Western Conference Playoff Chances

San Jose +0.1, Los Angeles -0.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthThursday
Chicago9340-1983.6%+0.07.4%+0.010.7%+0.218132217865432217.593at NashvilleChicago Blackhawks
AnaheimBuffalo 1-0 (9:23 1st)10251-0883.0+0.06.8+0.09.9+0.217172216655432213.587Anaheim Ducks
Nashville10240-2579.2+0.05.7+0.07.7+0.214102118876543215.584ChicagoNashville Predators
Los Angeles9241-1573.1-0.15.1+0.05.3+0.1101120187776543222.581BuffaloLos Angeles Kings
Minnesota4422-0670.6-0.05.7+0.14.8+0.19818189876653217.590ArizonaMinnesota Wild
San Jose9142-1368.7+0.14.1+0.04.0+0.18101918877765424.573ColumbusSan Jose Sharks
Dallas8231-2164.5+0.03.5+0.03.3+0.16616171098776536.571Dallas Stars
St. Louis5322-1363.8-0.04.3+0.03.2+0.166151710988765315.582VancouverSt. Louis Blues
Calgary943-1155.9-0.02.6+0.01.9+0.14614168899886412.562CarolinaCalgary Flames
Vancouver6332-0055.4-0.02.6+0.02.0+0.14614168899887520.563at St. LouisVancouver Canucks
Arizona5322-1-640.7-0.01.5+0.00.9+0.02491278910101110926.552at MinnesotaArizona Coyotes
Winnipeg4224-0-528.3-0.00.9+0.00.3+0.01158678101113141525.547Winnipeg Jets
EdmontonWashington 2-2 (11:59 2nd)3214-1-1318.0+0.00.4+0.00.1+0.0013535681114182529.533Edmonton Oilers
Colorado4114-2-1215.2+0.00.3+0.00.1+0.0012435681014192828.526Colorado Avalanche

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.
Adam sends in the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com), plus these:

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago+0.2
Anaheim+0.2
Nashville+0.1
Minnesota+0.1
San Jose+0.1
Dallas+0.1
Edmonton vs WashingtonIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim82.882.782.7*83.1*83.083.2
10.0*9.9*9.9*9.9*9.79.7
Los Angeles72.972.8*73.0*73.273.473.4
5.4*5.2*5.3*5.3*5.25.2
Minnesota70.4*70.6*70.4*70.5*70.870.8
4.9*4.9*4.8*4.7*4.74.7
San Jose68.568.3*68.6*68.8*68.669.0
4.0*4.0*4.0*3.9*3.93.9
Dallas64.3*64.3*64.3*64.4*64.764.7
3.3*3.3*3.3*3.2*3.23.2
St. Louis63.663.4*63.6*63.8*63.964.2
3.3*3.2*3.2*3.23.1*3.2
Calgary55.6*55.7*55.7*55.9*56.056.3
Vancouver55.0*55.1*55.2*55.5*55.555.7
Arizona40.5*40.540.3*40.8*40.841.0
Winnipeg28.1*28.1*28.2*28.5*28.228.5
Edmonton20.720.820.217.417.314.7
0.50.5*0.50.4*0.40.4
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
Anaheim vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago83.5*83.7*83.5*83.6*83.983.8
10.510.5*10.6*10.7*10.811.0
Anaheim85.084.984.682.081.979.0
7.07.07.0*6.8*6.66.4
11.211.210.99.18.97.4
Nashville79.0*79.1*79.2*79.1*79.079.4
7.6*7.6*7.6*7.8*7.87.9
Los Angeles73.0*73.0*73.1*73.0*73.373.5
5.2*5.2*5.3*5.2*5.35.4
Minnesota70.5*70.570.3*70.7*70.870.9
4.7*4.7*4.7*4.8*4.84.9
San Jose68.5*68.5*68.6*68.9*68.969.0
3.9*3.93.8*4.0*3.94.1
Dallas64.464.2*64.2*64.6*64.564.8
Calgary55.755.6*55.9*56.0*56.156.3
*2.6*2.62.5*2.7*2.62.7
Vancouver55.255.1*55.2*55.6*55.655.7
Arizona40.5*40.540.4*40.8*40.641.2
Winnipeg28.1*28.2*28.3*28.3*28.428.6
Edmonton17.9*17.9*17.9*18.2*18.118.3
Thursday
St. Louis vs VancouverIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago*83.683.4*83.5*83.5*83.483.8
Nashville*79.278.978.9*79.1*78.979.3
Los Angeles73.3*73.072.772.8*72.9*73.1
Minnesota*70.670.2*70.570.3*70.570.8
San Jose68.8*68.568.4*68.668.3*68.7
Dallas*64.5*64.2*64.2*64.364.164.7
St. Louis67.466.966.562.161.958.0
4.54.64.5*4.24.13.9
3.83.83.62.92.92.2
Calgary56.255.6*55.755.4*55.6*55.8
Vancouver50.8*55.155.059.860.360.6
2.4*2.7*2.62.82.92.9
1.51.91.92.62.62.7
Arizona40.9*40.5*40.540.340.2*40.6
Winnipeg*28.3*28.228.0*28.1*28.028.4
Edmonton18.2*17.8*17.9*17.917.717.9
Colorado*15.215.0*15.1*15.1*15.215.4
Minnesota vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim83.1*82.8*82.9*82.882.6*82.9
Nashville*79.2*79.078.9*79.0*79.179.3
Los Angeles73.3*73.0*73.172.872.873.0
Minnesota73.673.472.968.968.965.1
6.06.05.95.5*5.65.2
5.65.55.44.34.33.4
San Jose68.9*68.6*68.468.368.368.5
Dallas*64.564.2*64.3*64.464.164.7
St. Louis*63.963.6*63.7*63.663.564.0
Calgary56.255.6*55.755.555.3*55.8
Vancouver55.6*55.2*55.155.0*55.1*55.3
Arizona36.440.3*40.644.945.846.0
1.3*1.5*1.51.71.81.7
0.6*0.8*0.81.11.21.2
Winnipeg*28.327.8*28.1*28.3*28.228.5
Calgary vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago83.583.4*83.5*83.7*83.683.9
Anaheim82.782.6*82.8*83.0*83.183.4
Nashville79.078.978.9*79.3*79.279.4
Los Angeles72.8*73.0*72.9*73.2*73.373.6
Minnesota70.4*70.5*70.4*70.6*70.671.0
San Jose68.368.368.3*69.0*68.969.3
Dallas64.264.2*64.2*64.6*64.665.0
St. Louis63.563.5*63.7*64.0*64.064.3
Calgary59.459.458.754.554.650.1
2.82.82.8*2.62.52.3
2.32.22.11.61.71.2
Vancouver55.054.9*55.2*55.5*55.556.0
Arizona40.440.240.3*40.9*41.041.3
Winnipeg28.0*28.1*28.1*28.4*28.328.7
Edmonton17.7*17.9*17.8*18.0*18.118.4
Colorado15.1*15.0*15.2*15.3*15.315.5
San Jose vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago83.583.3*83.5*83.7*83.883.8
Anaheim82.882.7*82.9*83.0*83.183.3
Nashville79.0*79.0*79.0*79.2*79.179.5
Los Angeles72.972.872.9*73.1*73.273.6
Minnesota70.3*70.4*70.4*70.8*70.771.0
San Jose71.971.871.467.567.663.6
4.34.34.3*4.1*4.03.8
4.84.74.53.53.62.8
Dallas64.2*64.3*64.4*64.6*64.664.9
St. Louis63.663.5*63.7*63.9*64.164.2
Calgary55.655.6*55.6*56.0*55.956.5
Vancouver55.0*55.155.0*55.5*55.655.9
Arizona40.440.340.3*40.8*40.741.3
Winnipeg28.1*28.1*28.2*28.3*28.228.6
Edmonton17.7*17.917.6*18.2*18.118.4
Colorado15.115.0*15.2*15.4*15.215.5
Los Angeles vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago83.5*83.5*83.5*83.8*83.783.9
Anaheim82.8*82.882.7*83.0*82.983.3
Nashville79.078.9*79.1*79.3*79.379.5
Los Angeles75.875.875.371.771.868.0
5.35.25.3*5.04.94.7
6.16.15.94.74.73.8
Minnesota70.4*70.4*70.4*70.8*70.870.9
San Jose68.468.4*68.6*68.8*68.969.2
Dallas64.364.2*64.3*64.6*64.664.9
St. Louis63.7*63.6*63.6*63.9*64.064.1
Calgary55.6*55.7*55.7*55.9*56.256.5
Vancouver55.1*55.1*55.2*55.5*55.555.9
Arizona40.4*40.440.4*41.0*40.841.3
Winnipeg28.2*28.1*28.1*28.1*28.428.6
Edmonton17.817.7*17.818.3*18.018.4
Colorado15.1*15.2*15.2*15.3*15.415.5
Nashville vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago80.6*83.5*83.486.386.486.7
7.1*7.4*7.37.77.87.8
8.510.310.312.612.713.0
Anaheim*82.9*82.982.7*82.8*82.983.1
10.0*9.9*9.79.7*9.8*9.8
Nashville82.081.781.478.178.474.8
6.06.06.05.65.65.4
9.19.08.77.07.05.6
St. Louis*63.863.3*63.6*63.7*63.664.0
Winnipeg*28.3*28.1*28.1*28.228.028.4
Colorado*15.315.015.0*15.1*15.015.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ChicagoAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesMinnesotaSan JoseDallasSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
Chicago4.314.23.913.53.812.512.43.43.42.85.21.52.8
Anaheim4.34.312.94.212.74.24.110.710.57.72.53.41.5
Nashville14.24.33.613.33.412.011.92.92.92.34.71.22.5
Los Angeles3.912.93.63.212.33.13.09.69.56.71.62.70.9
Minnesota13.54.213.33.23.010.210.02.42.31.83.70.82.0
San Jose3.812.73.412.33.02.72.78.98.86.01.42.40.8
Dallas12.54.212.03.110.22.78.82.12.01.43.20.61.6
St. Louis12.44.111.93.010.02.78.82.12.01.53.10.61.6
Calgary3.410.72.99.62.48.92.12.16.64.30.81.70.5
Vancouver3.410.52.99.52.38.82.02.06.64.30.81.70.5
Arizona2.87.72.36.71.86.01.41.54.34.30.51.10.3
Winnipeg5.22.54.71.63.71.43.23.10.80.80.50.20.4
Edmonton1.53.41.22.70.82.40.60.61.71.71.10.20.1
Colorado2.81.52.50.92.00.81.61.60.50.50.30.40.1