Western Conference Playoff Chances

San Jose +8.7, Calgary -10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
NashvilleLSt. Louis 4-5 (so)6833110-633100.0%14.4%+0.144.5%+2.558824180100000002.0+0.022.619at ColoradoNashville Predators
St. LouisWNashville 5-4 (so)6433013-43899.9+0.014.0+0.212.1+2.6184422281400000003.4+0.183.622at CarolinaSt. Louis Blues
AnaheimLSan Jose 3-67013211-61699.8-0.14.2-0.79.9-5.015721902000000002.2-0.186.556ChicagoAnaheim Ducks
Chicago6223016-23999.5-0.012.6+0.64.7+0.783291483710000004.2+0.055.620at AnaheimChicago Blackhawks
Vancouver5542617-3685.7-0.41.5+0.10.1+0.0062372245108421005.7+0.0510.534BuffaloVancouver Canucks
WinnipegLPhiladelphia 2-5602616-81381.3-7.42.4-0.70.0-0.00020101521610521007.4-0.4317.556Winnipeg Jets
San JoseWAnaheim 6-35812617-6275.6+8.71.2+0.40.0+0.00312322671412741006.7+0.5913.529San Jose Sharks
CalgaryLMinnesota 0-15512620-31366.9-10.01.6-0.30.0-0.002016124716151062007.3-0.6412.550Calgary Flames
Los Angeles5422115-12454.9-0.31.3+0.10.0+0.001011118616191494007.9-0.0223.548Los Angeles Kings
DallasWOttawa 6-35122219-7-515.4+5.50.1+0.10.0000000510142225231010.2+0.2819.500Dallas Stars
MinnesotaWCalgary 1-05022220-6-712.4+4.00.1+0.00.000000048122026281010.4+0.2118.496Minnesota Wild
Colorado5112018-11-138.6+0.00.0+0.00.000000026101726372010.8-0.1321.471NashvilleColorado Avalanche
ArizonaWToronto 3-14021725-6-500.0+0.00.00.0000000000003771913.2+0.0429.375Arizona Coyotes
EdmontonWBuffalo 3-23511327-9-490.00.0No000000000000198013.8-0.0330.376Edmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Calgary 0 Minnesota 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver+0.5
Winnipeg+0.4
San Jose+0.9
Calgary-7.3
-0.2
Los Angeles+1.1
Dallas+0.5
Minnesota+3.6
Colorado+0.3
San Jose 6 Anaheim 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+1.5
St. Louis+0.6
Anaheim-0.1
-0.1
-4.1
Chicago+0.3
Vancouver-0.6
Winnipeg-0.7
San Jose+5.0
+0.1
Calgary-0.9
Los Angeles-1.3
Dallas-0.7
Minnesota-0.4
Colorado-0.4
Philadelphia 5 Winnipeg 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+0.1
Vancouver+0.4
Winnipeg-3.7
-0.2
-0.1
San Jose+0.7
Calgary+0.6
Los Angeles+0.9
Dallas+0.4
Minnesota+0.4
Colorado+0.3
Ottawa 3 Dallas 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver-0.3
Winnipeg-0.5
San Jose-0.7
Calgary-0.5
Los Angeles-0.6
Dallas+3.3
Minnesota-0.3
Colorado-0.3
St. Louis 5 Nashville 4 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.8
St. Louis+0.1
*+0.1
+1.5
Anaheim-0.2
NY Rangers 0 Montreal 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.2
Anaheim-0.1
Chicago-0.1
Tampa Bay 5 Detroit 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.2
St. Louis+0.1
Anaheim+0.1
NY Islanders 2 Boston 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+1.3
St. Louis+0.5
Anaheim+0.7
Chicago+0.3
Friday
Vancouver vs BuffaloIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver87.287.286.883.483.479.3
1.61.61.61.51.51.4
Winnipeg81.181.181.181.681.682.1
San Jose75.375.375.475.975.976.6
Calgary66.666.666.867.467.468.2
Los Angeles54.554.554.655.455.456.3
Dallas15.315.315.315.715.716.2
Minnesota12.212.212.212.612.613.0
Colorado8.48.48.48.78.79.0
Colorado vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville14.214.414.414.514.514.5
36.342.342.248.449.249.2
St. Louis14.014.014.013.913.913.9
13.812.612.611.311.111.1
Anaheim11.310.310.39.39.29.2
Chicago12.612.612.612.512.512.5
5.44.94.94.34.24.2
Vancouver85.585.485.485.885.786.0
Winnipeg80.980.980.981.381.381.6
San Jose75.175.175.175.675.676.0
Calgary66.466.466.467.067.067.4
Los Angeles54.454.454.454.954.955.3
Dallas15.115.115.115.515.515.7
Minnesota12.112.112.112.412.412.6
Colorado11.311.311.38.48.46.1
Anaheim vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville44.243.843.844.344.245.0
St. Louis14.0*14.0*14.013.913.913.9
11.911.811.812.112.012.4
Anaheim99.999.999.999.999.999.7
4.34.34.24.24.24.1
12.712.512.39.19.16.7
Chicago99.399.699.699.799.799.7
12.312.512.512.812.812.8
2.73.94.05.86.16.4
Carolina vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville14.514.414.414.414.414.4
46.145.145.043.843.643.6
St. Louis99.799.899.899.999.999.9
13.613.913.914.114.114.1
8.010.610.613.814.314.3
Anaheim10.510.110.19.79.69.6
Chicago12.712.612.612.512.512.5
4.94.84.84.64.54.5
New Jersey vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville44.844.644.644.344.344.3
St. Louis12.212.112.112.012.012.0
Anaheim10.010.010.09.99.99.9
Chicago4.74.74.74.64.64.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

NashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoVancouverWinnipegSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasMinnesotaColoradoArizonaEdmonton
Nashville1.31.72.715.014.017.317.015.56.55.23.70.00.0
St. Louis1.36.34.723.46.120.318.314.32.01.71.40.00.0
Anaheim1.76.310.55.541.67.48.07.35.04.02.60.00.0
Chicago2.74.710.526.63.220.616.312.51.00.80.60.00.0
Vancouver15.023.45.526.67.23.12.41.60.50.30.20.00.0
Winnipeg14.06.141.63.27.24.22.92.10.00.00.00.00.0
San Jose17.320.37.420.63.14.21.20.80.20.20.10.00.0
Calgary17.018.38.016.32.42.91.20.50.10.10.10.00.0
Los Angeles15.514.37.312.51.62.10.80.50.10.10.00.00.0
Dallas6.52.05.01.00.50.00.20.10.10.00.00.00.0
Minnesota5.21.74.00.80.30.00.20.10.10.00.00.00.0
Colorado3.71.42.60.60.20.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Arizona0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Edmonton0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0