Western Conference Playoff Chances

Minnesota +6.4, San Jose -1.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthTuesday
Nashville283135-21594.9%-0.38.2%-0.310.7%-1.225112720943110004.591Los AngelesNashville Predators
St. Louis292146-11493.4-0.37.4-0.38.3-1.0201027221053210005.588OttawaSt. Louis Blues
Anaheim311134-5688.9-0.34.5-0.14.5-0.5122025206653210011.561CalgaryAnaheim Ducks
Chicago252128-11987.2-0.57.8-0.33.8-0.5116222515964210010.596Chicago Blackhawks
MinnesotaWFlorida 4-1243128-01485.6+6.46.3+1.43.4+1.210621241596421007.587Minnesota Wild
Vancouver292146-1483.6-0.53.3-0.12.8-0.48152322787531108.550New JerseyVancouver Canucks
Calgary281137-21082.7-0.64.5-0.12.4-0.37152322897531109.565at AnaheimCalgary Flames
Los Angeles262116-4879.0-0.54.9-0.11.9-0.2612212281086421023.572at NashvilleLos Angeles Kings
San Jose24109-4-242.0-1.01.2-0.10.1-0.01371271215151295221.538San Jose Sharks
Winnipeg231109-3-629.2-0.90.5-0.00.1-0.00026812141616139313.516at ColumbusWinnipeg Jets
Dallas20289-4-1114.3-0.60.2-0.00.0-0.00013471014181917820.506EdmontonDallas Stars
Arizona201911-2-139.8-0.40.1-0.00.0-0.00013247111721221219.492ColoradoArizona Coyotes
Colorado19279-5-148.5-0.50.1-0.00.00001247111620241422.494at ArizonaColorado Avalanche
Edmonton142613-2-250.8-0.00.00.000000012510216028.465at DallasEdmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver+0.2
San Jose+0.2
Edmonton-1.3
Columbus 3 Boston 4 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis-0.2
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.2
St. Louis+0.1
Anaheim+0.1
Chicago+0.1
Minnesota+0.1
Los Angeles+0.1
Saturday
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver+0.2
Calgary+0.2
Los Angeles-3.6
-0.3
-1.0
San Jose+0.2
Winnipeg+0.2
Dallas+2.3
Arizona+0.2
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis+0.2
Anaheim+0.2
Minnesota-3.0
-0.2
-0.9
Vancouver+0.3
Calgary+0.2
Los Angeles+0.3
San Jose+0.5
Winnipeg+0.5
Dallas+0.2
Arizona+0.2
Colorado+0.2
San Jose 3 Arizona 4 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis*-0.1
Anaheim*-0.2
Vancouver*+0.2
San Jose-2.2
Arizona+2.6
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis+2.5
+0.2
+1.2
Anaheim-0.2
Chicago-0.2
Minnesota-0.2
Vancouver-0.3
Calgary-0.2
Los Angeles-0.2
San Jose-0.4
Winnipeg-0.3
Dallas-0.2
Arizona-0.2
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.1
Chicago+2.3
+0.2
+0.8
Vancouver-0.1
San Jose-0.3
Winnipeg-0.3
Dallas-0.2
Edmonton-0.7
No
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.2
Minnesota-0.2
Vancouver-0.3
Calgary+2.1
+0.1
+0.4
Los Angeles*-0.1
San Jose-0.3
Winnipeg-0.2
Arizona*-0.1
Colorado 4 Carolina 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg-0.2
Colorado+1.2
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.9
+1.0
Anaheim-0.2
Vancouver*-0.2
Winnipeg*-0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.8
St. Louis+0.4
Anaheim+0.3
Chicago+0.5
Minnesota+0.2
Calgary+0.2
Los Angeles+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

NashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoMinnesotaVancouverCalgaryLos AngelesSan JoseWinnipegDallasArizonaColoradoEdmonton
Nashville18.64.920.220.04.74.84.94.16.43.11.31.80.1
St. Louis18.64.821.320.04.74.84.63.55.72.71.11.60.1
Anaheim4.94.85.55.717.617.616.98.33.11.61.81.00.1
Chicago20.221.35.517.44.64.54.22.23.81.80.61.00.1
Minnesota20.020.05.717.44.74.74.12.13.61.70.61.00.0
Vancouver4.74.717.64.64.717.616.87.32.21.11.50.70.1
Calgary4.84.817.64.54.717.616.57.02.11.01.40.60.1
Los Angeles4.94.616.94.24.116.816.56.41.70.91.30.50.1
San Jose4.13.58.32.22.17.37.06.40.30.10.30.10.0
Winnipeg6.45.73.13.83.62.22.11.70.30.10.00.10.0
Dallas3.12.71.61.81.71.11.00.90.10.10.00.00.0
Arizona1.31.11.80.60.61.51.41.30.30.00.00.00.0
Colorado1.81.61.01.01.00.70.60.50.10.10.00.00.0
Edmonton0.10.10.10.10.00.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.0