Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Beat Rays 3-2, playoff odds up 0.06 to 0.2%
48-57   .457

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 -2.0
-0.2
-0.3
Reds 12 Rays 4 +0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1 *+0.1
MondayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10557-0In5842095,404
95-96In10011*
9446-11In92838
9345-12In682813159
9244-13In573346860
9143-1499.6%0453751203,111
9042-1598.830434221010,839
8941-1695.219413325034,735
8840-1787.610362401210102,336
8739-1872.942714123400277,412
8638-1951.71170333512100693,657
8537-2029.009020402561001,600,659
8436-2111.903093136173003,423,803
8335-223.40102173631111006,786,483
8234-230.60000623382671012,492,906
8133-240.10011029371930021,363,469
8032-250.00003153634121033,987,200
7931-260.0000052341265050,302,925
7830-270.00001103440141069,349,245
7729-28Out00032145282089,064,265
7628-29Out000110394460106,538,454
7527-30Out00042755140118,692,819
7426-31Out00116582500123,190,449
7325-32Out008543800119,045,056
7224-33Out003445110107,044,441
7123-34Out00133623089,512,972
7022-35Out0023706069,538,951
6921-36Out00147312050,140,476
6820-37Out087121133,520,706
6719-38Out046331220,726,047
6618-39Out025143411,845,808
6517-40Out01375396,238,833
6416-41Out02458173,021,252
6315-42Out01458291,340,893
6214-43Out075142545,330
6113-44Out034156201,719
6012-45Out1306967,487
5911-46Out0207920,279
5810-47Out013875,619
579-48Out7931,377
568-49Out496298
557-50Out69447
48-54Out10095,410*
Total:0.2%0000001248173430301,150,924,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAthleticsAngelsTigersOriolesBlue JaysMarinersIndiansRoyalsYankeesRaysWhite SoxTwinsAstrosRangers
94-1052.3%Yes
9345-120.69613
9244-132.49009000
9143-142.4831150001000
9042-151.87312400010000
8941-161.660133000100000
8840-171.3462390001000000
8739-180.93123900010000000
8638-190.61813100000000000
8537-200.39119000000000000
8436-210.130800000000000
8335-220.010200000000000
8234-230.0000000000000
8133-240.00000000
8032-250.00000
7931-26No000
7830-27No0
48-77No
Total:0.0%0.10.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 +0.5
MondayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10557-058420
9648-9100
9547-104060
9446-112442323
9345-12113634164
9244-134193328132
9143-14172434229200
9042-15021125312171010
8941-16003122629185150
8840-1700031325271541110
8739-18000312222312225100
8638-19000310192029154100
8537-20000281925271441000
8436-210002101226271661000
8335-220003313252819820000
8234-2300103112228221030000
8133-240000282028241341000
8032-250000171828261551000
7931-260000015162828165100
7830-270000015162929164000
7729-28000015173129143000
7628-29000016203328102000
7527-3000001824362361000
7426-31000021231341740000
7325-3200004183529122000
7224-330001724352481000
7123-340002122933195100
7022-35000417323014300
6921-360017223526810
6820-3700021129361930
6719-38000418363290
6618-3900182841202
6517-4000031742345
6416-410018334711
6315-42003225422
6214-43001125235
6113-440054450
6012-45023465
5911-46012376
5810-4701585
579-480891
568-49595
557-50694
48-54100
Total:00000000000001122468111414121075210