Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 30.5%
19-18   .514

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.6
+0.1
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.3
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Reds-3.1+3.0
-0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2
Padres vs Brewers+0.6-0.4
+0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Rockies+0.4-0.4
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.3+0.4
Giants vs Dodgers+0.3-0.2
Rangers vs Phillies+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-144In10040,586*
10990-35In1000385
10889-36In1000946
10788-37In9912,077
10687-38In99104,731
10586-39In982010,349
10485-40In9730021,233
10384-41In9550042,053
10283-42In9280081,554
10182-43In881100152,354
10081-44In8316110272,736
9980-45In7622110471,667
9879-46In6728220791,134
9778-47100.0%573543001,280,608
9677-48100.0464185002,006,971
9576-49100.035451280003,044,222
9475-50100.0244518121004,458,765
9374-5199.91542251620006,323,975
9273-5299.7935312040008,667,638
9172-5399.042735248100011,505,662
9071-5497.0218372615300014,775,117
8970-5592.71113525227100018,386,926
8869-5684.70629202913200022,151,571
8768-5771.90223143223500025,827,584
8667-5855.301169303211100029,170,612
8566-5937.400104233721400031,909,778
8465-6021.700621436321010033,811,196
8364-6110.50317293919300034,712,152
8263-624.201031839308100034,495,245
8162-631.400019323817300033,219,468
8061-640.4000042140287100030,975,296
7960-650.10000111333715200027,995,447
7859-660.0000052339267100024,482,495
7758-670.00000212343515300020,758,525
7657-680.000005233825710017,038,859
7556-690.0000021333341530013,543,000
7455-700.00001623372571010,421,993
7354-71Out000214323415307,773,385
7253-72Out0017243725705,609,292
7152-73Out00031534341323,918,406
7051-74Out001826392342,650,483
6950-75Out000317383381,732,230
6849-76Out001103341151,096,505
6748-77Out0005254624670,733
6647-78Out002174635397,488
6546-79Out001114346227,530
6445-80Out0063757125,354
6344-81Out003296767,215
6243-82Out002237534,672
6142-83Out01168317,461
6041-84Out011888,200
5940-85Out07933,918
5839-86Out05951,733
5738-87Out397748
5637-88Out298286
5536-89Out199135
19-54Out10040,436*
Total:30.5%24961013151311753210487,231,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
107-1449.2%Yes
10687-388.81000
10586-399.310000
10485-408.91000000000
10384-419.21000000000
10283-429.410000000000000
10182-439.310000000000000
10081-449.1990000000000000
9980-459.29900000000000000
9879-469.09800000000000000
9778-479.09701110000000000
9677-488.89501111100000000
9576-498.79202221100000000
9475-508.48803331210000000
9374-518.28204442310000000
9273-527.87505653311000000
9172-537.46607874421000000
9071-546.856081094521000000
8970-556.24601011115631000000
8869-565.33501012115631100000
8768-574.32501011114521100000
8667-583.217081093421000000
8566-592.11006762311000000
8465-601.2603441110000000
8364-610.6302221100000000
8263-620.2101110000000000
8162-630.1000000000000000
8061-640.0000000000000000
7960-650.0000000000000000
7859-660.0000000000000
7758-670.00000000000
7657-680.00000
7556-69No00
7455-70No0
19-73No
Total:2.0%15.10.13.33.83.51.41.70.80.40.20.10.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Reds+0.5-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-144100
10990-35991
10889-36991
10788-37973
10687-389640
10586-399370
10485-4090100
10384-41851510
10283-427820200
10182-437027300
10081-4460336000
9980-45493911100
9879-46374317300
9778-4726432461000
9677-481738311220000
9576-499303519510000
9475-50520342711200000
9374-5121128321961000000
9273-5215183027144100000
9172-53029233023102001000
9071-54003122529197103000
8970-550015152626154171000
8869-5600016162522112132000
8768-57000027162318721610000
8667-580000271519122714300000
8566-5900002614162623103000000
8465-60000016141827209310000
8364-610000288202620114100000
8263-620000429202622125100000
8162-63000102818252314620000
8061-640000027162424167200000
7960-6500000016142325189310000
7859-66000000141221262011410000
7758-67000000141020262212410000
7657-680000013919262313510000
7556-69000001391826241451000
7455-70000000281826241451000
7354-71000028182624145100
7253-72000003920272413410
7152-7300013102229231020
7051-740000141325302061
6950-7500016173029142
6849-76000292434246
6748-770001416333413
6647-7800018274122
6546-790004194333
6445-80002124046
6344-810173458
6243-820032868
6142-830022178
6041-84011485
5940-850990
5839-860693
5738-87397
5637-88298
5536-89298
19-54100
Total:012334444477666555443322111100