-97NoYes
85024-0No
Total:32.6%4.35.04.33.25.08.58.833.27.610.62.82.42.81.20.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 2 Washington 1 +0.3
Pittsburgh 2 Detroit 5 -0.1
Columbus 3 Nashville 4 -0.1
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-133100
130221-11000
129222-01000
128212-110000
127202-210000
126203-19910
125193-29820
204-09820
124194-19730
183-39640
123184-29370
195-09370
122185-1891100
174-387120
121175-2811810
186-0831610
164-4792010
120176-1742420
165-3712720
119166-2623440
177-0653140
155-4593650
118167-152410700
156-3494308000
117157-23948013000
168-04147012000
146-43650014000
116158-12951019010
147-32652021010
115148-21851028030
159-01751028030
114149-111470036060
138-3946038070
113139-253800431121
1410-05380431121
1121310-122800452202
1111210-2119004332905
1101211-101103643910
1091111-2060026546017
1081112-130016548270
1071012-210010546039
1061013-100004440052
105913-20022320640
104914-10122076
103814-211160820
102815-181911
101715-25951
100716-12962
96-99100
85024-01721322410310
Total:59270010030100000000000