Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances

Lost to Yankees 1-14, playoff odds down 3.2 to 94.6%
28-16   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
White Sox 3 Royals 2 -2.0
-0.4
-0.2
Yankees 2 Mets 8 +0.2
Tigers 4 Indians 1 *-0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
White Sox 5 Royals 3 -2.0
-0.4
-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
114-146In1004,531*
11385-33In10002,717
11284-34In10005,429
11183-35In100010,372
11082-36In100019,079
10981-37In1000034,020
10880-38In100058,271
10779-39In1000095,820
10678-40In10000150,516
10577-41In10000228,653
10476-42In10000335,148
10375-43In9910472,462
10274-44In9910640,631
10173-45In982000838,836
10072-46In9630101,057,031
9971-47In9450101,291,556
9870-48In9070201,515,487
9769-49In85110401,719,043
9668-50100.0%791506001,883,094
9567-51In702011001,991,907
9466-52100.05925114002,031,405
9365-53100.04730220102,006,583
9264-54100.034334272001,908,867
9163-5599.922337344001,753,960
9062-5699.71329104080001,560,317
8961-5798.86221343151001,339,860
8860-5896.021514412440001,112,890
8759-5989.4181334339100891,364
8658-6076.303112438194000692,112
8557-6156.2017133530112000517,016
8456-6233.5004524352371000374,541
8355-6315.3021122932185100262,479
8254-645.20104173129143000177,019
8153-651.30001620322611200115,170
8052-660.300029243323810073,099
7951-670.100031228331951044,271
7850-680.0000141631301430026,064
7749-69Out001721342691014,986
7648-70Out00211283419508,224
7547-71Out0141734311124,223
7446-72Out001825392242,182
7345-73Out14173732101,061
7244-74Out08334216506
7143-75Out13204234234
7042-76Out11153944108
6941-77Out10335852
6840-78Out7217114
6739-79Out455511
6638-80Out1001
280-118Out1002,258
Total:94.6%52164166311000000027,275,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosTwinsTigersYankeesRaysBlue JaysAngelsRangersOriolesMarinersIndiansRed SoxAthleticsWhite Sox
110-14619.5%Yes
10981-3719.51000
10880-3819.5Yes
10779-3919.81000000
10678-4019.610000000
10577-4119.710000000000000
10476-4219.61000000000000000
10375-4319.71000000000000000
10274-4419.610000000000000000
10173-4519.710000000000000000
10072-4619.69900000000000000
9971-4719.59900000000000000
9870-4819.49800100000000000
9769-4919.29601100000000000
9668-5018.99401200011000000
9567-5118.69012311111000000
9466-5218.08512411111111000
9365-5317.47914611122111000
9264-5416.57125822232111000
9163-5515.462271033233212000
9062-5614.452391233344222010
8961-5713.1413101444355323010
8860-5811.7314111555465323010
8759-599.9224121555476333110
8658-608.0144101355465333110
8557-615.69381044354222010
8456-623.2525622233211000
8355-631.4212311111111000
8254-640.5101100000000000
8153-650.1000000000000000
8052-660.00000000000000
7951-670.0000000000
7850-68No000
28-77No
Total:16.1%72.31.33.95.41.61.61.32.01.81.00.81.00.20.30.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
White Sox 3 Royals 2 +0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
White Sox 5 Royals 3 +0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-146100
11890-28973
11789-29100
11688-301000
11587-31100
11486-321000
11385-331000
11284-341000
11183-351000
11082-361000
10981-37991
10880-389910
10779-399820
10678-409730
10577-419550
10476-4292800
10375-43881200
10274-44831710
10173-457623100
10072-466730300
9971-475737600
9870-48464311100
9769-493446173000
9668-5023452561000
9567-51144033122000
9466-527303720510000
9365-5331935281130000
9264-541102733207100000
9163-550416302815510000
9062-5601720302512410000
8961-570021022292211301000
8860-580003112228219240000
8759-590013112227196920000
8658-600013112226141572000
8557-61000131122201915720000
8456-62000031119152218931000
8355-63000312718242011410000
8254-640015281725231361000
8153-65000102615242417820000
8052-660000015122225191031000
7951-67000001310192522135100
7850-68000128172424156200
7749-69000261524251772000
7648-700016142326198200
7547-71001513232620920
7446-7201512232621920
7345-7312416242618920
7244-7401515312516510
7143-75291827281520
7042-76216193226113
6941-77233327134
6840-7814142150
6739-799363618
6638-80100
280-118100
Total:2320151186432121110000000000000000