Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 11.3%
62-61   .504

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 +2.1
+0.3
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +0.2
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 +2.5
+0.3
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.5
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.4
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +0.3
Tigers 5 Giants 3 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10139-0In732700209,058
9836-3In455511
9735-4In20735264
9634-5In1177112515
9533-6In5682073,365
9432-7In2533115018,684
9331-8In1353925182,149
9230-9100.0%018403830316,856
9129-10100.00735481001,065,182
9028-1199.802255022003,135,543
8927-1299.001164538108,153,074
8826-1396.308345440018,850,398
8725-1489.10421641000038,870,894
8624-1575.00111632320071,812,563
8523-1654.100450378100119,198,608
8422-1731.2013044213000178,119,623
8321-1813.30013383512100240,034,024
8220-193.80042240277100291,918,568
8119-200.70018293919300320,509,055
8018-210.1000213363513100317,859,894
7917-220.00003204030700284,502,659
7816-230.000017284220200229,632,849
7715-240.00001123938900166,823,186
7614-25Out000324472330108,905,088
7513-26Out00110404090063,676,181
7412-27Out0032550221033,236,136
7311-28Out001146403015,413,361
7210-29Out0043256906,319,390
719-30Out0117631912,271,892
708-31Out00758322710,379
697-32Out0245467191,541
686-33Out030541643,859
675-34Out01653318,345
664-35Out746471,261
653-36Out23959152
642-37Out208015
620-39Out0396209,058
Total:11.3%0001101316171613941002,522,103,480

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsRangersAngelsMarinersRaysOriolesBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
10139-01.5%1000
9836-3NoYes
9735-41.6982
9634-51.698010
9533-61.8931501000
9432-71.4850210010000
9331-81.3740401802110000
9230-91.1590702813110000
9129-100.94201003924210000
9028-110.828012049242200000
8927-120.7160140563532000000
8826-130.680150603532000000
8725-140.540150593422000000
8624-150.410130513322000000
8523-160.300100382211000000
8422-170.20060221110000000
8321-180.10030100000000000
8220-190.0001030000000000
8119-200.0000000000000000
8018-210.000000000000
7917-220.000000000
7816-23No000
7715-24No0
62-76No
Total:0.1%0.30.02.10.07.70.30.40.20.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -0.5
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10139-0583840
9836-3186418
9735-4245503
9634-51276210
9533-6014622120
9432-7065137600
9331-802334617200
9230-9016423291000
9129-100052639236100
9028-1101103035195000
8927-12002143132163100
8826-13004163231124000
8725-14001519353092000
8624-15001623451671000
8523-1600019441819710000
8422-1700022912272171000
8321-1800013421312171000
8220-190041824322281000
8119-2001021025322281000
8018-21000021025322281000
7917-22000021025332271000
7816-23000021026342161000
7715-2400002112834195000
7614-2500002123034174000
7513-2600003153332143000
7412-270004183530112000
7311-2800162237267100
7210-2900182738215000
719-3000212333515300
708-3100318373011200
697-320062436258100
686-33011028352150
675-34031432341520
664-350418373280
653-36173438181
642-371340407
620-39001175329
Total:000000128369111212119753110000000