Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Beat Mariners 4-3, playoff odds unchanged at 0.008%
56-71   .441

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Marlins 5 Phillies 6 +1.5
+0.1
+0.3
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 +0.1
Braves 5 Brewers 0 -0.1
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0 *-0.1
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Marlins 14 Phillies 5 -1.0
-0.0
-0.2
Braves 1 Brewers 6 +0.2
Nationals 1 Reds 2 +0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9135-0100.0%24329341041,886
8731-4In50502
8630-581.367513616
8529-642.4283345121132
8428-722.60220492530846
8327-87.2007364413104,156
8226-91.40011846304019,090
8125-100.200531451620075,431
8024-110.001134334910257,505
7923-120.0003264224500769,533
7822-13Out0010333817202,032,403
7721-14Out002173934904,755,090
7620-15Out005264523109,878,049
7519-16Out00112414330018,244,025
7418-17Out004286080030,019,864
7317-18Out0011467181044,056,207
7216-19Out00562303057,638,824
7115-20Out00148438067,206,004
7014-21Out000325017169,695,978
6913-22Out00184930364,171,069
6812-23Out083944952,303,972
6711-24Out0326522037,584,596
6610-25Out0113513523,688,835
659-26Out05425313,003,743
648-27Out0229696,170,426
637-28Out0017822,495,538
626-29Out00991851,584
615-30Out0496241,158
604-31Out29854,325
593-32Out1999,608
582-33Out01001,284
571-34Out10092
560-35Out010041,889
Total:0.0%000000001263331207518,478,560

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersBrewersCardinalsGiantsBravesPiratesRedsMarlinsPadresMets
9135-01.5%65631113020000
8731-4NoYes
8630-5No66619386
8529-6No222822322
8428-70.1004276110
8327-80.00112200000
8226-90.0000100000
8125-100.00000000
8024-11No0000
7923-12No00
56-78No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 5 Phillies 6 -0.7
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 14 Phillies 5 +0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9135-0003153031165100
8731-45050
8630-561363666
8529-61132921625132
8428-73201132924820
8327-80705183326910
8226-901162133261020
8125-100001621342710200
8024-110001620342710200
7923-120001621342610200
7822-13001621332610200
7721-1400172234269100
7620-15000172336257100
7519-16000192838204000
7418-1700002123435142000
7317-18000319392891000
7216-1900172837215000
7115-2000214333415300
7014-21000420362910100
6913-220018263723600
6812-2300021231351720
6711-24000418373290
6610-2500172642231
659-2600021340415
648-270004275414
637-28001145728
626-290064945
615-30023662
604-3102377
593-3201486
582-33793
571-34397
560-35199
Total:00000000000000000011371216181613841