New York Yankees Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.005 to 60.5%
13-6   .684

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rays 2 Angels 1 -0.1
Red Sox 4 Guardians 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs Rays+3.2-3.2
+0.4-0.4
+0.3-0.3
Padres vs Blue Jays+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Red Sox+0.3-0.3
Braves vs Rangers+0.2-0.2
Reds vs Angels+0.2-0.2
Rockies vs Mariners+0.2-0.2
Nationals vs Astros+0.1-0.1
Phillies vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Twins vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Royals vs Orioles+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-156In10026,296*
10794-49In100010,356
10693-50In1000019,304
10592-51In1000034,958
10491-52In1000061,583
10390-53In10000106,020
10289-54In100000175,730
10188-55In99100285,881
10087-56In991000448,331
9986-57In981010684,212
9885-58In9720101,014,580
9784-59In9440201,458,308
9683-60In9160302,041,255
9582-61In86905002,782,428
9481-62In791307003,674,895
9380-63100.0%70181110004,727,086
9279-64100.058242161005,903,063
9178-65100.0452832120007,176,151
9077-66100.03231627400008,475,910
8976-67100.02031832810009,742,584
8875-6899.81126123514200010,885,835
8774-6999.251914332361000011,835,435
8673-7097.02121427301330000012,514,587
8572-7190.6061218322281000012,865,113
8471-7276.6029926301751000012,868,653
8370-7354.60163162927144100012,514,731
8269-7430.500317202924123100011,837,911
8168-7512.600102922292311300010,890,716
8067-763.80100311232921920009,746,239
7966-770.80000141225292082008,479,091
7865-780.20000014142729186107,178,553
7764-790.0000001617292814405,907,466
7663-800.00000028223225914,724,733
7562-810.00000031228341943,676,113
7461-820.000001519353092,782,463
7360-830.0000002113139172,041,633
7259-84Out00152343281,459,391
7158-85Out00021542401,015,430
7057-86Out00193853683,997
6956-87Out00053164446,802
6855-88Out0022474285,262
6754-89Out0011782177,292
6653-90Out001288106,439
6552-91Out0089261,246
6451-92Out0059534,681
6350-93Out039719,020
6249-94Out02989,969
6148-95Out1995,319
6047-96Out1992,607
5946-97Out01001,369
13-58Out10017,173*
Total:60.5%1410512109766544321193,924,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeGuardiansOriolesRoyalsRangersRaysTigersBlue JaysRed SoxMarinersAngelsAthleticsTwinsAstrosWhite Sox
107-15612.4%Yes
10693-5013.01000
10592-5112.410000000
10491-5212.5100000000000
10390-5312.610000000000000000
10289-5412.510000000000000000
10188-5512.510000000000000000
10087-5612.510000000000000000
9986-5712.59900000000000000
9885-5812.49900000000000000
9784-5912.49800000000000000
9683-6012.39700000000000000
9582-6112.29501001011000000
9481-6212.09311101111000000
9380-6311.88912112121000000
9279-6411.58412112122111100
9178-6511.17723213233111100
9077-6610.56934314244111110
8976-679.95946425354221211
8875-689.14857426465222211
8774-698.23857537466232311
8673-707.02767536466332311
8572-715.41856535455222211
8471-723.61144424333222211
8370-732.0622212222111110
8269-740.9311101111000000
8168-750.3100000000000000
8067-760.1100000000000000
7966-770.0000000000000000
7865-780.0000000000000000
7764-790.00000000000000
7663-800.0000000
73-750.00
13-72No
Total:5.1%29.32.12.92.11.22.61.72.52.31.01.00.91.00.60.4
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs