Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Plays Yankees, playoff odds up 0.06 to 17.3%
10-12   .455

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Orioles 3 Red Sox 4 +3.5
+0.4
+0.4
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6 -3.3
-0.4
-0.3
Rays 8 Rangers 1 -0.2
-0.1
Astros 1 Angels 11 +0.2
Tigers 10 Orioles 4 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
101-150In100305*
10090-50In982153
9989-51In973273
9888-52In94401480
9787-53In9181862
9686-54In8612021,502
9585-55In82161202,476
9484-56In75201403,801
9383-57In64292506,111
9282-58100.0%543548009,136
9181-5999.940406121013,357
9080-6099.9274310172019,438
8979-6199.51641162250027,051
8878-6298.6834212610100036,175
8777-6395.4323252618400048,107
8676-6487.411426212610200060,180
8575-6572.006231429216100074,672
8474-6649.9021772429164100089,101
8373-6726.8011121329271330000103,520
8272-6811.20605183026123000117,993
8171-693.903017213124102000128,780
8070-701.3100292432238200137,055
7969-710.40002112632207100142,350
7868-720.100000314293117400143,637
7767-730.000000151832291320140,404
7666-740.000001823352571133,464
7565-750.0000003133135162123,391
7464-76Out000162239285109,971
7363-77Out00021235391195,732
7262-78Out001627471980,902
7161-79Out00319493066,473
7060-80Out00111464153,043
6959-81Out006415240,770
6858-82Out003346331,016
6757-83Out02277222,425
6656-84Out01207916,132
6555-85Out00158410,938
6454-86Out012887,237
6353-87Out07924,732
6252-88Out6942,954
6151-89Out4961,821
6050-90Out2981,088
5949-91Out298581
5848-92Out199317
10-57Out100534*
Total:17.3%2353456778910111182,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsBlue JaysRangersTwinsWhite SoxTigersYankeesOriolesRaysIndiansRoyalsMarinersAstros
99-15010.7%Yes
9888-5211.39900000
9787-5312.4990000
9686-5410.79800000000000
9585-5510.698000000000000
9484-5610.39601000000000000
9383-5710.1941111000100000
9282-5810.09211110001110000
9181-599.38722121111111010
9080-609.08122221112211110
8979-618.37334342112221110
8878-627.56355352223322110
8777-636.75266463223332220
8676-645.64066463334332220
8575-654.32956363333332220
8474-662.91944242222222110
8373-671.51122121111111110
8272-680.7611010000000000
8171-690.3300000000000000
8070-700.1100000000000000
7969-710.0000000000000000
7868-720.0000
7767-730.0000
75-760.00
10-74No
Total:1.2%9.81.01.00.61.00.50.50.40.50.50.50.40.30.30.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles 3 Red Sox 4 -0.7
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
103-150100
10292-48982
10191-49973
10090-50937
9989-5183161
9888-5282171
9787-53672840
9686-54563671
9585-55463912200
9484-56344120510
9383-5720402810200
9282-581232331651000
9181-5952132261231000
9080-60210253021930000
8979-610413262718820000
8878-62015142426188201000
8777-63001513232618814100
8676-64001411212618693100
8575-650013920251515931000
8474-6600281921151712510000
8373-6700027187172116831000
8272-6800292716222013620000
8171-690040151220231910410000
8070-70010013816222216831000
7969-7100000014111924201252000
7868-7200000012715222417831000
7767-7300000014122024211241000
7666-7400000139182523146100
7565-750000027172525166100
7464-7600002717262615510
7363-77000281929271330
7262-780000031023322481
7161-790014133033172
7060-8000172237275
6959-8100313353811
6858-820017294418
6757-83003214926
6656-8401144737
6555-850184447
6454-86054055
6353-87033166
6252-88012672
6151-8912080
6050-9001584
5949-9101288
5848-92793
5747-93496
5646-94397
10-55100
Total:011112223322333444445555566542