Western Conference Playoff Chances

Winnipeg +5.9, Colorado -6.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SaturdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthSunday
ChicagoLPhiladelphia 1-3351167-3794.8%-2.15.0%-0.95.2%-3.821152719843110005.555Winnipeg 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Chicago Blackhawks
San Jose312159-1994.4-0.26.7+0.14.9-0.321212617543210003.569San Jose Sharks
Minnesota264118-41492.3+0.010.0+0.43.9-0.1171326219642110021.594Edmonton 0-0 (9:30 pm ET)Minnesota Wild
EdmontonWAnaheim 3-2 (ot)3011410-21188.5+3.06.1+0.71.9+0.4101426248753210015.571Minnesota 0-0 (9:30 pm ET)Edmonton Oilers
AnaheimLEdmonton 2-3 (ot)292128-5586.5-1.44.5-0.51.6-0.591225248764211014.557Calgary 0-0 (9:30 pm ET)Anaheim Ducks
NashvilleLNew Jersey 4-5 (ot)264118-4784.9-2.85.3-0.61.6-0.798212414964211019.567Philadelphia 0-0 (6:00 pm ET)Nashville Predators
St. LouisLWinnipeg 2-3 (ot)322147-4-184.8-2.42.5-0.31.4-0.688212414964211011.532St. Louis Blues
Los Angeles2731310-1175.4-0.32.6+0.00.6-0.0471823111196431110.540Montreal 0-0 (10:30 pm ET)Los Angeles Kings
WinnipegWSt. Louis 3-2 (ot)261213-2-828.0+5.90.4+0.10.0+0.001367121415141210726.503Chicago 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Winnipeg Jets
DallasWColorado 3-02611010-6-1919.3+5.90.1+0.10.0+0.000145912141515141127.473Dallas Stars
Calgary261213-2-1617.9-0.30.10.0-0.000254711131515151316.474Anaheim 0-0 (9:30 pm ET)Calgary Flames
ArizonaLColumbus 2-3 (so)204811-4-1613.1-0.80.1-0.00.00013358111416181929.481Arizona Coyotes
VancouverWToronto 3-2 (so)2421112-2-1712.9+1.50.1+0.00.00013359121416181828.470Vancouver Canucks
ColoradoLDallas 0-3194913-1-207.3-6.10.1-0.10.0-0.0000124691216213030.472Colorado Avalanche

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday
St. Louis 2 Winnipeg 3 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota*-0.1
Edmonton-0.3
Anaheim-0.3
Nashville-0.4
St. Louis-1.2
-0.2
Los Angeles-0.4
Winnipeg+4.6
Dallas-0.4
Calgary-0.3
Arizona-0.2
Vancouver-0.2
Colorado-0.3
Colorado 0 Dallas 3
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago+0.1
Dallas+3.3
Colorado-3.6
Edmonton 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton+2.2
+0.2
+0.3
Anaheim*+0.1
-0.1
Nashville-0.2
St. Louis-0.2
Los Angeles*-0.2
Winnipeg*-0.1
Dallas-0.3
Calgary-0.4
Arizona-0.2
Vancouver-0.3
Vancouver 3 Toronto 2 (so)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton*-0.2
Anaheim-0.2
Nashville-0.2
Los Angeles*-0.2
Winnipeg*-0.1
Calgary-0.2
Arizona-0.2
Vancouver+1.9
Colorado*-0.1
Philadelphia 3 Chicago 1
1:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-1.0
-0.2
-2.1
Nashville 4 New Jersey 5 (ot)
2:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton*+0.1
Anaheim*+0.1
Nashville-0.8
*-0.1
-0.3
St. Louis*+0.1
Los Angeles*+0.1
Winnipeg*+0.1
Dallas*+0.1
Vancouver*+0.1
Colorado*+0.1
Arizona 2 Columbus 3 (so)
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-0.2
San Jose-0.2
Minnesota-0.2
Nashville*+0.1
Winnipeg*+0.1
Arizona-0.3
Colorado*-0.1
NY Rangers 4 Carolina 2
1:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-0.3
San Jose-0.2
Minnesota-0.1
Sunday
Chicago vs WinnipegIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago96.095.895.694.294.292.6
5.15.15.1*4.9*4.94.8
6.16.16.04.64.73.5
Minnesota92.5*92.392.292.092.092.1
3.83.8*3.8*3.9*3.94.0
Edmonton88.7*88.4*88.488.288.188.2
1.9*1.91.92.0*1.91.9
Anaheim86.7*86.5*86.486.286.186.2
1.6*1.6*1.6*1.61.71.7
Nashville85.2*84.9*84.984.584.584.5
St. Louis85.1*84.784.784.384.384.5
Los Angeles75.7*75.3*75.374.974.875.0
Winnipeg23.827.7*27.932.432.933.3
0.4*0.4*0.40.50.50.5
Dallas19.719.2*19.318.818.919.0
Calgary18.2*17.8*17.917.617.517.6
Arizona13.312.913.012.812.712.9
Vancouver13.2*12.9*12.912.612.612.7
Colorado7.4*7.2*7.27.17.07.2
Calgary vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim82.885.885.888.789.089.2
4.2*4.4*4.44.64.74.6
1.11.51.52.02.02.1
Nashville*84.984.684.7*84.8*84.885.0
Los Angeles*75.375.075.075.275.175.6
Winnipeg*28.027.727.827.827.828.1
Calgary21.621.120.617.117.014.0
Los Angeles vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago94.794.694.7*94.8*94.894.9
5.5*5.3*5.35.05.05.0
San Jose94.294.294.2*94.4*94.494.5
5.1*4.9*4.94.74.64.7
Minnesota92.192.192.1*92.3*92.392.5
4.1*3.9*3.93.73.73.7
Edmonton88.288.388.2*88.5*88.588.8
2.0*1.9*1.91.81.81.8
Anaheim86.286.286.286.6*86.586.8
1.7*1.7*1.61.61.51.6
Nashville84.684.684.7*84.9*84.985.3
1.7*1.6*1.71.61.61.6
St. Louis84.584.484.5*84.8*84.885.1
1.5*1.5*1.41.41.31.4
Los Angeles79.079.078.574.974.970.8
2.82.82.7*2.6*2.62.4
0.90.80.80.50.50.4
Winnipeg27.627.527.6*28.0*28.028.6
Dallas19.018.919.0*19.4*19.319.8
Calgary17.517.617.6*18.0*18.018.4
Arizona12.712.712.8*13.1*13.113.5
Vancouver12.612.612.7*13.0*13.013.3
Nashville vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim86.386.386.3*86.6*86.486.8
Nashville87.187.186.784.084.080.8
5.45.55.4*5.2*5.25.0
2.02.01.91.41.41.0
St. Louis84.684.684.6*84.9*84.885.1
Los Angeles75.175.1*75.3*75.5*75.475.8
Winnipeg27.727.827.7*28.128.328.6
Dallas19.119.119.1*19.5*19.519.8
Calgary17.7*17.8*17.9*18.0*17.918.3
Arizona12.912.912.9*13.1*13.113.4
Vancouver12.812.712.8*12.9*12.913.3
Colorado7.27.17.2*7.3*7.47.5
Edmonton vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota90.3*92.2*92.293.994.194.2
9.7*10.0*10.010.410.310.4
2.83.73.64.75.05.0
Edmonton90.690.690.387.987.985.2
6.46.46.3*6.1*6.15.8
2.42.32.31.61.71.2
Los Angeles*75.375.175.1*75.3*75.375.5
Winnipeg*28.027.827.8*27.9*27.928.2
Calgary17.917.617.7*17.8*17.818.1
Arizona*13.112.812.9*13.0*13.013.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ChicagoSan JoseMinnesotaEdmontonAnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisLos AngelesWinnipegDallasCalgaryArizonaVancouverColorado
Chicago4.618.54.64.619.820.35.26.04.12.31.71.71.5
San Jose4.64.918.518.96.16.117.54.02.94.02.92.81.2
Minnesota18.54.94.44.320.620.34.55.33.61.81.31.31.3
Edmonton4.618.54.422.54.54.317.72.31.63.12.22.10.6
Anaheim4.618.94.322.54.04.117.31.91.42.82.02.00.5
Nashville19.86.120.64.54.017.33.53.62.30.90.70.70.8
St. Louis20.36.120.34.34.117.33.43.42.30.90.70.70.8
Los Angeles5.217.54.517.717.33.53.41.00.71.71.21.30.3
Winnipeg6.04.05.32.31.93.63.41.00.20.10.00.00.1
Dallas4.12.93.61.61.42.32.30.70.20.00.00.00.0
Calgary2.34.01.83.12.80.90.91.70.10.00.10.10.0
Arizona1.72.91.32.22.00.70.71.20.00.00.10.10.0
Vancouver1.72.81.32.12.00.70.71.30.00.00.10.10.0
Colorado1.51.21.30.60.50.80.80.30.10.00.00.00.0