"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Western Conference Playoff Chances

Golden Knights +1.1, Flames -3.7
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthTuesday
Canucks9214218-854100.0%+0.013.0%-0.011.0%+0.135491600000004.633SabresVancouver Canucks
Jets9124319-552100.012.2-0.011.3+0.0341830181000006.636at RangersWinnipeg Jets
Avalanche9114320-550100.07.4-0.04.6+0.0191439271000003.614at BluesColorado Avalanche
Stars914119-941100.0+0.04.4-0.01.1+0.08831513000008.595Dallas Stars
Oilers8444021-44699.9+0.07.3-0.00.7+0.041177611000007.612CanadiensEdmonton Oilers
Predators8213925-41595.2+0.51.1+0.00.000047219410009.538SharksNashville Predators
Kings7923422-112693.4+0.82.7+0.00.0006608195100015.579BlackhawksLos Angeles Kings
Golden Knights7923624-71681.2+1.11.0+0.00.000232113513510014.541LightningVegas Golden Knights
Blues7513629-3-1116.2+0.70.0+0.0No0002143525158013.476AvalancheSt. Louis Blues
Wild7413327-8-710.5+0.50.0+0.0No0019263221110016.493at DucksMinnesota Wild
FlamesLCapitals 2-57113330-5-72.3-3.70.0-0.0No0002112234310017.502Calgary Flames
KrakenSabres6832826-12-101.3+0.10.0No000171528481024.487Seattle Kraken
Coyotes6112835-5-230.0No-0.0No00002980026.452Arizona Coyotes
Ducks4912342-3-77OutNoNo000937029.341WildAnaheim Ducks
Blackhawks4311944-5-92OutNoNo07732031.305at KingsChicago Blackhawks
Sharks3921644-7-120OutNoNo01208032.268at PredatorsSan Jose Sharks

All times are in Eastern. email errors to amer at mallah dot com, all credit to Anna Kear for figuring this out in the first place.
data pulled March 19, 2024 04:00:31

The top 3 teams in each division automatically qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but the next 2 highest-placed finishers in each conference also make the postseason. In Round 1, each conference winner plays the second wild card team from their conference, while the other division winner in that conference faces its first wild card. At the same time, the second-placed team in each division takes part in a best-of-seven series with their third-placed counterpart upon meeting each other, on both sides of the playoff bracket. The Second Round pits the winner of that contest against the first seed from their division, or the wild card team that beat them. The Conference Finals see the 2 divisional champions from each conference squaring off, and the Stanley Cup Final consists of a matchup between the Eastern and Western Conference champions.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
Flames 2 Capitals 5
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators+0.5
Kings+0.7
Golden Knights+1.1
Blues+0.6
Wild+0.5
Flames-3.5
Kraken+0.1
Kraken vs SabresIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators95.295.295.295.395.395.3
Kings93.393.393.393.493.493.5
Golden Knights81.081.081.081.381.381.5
Blues16.116.116.116.216.316.3
Wild10.410.410.410.510.510.6
Kraken1.91.81.80.90.90.5
Tuesday
Golden Knights vs LightningIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks13.0*13.013.013.1*13.013.1
Jets12.212.2*12.2*12.2*12.312.3
Predators94.994.995.095.395.395.8
Kings92.992.993.193.693.694.2
Golden Knights85.985.985.379.579.572.7
1.01.01.01.01.00.9
Blues14.214.214.316.816.819.8
Wild9.19.19.411.111.012.9
Flames2.02.02.02.42.43.0
Kraken1.11.11.11.41.41.7
Blues vs AvalancheHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks13.113.113.1*13.013.013.0
11.411.211.210.810.710.7
Jets12.512.312.312.112.112.1
11.711.511.411.211.111.1
Avalanche7.17.37.47.67.67.6
1.73.33.35.96.46.4
Stars4.5*4.44.54.44.44.4
1.21.11.11.11.11.1
Predators94.294.294.395.495.496.2
Kings92.292.392.593.693.594.4
Golden Knights78.578.578.881.581.583.7
Blues22.422.321.415.315.410.5
Wild9.59.59.810.610.611.4
Flames2.12.12.12.42.42.6
Kraken1.11.11.1*1.3*1.31.4
Ducks vs WildHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators95.995.595.594.994.994.9
Kings94.293.893.893.192.892.8
Golden Knights83.282.182.180.680.080.0
Blues17.216.616.615.715.615.6
Wild5.58.48.512.413.413.4
Flames2.62.42.42.22.22.2
Kraken1.41.31.31.21.21.2
Kings vs BlackhawksHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Oilers7.37.3*7.37.47.47.4
Predators95.295.195.295.495.495.6
Kings94.794.794.391.291.287.0
2.72.72.72.62.62.5
Golden Knights80.980.981.181.781.782.5
Blues15.715.715.816.916.918.3
Wild10.110.210.311.111.112.0
Flames2.22.22.22.52.53.0
Kraken1.21.21.21.41.41.6
Predators vs SharksHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators96.396.396.193.693.790.0
1.11.11.11.11.11.0
Kings93.393.393.393.593.593.8
Golden Knights81.081.081.081.581.582.1
Blues15.815.815.916.816.818.2
Wild10.310.310.310.810.811.7
Flames2.32.32.32.52.52.8
Kraken1.21.21.21.41.31.5
Oilers vs CanadiensHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks13.013.0*13.013.113.113.1
Oilers100.0100.0100.099.999.999.8
7.47.47.47.37.37.1
0.80.80.70.30.30.1
Canucks vs SabresHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks100.0100.0In100.0100.0100.0
13.113.213.112.912.912.7
13.713.612.47.87.84.6
Jets12.2*12.2*12.2*12.2*12.312.3
11.011.011.211.711.712.1
Avalanche4.44.44.54.84.85.0
Stars1.11.11.11.21.21.3
Oilers7.37.37.37.47.47.4
0.60.60.60.70.70.7
Rangers vs JetsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks13.1*13.0*13.013.013.013.0
10.410.010.511.2*11.012.0
Jets11.812.212.212.612.612.6
5.28.58.915.616.618.2
Avalanche7.6*7.4*7.47.37.37.3
4.44.24.4*4.64.55.0
Stars4.5*4.4*4.44.44.44.4
1.01.01.01.11.11.3
Oilers0.60.60.60.7*0.70.7
Islanders vs HurricanesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks11.311.111.110.910.810.8
Jets11.611.511.511.211.211.2
Avalanche4.84.74.74.54.54.5
Stars1.21.11.21.11.11.1
Bruins vs SenatorsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks10.710.710.711.411.411.8
Jets11.011.011.011.711.712.2
Avalanche4.44.44.44.84.85.0
Stars1.11.11.11.21.21.3
Oilers0.60.60.60.70.70.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

CanucksJetsAvalancheStarsOilersPredatorsKingsGolden KnightsBluesWildFlamesKrakenCoyotes
Canucks0.20.61.20.840.721.323.36.54.30.70.50.0
Jets0.215.432.00.321.27.813.65.23.20.70.30.0
Avalanche0.615.450.10.415.84.48.42.71.60.50.20.0
Stars1.232.050.10.48.72.13.51.00.80.20.0No
Oilers0.80.30.40.48.756.431.10.80.60.30.2No
Predators40.721.215.88.78.70.10.00.00.00.00.0
Kings21.37.84.42.156.40.11.30.00.00.00.0No
Golden Knights23.313.68.43.531.10.01.30.00.00.00.0
Blues6.55.22.71.00.80.00.00.0NoNo
Wild4.33.21.60.80.60.00.00.0NoNo
Flames0.70.70.50.20.30.00.00.0NoNo0.0
Kraken0.50.30.20.00.20.00.00.00.0
Coyotes0.00.00.0NoNoNo