Western Conference Playoff Chances

Season starts October 8th
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrength10/8
Winnipeg000-0057.1%3.5%3.3%771414777777771.500Winnipeg Jets
Nashville000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Nashville Predators
Arizona000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Arizona Coyotes
Dallas000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Dallas Stars
Minnesota000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Minnesota Wild
Chicago000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Chicago Blackhawks
Calgary000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500VancouverCalgary Flames
Vancouver000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500at CalgaryVancouver Canucks
Colorado000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Colorado Avalanche
St. Louis000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500St. Louis Blues
San Jose000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500at Los AngelesSan Jose Sharks
Edmonton000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Edmonton Oilers
Anaheim000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles000-0057.13.53.3771414777777771.500San JoseLos Angeles Kings

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Calgary vs VancouverIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville57.256.957.057.056.957.2
Arizona57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Minnesota57.257.057.057.056.957.2
Calgary60.960.560.155.555.451.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Vancouver52.556.756.761.261.762.1
3.23.5*3.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
San Jose57.256.856.956.956.957.2
Edmonton57.256.856.856.956.857.2
Anaheim57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Los Angeles57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Los Angeles vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Minnesota57.256.957.057.057.057.2
Calgary57.256.856.956.956.957.2
Vancouver57.256.856.956.956.957.2
Colorado57.257.057.057.056.957.2
San Jose52.556.756.761.261.662.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Edmonton57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Anaheim57.256.856.856.956.857.2
Los Angeles60.960.560.055.555.551.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Thursday
Arizona vs WinnipegIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg52.756.856.861.161.661.9
3.23.5*3.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Nashville57.457.057.056.856.857.0
Arizona60.860.560.055.755.651.5
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Dallas57.456.957.056.956.857.0
Minnesota57.457.057.056.856.857.0
Chicago57.457.057.056.856.857.0
Calgary57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Vancouver57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Colorado57.457.057.056.856.857.0
St. Louis57.356.957.056.956.857.0
San Jose57.156.956.957.057.057.4
Edmonton57.156.856.857.057.057.4
Anaheim57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Los Angeles57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Edmonton vs CalgaryHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville57.257.057.057.056.957.2
Arizona57.256.856.956.956.957.2
Dallas57.257.057.057.056.957.2
Minnesota57.256.956.956.957.057.2
Calgary52.556.756.761.261.762.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Vancouver57.256.856.956.956.857.2
San Jose57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Edmonton60.960.560.055.555.451.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Anaheim57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Los Angeles57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Dallas vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Nashville57.256.856.956.956.857.3
Dallas60.960.560.055.555.551.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Minnesota57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Chicago52.556.756.761.261.762.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Vancouver57.256.957.057.057.057.2
Colorado57.256.856.956.956.957.2
St. Louis57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Minnesota vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg57.256.956.956.956.857.3
Nashville57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Arizona57.256.957.057.056.957.2
Dallas57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Minnesota60.960.560.055.655.551.3
3.83.83.73.43.43.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.4
Chicago57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Colorado52.556.756.861.261.762.1
3.23.53.53.83.93.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
St. Louis57.256.856.856.956.857.2
Los Angeles57.256.956.956.956.957.2
Nashville vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg56.856.856.957.357.357.7
Nashville60.560.560.055.955.951.7
3.83.83.83.53.53.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
Arizona56.957.057.0*57.2*57.257.5
Dallas56.856.856.957.257.357.7
Minnesota56.856.856.957.357.357.7
Chicago56.856.956.957.357.257.7
Calgary56.956.957.057.257.257.5
Vancouver56.956.957.057.257.257.5
Colorado56.856.956.957.357.357.7
St. Louis56.856.856.857.257.357.7
San Jose56.956.957.057.3*57.257.5
Edmonton56.956.957.0*57.257.257.5
Anaheim56.956.956.957.257.357.4
Los Angeles56.956.956.957.257.257.4
St. Louis vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg56.856.956.957.357.357.7
Nashville56.856.956.957.357.357.7
Arizona56.957.057.057.257.257.5
Dallas56.856.856.857.357.357.7
Minnesota56.856.856.957.357.357.7
Chicago56.856.856.957.257.257.7
Calgary56.957.057.057.257.257.5
Vancouver56.956.957.057.2*57.257.5
Colorado56.856.856.957.257.257.7
St. Louis60.560.560.055.955.951.7
3.83.83.73.43.53.2
4.03.93.83.03.02.3
San Jose56.956.957.0*57.257.257.5
Edmonton56.956.957.057.257.257.5
Anaheim56.956.957.0*57.257.257.5
Los Angeles56.956.956.957.257.257.5
Pittsburgh vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg57.4*57.1*57.156.956.956.9
Nashville57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
Arizona57.6*57.2*57.156.856.756.7
Dallas57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
Minnesota57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
Chicago57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
Calgary57.6*57.1*57.256.756.756.7
Vancouver57.6*57.1*57.256.856.756.7
Colorado57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
St. Louis57.4*57.1*57.256.956.956.9
San Jose57.5*57.2*57.156.856.756.7
Edmonton57.6*57.1*57.256.756.756.7
Anaheim52.957.057.061.161.661.6
3.3*3.5*3.53.83.83.8
2.53.23.24.14.24.2
Los Angeles57.5*57.2*57.156.856.756.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

WinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryVancouverColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
Winnipeg7.02.27.07.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Nashville7.02.27.07.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Arizona2.22.22.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.07.0
Dallas7.07.02.27.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Minnesota7.07.02.27.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Chicago7.07.02.27.07.02.22.27.07.02.22.22.22.2
Calgary2.22.27.02.22.22.27.02.22.27.07.07.07.0
Vancouver2.22.27.02.22.22.27.02.22.27.07.07.07.0
Colorado7.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.27.02.22.22.22.2
St. Louis7.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.27.02.22.22.22.2
San Jose2.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.0
Edmonton2.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.0
Anaheim2.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.0
Los Angeles2.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.0