New York Yankees Playoff Chances

Beat Dodgers 6-4, playoff odds down 13.9 to 26.6%

39-32 .549

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Indians 1 Yankees 0	-2.8		-0.3		-0.2
Nationals 5 White Sox 2	+0.2

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Indians 0 Yankees 7	+4.1		+0.4		+0.3
Nationals 7 White Sox 4	+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

108	-130				In		100															20,893	*
107		68	-	23	In		99			1												95
106		67	-	24	In		100	0														246
105		66	-	25	In		99	1		0												658
104		65	-	26	In		98	1		0												1,865
103		64	-	27	In		97	3		1												4,603
102		63	-	28	In		94	5	0	2												10,907
101		62	-	29	In		90	7	0	3												25,277
100		61	-	30	In		84	11	0	5	0											54,698
99		60	-	31	In		75	16	1	8	0											111,929
98		59	-	32	In		64	21	2	13	0											221,183
97		58	-	33	In		52	26	3	19	0											412,819
96		57	-	34	100.0	%	38	29	5	27	0	0										735,153
95		56	-	35	100.0		26	29	8	36	1	0	0									1,248,573
94		55	-	36	100.0		15	26	10	46	3	0	0									2,030,027
93		54	-	37	99.8		8	20	12	54	7	0	0									3,146,894
92		53	-	38	99.3		3	13	12	57	13	1	0	0								4,661,946
91		52	-	39	97.7		1	7	11	56	23	2	0	0								6,592,447
90		51	-	40	93.5		0	3	8	48	34	6	0	0	0							8,909,492
89		50	-	41	84.7		0	1	5	36	43	14	1	0	0	0						11,528,916
88		49	-	42	70.2		0	0	2	22	45	25	5	0	0	0						14,234,650
87		48	-	43	51.1		0	0	1	12	38	36	12	1	0	0						16,811,260
86		47	-	44	31.5		0	0	0	5	26	41	23	5	0	0	0					19,001,274
85		46	-	45	15.8			0	0	2	14	37	34	12	2	0	0	0				20,534,191
84		45	-	46	6.3			0	0	0	6	26	39	24	5	0	0	0				21,216,372
83		44	-	47	1.9				0	0	2	14	35	35	13	2	0	0				20,967,768
82		43	-	48	0.4				0	0	0	6	24	39	25	6	0	0	0			19,819,535
81		42	-	49	0.1				0	0	0	2	12	34	36	14	2	0	0			17,909,725
80		41	-	50	0.0					0	0	0	5	22	40	26	6	0	0	0		15,487,897
79		40	-	51	0.0						0	0	1	12	34	37	14	2	0	0		12,799,317
78		39	-	52	0.0						0	0	0	5	23	41	26	5	0	0		10,115,761
77		38	-	53	Out							0	0	1	12	37	37	12	1	0		7,628,544
76		37	-	54	Out							0	0	0	5	26	43	23	3	0	0	5,502,447
75		36	-	55	Out								0	0	2	16	41	35	7	0	0	3,787,865
74		35	-	56	Out								0	0	1	8	33	44	14	1	0	2,490,526
73		34	-	57	Out									0	0	3	22	48	24	3	0	1,562,435
72		33	-	58	Out									0	0	1	13	45	34	7	0	934,463
71		32	-	59	Out										0	0	7	37	42	13	0	533,791
70		31	-	60	Out										0	0	3	27	47	22	1	289,140
69		30	-	61	Out											0	1	18	46	33	2	150,094
68		29	-	62	Out											0	0	11	41	44	4	73,931
67		28	-	63	Out												0	6	33	53	8	34,842
66		27	-	64	Out												0	3	24	60	14	15,503
65		26	-	65	Out												0	1	17	61	20	6,632
64		25	-	66	Out													0	10	62	28	2,616
63		24	-	67	Out													0	5	58	36	975
62		23	-	68	Out														5	49	45	326
61		22	-	69	Out														2	39	60	122
60		21	-	70	Out														3	38	60	40
59		20	-	71	Out															27	73	11
58		19	-	72	Out															33	67	3
39	-57				Out																100	20,863	*

Total:					26.6	%	1	1	2	10	13	15	15	14	12	9	5	3	1	0	0	251,651,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Red Sox	Tigers	Athletics	Orioles	Rangers	Rays	Indians	Royals	Blue Jays	Twins	Angels	White Sox	Mariners	Astros

108	-130				5.2	%	Yes
107		68	-	23	5.3		99							1
106		67	-	24	7.3		Yes
105		66	-	25	6.2		100				0
104		65	-	26	5.1		100				0	0	0	0
103		64	-	27	5.6		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
102		63	-	28	5.3		98		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
101		62	-	29	5.2		97	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		61	-	30	5.1		95	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0		0
99		60	-	31	5.1		92	0	0	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
98		59	-	32	4.9		87	0	1	1	4	3	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
97		58	-	33	4.6		80	1	1	2	6	5	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
96		57	-	34	4.4		72	1	1	3	9	6	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
95		56	-	35	4.1		62	2	1	3	12	8	3	4	2	1	0	0	0	0
94		55	-	36	3.7		51	4	2	4	15	11	4	5	3	1	0	0	0	0
93		54	-	37	3.3		40	5	2	5	19	13	5	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
92		53	-	38	2.9		29	7	2	6	22	15	6	6	4	1	0	0	0	0
91		52	-	39	2.5		19	8	2	7	24	16	7	7	4	2	0	0	0	0	0
90		51	-	40	2.1		11	9	2	7	25	17	7	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0
89		50	-	41	1.7		6	8	2	7	24	16	7	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0
88		49	-	42	1.3		3	7	2	6	21	14	6	6	4	2	1	0	0	0
87		48	-	43	0.9		1	5	1	4	16	10	5	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
86		47	-	44	0.5		0	3	1	3	10	6	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
85		46	-	45	0.3		0	2	0	1	5	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
84		45	-	46	0.1		0	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
83		44	-	47	0.0		0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		43	-	48	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		42	-	49	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		41	-	50	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		40	-	51	0.0			0		0	0	0	0		0
78		39	-	52	No			0			0	0
39	-77				No

Total:					0.6	%	3.7	2.4	0.6	2.0	7.2	4.7	2.1	1.9	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indians 1 Yankees 0	+0.4

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indians 0 Yankees 7	-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

109	-130				100
108		69	-	22	92	8
107		68	-	23	87	13
106		67	-	24	80	20
105		66	-	25	69	30	1
104		65	-	26	63	36	2
103		64	-	27	51	44	4	0
102		63	-	28	39	51	10	0	0
101		62	-	29	29	55	15	1	0
100		61	-	30	19	53	24	4	0	0
99		60	-	31	11	47	33	9	1	0	0
98		59	-	32	6	36	39	16	3	0	0
97		58	-	33	2	24	40	25	8	1	0	0	0
96		57	-	34	1	13	34	33	15	3	0	0	0		0
95		56	-	35	0	6	23	35	25	9	2	0	0		0	0
94		55	-	36	0	2	13	29	32	18	5	1	0	0	0	0
93		54	-	37	0	1	5	19	32	28	12	3	0	0	0	0
92		53	-	38	0	0	2	9	24	32	23	8	1	0	1	0	0
91		52	-	39	0	0	0	3	13	28	31	17	5	0	2	0	0
90		51	-	40		0	0	1	5	17	30	27	12	2	6	0	0	0
89		50	-	41		0	0	0	1	7	20	30	21	6	14	2	0	0	0
88		49	-	42			0	0	0	2	9	22	25	12	24	6	1	0	0	0
87		48	-	43			0	0	0	0	3	11	21	17	32	14	3	0	0	0	0
86		47	-	44				0	0	0	0	3	11	16	31	26	10	2	0	0	0	0
85		46	-	45					0	0	0	1	4	11	21	32	21	8	2	0	0	0	0
84		45	-	46						0	0	0	1	5	10	26	29	19	7	2	0	0	0	0
83		44	-	47							0	0	0	2	3	13	26	28	18	7	2	0	0	0	0
82		43	-	48								0	0	0	1	4	14	25	28	18	7	2	0	0	0	0
81		42	-	49									0	0	0	1	5	14	25	27	19	8	2	0	0	0	0
80		41	-	50									0	0	0	0	1	5	14	25	28	19	7	2	0	0	0
79		40	-	51										0	0	0	0	1	5	14	25	28	18	7	2	0	0	0
78		39	-	52										0	0	0	0	0	1	5	14	26	28	18	7	1	0	0	0
77		38	-	53													0	0	0	1	5	15	27	28	17	6	1	0	0	0
76		37	-	54														0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	16	5	1	0	0	0
75		36	-	55														0	0	0	0	1	7	18	29	27	13	4	1	0	0
74		35	-	56																0	0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0	0
73		34	-	57																	0	0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0
72		33	-	58																	0	0	0	0	4	13	27	30	18	6	1	0	0
71		32	-	59																		0	0	0	1	6	18	30	28	14	4	0	0
70		31	-	60																				0	0	2	8	22	32	25	10	2	0
69		30	-	61																					0	0	3	13	27	32	19	5	0	0
68		29	-	62																					0	0	1	6	19	33	30	11	1	0
67		28	-	63																					0	0	0	2	10	27	36	22	3	0
66		27	-	64																							0	0	4	18	38	33	7	0
65		26	-	65																								0	1	10	32	43	13	1
64		25	-	66																									0	4	23	49	22	1
63		24	-	67																									0	2	16	48	32	2
62		23	-	68																										1	12	41	43	3
61		22	-	69																											3	34	56	7
60		21	-	70																											3	30	48	20
59		20	-	71																												18	55	27
58		19	-	72																													33	67
39	-57																																	100

Total:					0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	5	10	10	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0