"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Washington Capitals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%
64 points   29 9-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 San Jose 3 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Washington-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
-6.4-2.1-2.1+2.6+3.4+3.4
Columbus vs Ottawa-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
-1.3-1.3-0.9+1.4+1.4+3.6
Toronto vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.6-0.3+1.4+1.4+3.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
138-140InYes100480,363*
137361-1In100.0%100019,917*
136351-2In100.0100069,618*
135352-1In100.01000197,765*
134342-2In100.01000527,448*
133343-1In99.910001,230,978*
132333-2In99.9100002,727,034*
131323-3In99.7100005,470,599*
130324-2In99.41000010,413,422*
129314-3In98.99901018,376,698*
128315-2In97.99802030,942,628*
127305-3In96.49703048,859,995*
126306-2In94.09604073,881,320*
125296-3In90.493070105,748,317*
124297-2In85.6900100145,358,400*
123287-3In79.38601400190,280,301*
122288-2In71.68101900239,851,242*
121278-3In62.67502500289,257,129*
120279-2In52.86703200336,565,562*
119269-3In42.65903910375,924,217*
1182610-2In32.75114720405,902,343*
1172510-3In23.84215430421,854,074*
1162410-4In16.234160500424,342,551*
1152411-3In10.226164900411,700,194*
1142311-4In6.0181671300387,112,213*
1132312-3In3.2131661910351,628,724*
1122212-4In1.581632610309,808,677*
1112213-3In0.651583330264,077,455*
1102113-4In0.231514150218,479,888*
1092114-3In0.111424780175,029,943*
1082014-4100.0%0.01034521300136,158,135*
1072015-3100.00.00026541900102,630,515*
1061915-4100.00.0001954270075,205,302*
1051916-3100.00.0001351350053,401,704*
1041816-4100.00.000847441036,877,229*
1031817-3100.0No00540532024,675,152*
1021717-4100.0No00333603016,063,744*
1011718-3100.0No00226676010,132,359*
1001618-499.9No0119719006,217,783*
991619-399.8No00147214003,702,337*
981519-499.5No097020102,138,980*
971520-398.6No0665271001,201,049*
961420-496.6No035835300653,643*
951421-392.6No0248437000345,581*
941321-485.4No01374813100176,892*
931322-374.0No0025482240087,840*
921222-459.2No0154430920042,148*
911223-342.3No08343617410019,646*
901123-425.3No04223627102008,979*
891124-314.0No01133033175103,927*
881125-25.0No14213227123001,699*
871025-32.0No0213263218720712*
861026-20.3No061732281141292*
85926-3OutNo36273020113132*
84927-2OutNo31143119636*
83827-3OutNo25588812*
82828-2OutNo2525504*
81728-3OutNo1002
64038-0OutNo0100473,811
Total:100.0%28.6%391431430000000005,716,338,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonTampa BayPhiladelphiaNY IslandersFloridaBuffaloDetroitNew Jersey
140380-021.7%01010364394783212
139370-122.11093645104772213
138371-021.50109364584873212
137361-121.80109364594882212
136351-221.80109364484883212
135352-121.60109364484883212
134342-221.80109364584883212
133343-121.70109364584883212
132333-221.70208364584883212
131323-321.80208364584882212
130324-221.80208364584882212
129314-321.70208364584882212
128315-221.70308364484882212
127305-321.60408364484882212
126306-221.50509354384882212
125296-321.40609354284872212
124297-221.30909354174872112
123287-321.0012010353973772112
122288-220.8115011253773762112
121278-320.4119012243463662112
120279-220.1124013243163652112
119269-319.6229015232852551111
1182610-219.2334016132442441111
1172510-318.7439018122032431111
1162410-418.2644020121631331101
1152411-317.7748021111321221001
1142311-417.385102311911220000
1132312-316.995412401710110000
1122212-416.6105512500510110000
1112213-316.3115622500300000000
1102113-416.2115542510200000000
1092114-316.1115472511200000000
1082014-416.11052102321100000000
1072015-316.21049152221100000000
1061915-416.4945212031100000000
1051916-316.6840271752100000000
1041816-416.9835341562100000000
1031817-317.1729401273110000000
1021717-417.382446983010000000
1011718-317.591951793010000000
1001618-417.6111554594010000000
991619-317.61511554104010000000
981519-417.419954394010000000
971520-317.125751293010000000
961420-416.531646283010000000
951421-315.637638262000000000
941321-413.941530252000000000
931322-311.941521231000000000
921323-29.33741422100000000
911223-36.429371100000000
901123-44.0182311000
891124-32.71111100
881125-20.840000
871025-3No2000
861026-2No0
64-85No
Total:18.4%5.537.32.518.21.52.318.53.21.53.43.10.90.60.50.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 1 Pittsburgh 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Washington+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Columbus vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Toronto vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
138-140100
137361-11000
136351-210000
135352-110000
134342-210000
133343-110000
132333-2100000
131323-3100000
130324-299000
129314-3990010
128315-2981020
127305-3961030
126306-2942040
125296-39030700
124297-286501000
123287-3797014000
122288-27290019000
121278-3631200250000
120279-2531500320000
119269-3431700390010
1182610-2331810470020
1172510-3241810540030
1162410-41617106000500
1152411-31015106400900
1142311-461310660013000
1132312-339106510190010
1122212-417106210260010
1112213-3141056200330030
1102113-4021047300410050
1092114-3011038400470080
1082014-401002951052001300
1072015-3000020510540019000
1061915-4000013510540027000
1051916-300007510510035000
1041816-400004410461044010
1031817-300023103820053020
1021717-4000121030310600300
1011718-3000010021410660600
1001618-400000144107019000
991619-300000752070214000
981519-40000342066420010
971520-300001310587270100
961420-400002104711350300
951421-300011033154217000
941321-400000201744413100
931322-30000101541721400
921222-400041232122910200
911223-30017191533195100
901123-4003913302813310
891124-300131020312210200
881125-211411252821820
871025-3002515232816821
861026-20151726241781
85926-31191920281472
84927-2681914192833
83827-382533258
82828-2255025
81728-35050
64038-00235818
Total:2911104310014000300000000000000000