New York Yankees Playoff Chances

Lost to Red Sox 1-5, playoff odds down 6.8 to 33.3%
12-9   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Astros 2 Yankees 4 +2.8
+0.2
+0.4
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 7 +3.0
+0.3
+0.4
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6 +0.4
+0.1
Rays 8 Rangers 1 -0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
104-153In100327*
10391-50In991145
10290-51In1000278
10189-52In991548
10088-53In982910
9987-54In96401,491
9886-55In946002,453
9785-56In918013,835
9684-57In8712016,065
9583-58In81170209,453
9482-59In732214013,758
9381-60In632926019,343
9280-61100.0%5137490026,840
9179-62100.0384261310035,820
9078-6399.92544111820046,927
8977-6499.514411623500058,652
8876-6598.573322261010072,406
8775-6695.2323262618400086,321
8674-6787.211326212611200099,568
8573-6871.8062314292161000112,816
8472-6949.80217724291641000123,045
8371-7027.300112142927133000130,869
8270-7111.40605183126113000135,349
8169-724.20301721312410200135,917
8068-731.40100292432228100132,776
7967-740.500003122632206100125,663
7866-750.10000414293116400115,839
7765-760.00000151832291220103,215
7664-770.00000182435247090,302
7563-780.00000314323515275,611
7462-79Out00016233927561,984
7361-80Out00021336381049,713
7260-81Out001728461838,111
7159-82Out000319492928,927
7058-83Out00112473921,133
6957-84Out007425015,104
6856-85Out004356110,399
6755-86Out0229696,830
6654-87Out122774,422
6553-88Out0017832,702
6452-89Out013871,643
6351-90Out8921,052
6250-91Out0793575
6149-92Out496340
6048-93Out397151
5947-94Out10091
5846-95Out39739
12-57Out100202*
Total:33.3%5786778887776632,009,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsBlue JaysRangersWhite SoxRaysTigersTwinsRoyalsOriolesIndiansRed SoxMarinersAstros
100-15311.1%Yes
9987-5411.0100000
9886-5510.61000000000
9785-5610.79900000000000
9684-5711.6990000000000000
9583-5810.99800000000000000
9482-5910.49601000000000000
9381-6010.19411110100000000
9280-6110.29111110110010000
9179-629.78622121111110110
9078-639.38033231211121110
8977-648.67244342311121110
8876-657.86255352322231210
8775-666.85166463422232220
8674-675.74067463433332220
8573-684.42966363322232220
8472-693.01944242222221110
8371-701.61122121111111110
8270-710.7611010000000000
8169-720.3300000000000000
8068-730.1100000000000000
7967-740.00000000000000
7866-750.00000
7765-760.0000
75-760.00
12-74No
Total:2.6%20.31.71.81.11.70.81.00.70.70.70.90.50.60.60.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Astros 2 Yankees 4 -0.7
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 7 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104-153100
10391-50982
10290-51982
10189-529450
10088-5390100
9987-54861310
9886-55782020
9785-56702640
9684-57603361
9583-58483912200
9482-59354318400
9381-602340269200
9280-611333321651000
9179-626223325113100000
9078-632112530209200000
8977-6404142527188200000
8876-65016152526177201000
8775-660015142425177141000
8674-6700141221251761031000
8573-68001310202414159310000
8472-69000281821141712510000
8371-7000171871721168310000
8270-710002102716222114620000
8169-7200040151220231911410000
8068-730010012716222216831000
7967-740000014111924211362000
7866-7500001271422231793100
7765-76000001411192421125100
7664-770000139172523156100
7563-780000027162525166100
7462-7900002716262616510
7361-800000271829271330
7260-8100002922322481
7159-820014133034172
7058-83000172238275
6957-8400314363710
6856-85018294616
6755-8604224825
6654-8702144935
6553-88194347
6452-89053956
6351-9033265
6250-9132374
6149-9201881
6048-9311981
5947-94991
5846-951090
5745-96793
5644-971882
12-55100
Total:223334444533444444444444333221