Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Beat Cardinals 4-1, playoff odds up 0.6 to 2.3%
8-12   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 2 Braves 5 -0.5
-0.2
Yankees 2 Mets 8 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 5 Braves 4 +0.3
+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
150142-0In100166
10193-49In50502
98-100In10022*
9789-53In8314329
9688-54In75141976
9587-55In63221131107
9486-56In5127220196
9385-57In43303231391
9284-58In32295322689
9183-5999.7%1731937501,174
9082-6098.6112512419101,864
8981-6197.34211541162003,095
8880-6293.721416382451004,669
8779-6383.708142833142007,323
8678-6468.50312183423710010,866
8577-6548.6019929321530015,752
8476-6628.20641834261020021,856
8375-6713.10319253321710030,102
8274-684.8020314303116400039,791
8173-691.4010151932281120051,019
8072-700.400029253322710063,761
7971-710.100031330321740077,514
7870-720.000015203428112091,268
7769-730.00000210273521500105,524
7668-740.0000041634321220116,572
7567-75Out001826382240127,413
7466-76Out003173733101133,167
7365-77Out00193040182136,850
7264-78Out00042142294135,403
7163-79Out021339397131,314
7062-80Out0017324713123,182
6961-81Out04245220112,216
6860-82Out00217532899,489
6759-83Out0111513885,753
6658-84Out0006464771,659
6557-85Out04405657,897
6456-86Out02336545,356
6355-87Out01267334,628
6254-88Out1217926,120
6153-89Out0168418,731
6052-90Out00118913,197
5951-91Out08928,777
5850-92Out5955,736
5749-93Out4963,745
5648-94Out2982,245
5547-95Out1991,415
5446-96Out199755
5345-97Out100439
5244-98Out0100251
8-51Out100394*
Total:2.3%000112245710131822152,019,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMetsCardinalsDodgersCubsPiratesPadresBravesRockiesMarlinsRedsDiamondbacksNationalsGiantsBrewers
150142-07.2%Yes
10193-49No5050
98-1004.5Yes
9789-5313.8973
9688-545.39111331
9587-555.686144312
9486-564.68012142133412
9385-576.676233432321101
9284-585.1661625444221110
9183-594.3572536557233110
9082-604.4483757656432200
8981-613.7403858658433110
8880-623.33239598574432110
8779-632.92249598684432110
8678-641.91637477564332110
8577-651.21125355443221000
8476-660.8613233221111000
8375-670.3311111111100000
8274-680.2200000000000000
8173-690.1100000000000000
8072-700.00000000000000
7971-710.000000000
7870-720.00000
7769-730.0000
7668-74No0
8-75No
Total:0.1%0.70.10.20.10.20.20.10.20.10.10.10.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 2 Braves 5 +0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 5 Braves 4 -0.3

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
150142-0100
10193-495050
10092-50100
9991-518614
9890-52928
9789-5359347
9688-54513217
9587-554438144
9486-5623422393
9385-571637301340
9284-5892533221010
9183-59214312917620
9082-601720272513510010
8981-6102920262412410200
8880-620031021252111306100
8779-6301391824209213300
8678-64000281620166227200
8577-6500251217122618610000
8476-660141013212517720000
8375-67001499212519931000
8274-680014281824221362000
8173-6900102614222317931000
8072-70000014101924211352000
7971-71000002715222317831000
7870-720000015112024201251000
7769-730000013817242315720000
7668-7400000271523251883000
7567-75000151323261993000
7466-7600015132327209200
7365-7700001513242819810
7264-78000161627281750
7163-7900027193127122
7062-8000003112635214
6961-8100151835329
6860-8200210304116
6759-830015234626
6658-84002154636
6557-8501104247
6456-860053658
6355-870033068
6254-88012376
6153-89011782
6052-9001387
5951-910991
5850-920694
5749-93595
5648-94298
5547-95199
5446-96199
5345-97100
5244-980100
8-51100
Total:000000000111112222334456789111311