Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances

Lost to White Sox 6-7, Beat White Sox 10-2, playoff odds up 0.5 to 33.9%
64-60   .516

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins 9 Angels 5 +1.0
+0.3
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins 5 Angels 4 +1.4
+0.3
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.2
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.2
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10238-0In7327002,236,996
10137-1In75254
10036-2In425853
9935-3In316621738
9834-4In2271526,767
9733-5In117310646,571
9632-6In56618120260,801
9531-7In252262001,212,044
9430-8In135323204,748,540
9329-9100.0%02033451015,980,951
9228-10100.00930574046,740,367
9127-11100.00323621100119,765,455
9026-1299.80115602300270,834,513
8925-1399.20095139100543,524,022
8824-1497.10053855300972,230,860
8723-1591.502246680001,555,375,652
8622-1680.00112671910002,232,152,413
8521-1761.6005563440002,879,058,445
8420-1839.100138461420003,342,348,475
8319-1918.90019452971003,494,921,606
8218-206.400630392040003,293,193,920
8117-211.30011334341530002,795,424,995
8016-220.20003173631111002,135,899,330
7915-230.00000522382870001,466,943,313
7814-240.000017274121300903,920,405
7713-250.000011135391210498,339,196
7612-26Out0002184430500244,966,034
7511-27Out000632461500106,912,793
7410-28Out0011650321041,200,902
739-29Out00539524013,918,016
728-30Out0123651104,091,393
717-31Out0010672211,031,062
706-32Out0358353220,329
695-33Out14347939,535
684-34Out02754195,629
673-35Out135433588
662-36Out2554351
640-38Out115842,236,996
Total:33.9%001726231611852100026,989,789,760

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesRangersAngelsMarinersRoyalsRaysOriolesBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
10238-01.4%10000000
100-1013.5Yes
9935-31.5990100
9834-41.6980100000
9733-51.394014100000
9632-61.3880181100000
9531-71.280031421100000
9430-81.167042231100000
9329-91.05406032422000000
9228-100.83909042532000000
9127-110.7270110515320000000
9026-120.6160130586331000000
8925-130.690140636331000000
8824-140.550150646331000000
8723-150.520150635321000000
8622-160.410140564221000000
8521-170.300110442111000000
8420-180.20070281110000000
8319-190.10040140000000000
8218-200.0001050000000000
8117-210.0000010000000000
8016-220.0000000000000000
7915-230.000000000000
7814-240.00000
7713-25No0
64-76No
Total:0.2%1.00.05.80.023.41.50.90.70.30.10.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 9 Angels 5 -0.6
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 5 Angels 4 -0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10238-00643330
10137-15050
10036-2285517
9935-31650322
9834-4843454
9733-5330561100
9632-61165723200
9531-7074737700
9430-8023146182000
9329-90115433381000
9228-100062942193000
9127-11001143833122000
9026-120052438257100
8925-13001102935204100
8824-140003153233143000
8723-15000519363171000
8622-160001726471451000
8521-1700011249181640000
8420-18000033615271530000
8319-190001187272914300000
8218-200006215302814410000
8117-210010416292816510000
8016-220001414272918610000
7915-230000031225312071000
7814-240000021024322271000
7713-25000002924342371000
7612-2600001925352361000
7511-270002102736205000
7410-280002123136173000
739-290003153633122000
728-3000042139278100
717-3100172837215100
706-3200113323416300
695-330031734301320
684-341521362980
673-3501727392330
662-36210433510
640-38000743437
Total:0000012481971112108653211000000000