Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances

Lost to Phillies 0-7, playoff odds down 11.6 to 44.8%

12-10 .545

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Reds 0 Phillies 7	-4.0		-0.4		-0.3
Rockies 1 Padres 3	-0.2
Giants 5 Mets 2	+0.2
Braves 3 Marlins 0	-0.1
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 3	+0.1
Pirates 4 Brewers 2	-0.1		+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Reds vs Phillies	+3.0-3.9		+0.2-0.3		+0.2-0.3
Cubs vs Astros	-0.3+0.5		-0.0+0.1
Rockies vs Padres	+0.3-0.2
Giants vs Mets	+0.2-0.2
Braves vs Marlins	-0.1+0.2
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks	+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Brewers	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

111	-152				In		100															92,042	*
110		98	-	42	In		100	0														1,909
109		97	-	43	In		100															4,263
108		96	-	44	In		100	0		0												9,396
107		95	-	45	In		100	0		0												19,353
106		94	-	46	In		100	0		0												38,911
105		93	-	47	In		99	1		0												75,822
104		92	-	48	In		99	1	0	0												143,643
103		91	-	49	In		98	1	0	1	0											261,771
102		90	-	50	In		97	2	0	1	0											463,713
101		89	-	51	In		94	4	0	2	0											791,453
100		88	-	52	In		92	6	0	3	0											1,319,138
99		87	-	53	In		87	8	0	4	0											2,123,247
98		86	-	54	In		82	12	0	7	0	0										3,315,530
97		85	-	55	100.0	%	74	16	0	10	0	0	0									5,021,540
96		84	-	56	In		65	21	1	13	0	0										7,382,709
95		83	-	57	100.0		54	26	1	18	1	0	0									10,523,121
94		82	-	58	100.0		43	30	2	24	2	0	0	0								14,562,508
93		81	-	59	100.0		31	32	4	29	3	0	0	0								19,552,861
92		80	-	60	100.0		21	32	6	35	6	0	0	0								25,503,221
91		79	-	61	100.0		12	29	8	38	12	1	0	0	0							32,287,341
90		78	-	62	99.8		6	24	10	39	19	3	0	0	0							39,675,681
89		77	-	63	99.2		3	17	11	35	27	7	1	0	0	0						47,353,573
88		76	-	64	97.4		1	10	11	28	34	14	2	0	0	0	0					54,899,294
87		75	-	65	92.7		0	5	9	19	36	23	6	1	0	0	0					61,802,672
86		74	-	66	82.8		0	2	7	11	31	31	14	3	0	0	0	0				67,572,339
85		73	-	67	66.5		0	1	4	5	22	34	24	8	1	0	0	0	0			71,778,624
84		72	-	68	45.9		0	0	3	2	12	29	31	17	5	1	0	0	0			74,047,518
83		71	-	69	26.1		0	0	1	0	5	19	32	27	12	3	0	0	0			74,208,763
82		70	-	70	11.9			0	1	0	2	10	25	32	22	8	1	0	0	0		72,253,078
81		69	-	71	4.2			0	0	0	0	4	14	29	30	17	5	1	0	0		68,335,422
80		68	-	72	1.2			0	0	0	0	1	6	20	32	27	12	2	0	0	0	62,773,131
79		67	-	73	0.3			0	0	0	0	0	2	10	26	33	21	6	1	0	0	56,031,241
78		66	-	74	0.0				0	0	0	0	1	4	16	32	31	14	2	0	0	48,573,730
77		65	-	75	0.0				0		0	0	0	1	8	24	35	24	6	0	0	40,907,940
76		64	-	76	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	3	15	33	33	13	1	0	33,455,732
75		63	-	77	0.0				0			0	0	0	1	8	26	39	23	3	0	26,565,757
74		62	-	78	0.0							0	0	0	0	3	17	39	33	7	0	20,508,658
73		61	-	79	Out								0	0	0	1	10	33	42	13	1	15,355,260
72		60	-	80	Out									0	0	0	5	25	47	21	2	11,168,590
71		59	-	81	Out									0	0	0	2	17	47	30	4	7,891,396
70		58	-	82	Out										0	0	1	10	43	38	8	5,404,696
69		57	-	83	Out										0	0	0	6	36	45	13	3,598,491
68		56	-	84	Out										0	0	0	3	28	49	20	2,324,802
67		55	-	85	Out											0	0	1	20	50	29	1,456,120
66		54	-	86	Out												0	1	14	48	38	884,308
65		53	-	87	Out												0	0	9	44	47	521,747
64		52	-	88	Out												0	0	5	38	57	299,439
63		51	-	89	Out													0	3	31	65	166,000
62		50	-	90	Out													0	2	25	73	89,128
61		49	-	91	Out													0	1	20	80	46,496
60		48	-	92	Out														1	15	85	23,722
59		47	-	93	Out														0	10	89	11,302
58		46	-	94	Out														0	7	93	5,537
57		45	-	95	Out															5	95	2,445
56		44	-	96	Out															2	98	1,076
55		43	-	97	Out															3	97	466
54		42	-	98	Out															1	99	205
53		41	-	99	Out															1	99	76
12	-52				Out																100	90,693	*

Total:					44.8	%	4	6	3	10	11	11	10	10	9	8	7	6	4	1	0	1,093,578,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Braves	Brewers	Phillies	Cubs	Dodgers	Diamondbacks	Mets	Padres	Pirates	Nationals	Giants	Cardinals	Marlins	Rockies

109	-152				12.2	%	Yes
108		96	-	44	12.8		100										0
107		95	-	45	11.8		100	0		0	0	0		0		0	0
106		94	-	46	12.1		100	0	0	0	0	0		0		0	0	0
105		93	-	47	12.0		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
104		92	-	48	12.3		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
103		91	-	49	12.3		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
102		90	-	50	12.1		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		89	-	51	12.1		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		88	-	52	11.9		97	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		87	-	53	11.8		96	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		86	-	54	11.7		93	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
97		85	-	55	11.4		90	1	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
96		84	-	56	11.1		86	2	1	2	3	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
95		83	-	57	10.8		81	3	2	3	4	1	1	2	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
94		82	-	58	10.3		75	3	3	4	5	1	1	3	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
93		81	-	59	9.7		67	4	4	6	7	1	1	4	1	3	1	0	1	0	0
92		80	-	60	9.0		59	6	5	7	8	2	2	5	2	4	2	0	1	0	0
91		79	-	61	8.3		49	7	6	9	9	2	2	6	2	4	2	1	1	0	0
90		78	-	62	7.4		40	8	7	10	10	2	2	6	2	5	2	1	1	0	0
89		77	-	63	6.5		30	8	7	11	11	3	3	7	3	5	2	1	1	0	0
88		76	-	64	5.4		22	8	7	11	10	3	3	7	3	5	2	1	1	0	0
87		75	-	65	4.2		15	7	6	10	9	3	2	6	2	4	2	1	1	0	0
86		74	-	66	2.9		9	6	5	8	7	2	2	5	2	3	2	1	1	0	0
85		73	-	67	1.8		5	4	3	5	4	1	1	3	1	2	1	1	1	0	0
84		72	-	68	0.9		3	2	1	3	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
83		71	-	69	0.4		1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		70	-	70	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		69	-	71	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		68	-	72	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		67	-	73	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		66	-	74	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		65	-	75	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0		0
76		64	-	76	0.0		0		0	0							0
75		63	-	77	No		0
12	-74				No

Total:					2.5	%	13.5	2.8	2.3	3.8	3.5	0.9	0.9	2.3	0.9	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.4	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs