Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances

Beat Twins 3-1, playoff odds up 3.7 to 86.2%
32-23   .582

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
White Sox 3 Royals 2 -2.0
-0.4
-0.2
Yankees 2 Mets 8 +0.2
Tigers 4 Indians 1 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
White Sox 5 Royals 3 -2.0
-0.4
-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
114-139In100114,012*
11381-26In10005,665
11280-27In100014,333
11179-28In100034,306
11078-29In100077,116
10977-30In1000164,479
10876-31In1000337,423
10775-32In10000661,956
10674-33In100001,240,654
10573-34In100002,230,274
10472-35In100003,830,134
10371-36In1000006,295,239
10270-37In991009,937,751
10169-38In9910015,036,794
10068-39In97200021,837,480
9967-40In96400030,427,661
9866-41In93701040,762,251
9765-42In881101052,443,747
9664-43100.0%8116020064,845,522
9563-44100.07223140077,092,267
9462-45100.061302600088,108,484
9361-46100.0483851000096,924,097
9260-47100.034438141000102,533,009
9159-4899.9214313202000104,396,313
9058-4999.5113919246000102,299,852
8957-5098.2530242712200096,502,216
8856-5194.42202726205000087,615,916
8755-5285.601126212812200076,595,954
8654-5369.705211330237100064,466,508
8553-5448.3021562532164000052,252,948
8452-5527.00010215322811200040,770,562
8351-5612.0005162334237100030,636,706
8250-574.2020211293317400022,157,359
8149-581.30100417333012200015,428,992
8048-590.4000017233525810010,342,084
7947-600.1000021129351940006,674,855
7846-610.000004173431122004,149,535
7745-620.00000172436247102,479,133
7644-630.00000213323416301,424,848
7543-64Out001521372781787,661
7442-65Out0002113136173420,420
7341-66Out00152138287214,870
7240-67Out00212333814104,844
7139-68Out01625442449,287
7038-69Out00317443722,798
6937-70Out011039509,902
6836-71Out0531634,105
6735-72Out325721,658
6634-73Out11683637
6533-74Out892237
6432-75Out59578
32-63Out100110,648*
Total:86.2%34221112854211000001,340,151,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeYankeesAstrosTwinsBlue JaysRaysRangersTigersIndiansAngelsOriolesAthleticsMarinersRed SoxWhite Sox
108-13916.5%Yes
10775-3216.6100000
10674-3316.51000000000
10573-3416.5100000000000
10472-3516.5100000000000000
10371-3616.51000000000000000
10270-3716.510000000000000000
10169-3816.510000000000000000
10068-3916.410000000000000000
9967-4016.410000000000000000
9866-4116.49900000000000000
9765-4216.39900000000000000
9664-4316.29800010000000000
9563-4416.09610011000000000
9462-4515.79310011110000000
9361-4615.39021022111000000
9260-4714.88531133111000000
9159-4814.17841144221110000
9058-4913.27062266232110000
8957-5012.16072287332110000
8856-5110.74893399443110000
8755-529.037933109443220000
8654-536.92683298332120000
8553-544.61762266222110000
8452-552.61031143111110000
8351-561.2510011100000000
8250-570.5200000000000000
8149-580.2100000000000000
8048-590.0000000000000000
7947-600.0000000000000000
7846-610.0000000000
7745-620.0000
7644-630.00
32-75No
Total:12.1%66.73.81.21.13.93.71.51.61.20.60.60.10.00.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
White Sox 3 Royals 2 +0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
White Sox 5 Royals 3 +0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115-139100
11482-251000
11381-261000
11280-27991
11179-28991
11078-299910
10977-309820
10876-319730
10775-329550
10674-339280
10573-34891100
10472-35841600
10371-36782200
10270-37702910
10169-386236200
10068-3952444000
9967-4042507000
9866-413255121000
9765-422255202000
9664-43145128600000
9563-448433611200000
9462-4543140205100000
9361-462193729112000000
9260-4711028342061000000
9159-4804173128154100000
9058-4901721302512310000
8957-5000210222922103020000
8856-5100031122282181510000
8755-520001311222618511300000
8654-5300013102024121810200000
8553-540000039191720209300000
8452-550000291613242111310000
8351-560000295172522135100000
8250-570000416162424167200000
8149-580001015142325189310000
8048-5900000141120262112410000
7947-60000001381825231461000
7846-61000002716242517720000
7745-62000001514232619820000
7644-6300000141323272093000
7543-640001412222721103000
7442-6500014122328219200
7341-66001413242820810
7240-670001515272917500
7139-6800271830281320
7038-690002925342350
6937-70014153334121
6836-710172641223
6735-72031741336
6634-7319324314
6533-743284920
6432-751214435
6331-7694943
6230-774753
6129-78100
6028-795050
320-107100
Total:7161412108754233221110000000000000