Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 21.4%
18-19   .486

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.5
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.3
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Reds+2.6-2.5
+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.2
Padres vs Brewers+0.5-0.3
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.4+0.4
Twins vs Rockies+0.4-0.3
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.2+0.3
Giants vs Dodgers+0.2-0.1
Rangers vs Phillies+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-143In10059,394*
10991-34In991145
10890-35In1000339
10789-36In991811
10688-37In9911,948
10587-38In982004,324
10486-39In97309,631
10385-40In9550020,328
10284-41In92800041,913
10183-42In88110081,659
10082-43In8316110155,155
9981-44In7622110283,246
9880-45In6728220501,032
9779-46100.0%573553000857,145
9678-47100.0464185001,417,224
9577-48100.035451280002,263,293
9476-49100.0244518111003,493,922
9375-5099.91542251620005,221,170
9274-5199.6935312040007,544,373
9173-5298.942735249100010,560,407
9072-5396.8218362615300014,288,574
8971-5492.3111342423710018,729,693
8870-5583.80528203014200023,745,916
8769-5670.602221432236000029,176,265
8668-5753.601158303212200034,701,526
8567-5835.60094223722500039,967,547
8466-5920.2005214353211100044,568,996
8365-609.600207273920400048,147,933
8264-613.701031738319100050,414,993
8163-621.200018303918300051,071,958
8062-630.3000031940298100050,162,557
7961-640.1000110323816300047,704,309
7860-650.000004223927710043,941,177
7759-660.0000112333515300039,203,764
7658-670.000005233826810033,874,154
7557-680.0000021333341630028,358,107
7456-690.00000623372581022,978,403
7355-70Out0002133234153018,033,747
7254-71Out00162337257113,717,482
7153-72Out000314333414210,081,762
7052-73Out001726392347,186,105
6951-74Out000317383394,945,397
6850-75Out00193242163,303,130
6749-76Out00052446252,132,939
6648-77Out0021646361,329,118
6547-78Out001104248802,683
6446-79Out0053559466,924
6345-80Out0032869263,674
6244-81Out0012178143,842
6143-82Out01158575,849
6042-83Out0109038,353
5941-84Out079319,016
5840-85Out04968,971
5739-86Out02984,132
5638-87Out2981,756
5537-88Out199741
5436-89Out199321
18-53Out10059,507*
Total:21.4%13648111415131074311716,168,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
106-1438.0%Yes
10587-388.4100000
10486-398.21000000
10385-408.010000000
10284-418.210000000000
10183-428.11000000000000
10082-438.19900000000000
9981-448.09900000000000000
9880-457.99800000000000000
9779-467.89701110000000000
9678-477.79501110100000000
9577-487.69202221110000000
9476-497.48802331210000000
9375-507.18204442210000000
9274-516.87505653321000000
9173-526.46607773421000000
9072-535.95608994531000000
8971-545.34501011115531000000
8870-554.53401012115541100000
8769-563.62401011114531100000
8668-572.71608993431000000
8567-581.7906762221000000
8466-591.0503441110000000
8365-600.5202221100000000
8264-610.2101110000000000
8163-620.1000000000000000
8062-630.0000000000000000
7961-640.0000000000000000
7860-650.0000000000000000
7759-660.00000000000
7658-670.00000
7557-680.0000
7456-69No0
18-73No
Total:1.2%9.80.12.42.82.61.01.20.80.30.10.10.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Reds-0.6+0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-143100
10991-34973
10890-35973
10789-36973
10688-379550
10587-389370
10486-39891000
10385-40841510
10284-41772120
10183-426928400
10082-435834710
9981-44474012100
9880-453643183000
9779-462542257100000
9678-471637321320000
9577-4892935206100000
9476-49420342812300000
9375-5021127322071000000
9274-5115173028144100000
9173-5202922302310200100
9072-53003122529197103000
8971-540015152626154171000
8870-55000161625221121420000
8769-56000027162217623610000
8668-57000027151912291430000
8567-580000261315272410300000
8466-590000161318282110310000
8365-600000288212621114100000
8264-610000329202622125100000
8163-620001028182523146200000
8062-630000002716242417820000
7961-6400000015132325199310000
7860-650000000141221262111410000
7759-66000000131020262213510000
7658-6700000013918252314510000
7557-68000000281725241561000
7456-69000000271725251561000
7355-700000027172625155100
7254-71000002819272514410
7153-7200000392129241130
7052-730000131224302171
6951-74000015162930163
6850-75000282234267
6749-760000314323614
6648-7700017254225
6547-780003174337
6446-790001103949
6345-8000063261
6244-8100032572
6143-82011880
6042-83011387
5941-8400991
5840-850595
5739-860397
5638-87397
5537-88199
5436-89199
18-53100
Total:011223333366666665554433221110