Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances

Beat Twins 5-4, playoff odds up 5.2 to 39.7%
9-7   .563

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
White Sox 9 Twins 10 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tigers vs Royals-2.9+3.9
-0.3+0.4
-0.3+0.4
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Royals 7 White Sox 5 +2.2
+0.2
+0.3
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6 +0.2
Tigers 10 Orioles 4 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-155In100491*
10596-50In1000213
10495-51In991348
10394-52In991628
10293-53In9821,079
10192-54In98101,850
10091-55In97303,136
9990-56In946005,054
9889-57In928008,056
9788-58In88120112,338
9687-59In82170118,456
9586-60In752212027,123
9485-61100.0%6629230038,265
9384-62In563734052,502
9283-63100.04443660070,067
9182-64100.03248101010091,196
9081-6599.9214815132000114,864
8980-6699.6124422174000140,527
8879-6798.6635292091000167,174
8778-6895.622434201540000194,064
8677-6988.21143517221020000218,840
8576-7074.0073111251961000239,421
8475-7153.3022462127154100255,914
8374-7231.6011721226261230000265,767
8273-7315.6010051829241120000267,703
8172-746.7050172231239200262,069
8071-752.8030021024312171000250,870
7970-761.11000313273118510231,921
7869-770.400001416303015400209,873
7768-780.10000162033271120182,878
7667-790.0000021026352260157,380
7566-800.0000003153333131129,911
7465-810.00000172539244105,870
7364-82Out0003153836882,968
7263-83Out0001831461563,038
7162-84Out000422502446,523
7061-85Out00114503433,654
6960-86Out0019464523,588
6859-87Out005405516,144
6758-88Out02336510,730
6657-89Out0127716,718
6556-90Out120794,253
6455-91Out016842,603
6354-92Out011891,585
6253-93Out892878
6152-94Out595534
6051-95Out298244
5950-96Out397144
9-58Out100468*
Total:39.7%610125777777665424,019,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsBlue JaysRangersTigersAngelsRaysTwinsOriolesMarinersYankeesRed SoxIndiansWhite SoxAstros
102-15512.0%Yes
10192-5412.2100000
10091-5512.41000
9990-5612.210000000000
9889-5711.7100000000000
9788-5811.89900000000000
9687-5912.09900000000000000
9586-6011.69800000000000000
9485-6111.49700000000000000
9384-6211.59610101000000000
9283-6311.09310101000100000
9182-6410.89011211111100000
9081-6510.38521212111111110
8980-669.97831313111211110
8879-679.07042424222211110
8778-688.26053525222321210
8677-696.84953625322322210
8576-705.53853625222322110
8475-713.92732414212211110
8374-722.41821212111111110
8273-731.31010101000000000
8172-740.6600000000000000
8071-750.3300000000000000
7970-760.1100000000000000
7869-770.00000000
7768-780.0000
74-760.00
9-73No
Total:3.6%27.81.60.91.90.71.60.80.70.71.00.50.50.50.50.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers vs Royals+0.5-0.7
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 7 White Sox 5 -0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106-155100
10596-50982
10495-51973
10394-52973
10293-539450
10192-549370
10091-5590100
9990-56841510
9889-577721200
9788-586728400
9687-595635810
9586-60444013200
9485-6131422151000
9384-6220382811200
9283-631030331961000
9182-64519312713410000
9081-65210232922103100000
8980-6603122427209300000
8879-67014132326199201000
8778-6800141222262092410000
8677-6900141121261979310000
8576-70000039192617139310000
8475-71000281925131611510000
8374-72000282261519158310000
8273-73002142715212013620000
8172-740006015122022181041000
8071-750030013816222215721000
7970-76001000015122024201151000
7869-77000001381623231672000
7768-7800002513212519103100
7667-79000001410202522124100
7566-800000139192624145100
7465-81000013919272413410
7364-8200001392029241120
7263-83000131124312171
7162-840015163031153
7061-8500282336256
6960-86001315343412
6859-870019294119
6758-88004204431
6657-8902154241
6556-900183852
6455-91053362
6354-92022771
6253-9321979
6152-9411485
6051-9501189
5950-961090
5849-97298
9-57100
Total:233444455633444444444333332211