"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Shalke 1 Hannover 0 +7.3
-0.0
+0.4
Bayern Munich 1 Shalke 1 -0.0
+2.1
+0.1
Wolfsburg 4 Bayern Munich 1 -0.5
Eintracht 1 Wolfsburg 1 +0.1
Dortmund 0 Augsburg 1 -2.6
-0.1
Hertha Berlin 0 Leverkusen 1 -2.3
-0.1
Stuttgart 0 Monchengladbach 1 -1.9
-0.1
Monchengladbach 1 Freiburg 0 -1.7
-0.0
Leverkusen 0 Dortmund 0 +1.6
+0.1
Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 2 +1.1
+0.1
Freiburg 4 Eintracht 1 +0.5
Augsburg 3 Hoffenheim 1 -0.5
Hannover 1 Mainz 1 +0.2
Koln 0 Stuttgart 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Shalke vs Monchengladbach+12.9-2.5-12.2
+0.5-0.1-0.5
Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich+0.1+0.0-0.0
Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim-0.1+0.2-0.0
Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen+3.1+1.3-2.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Augsburg vs Eintracht-2.3+1.5+3.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Hamburger vs Hannover+0.1+0.1-0.1
Mainz vs Hertha Berlin-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Shalke finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed2.
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718BundesligaCount
7615-0-036.5%Yes36630No539,634
7414-1-019.8Yes20791No209,933
7314-0-113.9Yes14833No274,453
7213-2-09.9Yes108640No810,873
7113-1-16.4Yes68590No2,097,753
7012-3-04.1Yes483120No3,271,569*
6912-2-12.4100.0%2791900No7,432,957
6812-1-21.3100.01722700No12,617,261*
6711-3-10.7100.016434100No20,106,307*
6611-2-20.3100.005443200No34,397,945*
6511-1-30.199.904351500No49,565,965*
6410-3-20.199.703357900No71,665,347*
6310-2-30.099.10236016100No100,982,742*
629-4-20.097.70165924200No129,523,420*
619-3-30.094.8095333500No165,560,199*
609-2-40.089.60544411010No201,733,266*
598-4-30.081.602334617200No231,859,454*
588-3-40.070.501234726400No262,237,373*
578-2-50.054.400134237900No141,748,491
7-5-30.059.600154433700No140,535,285*
567-4-40.043.1008354214100No204,832,126
8-1-60.041.8007344315100No86,118,832*
557-3-5No27.903254624200No197,797,273
6-6-3No31.504274622100No94,550,787*
546-5-4No18.9021745334000No150,336,737
7-2-6No16.4011543364000No130,000,716*
536-4-5No9.501937449000No258,588,901*
526-3-6No4.40042850162000No231,328,414*
515-5-5No1.80021851254000No112,717,180
6-2-7No1.50011750275000No85,000,091*
505-4-6No0.500110443691000No162,716,838*
495-3-7No0.10043342183000No129,251,386*
484-5-6No0.000120412881000No98,039,352*
474-4-7No0.0000113436163000No71,415,275*
464-3-8No0.000422372681000No50,009,533*
453-5-7No0.0001113134184000No33,316,603*
443-4-8NoNo0041935291120000No21,205,751*
433-3-9NoNo00192635226100No12,894,193*
422-5-8NoNo0031431321630000.0%7,408,282*
412-4-9NoNo00152034281120000.04,032,045*
402-3-10NoNo001825352371000.02,073,408*
391-5-9NoNo002123034184000.3992,275*
381-4-10NoNo004173330133001.5441,086*
371-3-11NoNo00162235269105.9181,427*
361-2-12NoNo01102735215016.267,633*
350-4-11NoNo00314333314232.922,390*
340-3-12NoNo015223828653.56,420*
330-2-13NoNo021130421571.71,542
320-1-14NoNo0319433587.2226
310-0-15NoNo007385495.9514,511
Total:0.0%43.0%05172222199421000000000.0%3,723,031,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship