National League Playoff Chances

Brewers +7.2, Braves -8.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin WSChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-LPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
NationalsWRockies 7-2454-43.5577092.7%+3.714.1%+1.53824187642100000002.5+0.349.574at RockiesWashington Nationals
DodgersWPirates 5-256-45.5545186.9+4.38.5+0.4242013201174200000003.2+0.2014.552Pirates 0-0 (Top 1st)Los Angeles Dodgers
GiantsWPhillies 7-4255-44.5563580.4+5.25.7+0.3161611241496310000003.8+0.2016.537Phillies 0-0 (Top 1st)San Francisco Giants
Cardinals254-45.5451667.3+0.43.5-0.28152010141310620000004.4-0.015.517RaysSt. Louis Cardinals
BrewersWReds 5-2155-45.5501659.1+7.22.8+0.46111710151613931000004.8+0.3811.516RedsMilwaukee Brewers
BravesLMarlins 1-3254-45.5451754.9-8.12.5-0.9577171816141041000005.2-0.4712.518Marlins 0-0 (Top 1st)Atlanta Braves
PiratesLDodgers 2-5352-46.531229.0-6.81.0-0.4246611162021103100006.5-0.3717.502Dodgers 0-0 (Top 1st)Pittsburgh Pirates
RedsLBrewers 2-5350-48.5101526.6-5.41.1-0.4136510152022114100006.6-0.2913.516at BrewersCincinnati Reds
MetsLMariners 2-5246-53.465102.2-0.80.1-0.000001361533211153109.3-0.1722.510at MarinersNew York Mets
MarlinsWBraves 3-1346-52.469-260.7+0.30.0+0.0000001382027181163110.2+0.4426.474Braves 0-0 (Top 1st)Miami Marlins
Padres343-55.439-440.10.000000001614201816141112.0+0.1129.448at CubsSan Diego Padres
Cubs440-57.412-380.00.00000000138141819191712.7+0.1025.461PadresChicago Cubs
DiamondbacksLTigers 3-4143-57.430-640.0-0.00.00000000139151819191712.6-0.1028.438TigersArizona Diamondbacks
PhilliesLGiants 4-7243-56.434-570.0-0.00.00000000137121720221912.8-0.1727.443Giants 0-0 (Top 1st)Philadelphia Phillies
RockiesLNationals 2-7240-59.404-610.0-0.00.0000000001491317223413.4-0.1730.446NationalsColorado Rockies

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.
Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Braves 10 Nationals 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals-2.9
-0.4
Braves+2.9
+0.4
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Dodgers+3.2
+0.4
Giants-0.5
-0.1
Cardinals-0.2
Pirates-0.2
Mets-0.2
Padres-0.2
Diamondbacks-0.8
Rockies-0.4
-0.1
Giants 5 Rockies 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Giants+2.8
+0.3
Rockies-2.6
-0.3
Brewers 4 Pirates 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Brewers+1.9
+0.4
Pirates-2.5
-0.3
Phillies 4 Marlins 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Marlins-2.2
-0.2
Phillies+2.0
+0.2
Cardinals 6 Cubs 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Cardinals+2.3
+0.2
Cubs-1.7
-0.1
Angels 14 Mets 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals+0.2
Giants+0.2
Brewers*+0.1
Braves+0.2
Pirates+0.2
Mets-1.8
-0.1
Marlins+0.2
Cubs+0.1
Phillies+0.2
Rockies+0.2
Padres 5 Tigers 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Giants-0.2
Padres+1.3
+0.1
Rockies-0.2
Reds 12 Rays 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Brewers-0.2
Pirates-0.2
Reds+1.2
+0.1
Monday
Brewers 0 Cardinals 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Giants-0.2
Cardinals+3.5
+0.4
Brewers-2.6
-0.6
Marlins-0.2
Padres-0.1
Marlins 2 Nationals 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals+3.7
+0.4
Braves-0.2
Marlins-2.8
-0.3
Phillies 6 Braves 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Braves+3.5
+0.5
Phillies-2.8
-0.2
Reds 7 Pirates 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Pirates+3.1
+0.2
Reds-2.5
-0.2
Padres 5 Rockies 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Padres+1.7
+0.1
Rockies-2.4
-0.2
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Nationals-0.2
Braves-0.2
Mets+1.7
+0.1
Diamondbacks-0.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeNationalsDodgersGiantsCardinalsBrewersBravesPiratesRedsMetsMarlinsPadresCubsDiamondbacksPhilliesRockies
Nationals79.93.43.61.81.90.01.11.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Dodgers56.73.40.05.25.49.03.63.30.30.10.00.00.00.00.0
Giants43.33.60.06.67.010.44.64.20.40.20.00.00.00.00.0
Cardinals43.41.85.26.61.64.92.01.60.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Brewers34.21.95.47.01.65.12.11.60.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Braves19.40.09.010.44.95.13.02.70.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Pirates11.41.13.64.62.02.13.01.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Reds11.01.03.34.21.61.62.71.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Mets0.50.10.30.40.20.20.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Marlins0.20.00.10.20.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Padres0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Cubs0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Diamondbacks0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Phillies0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Rockies0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0