American League Playoff Chances

Rangers +13.4, Yankees -11.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin WSChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayGW-LPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
AthleticsWAstros 11-3111-5.6882878.9%+6.612.0%+2.03614615864322111003.6+0.584.531AstrosOakland Athletics
YankeesLRays 5-1110-7.588242.9-11.94.1-2.1711116787776655426.8-1.0619.502at RaysNew York Yankees
AngelsWTigers 11-618-8.5001742.8+5.94.1+0.6953141198776654326.8+0.5723.516Tigers 1-4 (End 7th)Los Angeles Angels
RangersWWhite Sox 12-010-7.588538.4+13.43.2+1.4753131198877665427.2+1.4521.506White SoxTexas Rangers
Blue JaysWIndians 3-29-8.529138.3+4.63.5+0.569106788777765527.2+0.5310.501Indians 5-0 (Bot 9th)Toronto Blue Jays
OriolesWRed Sox 8-428-7.533338.2+7.63.6+0.969106778777766537.2+0.8511.503Red Sox 0-0 (Bot 7th)Baltimore Orioles
TwinsLRoyals 0-518-8.500335.8-5.43.4-0.859115677777776537.5-0.569.503Royals 2-5 (Top 5th)Minnesota Twins
RoyalsWTwins 5-028-7.533-134.5+10.13.1+1.258105677777776637.6+1.1417.499Twins 5-2 (Top 5th)Kansas City Royals
MarinersLMarlins 4-817-9.438734.3-9.62.8-1.6642121098877766537.6-0.895.508at MarlinsSeattle Mariners
TigersLAngels 6-1147-6.538-332.4-7.12.8-0.948104677777777647.9-0.7512.497Angels 4-1 (End 7th)Detroit Tigers
IndiansLBlue Jays 2-317-9.438-425.3-2.52.1-0.23684567788889858.7-0.3214.496Blue Jays 0-5 (Bot 9th)Cleveland Indians
White SoxLRangers 0-128-9.471-1120.8-10.41.5-1.2247356678899101079.3-1.2722.489at RangersChicago White Sox
RaysWYankees 11-58-9.471-1018.8+6.61.3+0.62453566788910101079.5+1.1318.488YankeesTampa Bay Rays
Red SoxLOrioles 4-87-10.412-817.2-6.71.3-0.72453456778910111189.7-0.857.490Orioles 0-0 (Bot 7th)Boston Red Sox
AstrosLAthletics 3-115-12.294-371.4-1.30.0-0.100001112235710184913.4-0.5528.460at AthleticsHouston Astros

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.
Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Astros 2 Yankees 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Athletics+0.2
Yankees+2.8
+0.2
Rangers+0.3
Orioles-0.2
Mariners+0.3
Astros-3.5
-0.4
White Sox 9 Twins 10
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Twins+3.0
+0.3
White Sox-3.6
-0.4
Orioles 3 Red Sox 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Orioles-3.1
-0.3
Red Sox+3.5
+0.4
Athletics 3 Mariners 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Athletics+2.4
+0.3
Mariners-2.8
-0.4
Astros+0.1
Rays 7 Blue Jays 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Blue Jays-2.5
-0.3
Rays+2.5
+0.3
Tigers vs RoyalsIf winner is:HomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Royals31.938.1
2.83.4
Tigers35.029.0
3.02.5
Friday
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Yankees+0.4
+0.1
Angels+0.1
Rangers+0.2
Blue Jays+0.3
Orioles+0.3
Twins+0.2
Royals+0.2
Mariners+0.3
Tigers+0.2
Indians+0.2
White Sox+0.2
Rays+0.5
+0.1
Red Sox-3.3
-0.4
Astros+0.2
Astros 1 Angels 11
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Angels+2.2
+0.2
Rangers+0.2
Mariners+0.2
Red Sox+0.2
Astros-3.5
-0.4
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Yankees+3.0
+0.3
Blue Jays-3.0
-0.3
Rays 8 Rangers 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Yankees-0.2
Rangers-2.3
-0.2
Blue Jays-0.2
Orioles-0.1
Mariners+0.2
Rays+2.4
+0.3
Red Sox-0.2
-0.1
Astros+0.2
Tigers 10 Orioles 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Orioles-2.0
-0.2
Twins-0.1
Royals-0.1
Tigers+2.4
+0.3
Indians*-0.1
White Sox-0.2
Red Sox+0.1
Indians 7 Twins 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Twins-2.4
-0.2
Indians+2.5
+0.3
Royals 7 White Sox 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Royals+2.2
+0.2
White Sox-2.5
-0.3
Athletics vs MarinersIf winner is:HomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Athletics80.975.9
12.411.3
Yankees42.942.8
Angels42.842.7
4.14.2
Rangers38.538.4
Blue Jays38.338.2
Orioles38.238.1
Twins35.835.7
Mariners31.838.0
2.63.2
Tigers32.432.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeAthleticsYankeesAngelsRangersBlue JaysOriolesTwinsRoyalsMarinersTigersIndiansWhite SoxRaysRed SoxAstros
Athletics55.91.92.92.91.81.81.51.52.91.41.21.01.11.00.1
Yankees29.11.92.01.81.01.00.70.71.60.70.60.50.60.60.1
Angels17.02.92.04.11.91.91.61.53.91.51.21.11.11.00.1
Rangers14.82.91.84.11.71.71.41.43.41.31.10.91.00.90.1
Blue Jays25.11.81.01.91.71.00.70.71.50.60.60.50.60.60.1
Orioles25.11.81.01.91.71.00.70.71.50.60.50.50.60.60.1
Twins24.71.50.71.61.40.70.70.71.30.60.60.50.40.40.1
Royals23.71.50.71.51.40.70.70.71.20.60.60.50.40.40.1
Mariners12.02.91.63.93.41.51.51.31.21.21.00.90.90.80.1
Tigers22.11.40.71.51.30.60.60.60.61.20.50.40.40.30.1
Indians16.41.20.61.21.10.60.50.60.61.00.50.40.30.30.0
White Sox13.11.00.51.10.90.50.50.50.50.90.40.40.30.30.0
Rays10.91.10.61.11.00.60.60.40.40.90.40.30.30.30.0
Red Sox9.81.00.61.00.90.60.60.40.40.80.30.30.30.30.0
Astros0.30.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.0