National League Playoff Chances

Brewers +7.0, Reds -4.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin WSChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayGW-LPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
DodgersBraves260-47.5615895.5%-0.211.6%+0.13927206421100000002.2-0.069.557BravesLos Angeles Dodgers
NationalsWMarlins 4-3458-47.5527293.6+1.514.0+0.73627188532100000002.4+0.157.572PhilliesWashington Nationals
BrewersWRays 5-060-49.5502973.9+7.04.4+0.9916221414118421000004.1+0.3911.527Milwaukee Brewers
Cardinalsat Padres456-49.533955.5-0.92.2-0.1491313161513952000005.2-0.076.509at PadresSt. Louis Cardinals
PiratesGiants 3-4 (Top 4th)457-48.543755.3-0.52.1-0.0591115161513952000005.2-0.0610.507at DiamondbacksPittsburgh Pirates
Bravesat Dodgers258-49.5422253.7-1.22.5-0.146620171614952000005.4-0.0815.522at DodgersAtlanta Braves
GiantsPirates 4-3 (Top 4th)257-50.5331951.4-1.32.1-0.0356201817151052000005.5-0.0419.519San Francisco Giants
RedsLDiamondbacks 4-5352-54.491710.4-4.40.3-0.201225913202217621008.1-0.4017.507at MarlinsCincinnati Reds
MetsWPhillies 11-2152-56.481145.7+1.70.2+0.100113611192522831008.7+0.4118.514New York Mets
MarlinsLNationals 3-4253-54.495-184.7-1.80.1-0.000113591723261141008.9-0.2421.483RedsMiami Marlins
PadresCardinals347-59.443-390.1-0.00.0000000125133021149611.7+0.0227.457CardinalsSan Diego Padres
DiamondbacksWReds 5-4147-61.435-720.0+0.00.00000000015172221181512.7+0.2928.434PiratesArizona Diamondbacks
CubsRockies444-61.419-460.00.0000000001391722232513.2+0.0129.455RockiesChicago Cubs
PhilliesLMets 2-11147-61.435-680.0-0.00.000000001391722252413.3-0.3425.436at NationalsPhiladelphia Phillies
Rockiesat Cubs343-63.406-540.0-0.00.0000000001291519233113.4+0.0130.454at CubsColorado Rockies

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.
Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Braves 10 Nationals 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals-2.9
-0.4
Braves+2.9
+0.4
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Dodgers+3.2
+0.4
Cardinals-0.2
Pirates-0.2
Giants-0.5
-0.1
Mets-0.2
Padres-0.2
Diamondbacks-0.8
Rockies-0.4
-0.1
Giants 5 Rockies 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Giants+2.8
+0.3
Rockies-2.6
-0.3
Brewers 4 Pirates 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Brewers+1.9
+0.4
Pirates-2.5
-0.3
Phillies 4 Marlins 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Marlins-2.2
-0.2
Phillies+2.0
+0.2
Cardinals 6 Cubs 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Cardinals+2.3
+0.2
Cubs-1.7
-0.1
Angels 14 Mets 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals+0.2
Brewers*+0.1
Pirates+0.2
Braves+0.2
Giants+0.2
Mets-1.8
-0.1
Marlins+0.2
Cubs+0.1
Phillies+0.2
Rockies+0.2
Padres 5 Tigers 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Giants-0.2
Padres+1.3
+0.1
Rockies-0.2
Reds 12 Rays 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Brewers-0.2
Pirates-0.2
Reds+1.2
+0.1
Monday
Brewers 0 Cardinals 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Brewers-2.6
-0.6
Cardinals+3.5
+0.4
Giants-0.2
Marlins-0.2
Padres-0.1
Marlins 2 Nationals 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals+3.7
+0.4
Braves-0.2
Marlins-2.8
-0.3
Phillies 6 Braves 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Braves+3.5
+0.5
Phillies-2.8
-0.2
Reds 7 Pirates 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Pirates+3.1
+0.2
Reds-2.5
-0.2
Padres 5 Rockies 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Padres+1.7
+0.1
Rockies-2.4
-0.2
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals-0.2
Braves-0.2
Mets+1.7
+0.1
Diamondbacks-0.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeDodgersNationalsBrewersCardinalsPiratesBravesGiantsRedsMetsMarlinsPadresDiamondbacksCubsPhilliesRockies
Dodgers86.11.01.71.61.82.60.00.40.20.20.00.00.00.0No
Nationals81.31.02.22.32.40.13.30.50.30.20.00.00.00.00.0
Brewers46.41.72.23.73.66.97.01.00.70.60.00.00.00.00.0
Cardinals26.31.62.33.75.47.26.71.00.70.50.00.00.00.00.0
Pirates24.61.82.43.65.47.47.41.20.80.60.00.00.00.00.0
Braves16.82.60.16.97.27.49.61.60.70.70.00.00.00.00.0
Giants13.90.03.37.06.77.49.61.70.80.90.00.00.00.00.0
Reds2.80.40.51.01.01.21.61.70.20.10.00.00.00.0No
Mets1.20.20.30.70.70.80.70.80.20.10.00.0No0.0No
Marlins0.70.20.20.60.50.60.70.90.10.10.00.00.00.0No
Padres0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNo
Diamondbacks0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNo
Cubs0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No0.0NoNoNo
Phillies0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNoNo
Rockies0.0No0.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNoNoNo