New York Yankees Playoff Chances

Lost to Mets 2-8, playoff odds down 8.7 to 56.2%
10-8   .556

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 6 Mets 1 +2.5
+0.3
+0.2
Tigers 1 Indians 13 +0.2
Rays 12 Blue Jays 3 +0.2
+0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 2 Mets 8 -3.2
-0.5
-0.3
Orioles 5 Red Sox 4 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-154In100284*
10797-47In991125
105-106In100686*
10494-50In1000787
10393-51In9821,306
10292-52In98202,191
10191-53In97303,427
10090-54In946005,572
9989-55In927008,408
9888-56In881101012,361
9787-57In84150117,614
9686-58In782002024,428
9585-59In702613032,582
9484-60100.0%6133250042,315
9383-61100.05139370054,261
9282-62100.039446111066,450
9181-6399.9274691520080,028
9080-6499.81845142040093,616
8979-6599.3103919248100106,182
8878-6697.84302327142000116,301
8777-6793.72202526226100124,276
8676-6884.60112321291320000128,705
8575-6968.8051913312371000130,378
8474-7047.2021462531174100127,460
8373-7125.70082153128133000122,681
8272-7210.80406213225102000112,591
8171-733.60201924322281000102,234
8070-741.10100312273119610089,845
7969-750.3000141529301641076,199
7868-760.1000151831281330063,432
7767-770.000001822332591051,103
7666-780.000002122733205140,212
7565-79Out001417333113230,356
7464-80Out00018253723522,373
7363-81Out00031635341116,218
7262-82Out001828412111,394
7161-83Out0042044327,810
7060-84Out011341455,040
6959-85Out00736563,259
6858-86Out0428682,060
6757-87Out218791,210
6656-88Out11584746
6555-89Out11188410
6454-90Out892206
6353-91Out496121
6252-92Out29885
6151-93Out39730
10-60Out100182*
Total:56.2%121510101097655432211,939,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeRoyalsTigersAstrosRed SoxAthleticsAngelsBlue JaysRaysOriolesIndiansWhite SoxRangersMarinersTwins
103-15414.2%Yes
10292-5215.01000
10191-5314.41000000
10090-5414.71000000000
9989-5514.910000000000000
9888-5614.7990000000000000
9787-5715.09900000000000000
9686-5814.39800000000000000
9585-5914.49701000000000000
9484-6014.29511000001000000
9383-6113.79312010011000000
9282-6213.38922111011110000
9181-6312.98324121122111000
9080-6412.07635121122111001
8979-6511.26747232233221011
8878-6610.25769242244222111
8777-679.046710343244332111
8676-687.735711343344332111
8575-695.824610343343232111
8474-703.71547222222222111
8373-712.0924111111111001
8272-720.8512000000000000
8171-730.3200000000000000
8070-740.1100000000000000
7969-750.0000000000000
7868-760.000000000
7767-770.000
7666-78No0
10-75No
Total:6.2%36.42.74.31.21.71.11.01.71.71.01.10.80.40.30.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 6 Mets 1 -0.5
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 2 Mets 8 +0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108-154100
10797-47991
10696-48991
10595-49982
10494-50973
10393-519370
10292-5291900
10191-5388121
10090-5481181
9989-55752320
9888-566629400
9787-575636710
9686-5844411320
9585-59324221510
9484-60214028102000
9383-611233331741000
9282-6262334251030000
9181-632132830197200000
9080-6415172826155100000
8979-6502820272413510100
8878-66002920272212412000
8777-670003919262211251000
8676-680002818262181141000
8575-6900027182517161041000
8474-7000171722141813620000
8373-710017177172117931000
8272-7200029281723201352000
8171-7300302614222317931000
8070-74000100141019242113520000
7969-75000012715222417931000
7868-76000001411202421125100
7767-7700001381724231672000
7666-780000261423251893000
7565-7900015122326209300
7464-8000014122327209300
7363-81001513242919810
7262-8200151627291740
7161-83018203226111
7060-84003122734204
6959-850161936317
6858-8600311333815
6757-8716254722
6656-8804174534
6555-891134244
6454-9074052
6353-9133661
6252-9222771
6151-931387
6050-94793
5949-95100
5848-965050
100-144100
Total:456666666544444333322221111100