New York Yankees Playoff Chances

Lost to Tigers 2-3, playoff odds down 1.6 to 3.9%
69-63   .523

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 -2.5
-0.1
-0.2
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 -0.6
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7 -0.3
Rangers 2 Mariners 6 -0.2
Angels 9 Astros 3 -0.2
Rays 0 Athletics 3 +0.2
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 +3.0
+0.1
+0.3
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 +0.6
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 6 -0.5
Rangers 4 Mariners 3 +0.2
Angels 2 Astros 1 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9930-0In6733806,856
9829-1In485267
9728-2In316901,061
9627-3In148500011,010
9526-4100.0%591111081,088
9425-599.91872360474,597
9324-699.20736317102,207,704
9223-796.205111232408,437,648
9122-887.802814144120026,977,657
9021-972.001113047262073,197,104
8920-1049.903903842800170,029,706
8819-1127.7014023492310341,007,614
8718-1211.6020104242400593,626,239
8617-133.5000326571300900,787,446
8516-140.70001125629201,194,861,681
8415-150.10000442469001,387,608,801
8314-160.0001225224101,411,489,893
8213-170.000084144701,257,215,997
8112-180.000222552200978,643,470
8011-19Out007484500664,047,361
7910-20Out0023068100391,106,934
789-21Out001483300198,798,266
778-22Out0058780086,525,894
767-23Out01801810031,927,695
756-24Out0064314009,846,120
745-25Out0434313102,494,062
734-26Out022452850505,023
723-27Out8334216178,127
712-28Out217443338,690
701-29Out03384910608
690-30Out011758230806,881
Total:3.9%001031026272112000009,733,611,300

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsOriolesRoyalsMarinersTigersIndiansBlue JaysRaysWhite SoxTwins
98-993.3%Yes
9728-23.51000
9627-33.599000
9526-43.59711000
9425-53.491440000
9324-63.0809100100
9223-72.56216170100
9122-81.942212401000
9021-91.2252225001000000
8920-100.7121820000000000
8819-110.451112000000000
8718-120.1255000000000
8617-130.002200000000
8516-140.00000000000
8415-150.000000000
8314-160.000000
8213-170.00000
8112-18No000
69-80No
Total:0.1%0.91.41.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 +0.5
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9930-0673210
9829-1454510
9728-228541710
9627-311513440
9526-44344714100
9425-5115453171000
9324-604274022500010
9223-7019303517400040
9122-8002112830143001200
9021-90002102324102027100
8920-1000028181651437000
8819-1100015118251201000
8718-12000135342406000
8617-1300000122349214000
8516-140000173537163000
8415-1500001143333153000
8314-1600003153334142000
8213-1700003163533112000
8112-180000318392991000
8011-19000042338268100
7910-2000072737226000
789-210001113136183000
778-22002153535121000
767-23000420392871000
756-24001626392261000
745-25001103034196100
734-2600212283219610
723-2700212273320500
712-28021128342040
701-290021333341330
690-3000031537341010
Total:00000011119151414141295310000000000