Western Conference Playoff Chances

Nashville +7.1, Vancouver -6.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthMonday
MinnesotaLNashville 2-46533011-546100.0%25.3%-3.019.9%-11.387670000000006.658Minnesota Wild
ChicagoWVancouver 4-2653014-51599.9+0.13.4+0.40.2+0.161848100000008.560Chicago Blackhawks
San Jose6022916-21899.7+0.04.8+0.20.2+0.05532613210000004.569Colorado 0-0 (9:00 pm ET)San Jose Sharks
Edmonton602615-81398.5-0.03.4+0.10.0+0.012134337310000012.559Edmonton Oilers
Anaheim612614-9798.0+0.01.9+0.10.0+0.011834358310000010.535Winnipeg 0-0 (8:00 pm ET)Anaheim Ducks
NashvilleWMinnesota 4-25322317-7886.3+7.11.7+0.40.000760101074210017.546Nashville Predators
Los Angeles4832220-4-266.9+0.20.7+0.00.00141328201410630013.518NY Rangers 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Los Angeles Kings
St. Louis5122319-5-1362.2-0.30.2+0.00.00022517181511740014.479St. Louis Blues
Calgary512422-3-839.6+0.20.2+0.00.00015151920181490020.492Toronto 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Calgary Flames
VancouverLChicago 2-45012220-6-1919.1-6.50.0-0.00.0-0.00002611152023231027.451Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg482223-4-1118.6-0.50.1+0.00.0000549152023231022.482Anaheim 0-0 (8:00 pm ET)Winnipeg Jets
Dallas4711920-9-2211.2-0.20.00.0000326111724352028.453Dallas Stars
Arizona3431426-6-480.00.0No0000000003732429.364Florida 0-0 (9:00 pm ET)Arizona Coyotes
Colorado2851329-2-590.00.0No0000000000237630.342San Jose 0-0 (9:00 pm ET)Colorado Avalanche

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota-0.2
-7.4
Edmonton-0.1
Anaheim-0.1
Nashville+5.3
+0.1
Los Angeles-0.8
St. Louis-1.1
Calgary-1.0
Vancouver-0.7
Winnipeg-0.9
Dallas-0.6
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago+0.1
Edmonton+0.1
Anaheim+0.1
Nashville+0.5
Los Angeles+0.9
St. Louis+0.8
Calgary+1.0
Vancouver-4.4
No
Winnipeg+0.5
Dallas+0.3
Ottawa 6 Columbus 7 (ot)
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota-1.5
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1
3:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota-0.3
Monday
Toronto vs CalgaryIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton98.7*98.5*98.598.498.498.4
Anaheim98.2*98.0*98.097.997.997.9
Nashville87.0*86.3*86.385.785.685.6
Los Angeles68.1*66.9*66.965.565.365.3
St. Louis63.4*62.2*62.260.860.660.6
Calgary33.939.739.745.646.646.6
NoNoNo0.0No0.0
Vancouver20.019.019.018.118.018.0
Winnipeg19.418.5*18.617.717.617.6
Dallas11.711.211.210.610.510.5
NY Rangers vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota19.919.919.920.020.020.0
Edmonton98.698.598.598.498.498.4
Anaheim98.198.098.097.997.997.9
Nashville86.886.386.385.885.785.7
Los Angeles62.267.767.772.873.573.6
0.70.80.80.80.80.8
St. Louis63.162.062.061.060.860.8
Calgary40.739.439.438.238.038.0
Vancouver19.918.918.918.018.018.0
Winnipeg19.218.418.417.717.617.6
Dallas11.711.111.110.610.510.5
Winnipeg vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton98.598.598.598.598.598.6
Anaheim97.198.098.098.798.898.8
1.91.91.92.02.02.0
Nashville85.985.886.086.486.486.9
Los Angeles66.366.166.367.067.067.7
St. Louis61.461.361.562.362.363.1
Calgary39.038.839.039.739.740.4
Vancouver18.718.618.619.119.119.6
Winnipeg22.622.421.717.417.313.7
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
Dallas10.910.810.911.211.211.5
Colorado vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose99.599.799.799.899.899.8
4.74.84.84.84.84.8
0.10.20.20.30.30.3
Arizona vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona0.0*0.0*No*No*NoNo
Washington vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota25.325.325.325.325.325.4
18.918.919.221.121.122.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

MinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverWinnipegDallasArizonaColorado
Minnesota0.40.52.73.213.719.218.817.49.88.65.60.00.0
Chicago0.40.40.40.461.41.625.51.30.75.02.70.00.0
San Jose0.50.420.722.86.020.710.010.24.22.81.60.00.0
Edmonton2.70.420.746.52.212.93.75.62.11.10.60.00.0
Anaheim3.20.422.846.51.812.03.24.82.10.80.60.00.0
Nashville13.761.46.02.21.80.10.90.00.00.10.10.00.0
Los Angeles19.21.620.712.912.00.10.10.20.10.00.00.00.0
St. Louis18.825.510.03.73.20.90.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Calgary17.41.310.25.64.80.00.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Vancouver9.80.74.22.12.10.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Winnipeg8.65.02.81.10.80.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Dallas5.62.71.60.60.60.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Arizona0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Colorado0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0