Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Lost to Blue Jays 4-6, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.7%
47-54   .465

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 -2.0
-0.2
-0.3
Reds 12 Rays 4 +0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1 *+0.1
MondayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10861-0In901071,680
97-98In10010*
9649-12In91932
9548-13In84151145
9447-14In702810534
9346-1599.9%064322201,969
9245-1699.953413306,917
9144-1799.54149370021,403
9043-1898.40285431320061,696
8942-1995.41855320400164,533
8841-2088.0105122511100404,153
8740-2174.544212721400929,274
8639-2254.9231022321110001,982,728
8538-2333.101801437246003,933,268
8437-2415.509063036163007,281,097
8336-255.30302173731910012,574,871
8235-261.30100625392350020,296,706
8134-270.20011133371620030,615,090
8033-280.0000318393181043,199,649
7932-290.00001727422130057,004,734
7831-300.000002133936101070,401,923
7730-310.0000052644232081,355,038
7629-32Out0011341377087,996,115
7528-33Out00053048160089,074,448
7427-34Out0021850291084,321,713
7326-35Out000945432074,652,603
7225-36Out00434566061,734,767
7124-37Out001236412047,720,400
7023-38Out00146521034,389,891
6922-39Out0076032123,108,506
6821-40Out0035044314,456,533
6720-41Out01385468,403,295
6619-42Out002662124,534,441
6518-43Out01664202,267,910
6417-44Out0960311,047,785
6316-45Out045244446,933
6215-46Out024256174,348
6114-47Out1326862,889
6013-48Out0227720,805
5912-49Out015856,199
5811-50Out9911,607
5710-51Out694378
569-52Out49691
47-55Out10071,693*
Total:0.7%0000012471319252250864,800,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsTigersOriolesMarinersBlue JaysIndiansYankeesRoyalsRaysWhite SoxTwinsAstrosRangers
96-1083.2%Yes
9548-133.4991
9447-143.0982
9346-153.49603000
9245-162.89405000000
9144-172.9890900100000
9043-182.68211400100000
8942-192.3731190010000000
8841-202.0611240010000000
8740-211.6471250010000000
8639-221.13212100100000000
8538-230.719113000000000000
8437-240.39060000000000
8336-250.13020000000000
8235-260.01000000000000
8134-270.00000000000
8033-280.00000
7932-290.0000
7831-300.000
7730-31No0
47-76No
Total:0.0%0.40.00.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 +0.5
MondayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10861-09010
9851-10100
9750-118911
9649-1266286
9548-1337431731
9447-1422422871
9346-150113432194000
9245-164183329133000
9144-17182332241020000
9043-180210243122820200
8942-190031124292071400
8841-200003112327185111000
8740-210003102125151951000
8639-22000292024251541000
8538-23000282320251551000
8437-24000213923271771000
8336-25000521123282082000
8235-26000102102229221020000
8134-270000292130241130000
8033-280000028203025123000
7932-290000017203126112000
7831-300000182132251020000
7730-31000002923332392000
7629-32000021026322171000
7528-33000031329311751000
7427-34000141731291440000
7326-35000162032261120000
7225-360002924332392000
7124-370002112732206100
7023-38000415303116400
6922-39000161933281120
6821-400001925352360
6720-4100003143235151
6619-4200162239294
6518-4300211354210
6417-440005255119
6316-45001145232
6215-460074646
6114-47033761
6013-48012772
5912-49001882
5811-5001189
5710-51892
569-52595
47-55100
Total:0000000000011123579111212119753210