Milwaukee Brewers Playoff Chances

Lost to Padres 5-6, playoff odds down 4.7 to 51.2%
21-18   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 -3.7
-0.4
-0.2
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.4
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.3
Marlins 2 Astros 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres vs Brewers-3.7+2.6
-0.3+0.2
-0.2+0.2
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Rockies+0.5-0.5
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.4+0.5
Giants vs Dodgers+0.3-0.2
Rangers vs Phillies+0.1-0.2
Cubs vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
113-144In100145,611*
11291-32In10001,003
11190-33In1002,298
11089-34In10005,579
10988-35In100012,936
10887-36In100028,531
10786-37In991060,909
10685-38In99100124,480
10584-39In98200244,267
10483-40In97300463,840
10382-41In94500850,494
10281-42In9180001,504,345
10180-43In87120002,564,959
10079-44In81171104,216,552
9978-45In74231106,691,775
9877-46100.0%6530320010,265,950
9776-47100.05537530015,208,287
9675-48100.04442950021,787,304
9574-49100.0334614700030,149,835
9473-50100.02346201010040,347,979
9372-5199.91442281420052,212,780
9271-5299.78363418400065,368,600
9170-5399.242739227100079,116,633
9069-5497.6218412413200092,704,020
8968-5594.011139232060000105,102,781
8867-5687.106342027111000115,317,961
8766-5775.703271431204000122,473,476
8665-5860.101209303091000125,853,102
8564-5942.40013524371830000125,251,429
8463-6025.9008216372881000120,626,103
8362-6113.304193137163000112,516,536
8261-625.702042139277100101,558,779
8160-632.0010111333615200088,786,423
8059-640.600005233926710075,133,281
7958-650.10000212333515200061,541,678
7857-660.0000052338257100048,805,379
7756-670.00000213333415300037,473,126
7655-680.0000005233726810027,838,552
7554-690.0000021332341630020,026,322
7453-700.00001622362681013,930,976
7352-71Out000212313417309,378,873
7251-72Out0016223627816,113,108
7150-73Out00021332351523,855,854
7049-74Out001624392552,346,304
6948-75Out0003153735101,382,827
6847-76Out0018314317789,323
6746-77Out0004224627434,210
6645-78Out002154538231,295
6544-79Out00194050119,744
6443-80Out005346159,001
6342-81Out003277128,138
6241-82Out01207913,321
6140-83Out114855,769
6039-84Out010902,483
5938-85Out9911,051
5837-86Out496438
5736-87Out397140
21-56Out100145,110*
Total:51.2%49179121412964210001,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsRedsCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
108-14410.9%Yes
10786-3711.010000
10685-3811.0100000000
10584-3910.91000000000
10483-4010.910000000000000
10382-4110.9100000000000000
10281-4210.810000000000000000
10180-4310.810000000000000000
10079-4410.89900000000000000
9978-4510.89900000000000000
9877-4610.79800000000000000
9776-4710.69701110000000000
9675-4810.49501110000000000
9574-4910.39302220100000000
9473-5010.08902331110000000
9372-519.78404441210000000
9271-529.47805651211000000
9170-538.97006772321000000
9069-548.46108992321000000
8968-557.65101011113431100000
8867-566.74001012113431100000
8766-575.63001012113431100000
8665-584.3210910102321100000
8564-592.91407872221000000
8463-601.8804551111000000
8362-610.9402320100000000
8261-620.4201110000000000
8160-630.1100000000000000
8059-640.0000000000000000
7958-650.0000000000000000
7857-660.0000000000000000
7756-670.00000000000000
7655-680.000000000
7554-690.00000
7453-700.00
21-73No
Total:4.3%30.30.14.75.55.21.31.71.20.60.30.10.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres vs Brewers+0.5-0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115-144100
11493-30991
11392-31100
11291-32991
11190-331000
11089-34991
10988-35991
10887-369820
10786-379730
10685-3896400
10584-3993700
10483-40891000
10382-418515100
10281-427820200
10180-4369273000
10079-4460346000
9978-45483911100
9877-4637431730000
9776-47264225610000
9675-481638311220000
9574-4993035206100000
9473-504203427113000000
9372-512112732207100000
9271-5215183028144100000
9170-53029233123102001000
9069-54003132629197102000
8968-550015162726154160000
8867-56000171726231121120000
8766-57000027182418619500000
8665-58000002817211326112000000
8564-59000027161726218200000
8463-60000028161927188200000
8362-610000211922251893100000
8261-6200001531021252011410000
8160-6300020310192522135100000
8059-6400010028172423156200000
7958-6500000026152325178310000
7857-66000000151322252010310000
7756-67000000141120252112410000
7655-680000013919252314510000
7554-690000001281725241561000
7453-70000000271725251561000
7352-710000027172625156100
7251-7200002818272514510
7150-7300000292028241230
7049-74000131123302281
6948-7500015152931173
6847-76000272134278
6746-770000313313716
6645-7800017244226
6544-790003164239
6443-80001103752
6342-810053163
6241-820022473
6140-830011782
6039-8401387
5938-85991
5837-86595
5736-87496
21-56100
Total:234567766587554433222111100000