Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 55.5%
11-8   .579

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Giants 5 Diamondbacks 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Red Sox+2.5-3.5
+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.3
Reds vs Angels-0.3+0.4
Cubs vs Marlins-0.2+0.4
-0.0+0.1
Phillies vs White Sox-0.2+0.3
Padres vs Blue Jays-0.2+0.3
Nationals vs Astros-0.2+0.2
Braves vs Rangers-0.1+0.2
Dodgers vs Mets+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Brewers+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
113-154In10050,003*
112101-42In1000694
110-111In1004,734*
10998-45In10006,805
10897-46In1000014,098
10796-47In1000027,480
10695-48In1000052,337
10594-49In1000096,901
10493-50In9900173,497
10392-51In99100302,371
10291-52In98100509,719
10190-53In972010835,988
10089-54In9630101,326,394
9988-55In9350202,042,203
9887-56In89703003,055,849
9786-57In841005004,432,942
9685-58In771508006,248,000
9584-59In6819112008,546,502
9483-60100.0%572421610011,364,993
9382-61100.04528322200014,664,297
9281-62100.03331528300018,390,151
9180-63100.02231734700022,407,951
9079-6499.91327103712100026,520,356
8978-6599.76211238193000030,503,025
8877-6698.921412342881000034,091,083
8776-6796.318112734163000037,042,400
8675-6889.604917342592000039,109,036
8574-6976.4016928321851000040,119,661
8473-7056.60044183127133000040,008,242
8372-7134.5002182331239200038,793,519
8271-7216.600103132730197100036,546,956
8170-736.10001517292815410033,475,383
8069-741.700001821312511200029,797,622
7968-750.400000311253121710025,794,562
7867-760.10000141530301630021,685,885
7766-770.0000001722342691017,730,507
7665-780.0000003133034173014,083,683
7564-790.000000162137287010,871,200
7463-800.0000021333371318,150,253
7362-81Out0001626432235,943,058
7261-82Out0000317423164,209,225
7160-83Out0001103840112,895,826
7059-84Out00053145181,932,466
6958-85Out0032348261,256,274
6857-86Out001164735791,429
6756-87Out000114445482,844
6655-88Out0073954289,344
6554-89Out043363166,413
6453-90Out02267192,810
6352-91Out01217850,383
6251-92Out0168426,556
6150-93Out0118813,566
6049-94Out08926,607
5948-95Out05953,163
5847-96Out04961,487
5746-97Out298676
5645-98Out199279
5544-99Out100137
5443-100Out29852
11-53Out10049,523*
Total:55.5%984131210987654310597,089,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBravesBrewersCubsMetsDodgersPadresRedsDiamondbacksPhilliesGiantsCardinalsNationalsRockiesMarlins
109-15413.0%Yes
10897-4612.910000
10796-4712.81000
10695-4812.71000000000000
10594-4912.71000000000000000
10493-5012.8100000000000000
10392-5112.610000000000000000
10291-5212.710000000000000000
10190-5312.79900000000000000
10089-5412.79900000000000000
9988-5512.69800000000000000
9887-5612.49700100000000000
9786-5712.39511110010000000
9685-5812.19211210010100000
9584-5911.88812211110101000
9483-6011.48323321121101100
9382-6110.97724531131111100
9281-6210.36935642241212100
9180-639.55947752252312100
9079-648.74958963362313200
8978-657.739591073373423200
8877-666.6296101084473423200
8776-675.420691084463423200
8675-684.01357873353423200
8574-692.6845552242312100
8473-701.4423331121211100
8372-710.6211111111100000
8271-720.2100000000000000
8170-730.1000000000000000
8069-740.0000000000000000
7968-750.0000000000000000
7867-760.000000000000000
7766-770.00000000000000
7665-780.000000
7564-79No00
11-74No
Total:3.8%21.02.33.64.03.01.41.42.61.11.70.81.30.80.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs