New York Mets Playoff Chances

Plays at Dodgers, playoff odds down 1.8 to 53.1%
10-8   .556

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates 1 Red Sox 8 +0.3
Phillies 7 White Sox 0 -0.3
-0.0
Nationals 3 Astros 5 +0.2
Braves 8 Rangers 3 -0.2
-0.1
Reds 7 Angels 1 -0.2
Cubs 8 Marlins 3 -0.2
Cardinals 1 Brewers 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Dodgers vs Mets-2.8+3.7
-0.3+0.3
-0.2+0.3
Padres vs Blue Jays-0.2+0.3
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers vs Mets-2.8+3.8
-0.3+0.3
-0.2+0.3
Phillies vs White Sox-0.3+0.5
Reds vs Angels-0.2+0.4
Pirates vs Red Sox-0.3+0.4
Cubs vs Marlins-0.2+0.3
Braves vs Rangers-0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Cubs vs Marlins-0.2+0.3
Padres vs Blue Jays-0.2+0.3
Nationals vs Astros-0.2+0.2
Cardinals vs Brewers+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-154In1004,758*
10797-47In100001,543
10696-48In100002,979
10595-49In99005,631
10494-50In99009,951
10393-51In981117,532
10292-52In9710129,654
10191-53In962249,320
10090-54In94403078,479
9989-55In906040121,756
9888-56In858060182,670
9787-57In79120900266,186
9686-58In71160120379,135
9585-59In612111700522,714
9484-60In502622210698,489
9383-61100.0%3830327200908,294
9282-62100.0273253230001,145,778
9181-63100.0173283671001,403,207
9080-6499.99281138122001,675,791
8979-6599.642214371940001,941,325
8878-6698.6215153227910002,186,131
8777-6795.5091523321740002,394,086
8676-6888.1041314312510200002,549,703
8575-6974.402107243119610002,636,326
8474-7054.7017315292814410002,650,486
8373-7133.5004172131231020002,593,204
8272-7216.50020211263019710002,465,219
8171-736.5010151629281541002,279,908
8070-742.1010017213126112002,047,556
7969-750.60000031125322171001,787,927
7868-760.100014163030153001,519,492
7767-770.000000182334258101,254,538
7666-780.000000313313416201,007,878
7565-790.000001723372660785,296
7464-800.00003143436121595,906
7363-810.0000172742203438,424
7262-82Out00031943296315,045
7161-83Out00111393910220,093
7060-84Out006324517148,645
6959-85Out0324482597,673
6858-86Out0117483462,406
6757-87Out0111444538,522
6656-88Out06395523,137
6555-89Out04336313,602
6454-90Out0225737,666
6353-91Out119794,169
6252-92Out015852,286
6151-93Out010891,235
6050-94Out991649
5949-95Out892306
5848-96Out199117
5747-97Out29864
10-56Out1003,313*
Total:53.1%78612101098876532039,576,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBravesBrewersCubsDodgersPadresRedsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksGiantsCardinalsNationalsRockiesMarlins
108-15412.3%Yes
10797-4712.81000
10696-4812.710000
10595-4913.4100000000000
10494-5013.1100000000000
10393-5112.799000000000000
10292-5212.9990000000000000
10191-5312.8980000000000000
10090-5412.99701100000000000
9989-5512.59601100111000000
9888-5612.49401100111000000
9787-5712.29102200111000000
9686-5811.98702211212100000
9585-5911.68313311223101000
9484-6011.17814411323111100
9383-6110.67115511434111100
9282-6210.16426622445111100
9181-639.45627722556212100
9080-648.74838933657212200
8979-657.84039933767222200
8878-666.8313101033767322200
8777-675.62439933767322200
8676-684.21728833555212100
8575-692.91215522434211100
8474-701.7813311222111100
8373-710.9501100111000000
8272-720.4300000000000000
8171-730.2100000000000000
8070-740.1100000000000000
7969-750.00000000000000
7868-760.00000000000
7767-770.0000000
7666-780.000
73-750.00
10-72No
Total:3.7%20.81.13.73.81.31.22.72.42.81.00.70.80.70.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs