Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances

Beat Diamondbacks 3-2, playoff odds up 5.3 to 59.4%
10-6   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks 2 Cubs 3 +3.8
+0.4
+0.3
Mariners 9 Reds 3 +0.3
+0.1
Athletics 1 Cardinals 3 -0.2
Astros 1 Braves 6 -0.2
Marlins 3 Giants 4 -0.2
Dodgers 4 Nationals 6 +0.1
Phillies 2 Rockies 1 -0.1
Brewers 3 Padres 7 +0.1
Mets 6 Pirates 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks vs Cubs-2.7+3.7
-0.3+0.4
-0.2+0.3
Mariners vs Reds+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.1
Athletics vs Cardinals+0.2-0.3
Astros vs Braves+0.2-0.2
Phillies vs Rockies-0.1+0.2
Marlins vs Giants+0.1-0.2
Dodgers vs Nationals-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Pirates+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Padres-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-156In10011,641*
10797-49In100005,336
10696-50In1000010,092
10595-51In1000018,056
10494-52In1000031,733
10393-53In990052,835
10292-54In991187,948
10191-55In981010139,680
10090-56In962020216,934
9989-57In943030324,671
9888-58In915050476,728
9787-59In8670700676,171
9686-60In791001100931,379
9585-61100.0%71130151001,245,930
9484-62100.060171211001,621,069
9383-63100.048212273002,052,946
9282-64100.036233345002,520,999
9181-65100.0242353991003,014,313
9080-6699.914216431520003,502,705
8979-6799.77167422340003,958,949
8878-6898.931183731910004,347,337
8777-6996.516729371630004,648,477
8676-7090.2036193726810004,827,835
8575-7177.601410303317510004,880,091
8474-7258.400241933271230004,789,807
8373-7336.500119253222820004,572,508
8272-7418.10000314283017610004,252,347
8171-756.9000161830271440003,843,378
8070-762.0000029223124102003,377,500
7969-770.4000031226312061002,886,434
7868-780.1000015173029153002,399,057
7767-790.00000282233258101,938,563
7666-800.000000313303317301,522,896
7565-810.000016213627811,164,611
7464-82Out0002123236152864,137
7363-83Out000162440244624,461
7262-84Out00031639348438,902
7161-85Out0019344214299,886
7060-86Out0005264623198,586
6959-87Out002194732127,478
6858-88Out0112444279,970
6757-89Out008395248,331
6656-90Out04346228,569
6555-91Out02277016,305
6454-92Out121789,214
6353-93Out117834,953
6252-94Out012882,575
6151-95Out08911,345
6050-96Out0694657
5949-97Out397314
5848-98Out694146
5747-99Out19970
10-56Out1006,085*
Total:59.4%116315131198655421073,102,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBravesBrewersPiratesDodgersRedsDiamondbacksPadresMetsPhilliesCardinalsNationalsGiantsRockiesMarlins
108-15612.8%Yes
10797-4913.1100000
10696-5013.5100000
10595-5113.41000000000
10494-5213.0100000000000000
10393-5313.61000000000000000
10292-5413.5990000000000000
10191-5513.39900000000000000
10090-5613.39800000000000000
9989-5713.39701101000000000
9888-5813.19501101000000000
9787-5912.99302201000000000
9686-6012.68912212111010000
9585-6112.28413413111010000
9484-6211.77815514111111000
9383-6311.17016725222121100
9282-6410.46128827222121100
9181-659.6512101038333231100
9080-668.6413121239333231100
8979-677.63131313410444242200
8878-686.52241314411444242200
8777-695.31441313410444342200
8676-703.993101048334232200
8575-712.6527736333221100
8474-721.4214423112111100
8373-730.6112211111010000
8272-740.2001100000000000
8171-750.1000000000000000
8070-760.0000000000000000
7969-770.0000000000000000
7868-780.000000000000000
7767-790.000000
7666-80No00
10-75No
Total:4.2%20.21.55.65.71.84.41.71.71.81.11.70.80.70.10.1
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs