Western Conference Playoff Chances

No up, no down
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SaturdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrength
CalgaryLEdmonton 1-31075025-762In18.4%-1.3No1003.636Calgary Flames
NashvilleWChicago 5-21004729-626In4.4+0.7No1007.558Nashville Predators
San JoseWColorado 5-21014627-928In4.3+0.6No10011.566San Jose Sharks
WinnipegWArizona 4-2994730-528In3.8+0.2No1008.560Winnipeg Jets
St. LouisWVancouver 3-2 (so)994528-924In3.2-0.4No10012.557St. Louis Blues
VegasLLos Angeles 2-5934332-719In2.1-0.4No10016.543Vegas Golden Knights
DallasWMinnesota 3-0934332-78In1.7+0.2No10015.526Dallas Stars
ColoradoLSan Jose 2-5903830-1414In1.6-0.3No10018.534Colorado Avalanche
ArizonaLWinnipeg 2-4863935-8-10OutNoNo10017.481Arizona Coyotes
ChicagoLNashville 2-5843634-12-22OutNoNo10022.459Chicago Blackhawks
MinnesotaLDallas 0-3833736-9-26OutNoNo10019.455Minnesota Wild
VancouverLSt. Louis 2-3 (so)813536-11-29OutNoNo10024.444Vancouver Canucks
Anaheim803537-10-52OutNoNo10025.393Anaheim Ducks
EdmontonWCalgary 3-1793538-9-42OutNoNo10023.420Edmonton Oilers
Los AngelesWVegas 5-2713142-9-61OutNoNo10030.380Los Angeles Kings

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Colorado 3 Winnipeg 2 (ot)
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary*-0.1
Nashville+0.1
ColoradoIn
+0.1
ArizonaOut
No
St. Louis 7 Philadelphia 3
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville-0.0
Winnipeg-0.0
St. Louis+0.1
Nashville 3 Vancouver 2
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville+0.1
Winnipeg-0.1
St. Louis-0.1
Minnesota 0 Boston 3
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary*-0.0
Friday
Chicago 6 Dallas 1
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary+0.0
Saturday
Nashville 5 Chicago 2
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville+0.3
Winnipeg-0.2
St. Louis-0.1
Arizona 2 Winnipeg 4
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville-0.1
Winnipeg+0.2
St. Louis-0.2
San Jose 5 Colorado 2
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary-0.1
Dallas+0.0
Colorado-0.1
Dallas 3 Minnesota 0
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary-0.1
Dallas+0.1
Colorado-0.1
St. Louis 3 Vancouver 2 (so)
4:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville-0.1
Winnipeg-0.1
St. Louis+0.1
Calgary 1 Edmonton 3
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary-0.1
Boston 3 Tampa Bay 6
12:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary+0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

CalgaryNashvilleSan JoseWinnipegSt. LouisVegasDallasColorado
CalgaryNoYes
NashvilleNoNoYesNo
San JoseYes
WinnipegNoYesNoNo
St. LouisNoYesNoNo
VegasYes
DallasNoYesNoNo
ColoradoYesNoNoNo