Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 38.2%
19-15   .559

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Angels 5 White Sox 3 +0.4
Indians 8 Rays 7 -0.4
-0.1
Mariners 6 Athletics 5 -0.1
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Twins vs Rockies+3.0-2.9
+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.3
Indians vs Rays-0.4+0.4
-0.1+0.1
Angels vs White Sox+0.3-0.3
Rangers vs Phillies-0.2+0.3
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.2-0.2
Mariners vs Athletics-0.1+0.2
Tigers vs Orioles-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111-147In10059,527*
11091-37In1000314
10990-38In1000785
10889-39In9911,849
10788-40In9913,944
10687-41In9828,796
10586-42In9730018,297
10485-43In9550036,770
10384-44In9370072,328
10283-45In891100136,629
10182-46In841500249,044
10081-47In782010441,797
9980-48In7126200752,798
9879-49In63333101,248,088
9778-50In54406101,992,558
9677-51100.0%4445102003,088,262
9576-52100.03449153004,624,875
9475-53100.02450214006,715,893
9374-54100.016482970009,438,867
9273-55100.010423710100012,855,617
9172-5699.95354513200016,971,368
9071-5799.622550175000021,682,777
8970-5898.611753199100026,878,391
8869-5996.0095119154000032,252,299
8768-6089.8054617229100037,532,643
8667-6178.202381226175100042,329,435
8566-6260.9012972425112000046,265,601
8465-6341.00020317292171000049,025,018
8364-6423.30131925301641000050,368,914
8263-6511.3070416302712300050,150,231
8162-664.8040172232249200048,409,282
8061-671.90200211273219610045,310,923
7960-680.71000416303015400041,082,648
7859-690.20000162033271020036,119,084
7758-700.10000021026342161030,774,294
7657-710.0000004153232153025,408,488
7556-720.00000172336267120,331,578
7455-730.000000213323516215,764,974
7354-740.0000016233926611,841,381
7253-750.0000002143637118,623,575
7152-76Out000172944206,066,711
7051-77Out00032046314,139,172
6950-78Out0011344422,736,357
6849-79Out000738541,747,113
6748-80Out00431651,083,615
6647-81Out0022474649,450
6546-82Out0011881376,049
6445-83Out001287210,583
6344-84Out0891114,183
6243-85Out069459,132
6142-86Out049630,001
6041-87Out029814,697
5940-88Out1996,981
5839-89Out1993,111
5738-90Out01001,388
5637-91Out0100594
19-55Out10059,701*
Total:38.2%2618589998765431716,168,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosYankeesIndiansOriolesRangersRed SoxWhite SoxTigersRaysMarinersAngelsBlue JaysRoyalsAthletics
106-1477.7%Yes
10586-427.81000
10485-437.910000
10384-447.71000000000
10283-457.61000000000000
10182-467.61000000000000000
10081-477.61000000000000000
9980-487.610000000000000000
9879-497.59900000000000000
9778-507.59900000000000000
9677-517.49800000000000000
9576-527.39700010000000000
9475-537.29501011000000000
9374-547.19301021110100000
9273-556.98901121111110000
9172-566.78512142211111000
9071-576.57813153211211000
8970-586.17013274321221000
8869-595.76114285422321100
8768-605.15115295422331100
8667-614.34015295422331100
8566-623.33014184321321100
8465-632.22102153211211000
8364-641.31301031100110000
8263-650.7700010000000000
8162-660.3400000000000000
8061-670.1200000000000000
7960-680.1100000000000000
7859-690.0000000000000000
7758-700.00000000000000
7657-710.0000000000
72-750.00
19-71No
Total:2.3%25.50.31.50.63.11.61.30.70.61.10.90.50.30.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins vs Rockies-0.5+0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113-147100
11293-35982
11192-36100
11091-371000
10990-38991
10889-39982
10788-40973
10687-419640
10586-429360
10485-4390100
10384-44851410
10283-45782020
10182-467027300
10081-476033610
9980-484939111000
9879-493742173000
9778-5026422571000
9677-511637311220000
9576-529293520610000
9475-53420342812300000
9374-542112732207100000
9273-5515173028144100000
9172-5602922302411300000
9071-57003122529208200000
8970-580015152628186110000
8869-5900016162727154400000
8768-6000027172825118200000
8667-61000027192921137200000
8566-62000028222915147200000
8465-630000211271220168310000
8364-6400004196162319103100000
8263-650001102818242112410000
8162-66000502817242314620000
8061-670020027152424167200000
7960-6800100015132325199310000
7859-690000000141221262111410000
7758-700000000131020262212510000
7657-71000001391826231451000
7556-720000002818262415610000
7455-73000000281726251561000
7354-7400000028182625145100
7253-750000002919272413410
7152-76000013102229231020
7051-77000141325302071
6950-7800016173029143
6849-79000292434256
6748-800001415333413
6647-810018274122
6546-820004194334
6445-83002124046
6344-8400173459
6243-850032769
6142-86022078
6041-87011486
5940-880990
5839-890694
5738-90496
5637-91397
5536-920100
5435-93100
5334-94397
19-52100
Total:012334567845555555443322211100