Western Conference Playoff Chances

Minnesota +14.7, San Jose -8.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
ThursdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrengthFriday
NashvilleLMinnesota 2-48914114-741100.0%14.9%-1.954.2%-15.38431110000001.616Nashville Predators
St. LouisWWinnipeg 2-1 (so)8223918-43899.9+0.18.2+0.03.9+1.510161262000003.595St. Louis Blues
Anaheim8313817-7899.8+0.02.8+0.11.4+0.34781430000007.525Los AngelesAnaheim Ducks
ChicagoWFlorida 3-07913720-53799.6+0.67.7+1.20.5+0.220266461000005.597at Tampa BayChicago Blackhawks
VancouverLBuffalo 3-67323523-31293.0-3.23.0-0.70.0-0.001249243542000010.539Vancouver Canucks
Los AngelesLOttawa 0-17032919-12975.6-7.13.1-0.50.0-0.0042032712138310019.554at AnaheimLos Angeles Kings
Calgary7023324-41671.0+2.12.6+0.20.0021533714159310013.549at NY IslandersCalgary Flames
MinnesotaWNashville 4-27123222-71368.7+14.72.2+0.70.0001637251710410014.547Minnesota Wild
WinnipegLSt. Louis 1-2 (so)743120-12462.6+1.21.1+0.00.0-0.0000431271913410016.520Winnipeg Jets
San JoseLDetroit 2-36813024-8-423.9-8.70.3-0.10.0002841019311880017.510San Jose Sharks
Colorado6322624-11-143.2+0.10.0+0.0No00001261333440020.468at DallasColorado Avalanche
Dallas6322725-9-112.7+0.10.0+0.0No00001251334440021.486ColoradoDallas Stars
ArizonaLNY Rangers 3-44712035-7-730.0No-0.0No0000000584229.336Arizona Coyotes
Edmonton4611834-10-640.0NoNo000000425830.352Edmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Nashville 2 Minnesota 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.2
-10.3
St. Louis+1.0
Anaheim+0.4
Chicago-0.1
+0.1
Vancouver-0.7
Los Angeles-1.3
-0.1
Calgary-2.0
-0.1
Minnesota+9.2
+0.3
Winnipeg-2.3
San Jose-2.0
Colorado-0.4
Dallas-0.3
San Jose 2 Detroit 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.3
Vancouver+0.7
Los Angeles+1.6
+0.1
Calgary+1.8
+0.1
Minnesota+1.7
Winnipeg+1.9
San Jose-8.2
-0.1
*No
Colorado+0.2
Dallas+0.2
Arizona*Out
Los Angeles 0 Ottawa 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver+0.5
Los Angeles-7.0
-0.4
Calgary+1.6
+0.1
Minnesota+1.4
+0.1
Winnipeg+1.6
San Jose+1.6
Colorado+0.2
Dallas+0.1
Buffalo 6 Vancouver 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver-2.9
-0.2
Los Angeles+0.3
Calgary+0.6
Minnesota+0.6
Winnipeg+0.6
San Jose+0.6
Colorado+0.1
Winnipeg 1 St. Louis 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.3
St. Louis+0.1
*+0.1
+0.7
Los Angeles*+0.1
Winnipeg-0.5
*No
San Jose*+0.1
Colorado+0.1
Florida 0 Chicago 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis-0.1
Chicago+0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Minnesota-0.1
Winnipeg-0.1
San Jose-0.1
Columbus 2 Montreal 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-1.4
St. Louis-0.1
Anaheim-0.1
Friday
NY Islanders vs CalgaryIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville53.853.853.954.454.454.7
St. Louis3.93.93.94.04.04.0
Vancouver93.593.093.092.592.492.4
Los Angeles76.875.575.574.374.274.2
3.2*3.1*3.13.03.03.0
Calgary64.371.371.377.578.378.3
2.32.62.62.92.92.9
Minnesota70.1*68.7*68.767.467.167.1
2.3*2.2*2.22.22.22.2
Winnipeg64.362.562.560.860.860.8
San Jose25.323.923.922.722.522.5
Colorado3.43.13.12.92.92.9
Dallas2.92.72.72.52.52.5
Anaheim vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville54.054.054.054.354.354.5
Anaheim99.999.999.999.899.899.7
2.82.82.82.82.82.7
1.91.91.91.11.10.6
Vancouver93.5*93.0*93.092.692.692.6
Los Angeles69.075.475.481.181.681.6
2.83.13.13.43.43.4
Calgary72.471.071.069.769.669.7
2.7*2.6*2.62.52.52.5
Minnesota70.068.768.767.667.467.5
2.3*2.22.22.22.22.2
Winnipeg64.162.662.661.361.361.3
San Jose25.324.024.022.922.722.7
Colorado3.43.13.13.03.03.0
Dallas2.9*2.7*2.72.62.52.5
Dallas vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles75.675.575.575.475.475.5
Calgary71.170.970.970.870.871.0
Minnesota68.868.668.668.468.468.6
Winnipeg62.762.562.562.562.462.6
San Jose24.023.823.923.823.823.9
Colorado1.82.92.94.74.74.8
Dallas3.63.53.42.02.01.2
Tampa Bay vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville54.054.054.054.354.254.5
St. Louis8.28.2*8.28.18.18.1
Chicago99.399.699.699.899.899.8
7.67.77.77.87.87.8
0.20.40.40.70.80.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

NashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoVancouverLos AngelesCalgaryMinnesotaWinnipegSan JoseColoradoDallasArizonaEdmonton
Nashville2.50.310.94.310.611.623.224.38.52.01.80.00.0
St. Louis2.51.578.30.81.31.56.85.51.10.30.20.00.0
Anaheim0.31.54.86.812.012.430.126.44.20.70.50.00.0
Chicago10.978.34.80.80.50.42.01.50.20.00.10.00.0
Vancouver4.30.86.80.835.331.14.53.26.00.10.10.00.0
Los Angeles10.61.312.00.535.311.21.31.12.20.00.00.0
Calgary11.61.512.40.431.111.20.60.51.60.00.00.0No
Minnesota23.26.830.12.04.51.30.60.00.00.00.0
Winnipeg24.35.526.41.53.21.10.50.00.00.00.0
San Jose8.51.14.20.26.02.21.60.00.00.00.0No
Colorado2.00.30.70.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Dallas1.80.20.50.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Arizona0.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Edmonton0.00.00.00.00.0No