Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances

Beat Rangers 6-3, playoff odds up 7 to 85.5%
71-56   .559

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Royals 6 White Sox 7 -3.3
-0.1
-0.3
Rangers 2 Mariners 6 -0.4
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 -0.3
Padres 3 Twins 5 -0.3
Angels 9 Astros 3 -0.3
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7 -0.2
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 *+0.1
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Royals 3 White Sox 1 +2.0
+0.1
+0.2
Rangers 4 Mariners 3 +0.4
Angels 2 Astros 1 -0.2
Padres 0 Twins 2 -0.2
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 +0.2
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 -0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10635-0In1000115,556
10534-1In10099
10433-2In9911,118
10332-3In9919,596
10231-4In955059,599
10130-5In89100287,562
10029-6In792101,110,365
9928-7In6336103,544,719
9827-8In45523009,532,842
9726-9100.0%2666800021,921,056
9625-10100.012711600043,517,790
9524-11100.04672800075,285,259
9423-12100.015642000114,319,738
9322-1399.9043550100153,041,775
9221-1499.3029661410181,411,976
9120-1597.3018710830191,009,402
9019-1692.00970013800178,980,823
8918-1781.4046101618000149,522,388
8817-1864.514701633200111,405,065
8716-1943.50300134790074,096,295
8615-2023.501607512230043,912,956
8514-219.707034138111023,181,163
8413-222.9020122442640010,861,713
8312-230.6008344215104,509,442
8211-240.1002174433501,654,860
8110-250.000530481600530,679
809-26Out0114493520148,786
798-27Out04345290035,977
787-28Out0117582217,511
776-29Out064940501,232
765-30Out33051142207
754-31Out6504418
743-32Out1001
710-35Out022661110115,552
Total:85.5%2255107113100000001,394,133,120

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsOriolesMarinersTigersIndiansBlue JaysYankeesRaysRed SoxAstrosRangers
100-1066.9%Yes
9928-76.910000
9827-86.9100000
9726-96.9100000
9625-106.91000000
9524-116.8100000000000
9423-126.6990000000000
9322-136.5981100000000
9221-146.29513000000000
9120-155.98935000000000
9019-165.379480000000000
8918-174.465511000000000
8817-183.4485110000000000
8716-192.231480000000000
8615-201.21625000000000
8514-210.57120000000
8413-220.22000
8312-230.00000
8211-240.00000
8110-250.00
71-80No
Total:5.2%77.82.55.00.00.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 6 White Sox 7 +0.7
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 3 White Sox 1 -0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10635-01000
10534-1100
10433-2991
10332-3991
10231-49640
10130-5901000
10029-6802010
9928-76433300
9827-845469100
9726-926512130000
9625-10114335101000
9524-11326412461000
9423-1211132361730000
9322-130317353212200000
9221-14005213627810010
9120-150018253622500300
9019-1600021028331630800
8918-1700021228289118000
8817-1800031325185323000
8716-19000312171144111000
8615-200003812412771000
8514-2100002824362271000
8413-220003825332281000
8312-23001192333248100
8211-24000182335258100
8110-25000172436247100
809-2600182635227100
798-270110273421710
787-2800211283220610
776-290311293021600
765-302926362340
754-3111176282811
743-32100
710-35004203929710
Total:2591215151394210310000000000000000