Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 1.6%
16-22   .421

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Nationals+0.4-0.3
+0.2-0.2
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.0+0.1
Padres vs Brewers+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
104-140In10059,325*
10387-37In8610521
10286-38In92861
10185-39In8812136
10084-40In831611329
9983-41In762311761
9882-42In68283201,859
9781-43In59345204,005
9680-44In49408308,687
9579-45100.0%37451260018,200
9478-46100.027471881036,196
9377-4799.91844251210071,644
9276-4899.7103931163000135,547
9175-4999.153137206100248,202
9074-5097.72223923122000439,970
8973-5194.31143823195100753,736
8872-5287.407332026112001,249,403
8771-5375.5032615312040002,012,238
8670-5458.60118930301010003,119,639
8569-5539.50011524362040004,697,046
8468-5622.20621535311110006,837,962
8367-5710.1031727372150009,640,633
8266-583.7010316363211200013,174,336
8165-591.0000172638225000017,435,390
8064-600.20000315353312200022,326,565
7963-610.000017263823500027,697,190
7862-620.0000021535331320033,270,351
7761-630.000017263823500038,699,812
7660-640.0000021536331220043,601,608
7559-650.000001727382250047,568,041
7458-660.000003173732111050,247,140
7357-67Out00192938194051,408,120
7256-68Out00041938298150,926,747
7155-69Out000111333716248,826,895
7054-70Out00005244125445,339,884
6953-71Out0002163935940,720,550
6852-72Out001933431535,405,839
6751-73Out000425472429,786,640
6650-74Out000217473424,247,167
6549-75Out00110434619,092,067
6448-76Out0006375714,525,968
6347-77Out0003306710,703,843
6246-78Out00123767,610,146
6145-79Out00117835,233,679
6044-80Out00012883,474,636
5943-81Out0008922,226,673
5842-82Out005951,381,235
5741-83Out0397823,824
5640-84Out0298474,236
5539-85Out0199263,744
5438-86Out0199141,180
5337-87Out010073,004
5236-88Out010036,182
5135-89Out010017,296
5034-90Out01007,933
16-49Out10065,259*
Total:1.6%000012358111416161410716,168,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsGiantsPadres
101-1404.3%Yes
10084-405.89901
9983-414.7990000
9882-424.0980000000
9781-434.898010000000
9680-444.3961110000000
9579-454.094011101000000
9478-464.09102221110000000
9377-473.98703331111000000
9276-483.88104442211000000
9175-493.67305662321000000
9074-503.36407873321100000
8973-513.052091094432100000
8872-522.64101011104432100000
8771-532.12901011104432100000
8670-541.519081093322100000
8569-551.01106762221100000
8468-560.5603441111000000
8367-570.2302221100000000
8266-580.1101110000000000
8165-590.0000000000000000
8064-600.0000000000000000
7963-610.0000000000000000
7862-620.00000000000000
7761-630.0000000
7660-640.00000
7559-650.000
7458-66No0
16-73No
Total:0.0%0.60.00.20.20.20.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Nationals-0.5+0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
140124-0100
10690-345050
104-105100
10387-3781145
10286-388713
10185-3972253
10084-40613361
9983-41484191
9882-4240421620
9781-43274422710
9680-4419393010200
9579-45113235175100
9478-465233526102000
9377-47213293117510000
9276-4816213126123000000
9175-4902112530208200100
9074-50014152728165102000
8973-51001618272513405100
8872-5200028192621921120000
8771-5300028192417619510000
8670-54000281720112612300000
8569-550002715152722920000
8468-56000027131827209310000
8367-57000028820262011410000
8266-580000329192522135100000
8165-590001028172423157200000
8064-600000026142325189310000
7963-6100000141221252011410000
7862-62000000131019252213510000
7761-6300000013817252415620000
7660-640000002716252516720000
7559-650000002615252517720000
7458-66000000261525261772000
7357-670000026162626166100
7256-68000002718282614410
7155-690000292129241130
7054-700000131225312171
6953-71000015163030153
6852-720000292335256
6751-730000415333513
6650-74000018274122
6549-7500004194333
6448-760002124046
6347-77000173558
6246-7800032769
6145-7900022078
6044-800011485
5943-810001090
5842-8200694
5741-830496
5640-840298
5539-850199
5438-860199
5337-870100
5236-8800100
5135-890100
5034-900100
4933-910100
4832-920100
4731-930100
16-46100
Total:000000000011112233445677899997