Western Conference Playoff Chances

Winnipeg +5.4, Calgary -13.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthSaturday
Anaheim1014722-79In+0.02.5%-0.03.5%+0.0287100003.522at NY IslandersAnaheim Ducks
Nashville10014621-834100.0%7.8+0.35.3+0.134124761002.586at WashingtonNashville Predators
St. Louis9924621-744100.010.0+0.37.9+0.236144091001.599ColumbusSt. Louis Blues
ChicagoLColumbus 2-59424424-63799.8-0.16.4-1.00.0-0.31111602330005.584Chicago Blackhawks
MinnesotaWCalgary 4-29314325-73098.8+3.85.7+0.60.000223591410009.574Los AngelesMinnesota Wild
Vancouver9024327-41395.7+1.52.6+0.10.000692502400011.534DallasVancouver Canucks
Los Angeles8823723-141579.7+3.53.5+0.2No002546081720016.557at MinnesotaLos Angeles Kings
Winnipeg9013924-121578.1+5.42.1+0.1No000215612020013.539Winnipeg Jets
CalgaryLMinnesota 2-48714028-72046.5-13.51.7-0.8No06281124571014.552Calgary Flames
San Jose8023630-8-31.1+0.30.0+0.0No0100642282217.506at PhiladelphiaSan Jose Sharks
DallasLEdmonton 0-48213629-10-80.2-0.80.0-0.0No00324373619.489at VancouverDallas Stars
Colorado8023428-12-60.2+0.00.0No00323334120.483BuffaloColorado Avalanche
EdmontonWDallas 4-05712240-13-73OutNoNo782230.353Edmonton Oilers
Arizona5412344-8-91OutNoNo227828.308at PittsburghArizona Coyotes

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Minnesota 4 Calgary 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago+0.1
Minnesota+3.7
+0.2
Vancouver+1.3
Los Angeles+3.3
+0.2
Winnipeg+3.9
+0.1
Calgary-12.6
-0.6
San Jose+0.2
Dallas+0.1
Edmonton 4 Dallas 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles+0.1
Winnipeg+0.6
Calgary+0.2
Dallas-1.0
Chicago 2 Columbus 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.1
St. Louis+0.1
Chicago-0.1
-0.1
-0.3
Minnesota-0.2
Calgary+0.1
Saturday
Minnesota vs Los AngelesIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago6.56.56.56.36.36.2
Minnesota99.899.799.698.798.697.0
5.85.8*5.7*5.8*5.75.7
0.0*0.0*0.0No*0.0No
Vancouver96.295.595.595.195.195.2
Los Angeles71.180.580.588.388.488.7
3.13.53.53.93.93.9
Winnipeg80.277.577.575.675.676.1
2.22.12.12.12.12.1
Calgary51.045.545.641.541.342.0
1.91.71.71.51.51.6
San Jose1.51.01.00.80.80.8
Vancouver vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota98.798.798.798.898.898.9
Vancouver97.997.997.595.295.291.2
2.72.72.72.62.62.4
Los Angeles79.279.279.279.779.780.5
3.43.43.4*3.5*3.53.6
Winnipeg77.677.677.678.078.179.1
Calgary45.445.445.746.746.748.5
1.71.71.7*1.8*1.81.8
San Jose1.11.11.1*1.2*1.11.2
Dallas0.00.10.10.40.50.5
Philadelphia vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver95.795.795.795.695.695.6
Los Angeles80.079.879.879.479.379.3
Winnipeg78.378.278.277.977.977.9
Calgary46.746.646.646.346.146.1
San Jose0.20.70.71.82.12.2
Colorado vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Colorado0.20.20.20.10.10.0
St. Louis vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim3.43.43.43.73.74.0
Nashville7.77.77.77.97.98.0
5.15.15.15.65.75.9
St. LouisInInIn100.0*100.0100.0
10.110.110.19.89.89.6
10.010.09.95.15.12.2
Montreal vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim3.33.33.43.83.84.0
Nashville5.15.15.35.65.65.9
St. Louis7.67.67.68.38.38.7
NY Islanders vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim2.4*2.5*2.52.52.52.5
0.92.72.76.46.86.8
Nashville5.65.55.55.15.05.0
St. Louis10.0*10.0*10.09.99.99.9
8.48.18.17.57.37.3
Minnesota5.85.85.85.65.65.6
Winnipeg2.12.12.12.22.22.2
Washington vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim3.93.63.63.33.13.1
Nashville7.6*7.8*7.88.08.18.1
1.84.34.38.89.29.3
St. Louis10.1*10.0*10.09.89.89.8
8.58.08.07.37.37.3
Minnesota5.7*5.7*5.75.85.85.8
Detroit vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim3.93.73.73.33.33.2
Nashville5.75.55.45.05.05.0
St. Louis8.48.18.17.67.67.6
Boston vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim5.63.83.82.32.32.3
Nashville8.25.65.63.73.63.6
St. Louis11.68.58.55.75.75.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

AnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoMinnesotaVancouverLos AngelesWinnipegCalgarySan JoseDallasColorado
Anaheim0.40.516.946.20.63.028.53.80.10.10.0
Nashville0.43.038.826.80.52.524.03.80.20.00.0
St. Louis0.53.040.222.90.63.024.74.70.20.10.1
Chicago16.938.840.22.70.10.10.90.10.00.00.0
Minnesota46.226.822.92.70.20.00.10.00.00.00.0
Vancouver0.60.50.60.10.264.90.028.00.60.00.0
Los Angeles3.02.53.00.10.064.90.06.00.10.0No
Winnipeg28.524.024.70.90.10.00.00.0
Calgary3.83.84.70.10.028.06.00.00.0NoNo
San Jose0.10.20.20.00.00.60.10.0
Dallas0.10.00.10.00.00.00.0No
Colorado0.00.00.10.00.00.0NoNo