Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Lost to Mets 1-3, playoff odds unchanged at 0.000005%
52-80   .394

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 3 Phillies 1 Out
-0.1
Cubs 6 Reds 13 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets vs PhilliesOut+0.0
-0.1+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8230-00.1%002434510067,695
7927-3Out25754
7826-4Out116533076
7725-5Out054550676
7624-6Out1296904,235
7523-7Out0117821023,468
7422-8Out088920105,634
7321-9Out0390600406,816
7220-10Out0184141001,329,015
7119-11Out0071263003,766,384
7018-12Out00513991009,266,380
6917-13Out029452240019,874,228
6816-14Out0123635153037,256,118
6715-15Out0319363011161,185,295
6614-16Out006233827787,951,320
6513-17Out018284121110,714,282
6412-18Out002134144121,773,113
6311-19Out00042868116,767,085
6210-20Out001148597,126,811
619-21Out00069469,692,580
608-22Out0029842,804,413
597-23Out019922,270,472
586-24Out001009,675,806
575-25Out001003,450,349
564-26Out0100980,669
553-27Out0100213,937
542-28Out010033,665
52-53Out10071,174*
Total:0.0%000000359142248816,811,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByePirates
8230-0No00
52-79No
Total:No0.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 3 Phillies 1 +0.1
Cubs 6 Reds 13 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets vs Phillies+0.1-0.3

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8230-0001173529143100
7927-3252550
7826-41416163318111
7725-50171934251020
7624-600151830291430
7523-701517312914300
7422-80141632301430
7321-900141834311110
7220-1000152139295000
7119-110018304415200
7018-1200021444327100
6917-130004294221400
6816-140011235351530
6715-15003173531121
6614-1600052138297
6513-170017274322
6412-180001124145
6311-1900032769
6210-200011386
619-21000595
608-2200199
597-2300100
586-2400100
575-250100
564-260100
553-270100
542-280100
52-53100
Total:0000000000000001258132248