Western Conference Playoff Chances

San Jose +7.8, Colorado -11.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthMonday
Vegas8223915-444100.0%16.1%-0.443.5%-0.8772210000000001.621Anaheim 0-0 (10:00 pm ET)Vegas Golden Knights
WinnipegWFlorida 7-27913515-93999.8+0.311.3+2.03.8+1.21139408210000004.610Winnipeg Jets
Nashville7733414-92799.7+0.17.0-0.24.2-0.212354282100000003.585Ottawa 0-0 (8:00 pm ET)Nashville Predators
San JoseWDallas 5-27213219-81484.0+7.82.5+0.50.0+0.000482835663000014.547San Jose Sharks
DallasLSan Jose 2-57213421-42281.0-5.53.0-1.10.0-0.002933221596400008.565Dallas Stars
St. Louis723422-41874.0+2.72.1-0.00.0016262418128510009.552St. Louis Blues
Los Angeles6723122-52273.4+0.53.2-0.20.000303257997100012.567Chicago 0-0 (8:30 pm ET)Los Angeles Kings
Minnesota6923120-7659.5+3.90.9+0.00.0003171920161310100013.526NY Islanders 0-0 (1:00 pm ET)Minnesota Wild
Anaheim692920-11-345.7+1.20.5-0.00.000102169141818300016.510Vegas 0-0 (10:00 pm ET)Anaheim Ducks
Calgary6813021-8-544.1+0.60.5-0.00.000111959141820300015.507Boston 0-0 (4:00 pm ET)Calgary Flames
ColoradoLEdmonton 2-46623123-4638.2-11.80.6-0.40.0-0.000181216181821500011.528Colorado Avalanche
Chicago5812526-8-10.6+0.10.0+0.0No000000131066164023.512Los Angeles 0-0 (8:30 pm ET)Chicago Blackhawks
EdmontonWColorado 4-25222430-4-290.0+0.00.0No00000001104343425.437Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver5212330-6-320.00.0No0000000094045526.439Vancouver Canucks
Arizona4411732-10-540.00.0No00000000179130.386Arizona Coyotes

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Colorado 2 Edmonton 4
3:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg+0.1
Nashville+0.1
San Jose+0.8
Dallas+1.2
St. Louis+2.1
+0.1
Los Angeles+0.9
Minnesota+2.7
Anaheim+1.3
Calgary+1.2
Colorado-10.4
-0.2
Chicago+0.1
San Jose 5 Dallas 2
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg+0.1
Nashville+0.1
San Jose+5.2
+0.2
Dallas-4.5
-0.3
St. Louis+0.2
Los Angeles-0.4
-0.1
Minnesota+0.2
Anaheim-0.5
Calgary-0.6
Colorado+0.4
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas-0.2
Winnipeg+0.2
+0.1
+0.6
Nashville-0.1
Minnesota*-0.1
Monday
Vegas vs AnaheimIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas16.116.116.116.116.116.0
48.148.147.139.939.933.0
Winnipeg3.43.43.44.04.04.7
Nashville3.83.83.84.54.55.2
San Jose84.983.983.982.882.782.7
Dallas81.680.980.980.180.180.1
St. Louis74.873.873.872.872.972.8
Los Angeles74.773.273.271.771.771.7
3.33.23.23.23.23.2
Minnesota60.459.359.358.358.258.2
Anaheim39.147.047.055.055.355.3
0.50.60.60.70.70.7
Calgary45.543.943.842.242.242.2
Colorado39.038.138.137.137.137.1
Calgary vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
4:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas16.116.116.116.016.016.0
46.644.444.441.741.641.6
Winnipeg4.23.93.93.53.53.5
Nashville4.74.44.43.93.93.9
San Jose82.982.983.184.184.185.1
Dallas80.280.280.381.181.181.7
St. Louis73.073.073.174.074.074.9
Los Angeles72.072.072.273.573.574.9
3.23.23.2*3.23.23.3
Minnesota58.458.458.659.659.660.5
Anaheim44.044.144.145.845.847.4
Calgary52.352.351.343.743.736.3
0.60.60.60.50.50.4
Colorado37.337.337.338.338.339.2
NY Islanders vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
1:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose84.684.184.183.683.583.5
Dallas82.081.181.180.380.180.1
St. Louis75.474.174.173.072.872.8
Los Angeles74.373.573.572.872.872.8
Minnesota51.258.558.565.566.366.3
0.80.90.91.01.11.1
Anaheim47.045.945.944.944.744.7
Calgary45.344.344.343.343.143.1
Colorado40.138.438.436.736.736.7
Chicago0.60.60.60.50.50.5
Chicago vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas16.1*16.116.116.016.016.0
San Jose84.984.184.183.483.383.3
2.62.52.52.42.42.4
Dallas81.581.081.080.680.580.5
St. Louis74.674.074.073.573.473.4
Los Angeles66.272.872.878.679.379.3
2.93.23.23.53.53.5
Minnesota60.259.559.558.958.858.9
Anaheim47.445.845.844.444.444.4
Calgary45.744.344.343.042.842.8
Colorado39.038.338.337.737.637.6
Chicago0.90.80.80.40.40.2
Nashville vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas43.243.243.243.943.944.4
Winnipeg11.211.211.211.311.311.4
3.73.73.73.83.83.9
Nashville99.899.899.899.699.699.3
7.17.17.17.07.06.8
4.94.94.93.23.22.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

VegasWinnipegNashvilleSan JoseDallasSt. LouisLos AngelesMinnesotaAnaheimCalgaryColoradoChicagoEdmontonVancouverArizona
Vegas0.81.04.516.418.96.519.68.57.915.60.40.00.00.0
Winnipeg0.85.11.629.925.32.518.03.12.710.60.10.00.00.0
Nashville1.05.11.829.025.12.418.73.12.810.50.10.00.00.0
San Jose4.51.61.80.10.141.90.117.616.10.10.00.00.00.0
Dallas16.429.929.00.12.90.11.60.10.10.80.00.00.00.0
St. Louis18.925.325.10.12.90.11.10.00.00.40.00.00.00.0
Los Angeles6.52.52.441.90.10.10.09.410.50.00.00.00.00.0
Minnesota19.618.018.70.11.61.10.00.00.00.20.00.00.0
Anaheim8.53.13.117.60.10.09.40.03.90.00.00.00.00.0
Calgary7.92.72.816.10.10.010.50.03.90.00.00.00.00.0
Colorado15.610.610.50.10.80.40.00.20.00.00.00.00.0
Chicago0.40.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Edmonton0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No0.0
Vancouver0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Arizona0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0