Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Lost to Mets 4-5, playoff odds down 0.07 to 0.2%
19-29   .396

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 2 Braves 5 -0.5
-0.2
Yankees 2 Mets 8 -0.1
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 5 Braves 4 +0.3
+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
133114-0In1004,436
9778-36In1001
9677-37In71297
9576-38In3113381916
9475-39In21451814256
9374-40In1141371097
9273-4199.6%632362060234
9172-4299.3228432061550
9071-4397.3119402414301,299
8970-4494.60113824215002,518
8869-4588.00535222710205,077
8768-4675.922716311941010,058
8667-4760.6120102927112019,009
8566-4842.5014523331951034,834
8465-4925.10921432291120061,088
8364-5012.60517253521510104,430
8263-515.3020315333213200170,330
8162-521.910172436246100268,694
8061-530.6000214333414200409,900
7960-540.200016233825710603,861
7859-550.0000213333515200857,667
7758-560.00000523382661001,173,767
7657-570.00002123436142001,552,582
7556-580.000052440246001,979,510
7455-590.0000214363412102,440,649
7354-600.000017274022402,899,941
7253-61Out003173832903,326,599
7152-62Out0001932401713,683,841
7051-63Out00423432733,935,476
6950-64Out00214403774,054,509
6849-65Out00183346124,031,850
6748-66Out00042551203,863,891
6647-67Out0021752293,575,365
6546-68Out0011049403,183,017
6445-69Out00643512,735,894
6344-70Out00336612,265,577
6243-71Out0228701,809,223
6142-72Out0121781,388,784
6041-73Out0016841,025,877
5940-74Out001189730,445
5839-75Out0793498,735
5738-76Out0595329,089
5637-77Out0397207,381
5536-78Out0298125,813
5435-79Out19974,274
5334-80Out19941,407
5233-81Out010022,334
5132-82Out010011,459
5031-83Out01005,663
4930-84Out01002,622
4829-85Out01001,145
19-47Out1005,279*
Total:0.2%000000113591419262253,536,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeCardinalsDodgersNationalsPiratesGiantsMetsCubsDiamondbacksBravesPadresMarlinsRedsRockiesBrewers
133114-02.3%Yes
9778-36NoYes
9677-37NoYes
9576-38No81666
9475-393.6844222422
9374-401.09011112211
9273-410.47401296312
9172-421.673121833420100
9071-431.260332126442110
8970-441.34933213757211000
8869-451.24034215857312000
8768-461.02933214847311000
8667-470.621222127462110000
8566-480.5142219524211000
8465-490.3911153121010000
8364-500.2500022110000000
8263-510.1200011000000000
8162-520.0100000000000000
8061-530.000000000000000
7960-540.000000000000
7859-550.000000000
7758-560.0000
73-760.00
19-72No
Total:0.0%0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 2 Braves 5 +0.4
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 5 Braves 4 -0.3

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
133114-0100
9778-36100
9677-37432929
9576-38251325316
9475-395233423114
9374-4031126391631
9273-41917292712500
9172-422122431209201
9071-43003142828176130
8970-440151826251450510
8869-450261826231021020
8768-460027182418618510
8667-470002817221224123100
8566-48002716172321103100
8465-49002815162520103100
8364-500021071925211141000
8263-5100052818252213510000
8162-5200202716242415720000
8061-5301001614232518931000
7960-540000014122125201141000
7859-55000013101925221351000
7758-56000002817252415610000
7657-5700000271625251672000
7556-5800000261525261772000
7455-5900000161525261772000
7354-60000016162626166100
7253-6100002718282614410
7152-62000292130251120
7051-63000031125312171
6950-6400015163131152
6849-65000282436255
6748-66000415353511
6647-6700018284319
6546-680004204630
6445-69002134441
6344-7000173953
6243-7100043264
6142-720022474
6041-73011881
5940-74001287
5839-7500892
5738-760595
5637-770397
5536-780298
5435-790199
5334-80199
5233-810100
5132-820100
5031-830100
4930-840100
4829-850100
4728-860100
19-46100
Total:0000000000000001111223457911141818