St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances

Lost to Athletics 3-6, playoff odds down 4.5 to 20.3%

9-10 .474

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Athletics 6 Cardinals 3	-2.2		-0.1		-0.2
Mariners 5 Reds 1	+0.2
Astros 4 Braves 5	-0.1
Phillies 7 Rockies 6	-0.1
Marlins 1 Giants 3	-0.1
Diamondbacks 3 Cubs 5	-0.1
Dodgers 0 Nationals 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Cubs vs Marlins	-0.2+0.3
Giants vs Diamondbacks	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

107	-152				In		100															48,722	*
106		97	-	46	In		100	0														949
105		96	-	47	In		100	0		0												2,038
104		95	-	48	In		99	0		0												4,315
103		94	-	49	In		99	1		0												8,935
102		93	-	50	In		99	1		0												17,661
101		92	-	51	In		97	2	0	1												34,254
100		91	-	52	In		96	3	0	1												64,022
99		90	-	53	In		93	5	0	2	0											116,574
98		89	-	54	In		90	7	0	3	0											206,374
97		88	-	55	In		85	10	0	5	0	0										352,140
96		87	-	56	In		78	14	0	8	0	0										584,238
95		86	-	57	100.0	%	69	19	1	12	0	0	0									944,280
94		85	-	58	100.0		58	23	2	17	1	0	0									1,480,322
93		84	-	59	100.0		46	27	3	22	2	0	0									2,248,971
92		83	-	60	100.0		33	30	5	29	4	0	0	0								3,327,861
91		82	-	61	100.0		21	29	7	35	8	1	0	0								4,769,053
90		81	-	62	99.9		12	25	9	38	14	2	0	0	0							6,648,988
89		80	-	63	99.6		6	19	11	38	22	4	0	0	0	0						9,009,881
88		79	-	64	98.4		2	12	11	33	30	10	1	0	0	0						11,854,931
87		78	-	65	95.0		1	7	10	25	35	18	4	1	0	0	0					15,167,572
86		77	-	66	86.7		0	3	7	15	34	28	11	2	0	0	0	0				18,850,223
85		76	-	67	71.5		0	1	5	7	26	33	20	7	1	0	0	0	0			22,769,904
84		75	-	68	50.5		0	0	2	3	15	30	29	15	4	1	0	0	0			26,738,615
83		74	-	69	29.0		0	0	1	1	7	20	31	25	11	3	0	0	0			30,506,011
82		73	-	70	12.9		0	0	0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0	0		33,846,808
81		72	-	71	4.4			0	0	0	0	4	14	28	30	18	6	1	0	0		36,496,847
80		71	-	72	1.1			0	0	0	0	1	6	18	30	28	14	3	0	0	0	38,256,243
79		70	-	73	0.2			0	0	0	0	0	2	9	23	32	24	9	1	0	0	38,970,811
78		69	-	74	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	3	13	29	32	18	4	0	0	38,593,844
77		68	-	75	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1	0	37,164,661
76		67	-	76	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	2	11	29	36	19	3	0	34,769,030
75		66	-	77	0.0				0			0	0	0	1	5	20	38	30	7	0	31,609,777
74		65	-	78	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	2	12	33	39	14	1	27,931,456
73		64	-	79	Out								0	0	0	1	6	25	43	22	3	24,009,446
72		63	-	80	Out									0	0	0	2	17	43	31	6	20,034,138
71		62	-	81	Out									0	0	0	1	10	38	40	11	16,253,417
70		61	-	82	Out										0	0	0	5	31	46	17	12,805,166
69		60	-	83	Out										0	0	0	3	24	48	26	9,800,822
68		59	-	84	Out											0	0	1	17	48	35	7,281,360
67		58	-	85	Out											0	0	0	11	44	44	5,262,167
66		57	-	86	Out												0	0	7	39	54	3,692,342
65		56	-	87	Out												0	0	4	33	63	2,510,763
64		55	-	88	Out													0	2	27	71	1,661,000
63		54	-	89	Out												0	0	1	21	78	1,063,297
62		53	-	90	Out													0	1	16	84	663,472
61		52	-	91	Out													0	0	11	88	400,339
60		51	-	92	Out														0	8	92	233,792
59		50	-	93	Out														0	5	95	133,614
58		49	-	94	Out														0	4	96	73,384
57		48	-	95	Out														0	2	98	39,282
56		47	-	96	Out														0	1	99	20,383
55		46	-	97	Out															1	99	10,002
54		45	-	98	Out															1	99	4,846
53		44	-	99	Out															0	100	2,304
52		43	-	100	Out															0	100	1,002
51		42	-	101	Out															0	100	466
9	-50				Out																100	48,325	*

Total:					20.3	%	1	2	1	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	11	8	4	579,401,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Braves	Brewers	Cubs	Pirates	Mets	Dodgers	Padres	Diamondbacks	Reds	Phillies	Giants	Nationals	Rockies	Marlins

106	-152				9.4	%	Yes
105		96	-	47	10.4		100	0
104		95	-	48	9.0		100			0	0		0
103		94	-	49	9.3		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0			0
102		93	-	50	9.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		92	-	51	9.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		91	-	52	9.2		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		90	-	53	9.3		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		89	-	54	9.2		97	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		88	-	55	9.1		95	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
96		87	-	56	8.9		92	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
95		86	-	57	8.7		88	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
94		85	-	58	8.4		83	1	3	3	3	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
93		84	-	59	8.0		76	2	4	4	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	0
92		83	-	60	7.4		67	2	6	6	5	3	2	2	1	3	2	1	1	0	0
91		82	-	61	6.8		57	3	7	7	6	4	2	2	2	4	2	1	1	0	0
90		81	-	62	6.1		46	4	9	8	8	5	3	3	2	5	3	1	1	0	0
89		80	-	63	5.3		36	5	10	9	9	6	3	3	3	6	3	1	1	0	0
88		79	-	64	4.5		25	5	10	10	9	7	4	3	3	6	4	1	2	0	0
87		78	-	65	3.5		17	5	9	9	8	7	3	3	3	5	4	1	2	0	0
86		77	-	66	2.5		10	4	7	7	6	6	3	3	3	4	3	1	2	0	0
85		76	-	67	1.5		6	3	5	5	4	4	2	2	2	3	2	1	1	0	0
84		75	-	68	0.8		3	1	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	0
83		74	-	69	0.3		1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
82		73	-	70	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		72	-	71	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		71	-	72	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		70	-	73	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		69	-	74	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		68	-	75	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
76		67	-	76	0.0		0	0				0			0
74	-75				0.0		0
9	-73				No

Total:					0.7	%	4.6	0.8	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.0	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs