Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Reds 5-4, playoff odds up 0.0009 to 0.01%
54-65   .454

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 -2.0
-0.2
-0.3
Reds 12 Rays 4 +0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1 *+0.1
MondayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9743-0In10890300
8935-8In1001
8834-966.7%3333333
8733-1051.433640341435
8632-1114.7121239415129
8531-126.2243041203405
8430-131.4011438371001,319
8329-140.2004244324403,639
8228-150.001934411419,227
8127-16Out021745324020,769
8026-17Out0063147151042,391
7925-18Out011548324078,543
7824-19Out053548120131,959
7723-20Out0119542520203,655
7622-21Out008473960285,115
7521-22Out023350150364,285
7420-23Out012052270421,771
7319-24Out01047431445,123
7218-25Out04375820428,738
7117-26Out01247050375,231
7016-27Out01475100297,333
6915-28Out0773190213,249
6814-29Out0364321139,110
6713-30Out015046380,574
6612-31Out03458742,119
6511-32Out020651520,032
6410-33Out01062278,240
639-34Out455413,063
628-35Out04654989
617-36Out13070284
606-37Out287254
595-38Out79314
54-58Out100301*
Total:0.0%0000000015173039603,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsMariners
9743-01.7%Yes
8935-8NoYes
8834-9No3333
8733-10No63411
8632-11No2112
8531-12No24
8430-13No0010
8329-14No000
8228-15No0
54-81No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 +0.5
MondayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9743-0108190
8935-8100
8834-9333333
8733-1036692363793
8632-11164443357
8531-12002323402461
8430-130018253322920
8329-14001824302311200
8228-15001719292613410
8127-16015152728176100
8026-170013132530207100
7925-1800311243022820
7824-1900210243123810
7723-200002102534226100
7622-21000212293618300
7521-22000316353311200
7420-230015233925610
7319-2400110333616300
7218-2500031938291010
7117-260018283721500
7016-270021534331320
6915-28006233827600
6814-29021131381720
6713-3000418403070
6612-310183041192
6511-32021742335
6410-3317334713
639-3403205225
628-35094942
617-36063361
606-373367
595-382179
54-58100
Total:00000000000000001134812171815106310