Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Chances

Lost to Padres 11-15, playoff odds down 7.9 to 39.1%
1-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 11 Padres 15 -3.7
-0.4
-0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers vs Cardinals+2.6-3.4
+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.4
Rangers vs Cubs+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-161In1006,336*
107106-54In1000618
106105-55In1001,304
105104-56In10002,453
104103-57In10004,586
103102-58In100008,334
102101-59In1000014,413
101100-60In991024,646
10099-61In991040,592
9998-62In9810066,086
9897-63In973010103,834
9796-64In954010159,964
9695-65In916020238,914
9594-66In8710030345,437
9493-67100.0%801405000491,272
9392-68In71201800677,816
9291-69100.06026211000911,827
9190-70100.0483141610001,196,251
9089-71100.0343572130001,529,519
8988-72100.022361125500001,901,202
8887-7399.91232162910200002,310,104
8786-7499.45242029174100002,734,192
8685-7597.6216222424102000003,154,922
8584-7692.1082017281961000003,547,118
8483-7779.5031792426155100003,890,783
8382-7858.501124152724134100004,155,144
8281-7934.20071719272311310004,334,358
8180-8015.300402921282211310004,404,104
8079-815.302003102228211030004,362,704
7978-821.60100131223282092004,217,401
7877-830.50000014132529197103,964,444
7776-840.10000001516282816503,639,046
7675-850.000000272031271223,258,875
7574-860.000000021025342252,845,801
7473-870.00000014173333122,419,824
7372-880.000000292740222,005,415
7271-890.00000041942341,620,317
7170-90Out000021139481,277,247
7069-91Out000163360979,173
6968-92Out00032571733,866
6867-93Out0011880534,785
6766-94Out0011387380,439
6665-95Out00892262,974
6564-96Out00595176,584
6463-97Out0397115,947
6362-98Out029874,712
6261-99Out019946,872
6160-100Out019927,881
6059-101Out010016,480
5958-102Out01009,523
5857-103Out01005,279
5756-104Out01002,950
5655-105Out01001,552
1-55Out1007,280*
Total:39.1%66777777777777769,243,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByePadresDiamondbacksGiantsBrewersCardinalsMarlinsPhilliesPiratesRedsRockiesBravesNationalsCubsMets
104-16113.8%Yes
103102-5814.01000000
102101-5913.610000000000
101100-6013.21000000000000000
10099-6113.910000000000000000
9998-6213.810000000000000000
9897-6313.79900000000000000
9796-6413.79900000000000000
9695-6513.59800000000000000
9594-6613.49700000000000000
9493-6713.19511100000010000
9392-6812.99211100000010000
9291-6912.68811111111111111
9190-7012.18322211111121111
9089-7111.67722211111121111
8988-7210.86933322222232222
8887-739.96044422222242222
8786-748.84944433333343333
8685-757.53944433333343333
8584-765.92944433333343333
8483-774.12033322222232222
8382-782.51311111111111111
8281-791.3811111111111111
8180-800.6400000000000000
8079-810.3200000000000000
7978-820.1100000000000000
7877-830.0000000000000000
7776-840.0000000000000000
7675-850.000000
7574-860.0000
72-740.00
1-71No
Total:3.2%19.31.21.21.10.90.90.90.90.90.91.10.90.90.90.9
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs