Western Conference Playoff Chances

Nashville +7.6, Los Angeles -9.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthMonday
Minnesota8443913-662100.0%27.4%+0.235.1%+8.3961200000004.668Minnesota Wild
ChicagoWBuffalo 5-17733618-521100.0+0.03.5+0.70.1+0.12092500000006.566Chicago Blackhawks
San JoseLBoston 1-2 (ot)7723518-722100.0-0.04.4-0.20.1+0.016526800000007.570San Jose Sharks
Edmonton7233219-81999.83.6+0.10.0+0.00264725210000008.564Edmonton Oilers
AnaheimWLos Angeles 1-07223119-10398.6+0.81.1+0.10.00826556410000013.521Arizona 0-0 (9:00 pm ET)Anaheim Ducks
St. Louis6733123-5-296.0-0.10.7+0.00.0005661783100009.508Florida 0-0 (8:00 pm ET)St. Louis Blues
NashvilleWColumbus 4-36442822-8583.4+7.61.0+0.20.0001283321114100016.529Nashville Predators
Los AngelesLAnaheim 0-16042826-4-262.5-9.60.5-0.10.0001824292210410014.513Los Angeles Kings
Calgary6232926-4-1443.1-0.20.1+0.0No000415243017720015.473Calgary Flames
WinnipegWOttawa 3-2612829-5-1412.4+3.90.0+0.0No000139213521101023.475Winnipeg Jets
VancouverLPhiladelphia 2-35822628-6-302.3-2.40.0-0.0No00000261732376027.427Vancouver Canucks
Dallas5622327-10-281.8-0.10.0No0000161532388028.445Dallas Stars
Arizona4752030-7-440.00.0No000000131184129.387Anaheim 0-0 (9:00 pm ET)Arizona Coyotes
ColoradoLTampa Bay 2-3 (ot)3551638-3-770.0-0.0No-0.0No000000019930.318Colorado Avalanche

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Columbus 3 Nashville 4
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota+0.9
Anaheim-0.2
St. Louis-0.4
Nashville+6.7
+0.1
Los Angeles-1.6
Calgary-2.5
Winnipeg-1.2
Vancouver-0.5
Dallas-0.3
Anaheim 1 Los Angeles 0
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+1.1
St. Louis+0.3
Nashville+1.0
Los Angeles-6.3
-0.1
Calgary+2.3
Winnipeg+0.9
Vancouver+0.4
Dallas+0.2
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.1
St. Louis-0.3
Nashville-1.0
Los Angeles-0.9
Calgary-0.9
Winnipeg+3.6
Vancouver-0.2
Dallas-0.1
Vancouver 2 Philadelphia 3
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota*-0.1
St. Louis+0.1
Nashville+0.4
Los Angeles+0.6
Calgary+0.5
Winnipeg+0.3
Vancouver-2.0
Dallas+0.1
Colorado 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
ColoradoOut
Pittsburgh 2 Detroit 5
3:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota+0.8
NY Rangers 2 Washington 1
12:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota+0.1
+5.4
Monday
St. Louis vs FloridaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis97.397.397.195.695.793.7
0.00.00.0NoNo0.0
Nashville83.283.283.283.583.583.7
Los Angeles62.262.262.362.662.663.1
Calgary42.742.742.843.243.243.8
Winnipeg12.112.112.212.412.412.8
Vancouver2.32.32.32.32.32.4
Dallas1.81.81.81.81.81.9
Arizona vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim97.798.698.699.199.299.2
Nashville83.583.483.483.383.383.3
Los Angeles62.7*62.562.562.462.462.4
Calgary43.443.143.143.043.043.0
Winnipeg12.512.4*12.412.312.312.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

MinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleLos AngelesCalgaryWinnipegVancouverDallasArizonaColorado
Minnesota0.10.10.93.89.821.728.723.38.41.81.40.00.0
Chicago0.10.20.10.268.828.10.70.51.20.00.10.00.0
San Jose0.10.29.126.510.921.818.310.71.80.30.20.00.0
Edmonton0.90.19.158.04.68.810.86.60.80.10.10.00.0
Anaheim3.80.226.558.01.42.54.02.00.20.10.00.00.0
St. Louis9.868.810.94.61.40.50.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Nashville21.728.121.88.82.50.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Los Angeles28.70.718.310.84.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Calgary23.30.510.76.62.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Winnipeg8.41.21.80.80.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Vancouver1.80.00.30.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Dallas1.40.10.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Arizona0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Colorado0.00.00.00.00.0No0.0NoNo