Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances

Plays at Phillies, playoff odds unchanged at 2.8%

4-13 .235

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phillies vs Rockies	-0.4+0.6		-0.1+0.2
Dodgers vs Nationals	-0.0+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phillies vs Rockies	-0.4+0.6		-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

103	-149				In		100															3,135	*
102		98	-	47	In		75	25														4
101		97	-	48	In		100															12
100		96	-	49	In		96	4														23
99		95	-	50	In		93	5		2												59
98		94	-	51	In		91	9														158
97		93	-	52	In		90	9	1													286
96		92	-	53	In		79	18	1	3												613
95		91	-	54	In		70	25	1	4												1,097
94		90	-	55	In		60	32	3	5	0											2,245
93		89	-	56	In		49	36	5	9	1											4,031
92		88	-	57	In		37	42	8	11	1	0										7,276
91		87	-	58	100.0	%	26	44	12	15	2	0	0									12,822
90		86	-	59	99.9		15	42	17	20	5	1	0	0								21,636
89		85	-	60	99.7		8	36	23	21	10	2	0	0	0							36,004
88		84	-	61	99.1		3	27	26	21	16	5	1	0	0	0						57,817
87		83	-	62	96.9		1	17	27	18	22	11	3	0	0	0	0					91,351
86		82	-	63	91.0		0	10	25	12	24	19	7	2	0	0	0					137,896
85		81	-	64	78.6		0	5	21	7	20	26	16	5	1	0	0	0				204,408
84		80	-	65	59.4		0	2	15	3	13	26	25	12	3	0	0	0				293,894
83		79	-	66	37.3		0	1	10	1	6	19	29	22	9	2	0	0	0			408,449
82		78	-	67	18.7			0	6	0	2	10	24	29	19	7	1	0	0	0		555,224
81		77	-	68	7.5			0	3	0	0	4	14	27	28	17	5	1	0	0		732,015
80		76	-	69	2.5			0	1	0	0	1	6	18	29	27	13	4	0	0		940,294
79		75	-	70	0.8			0	1	0	0	0	2	9	22	31	24	10	2	0	0	1,173,972
78		74	-	71	0.2			0	0		0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	6	1	0	1,424,383
77		73	-	72	0.1				0		0	0	0	1	5	17	31	30	14	3	0	1,682,318
76		72	-	73	0.0				0			0	0	0	2	8	23	34	25	7	0	1,930,732
75		71	-	74	0.0				0				0	0	0	3	14	32	34	15	2	2,154,353
74		70	-	75	0.0				0				0	0	0	1	7	24	39	25	4	2,333,389
73		69	-	76	0.0				0					0	0	0	3	15	37	36	8	2,467,807
72		68	-	77	Out										0	0	1	9	31	45	14	2,533,350
71		67	-	78	Out										0	0	0	4	23	50	23	2,529,723
70		66	-	79	Out											0	0	2	16	50	32	2,455,235
69		65	-	80	Out											0	0	1	10	47	42	2,313,935
68		64	-	81	Out												0	0	6	42	53	2,123,968
67		63	-	82	Out											0	0	0	3	35	62	1,894,147
66		62	-	83	Out												0	0	1	28	70	1,640,631
65		61	-	84	Out													0	1	22	77	1,381,633
64		60	-	85	Out													0	0	17	83	1,131,440
63		59	-	86	Out													0	0	12	88	901,130
62		58	-	87	Out													0	0	9	91	698,013
61		57	-	88	Out														0	6	94	522,645
60		56	-	89	Out														0	4	96	379,802
59		55	-	90	Out														0	3	97	269,589
58		54	-	91	Out															2	98	186,058
57		53	-	92	Out															1	99	124,012
56		52	-	93	Out															1	99	80,384
55		51	-	94	Out															0	100	50,244
54		50	-	95	Out															0	100	30,632
53		49	-	96	Out															0	100	17,971
52		48	-	97	Out															0	100	10,433
51		47	-	98	Out															0	100	5,685
4	-50				Out																100	9,497	*

Total:					2.8	%	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	6	10	15	25	30	37,967,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Braves	Brewers	Pirates	Cubs	Dodgers	Reds	Diamondbacks	Padres	Mets	Phillies	Cardinals	Nationals	Giants	Marlins

100	-149				7.0	%	Yes
99		95	-	50	10.2		98				2
97	-98				7.2		Yes
96		92	-	53	6.7		97	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0				0	0
95		91	-	54	6.7		96	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
94		90	-	55	6.7		94	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
93		89	-	56	6.2		90	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
92		88	-	57	6.0		87	0	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
91		87	-	58	5.9		82	1	3	3	2	2	2	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	0
90		86	-	59	5.3		74	1	4	4	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0
89		85	-	60	5.1		66	1	5	5	4	3	3	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0
88		84	-	61	4.6		57	2	6	6	5	3	4	3	3	2	1	2	1	1	0
87		83	-	62	3.8		46	2	6	6	6	3	4	3	3	2	1	2	1	1	0
86		82	-	63	3.0		35	2	6	6	5	3	4	3	2	2	1	2	1	1	0
85		81	-	64	2.2		26	1	4	4	4	2	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0
84		80	-	65	1.4		17	1	3	3	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
83		79	-	66	0.8		11	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		78	-	67	0.4		6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		77	-	68	0.2		3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		76	-	69	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		75	-	70	0.0		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		74	-	71	0.0		0		0	0	0		0		0	0		0		0
77		73	-	72	0.0		0			0
73	-76				0.0		0
4	-72				No

Total:					0.1	%	1.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phillies vs Rockies	+0.3-0.4

If winner is:HomeAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phillies vs Rockies	+0.3-0.4

What If

This is basically a projection of most winningest teams at the end of the season.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

103	-149				100
102		98	-	47	75	25
101		97	-	48	100
100		96	-	49	91	9
99		95	-	50	86	14
98		94	-	51	72	24	3	1
97		93	-	52	64	30	5	1
96		92	-	53	51	33	15	1	0
95		91	-	54	36	43	17	3	0	0
94		90	-	55	25	39	26	7	2	0
93		89	-	56	15	33	32	15	4	1	0
92		88	-	57	7	25	33	23	9	2	0	0	0
91		87	-	58	3	14	28	28	18	6	2	0	0				0
90		86	-	59	1	6	18	27	25	15	5	2	0	0	0		0
89		85	-	60	0	2	8	19	27	23	14	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
88		84	-	61	0	0	2	9	19	26	23	13	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
87		83	-	62	0	0	0	2	8	18	24	23	14	6	1	0	3	0	0	0	0
86		82	-	63		0	0	0	2	7	15	23	23	15	5	1	7	2	0	0	0
85		81	-	64			0	0	0	1	5	12	20	22	14	4	15	5	1	0	0	0
84		80	-	65				0	0	0	1	3	9	17	19	10	21	14	5	1	0	0	0	0
83		79	-	66					0	0	0	0	2	7	14	14	18	22	15	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
82		78	-	67						0	0	0	0	1	6	11	9	20	24	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
81		77	-	68								0	0	0	1	6	2	9	19	24	20	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
80		76	-	69									0	0	0	2	0	2	7	16	23	23	15	7	2	1	0	0	0
79		75	-	70										0	0	1	0	0	1	5	13	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
78		74	-	71											0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
77		73	-	72											0	0		0	0	0	0	2	7	15	23	24	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
76		72	-	73												0		0	0	0	0	0	2	5	13	22	25	19	9	3	0	0	0	0
75		71	-	74												0				0	0	0	0	1	5	12	22	26	21	10	3	0	0	0
74		70	-	75												0						0	0	0	1	4	12	23	28	21	9	2	0	0
73		69	-	76												0						0	0	0	0	1	4	13	25	29	20	7	1	0
72		68	-	77																			0	0	0	0	1	5	16	28	29	16	4	0
71		67	-	78																				0	0	0	0	2	7	20	32	27	10	1
70		66	-	79																				0	0	0	0	0	3	12	28	35	19	3
69		65	-	80																						0	0	0	1	6	20	37	29	7
68		64	-	81																							0	0	0	2	12	34	38	13
67		63	-	82																							0	0	0	1	6	27	44	22
66		62	-	83																								0	0	0	3	19	46	31
65		61	-	84																								0	0	0	1	13	44	42
64		60	-	85																									0	0	0	8	39	52
63		59	-	86																										0	0	4	33	62
62		58	-	87																										0	0	2	27	71
61		57	-	88																											0	1	21	78
60		56	-	89																											0	1	16	84
59		55	-	90																											0	0	11	88
58		54	-	91																												0	8	92
57		53	-	92																												0	5	94
56		52	-	93																												0	4	96
55		51	-	94																												0	2	98
54		50	-	95																												0	1	99
53		49	-	96																													1	99
52		48	-	97																													1	99
51		47	-	98																													0	100
50		46	-	99																													0	100
49		45	-	100																													0	100
48		44	-	101																													0	100
4	-47																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	13	15	14