Western Conference Playoff Chances

Nashville +16.8, Minnesota -11.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SaturdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthSunday
DallasWWashington 4-37733615-532100.0%+0.012.9%+0.82.7%+1.3658233000000002.596Dallas Stars
ChicagoLAnaheim 2-3 (ot)773618-526100.0-0.08.8-0.50.3+0.02046213100000003.581Chicago Blackhawks
Los Angeles6953318-32399.9+0.010.1-0.00.2+0.11369153000000005.580New Jersey 0-0 (12:30 pm ET)Los Angeles Kings
St. Louis7123117-9498.6+0.12.2+0.10.0+0.011146811310000010.528Tampa Bay 0-0 (6:00 pm ET)St. Louis Blues
San JoseWArizona 4-16352920-51497.5+2.24.9+0.90.0+0.01145823111100008.550San Jose Sharks
AnaheimWChicago 3-2 (ot)6252719-8-588.4+7.91.3+0.20.0+0.00424552444210016.501Anaheim Ducks
NashvilleWFlorida 5-06132621-9065.9+16.81.1+0.50.000083424159631019.510Nashville Predators
Colorado6212925-4-359.7+0.70.7+0.00.0000629251711742011.499Buffalo 0-0 (12:30 pm ET)Colorado Avalanche
MinnesotaLBoston 2-45642322-10-533.4-11.80.5-0.20.000021319191613106225.505Minnesota Wild
VancouverLToronto 2-55642221-12-2120.2-11.80.1-0.10.00018381316171512624.450Vancouver Canucks
Calgary5352526-3-1616.7+0.10.1+0.00.00016371115171716718.470Calgary Flames
ArizonaLSan Jose 1-45642524-6-2412.1-5.90.0-0.00.00014251014181918928.449Arizona Coyotes
WinnipegWEdmonton 2-1 (so)5342527-3-186.8+1.90.0+0.00.00000258121620241321.463Winnipeg Jets
EdmontonLWinnipeg 1-2 (so)5022229-6-280.6-0.20.0No00000012510206130.432Edmonton Oilers

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday
Florida 0 Nashville 5
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose-0.3
Anaheim-0.7
Nashville+8.5
Colorado-1.8
Minnesota-1.9
Vancouver-1.3
Calgary-0.9
Arizona-0.9
Winnipeg-0.5
Minnesota 2 Boston 4
2:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis+0.2
San Jose+0.2
Anaheim+0.6
Nashville+2.1
Colorado+2.0
Minnesota-8.4
Vancouver+1.2
Calgary+0.8
Arizona+0.8
Winnipeg+0.5
Vancouver 2 Toronto 5
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose+0.4
Anaheim+1.3
Nashville+1.4
Colorado+1.3
Minnesota+1.2
Vancouver-8.2
Calgary+1.0
Arizona+1.1
Winnipeg+0.3
Chicago 2 Anaheim 3 (ot)
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose-0.2
Anaheim+5.3
*No
Nashville-0.7
Colorado-0.6
Minnesota-0.6
Vancouver-1.2
*No
Calgary-0.7
Arizona-1.0
Winnipeg-0.2
San Jose 4 Arizona 1
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose+1.4
Anaheim+0.5
Nashville+0.6
Colorado+0.6
Minnesota+0.5
Vancouver+0.3
Calgary+0.3
Arizona-4.3
No
Winnipeg+0.2
Edmonton 1 Winnipeg 2 (so)
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.3
Colorado-0.3
Minnesota-0.3
*No
Winnipeg+1.5
Edmonton-0.2
Dallas 4 Washington 3
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas+1.1
Vancouver*No
Columbus 4 Ottawa 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver*No
Sunday
Buffalo vs ColoradoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
12:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis98.798.698.698.598.598.5
San Jose97.697.597.597.497.497.4
Anaheim88.988.588.588.188.188.1
Nashville67.666.166.164.764.664.6
Colorado51.858.758.765.366.266.2
0.60.70.70.80.80.8
No0.0NoNo0.00.0
Minnesota35.533.733.732.131.731.7
Vancouver21.320.320.319.419.419.4
Calgary17.716.916.916.116.016.0
Arizona12.912.212.211.611.511.5
Winnipeg7.46.96.96.36.26.2
Edmonton0.70.6*0.60.60.60.6
Tampa Bay vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago8.8*8.8*8.88.78.78.7
St. Louis98.098.798.799.299.399.3
Nashville66.065.9*65.965.865.865.8
Colorado59.859.759.759.659.659.6
Minnesota33.633.433.433.333.333.3
Vancouver20.3*20.2*20.220.220.220.2
Calgary16.8*16.7*16.716.716.716.7
Arizona12.2*12.112.112.112.112.1
New Jersey vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
12:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles10.010.110.110.210.210.2
0.10.20.20.30.30.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

DallasChicagoLos AngelesSt. LouisSan JoseAnaheimNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaVancouverCalgaryArizonaWinnipegEdmonton
Dallas2.10.123.00.92.520.619.813.95.54.73.43.30.2
Chicago2.10.562.60.30.811.810.85.51.71.41.21.10.1
Los Angeles0.10.58.14.413.726.223.411.24.23.62.51.90.1
St. Louis23.062.68.11.60.51.10.80.50.10.10.10.10.0
San Jose0.90.34.41.663.64.93.91.86.35.53.70.30.2
Anaheim2.50.813.70.563.61.41.00.52.11.21.10.10.0
Nashville20.611.826.21.14.91.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Colorado19.810.823.40.83.91.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Minnesota13.95.511.20.51.80.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Vancouver5.51.74.20.16.32.10.00.00.00.10.10.00.0
Calgary4.71.43.60.15.51.20.00.00.00.10.10.00.0
Arizona3.41.22.50.13.71.10.00.00.00.10.10.00.0
Winnipeg3.31.11.90.10.30.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Edmonton0.20.10.10.00.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0