New York Yankees Playoff Chances

Lost to Tigers 2-3, playoff odds down 1.6 to 3.9%
69-63   .523

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 -2.5
-0.1
-0.2
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 -0.6
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7 -0.3
Rangers 2 Mariners 6 -0.2
Angels 9 Astros 3 -0.2
Rays 0 Athletics 3 +0.2
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 +3.0
+0.1
+0.3
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 +0.6
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 6 -0.5
Rangers 4 Mariners 3 +0.2
Angels 2 Astros 1 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9930-0In6733186,090
9829-1In445616
9728-2In3268238
9627-3In15850002,546
9526-4100.0%591111018,866
9425-599.91872360109,635
9324-699.2073631710509,269
9223-796.205111232401,944,344
9122-887.80281414412006,221,012
9021-972.001113047262016,879,920
8920-1049.90390384280039,215,700
8819-1127.61402349231078,650,846
8718-1211.602010424240136,927,075
8617-133.5000326571300207,757,708
8516-140.7000112562920275,552,025
8415-150.100044246900320,042,366
8314-160.000122522410325,548,510
8213-170.00008414470289,975,285
8112-180.000222552200225,721,249
8011-19Out008484500153,149,396
7910-20Out00230681090,208,451
789-21Out00148330045,855,114
778-22Out0058780019,956,726
767-23Out0180181007,362,805
756-24Out064314002,270,394
745-25Out043431310576,822
734-26Out022452850116,657
723-27Out8344215118,053
712-28Out217433442,030
701-29Out3355310156
690-30Out011758230186,096
Total:3.9%001031026272112000002,244,965,400

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsOriolesRoyalsMarinersTigersIndiansBlue JaysRaysWhite SoxTwins
97-993.3%Yes
9627-33.499000
9526-43.497110
9425-53.39144000
9324-63.0799100100
9223-72.56216170100
9122-81.942212401000
9021-91.22522250100000
8920-100.712182000000000
8819-110.45111200000000
8718-120.125500000000
8617-130.00220000000
8516-140.00000000000
8415-150.0000000
8314-160.00000
8213-170.00000
8112-18No000
69-80No
Total:0.1%0.91.41.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 +0.5
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9930-0673210
9829-144506
9728-22850211
9627-311513440
9526-43344714100
9425-511545317100
9324-60427402250010
9223-701930351840040
9122-8002112830143001200
9021-900210232410202710
8920-100002818165143700
8819-1100015118251201000
8718-12000135342406000
8617-1300000122349214000
8516-140000173537163000
8415-1500001143333153000
8314-1600003153334142000
8213-170003163533112000
8112-18000031839299100
8011-1900042338268100
7910-2000072737226000
789-21001113136183000
778-22002153535121000
767-230042039287100
756-2400162639226100
745-25001103034196100
734-2600212283219610
723-270212273320500
712-28031227341940
701-293103137154
690-300031537341010
Total:00000011119151414141295310000000000