Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Lost to Reds 4-6, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.02%
22-37   .373

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 2 Braves 5 -0.5
-0.2
Yankees 2 Mets 8 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 5 Braves 4 +0.3
+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
125103-0In100110,593
9472-31In1001
9371-32In9553611
9270-33In762421
9169-34In238448863
9068-35In385165192
8967-3699.1%02558791535
8866-3794.71757813411,379
8765-3890.6095871781003,463
8664-3980.3550521144108,261
8563-4066.0242319221020019,303
8462-4147.71321142718610042,857
8361-4231.002218252713300092,347
8260-4317.4014031731249100191,053
8159-448.6080192632195100380,691
8058-453.90400316323013300725,689
7957-461.62001723352581001,328,530
7856-470.51002112934184002,346,197
7755-480.200004183530112003,980,424
7654-490.0000182637225006,492,266
7553-500.000003153433132010,177,919
7452-510.0000172539245015,348,915
7351-520.00000215363511022,254,911
7250-530.0000017284220131,038,859
7149-54Out0003194332341,631,612
7048-55Out001113944653,672,870
6947-56Out000530541166,545,591
6846-57Out00221591779,289,818
6745-58Out00114592690,814,151
6644-59Out0008563699,962,055
6543-60Out0045046105,708,153
6442-61Out0024256107,368,583
6341-62Out0013366104,748,212
6240-63Out000267498,077,304
6139-64Out00198188,128,594
6038-65Out00138675,960,379
5937-66Out0099162,786,988
5836-67Out0069449,741,584
5735-68Out049637,744,544
5634-69Out029827,419,763
5533-70Out019919,062,445
5432-71Out019912,674,970
5331-72Out001008,053,526
5230-73Out01004,881,819
5129-74Out01002,822,464
5028-75Out01001,557,151
4927-76Out0100817,544
4826-77Out0100408,477
4725-78Out0100193,989
4624-79Out010086,642
4523-80Out010037,332
4422-81Out010015,098
4321-82Out01005,679
22-42Out100113,763*
Total:0.0%0000000001141033521,340,151,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeCardinalsDodgersPiratesMetsNationalsGiantsCubsPadresBravesDiamondbacksRockiesMarlinsRedsBrewers
92-1251.6%Yes
9169-341.68438222
9068-351.68911611121
8967-361.184111011111000
8866-371.1741113002110000
8765-380.7672114112210100
8664-390.85421151122100000
8563-400.74421131122101000
8462-410.53211100011100000
8361-420.32210500110000000
8260-430.2140020000000000
8159-440.180010000000000
8058-450.040000000000000
7957-460.020000000000000
7856-470.0100000000
7755-480.000
72-760.00
22-71No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 2 Braves 5 +0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 5 Braves 4 -0.3

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125103-0100
9472-31100
9371-32995527
9270-33104329145
9169-3451632221753
9068-3519302424831
8967-363122925189401
8866-370141222262072410
8765-3801413232718671000
8664-390014122326151252000
8563-40013112526151251000
8462-41003152912171472100
8361-420015255142016931000
8260-43001161615222012510000
8159-440080161422231572000
8058-450040015122124191031000
7957-460200013101925221351000
7856-470100002717242416720000
7755-48000001614232518820000
7654-490000014122226201031000
7553-50000001411212721113100
7452-51000001310212722113100
7351-5200000131122282210300
7250-53000001412242921810
7149-540000141427301850
7048-55000016193229121
6947-5600002102636223
6846-57000141737348
6745-5800019314315
6644-5900004224824
6543-600002144836
6442-61000184448
6341-6200043659
6240-6300022969
6139-640012178
6038-650001584
5937-66001090
5836-6700793
5735-6800496
5634-6900397
5533-700298
5432-710199
5331-720199
5230-7300100
5129-7400100
5028-750100
4927-760100
4826-770100
4725-780100
4624-790100
4523-800100
4422-810100
4321-820100
4220-830100
4119-84100
4018-850100
22-39100
Total:000000000000000000000111246122646