Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 30.5%
19-18   .514

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.6
+0.1
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.3
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Reds-3.1+3.0
-0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2
Padres vs Brewers+0.6-0.4
+0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Rockies+0.4-0.4
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.3+0.4
Giants vs Dodgers+0.3-0.2
Rangers vs Phillies+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111-144In100145,391*
11091-34In1000530
10990-35In10001,403
10889-36In10003,345
10788-37In99107,574
10687-38In9910017,038
10586-39In9820036,770
10485-40In9730076,300
10384-41In95500151,807
10283-42In92800292,897
10182-43In881100544,077
10081-44In8316110978,367
9980-45In76221101,696,832
9879-46In67282202,845,473
9778-47100.0%573543004,607,197
9677-48100.04641850007,219,748
9576-49100.0354512800010,941,126
9475-50100.02445181210016,019,871
9374-5199.915422516200022,717,902
9273-5299.79353120400031,152,721
9172-5399.042735248100041,359,500
9071-5497.0218372615300053,130,912
8970-5592.71113525227100066,092,038
8869-5684.70629202913200079,617,454
8768-5771.902231432225000092,842,255
8667-5855.3011693032111000104,862,762
8566-5937.4001042337214000114,696,508
8465-6021.70062143632101000121,530,470
8364-6110.503172939193000124,744,304
8263-624.20010318393081000123,981,982
8162-631.4000193238173000119,377,608
8061-640.40000421402871000111,335,390
7960-650.100001113337152000100,585,983
7859-660.0000052339267100088,008,049
7758-670.00000212343515300074,600,815
7657-680.000005233825710061,237,486
7556-690.0000021333341530048,675,447
7455-700.00001623372571037,472,318
7354-71Out0002143234153027,934,262
7253-72Out000172437257020,165,827
7152-73Out000315343413214,081,405
7051-74Out0001826392249,519,306
6950-75Out000317383386,228,939
6849-76Out001103341153,941,800
6748-77Out00052546242,415,268
6647-78Out00021746341,429,014
6546-79Out001114346816,940
6445-80Out0063657451,279
6344-81Out0032967242,053
6243-82Out0022376125,550
6142-83Out01168362,704
6041-84Out00118830,060
5940-85Out079313,929
5839-86Out05956,322
5738-87Out3972,642
5637-88Out2981,132
5536-89Out199474
5435-90Out199165
19-53Out100145,139*
Total:30.5%249610131513117532101,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
108-1449.2%Yes
10788-379.21000
10687-388.91000
10586-399.210000000
10485-409.010000000000
10384-419.1100000000000
10283-429.2100000000000000
10182-439.210000000000000000
10081-449.29900000000000000
9980-459.19900000000000000
9879-469.19800000000000000
9778-479.09701110000000000
9677-488.89501111100000000
9576-498.79202221100000000
9475-508.58803331210000000
9374-518.28204442310000000
9273-527.87505653311000000
9172-537.46607874421000000
9071-546.856081094521000000
8970-556.24601011115631000000
8869-565.33501012115631100000
8768-574.32501011114521100000
8667-583.217081093421000000
8566-592.11006762311000000
8465-601.2603441110000000
8364-610.6302221100000000
8263-620.2101110000000000
8162-630.1000000000000000
8061-640.0000000000000000
7960-650.0000000000000000
7859-660.0000000000000000
7758-670.000000000000
7657-680.000000000
7556-69No000000
7455-700.00
19-73No
Total:2.0%15.10.13.33.83.51.41.70.80.40.20.10.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Reds+0.5-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
111-144100
11091-34991
10990-35991
10889-36991
10788-37973
10687-389640
10586-399370
10485-40901000
10384-41851510
10283-427820200
10182-437027300
10081-4460336000
9980-45493911100
9879-463743173000
9778-47264324610000
9677-48173831122000000
9576-4993035195100000
9475-505203427112000000
9374-5121228321961000000
9273-5215183027144100000
9172-53029233023102001000
9071-54003122529197103000
8970-550015152626154171000
8869-56000161625221121320000
8768-57000027162318721610000
8667-5800002715191227143000000
8566-5900002614162624103000000
8465-600000161418272093100000
8364-6100002882026201141000000
8263-620000429202622125100000
8162-630001028182523146200000
8061-6400000027162424167200000
7960-6500000016142325189310000
7859-66000000141221262011410000
7758-670000000141020262212410000
7657-680000013919262313510000
7556-690000013818262414510000
7455-70000000281826241451000
7354-710000028182624145100
7253-720000003920272413410
7152-7300013102229231020
7051-740000141325302061
6950-75000016173029142
6849-76000292434246
6748-770001416333413
6647-7800018274122
6546-790004194333
6445-80002124046
6344-810173458
6243-820032869
6142-830022178
6041-84011485
5940-8501090
5839-860694
5738-87496
5637-88298
5536-89199
5435-90199
19-53100
Total:012334444477666555443322111100