St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 63.5%
21-15   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.7
+0.1
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.3
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox+2.8-3.0
+0.3-0.3
+0.2-0.2
Padres vs Brewers+0.7-0.5
+0.1-0.1
Twins vs Rockies+0.5-0.4
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.3+0.4
Giants vs Dodgers+0.3-0.2
Rangers vs Phillies+0.1-0.1
Cubs vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
113-147In10041,477*
11291-35In10001,544
11190-36In10003,641
11089-37In10007,919
10988-38In100016,502
10887-39In99133,227
10786-40In9910065,354
10685-41In98200124,606
10584-42In97300225,702
10483-43In95400397,453
10382-44In93700675,142
10281-45In9010001,106,513
10180-46In8514001,752,129
10079-47In79201002,684,193
9978-48In72262103,976,160
9877-49In63333105,699,392
9776-50100.0%533962007,892,992
9675-51100.042451030010,581,975
9574-52100.0324816400013,729,608
9473-53100.0224823700017,244,005
9372-54100.014443110100020,983,953
9271-5599.88373813300024,700,201
9170-5699.442944176100028,156,356
9069-5798.1220471910200031,090,358
8968-5895.0112461917500033,259,755
8867-5988.8074117241010034,452,215
8766-6078.20334132818300034,591,474
8665-6163.1012582828810033,633,172
8564-6245.4001742335173000031,688,586
8463-6328.2001121637277100028,932,768
8362-6414.90618313615200025,578,870
8261-656.50304213826710021,922,638
8160-662.4010111333615200018,202,237
8059-670.700005223826710014,638,661
7958-680.2000212333515300011,397,585
7857-690.00000522382671008,615,064
7756-700.0000021232351630006,299,576
7655-710.00000522372781004,458,597
7554-720.000002123135174003,057,783
7453-73Out00052136279102,030,454
7352-74Out00212303518301,308,257
7251-75Out001521372881814,218
7150-76Out0002123236162489,603
7049-77Out00162339265285,997
6948-78Out00315363610162,199
6847-79Out001830431888,578
6746-80Out00422462846,332
6645-81Out00215453923,650
6544-82Out019395111,853
6443-83Out0534615,646
6342-84Out0326702,588
6241-85Out0119801,188
6140-86Out01287474
6039-87Out1189223
5938-88Out118970
21-58Out10040,407*
Total:63.5%71423811121074211000487,231,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
108-14710.6%Yes
10786-4010.81000
10685-4110.610000
10584-4210.510000000
10483-4310.510000000000
10382-4410.5100000000000000
10281-4510.61000000000000000
10180-4610.51000000000000000
10079-4710.51000000000000000
9978-4810.49900000000000000
9877-4910.49900000000000000
9776-5010.39800000000000000
9675-5110.29701110000000000
9574-5210.19501110000000000
9473-539.99302220100000000
9372-549.78902331110000000
9271-559.48404441110000000
9170-569.07705652211000000
9069-578.56907872221000000
8968-587.95908993321000000
8867-597.0480911103321100000
8766-605.9370911103321100000
8665-614.627081092221100000
8564-623.21806872211000000
8463-632.01104541111000000
8362-641.1602320000000000
8261-650.5301110000000000
8160-660.2100000000000000
8059-670.1000000000000000
7958-680.0000000000000000
7857-690.0000000000000000
7756-700.00000000000
7655-710.0000000
7554-720.000
21-74No
Total:5.5%44.10.14.45.14.81.31.41.00.60.20.10.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.4+0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114-147100
11392-341000
11291-351000
11190-36991
11089-37991
10988-38991
10887-399820
10786-409730
10685-419550
10584-4292800
10483-43881210
10382-448217100
10281-457523200
10180-466629400
10079-4756368100
9978-48454113200
9877-493443194000
9776-5023422781000
9675-511436331430000
9574-5282836216100000
9473-534183429123000000
9372-541102733217100000
9271-5505173129144100000
9170-56029223123102001000
9069-570031226291971020000
8968-580015162727154150000
8867-59000161727231121010000
8766-6000027182519717400000
8665-610000281722142411200000
8564-620000281718252082000000
8463-63000028171825188200000
8362-64000031282025199310000
8261-6500016210202520114100000
8160-66000203918252213510000
8059-67001002716242416720000
7958-68000002614232518931000
7857-69000000151221252011410000
7756-7000000014102025221251000
7655-71000001391825231451000
7554-7200000281725241562000
7453-730000271725251561000
7352-740000027172625156100
7251-7500002818272514510
7150-760000392028241230
7049-7700131123302281
6948-7800015152831173
6847-79000282234278
6746-80000313313616
6645-810017244226
6544-82003164239
6443-8301103751
6342-840153164
6241-85032474
6140-8621682
6039-871288
5938-881486
5837-89397
21-57100
Total:357888876576443322111110000000