Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Lost to Giants 1-3, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.01%
43-58   .426

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 4 Marlins 3 +2.0
+0.2
+0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2 +0.2
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 6 Braves 9 -2.8
-0.2
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10461-0In10071,680
9148-13In1004
9047-14In2435629617
8946-1598.3%227143917259
8845-1695.011522292941241
8744-1778.805182234183934
8643-1857.911411312812203,139
8542-1931.90642136257009,898
8441-2012.503193037183029,286
8340-213.710316373490081,265
8239-220.7000627432120210,451
8138-230.10002144237600502,508
8037-240.00005314815101,125,688
7936-250.000011750283002,348,376
7835-26Out008424290004,581,154
7734-27Out0032849192008,346,584
7633-28Out001154731600014,209,039
7532-29Out00636421520022,618,152
7431-30Out00222442750033,674,258
7330-31Out00103638142046,890,481
7229-32Out0042342255061,076,410
7128-33Out00112363713174,394,906
7027-34Out004244225484,703,567
6926-35Out0011338391090,137,655
6825-36Out00527472089,584,909
6724-37Out00216483583,115,488
6623-38Out0008415071,880,505
6522-39Out003316557,920,510
6421-40Out001217843,422,135
6320-41Out00138730,240,350
6219-42Out0089219,544,816
6118-43Out0049611,688,187
6017-44Out02986,449,277
5916-45Out01993,286,784
5815-46Out001001,537,248
5714-47Out0100656,787
5613-48Out0100255,893
5512-49Out010090,692
5411-50Out010028,837
5310-51Out01008,298
529-52Out01002,040
518-53Out0100495
43-50Out10071,797*
Total:0.0%0000000014914192527864,800,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsGiantsDodgersBrewersBravesCardinalsPiratesRedsMetsMarlinsPadresCubs
91-1042.3%Yes
9047-14No6518612
8946-151.7422171281025
8845-161.7387101288552
8744-171.023313134875300
8643-180.9153710455430
8542-190.37156233310000
8441-200.1312311111000
8340-210.0101100000000
8239-220.00000000000000
8138-230.0000000000000
8037-240.0000000000
7936-25No0000
43-78No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 4 Marlins 3 -0.5
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 6 Braves 9 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10461-087130
9148-1325252525
9047-1412292929
8946-15252029291222
8845-1611615322513232
8744-170161722231017310
8643-180141323182214510
8542-190031118192517610
8441-2000031092327198200
8340-21003210212822103000
8239-2201028202824133000
8138-23000027182927144100
8037-240000016172928144000
7936-250000151730281440000
7835-2600016193127133000
7734-2700017203226113000
7633-2800018223224102000
7532-290002102432239200
7431-3000031126312071000
7330-3100004142831185100
7229-3200015163130143000
7128-330001620342710200
7027-34000029253522610
6926-35000031331341630
6825-360000520372991
6724-37000192939202
6623-3800031739347
6522-3900018314615
6421-400003205027
6320-41001114841
6219-4200053956
6118-430022969
6017-440012080
5916-45001288
5815-4600793
5714-470496
5613-480298
5512-49199
5411-500100
5310-510100
529-520100
518-530100
43-50100
Total:00000000000000000011245811141616158