"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2014

Plays at Angels, playoff odds down 0.0005 to 0.01%
53-67   .442

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 4 Marlins 3 +2.0
+0.2
+0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2 +0.2
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 6 Braves 9 -2.8
-0.2
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9542-0In82170300
8633-9In67333
8532-1066.7%3333333
8431-1125.047145711728
8330-1214.941113730172114
8229-134.11319442671362
8128-140.406293921401,128
8027-150.100111353714203,158
7926-16Out031839308108,247
7825-17Out0062740224018,822
7724-18Out0112353814039,793
7623-19Out0032144301074,693
7522-20Out019364950128,355
7421-21Out0032362120200,707
7320-22Out0111642320284,099
7219-23Out04563550366,568
7118-24Out014245110430,291
7017-25Out002750221457,340
6916-26Out01547353439,252
6815-27Out0738487382,524
6714-28Out03265616299,730
6613-29Out1155727210,669
6512-30Out075142133,819
6411-31Out03415774,923
6310-32Out01297037,626
629-33Out0198116,266
618-34Out11896,190
607-35Out6941,991
596-36Out496537
585-37Out298136
574-38Out59522
53-56Out100304*
Total:0.0%0000000002528312583,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBrewersPiratesGiantsCardinalsRedsBravesPadresMets
9542-01.7%1000
8633-9No6733
8532-10No67
8431-11No44414
8330-12No424322
8229-13No1111100
8128-14No000
8027-15No00
53-79No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 4 Marlins 3 -0.5
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 6 Braves 9 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9542-0647321410
8633-9333333
8532-10333333
8431-112577292174
8330-122134202521141
8229-131417193024114
8128-140001616272915510
8027-15001415292916510
7926-1600313273019610
7825-1700312273119610
7724-1800312273220610
7623-1900312283218510
7522-2000314303216300
7421-2100041834301110
7320-220172438255000
7219-2300212333815200
7118-24004204128600
7017-25019333915200
6916-26003204229600
6815-2701933401520
6714-280320432860
6613-290193439162
6512-300032142305
6411-31019344214
6310-32003214728
629-3301114346
618-34053263
607-35022078
596-361387
585-37496
574-38991
53-56100
Total:00000000000000000001247131921171041