Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 1.6%
16-22   .421

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Nationals+0.4-0.3
+0.2-0.2
Padres vs Brewers+0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
104-140In100145,058*
10387-37In889243
10286-38In89101144
10185-39In88110320
10084-40In831511776
9983-41In77211101,899
9882-42In69273104,545
9781-43In59345209,705
9680-44100.0%4940840021,294
9579-45100.037451260044,199
9478-46100.0274718810088,842
9377-4799.918442512100175,004
9276-4899.7103931163000331,336
9175-4999.153137206100606,409
9074-5097.722239231220001,075,074
8973-5194.311438231951001,842,071
8872-5287.4073320261120003,054,592
8771-5375.5032615312040004,914,801
8670-5458.60118930301010007,625,475
8569-5539.400115243620400011,481,080
8468-5622.2006215353111100016,722,333
8367-5710.10317273721500023,579,690
8266-583.7010316363211200032,219,794
8165-591.0000172638225000042,631,216
8064-600.20000315353312200054,592,017
7963-610.0000017263823500067,716,656
7862-620.0000021535331320081,346,233
7761-630.000017263823500094,635,956
7660-640.000000215363312200106,622,540
7559-650.0000017273822500116,312,803
7458-660.0000031737321110122,884,003
7357-67Out0001929381940125,723,439
7256-68Out000419382981124,512,101
7155-69Out0001113337162119,404,422
7054-70Out000052441254110,838,350
6953-71Out0002163935999,572,773
6852-72Out0001933431586,574,462
6751-73Out000425472472,856,136
6650-74Out000217473459,297,353
6549-75Out00110434646,685,448
6448-76Out0006375735,526,782
6347-77Out0003306726,167,287
6246-78Out001237618,608,500
6145-79Out001178312,798,371
6044-80Out00012888,496,233
5943-81Out0008925,445,472
5842-82Out005953,373,781
5741-83Out03972,014,799
5640-84Out02981,160,330
5539-85Out0199645,908
5438-86Out0199345,499
5337-87Out0100178,684
5236-88Out010088,566
5135-89Out010042,083
5034-90Out010019,315
4933-91Out01008,658
4832-92Out1003,742
4731-93Out01001,522
16-46Out100145,936*
Total:1.6%0000123581114161614101,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsGiantsPadres
103-1404.4%Yes
10286-384.9991
10185-393.41000
10084-404.6990000
9983-414.89900000
9882-423.89900000000
9781-434.598011000000000
9680-444.2960111000000000
9579-454.1940111110000000
9478-464.09102221110000000
9377-473.98703331111000000
9276-483.88104442211000000
9175-493.67305652321100000
9074-503.36407873321100000
8973-513.052091094432100000
8872-522.64101011104432100000
8771-532.12901011104432100000
8670-541.519081093322100000
8569-551.01106762221100000
8468-560.5603441111000000
8367-570.2302221100000000
8266-580.1101110000000000
8165-590.0000000000000000
8064-600.0000000000000000
7963-610.0000000000000000
7862-620.000000000000000
7761-630.00000000000
7660-640.00000000
7559-650.000
7458-66No0
16-73No
Total:0.0%0.60.00.20.20.20.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Nationals-0.5+0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
140124-0100
10690-343367
104-105100
10387-3784142
10286-3877221
10185-39692731
10084-40623350
9983-415040910
9882-4240421530
9781-432743236100
9680-44193930102000
9579-45113235175100
9478-46522352510200000
9377-47213293117510000
9276-4816203125123000000
9175-4902112530208200100
9074-500151527281651020000
8973-51001618282513405100
8872-5200028192621921120000
8771-5300028192417619510000
8670-540000281720112612300000
8569-55000027151527229200000
8468-56000027131827209310000
8367-570000288202620114100000
8266-580000329192522135100000
8165-590001028172423157200000
8064-600000026142325189310000
7963-61000001412212520114100000
7862-62000000131019252213510000
7761-6300000012817252415620000
7660-6400000002716252516720000
7559-650000002615252517720000
7458-66000000261525261772000
7357-670000026162626166100
7256-68000002718282614410
7155-6900000292129241130
7054-700000131225312171
6953-71000015163030153
6852-720000292335256
6751-730000415333513
6650-74000018274122
6549-7500004194333
6448-760002124046
6347-77000173558
6246-7800032769
6145-7900022078
6044-800011485
5943-810001090
5842-8200694
5741-830496
5640-840298
5539-850199
5438-860199
5337-8700100
5236-8800100
5135-8900100
5034-900100
4933-910100
4832-920100
4731-930100
16-46100
Total:000000000011112233445677899997