Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances

Lost to Indians 3-5, playoff odds down 5.1 to 30.5%
10-10   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
White Sox 9 Twins 10 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tigers vs Royals-2.6+3.5
-0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.4
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Royals 7 White Sox 5 +2.2
+0.2
+0.3
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6 +0.2
Tigers 10 Orioles 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Athletics vs Mariners-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
105-152In1002,553*
10494-48In1000705
10393-49In9911,359
10292-50In99102,376
10191-51In98104,524
10090-52In98208,013
9989-53In9730013,911
9888-54In9450023,081
9787-55In91801037,506
9686-56In871201059,316
9585-57In811702089,706
9484-58100.0%73231300133,241
9383-59100.063302600191,679
9282-60100.051374800267,772
9181-61100.03842712100363,055
9080-6299.9264411172000479,377
8979-6399.6154117225000613,799
8878-6498.573422251010000762,817
8777-6595.232326251840000922,029
8676-6687.31132721261120001,082,463
8575-6771.806231429217100001,235,700
8474-6849.602177242916410001,369,416
8373-6927.20111213282713300001,477,226
8272-7011.5060518302611300001,548,115
8171-714.1030172131241020001,573,248
8070-721.401002924322281001,556,337
7969-730.40000031226322061001,497,210
7868-740.1000004142931174001,397,190
7767-750.000001518332912201,268,625
7666-760.00000018243524601,120,671
7565-770.0000003143234152958,558
7464-780.000000162339265799,871
7363-790.000000213363810646,692
7262-80Out00017294618507,800
7161-81Out0003204928388,469
7060-82Out001124739287,858
6959-83Out00074250208,287
6858-84Out00043660145,367
6757-85Out002296999,018
6656-86Out01237665,664
6555-87Out00178341,401
6454-88Out0138725,893
6353-89Out099115,795
6252-90Out06949,134
6151-91Out04965,243
6050-92Out3972,895
5949-93Out2981,484
5848-94Out199800
5747-95Out199401
10-56Out1002,270*
Total:30.5%47857778888776423,315,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsBlue JaysRangersTwinsWhite SoxTigersYankeesOriolesRaysIndiansRed SoxMarinersAstros
105-15213.4%Yes
10494-488.71000
10393-4912.9Yes
10292-5011.1100000
10191-5110.91000000
10090-5211.1100000000
9989-5311.710000000000000000
9888-5411.71000000000000000
9787-5511.59900000000000000
9686-5611.29900000000000000
9585-5711.49800000000000000
9484-5811.19700000000000000
9383-5910.99411010100000000
9282-6010.69111111110000000
9181-6110.38722121111111010
9080-629.88133122221111110
8979-639.27344232221111110
8878-648.46355253332222110
8777-657.45266363332222120
8676-666.24167364433332220
8575-674.82966363333222120
8474-683.21944242222221110
8373-691.81222121111111110
8272-700.8611010000000000
8171-710.3300000000000000
8070-720.1100000000000000
7969-730.0000000000000000
7868-740.0000000000000000
7767-750.000000
7666-760.0000
73-750.00
10-72No
Total:2.5%18.51.61.70.81.60.90.90.90.70.70.70.60.40.50.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers vs Royals+0.5-0.7
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 7 White Sox 5 -0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106-152100
10595-471000
10494-48982
10393-499730
10292-509640
10191-519370
10090-52891000
9989-53841510
9888-54772120
9787-556927400
9686-5658347100
9585-57463913200
9484-5833422051000
9383-5921392710200000
9282-60123133175100000
9181-61521322612310000
9080-6221125302192000000
8979-6304142527188200000
8878-640151424261882010000
8777-650015132326188141000
8676-6600014122125186931000
8575-670001392025151593100000
8474-680000281821141712510000
8373-69000171871721168310000
8272-70000021027162221136200000
8171-7100040151220231911410000
8070-7200010013816222216831000
7969-730000000141119242113520000
7868-7400000012715222317831000
7767-7500000015112025211141000
7666-7600000139182523145100
7565-7700000128172525156100
7464-78000002717272615510
7363-79000000281929261230
7262-80000031024322371
7161-8100014153033152
7060-82000172337265
6959-830000315353610
6858-840018304318
6757-850004224627
6656-86002154637
6555-8701104247
6454-880063757
6353-89032967
6252-90022474
6151-9111881
6050-9211485
5949-9301090
5848-94694
5747-95397
5646-96595
5545-97298
5444-98100
5343-99694
10-52100
Total:122333344533444444444444443321